See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 8, 2020, at 8:25 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 30, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

40%
40%
TrumpBiden+13
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
936 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
936LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+13
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
790 LV
May 14-18, 2020
790LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpTrump+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 29, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

35%
35%
MessnerShaheen+19
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Bolduc

35%
35%
BolducShaheen+19
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
932 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
932LVShaheen
50%

Shaheen

50%

Messner

37%
37%
MessnerShaheen+13
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
931 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
931LVShaheen
51%

Shaheen

51%

Bolduc

39%
39%
BolducShaheen+12
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
788 LV
May 14-18, 2020
788LVShaheen
52%

Shaheen

52%

Messner

34%
34%
MessnerShaheen+18
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
790 LV
May 14-18, 2020
790LVShaheen
50%

Shaheen

50%

Bolduc

39%
39%
BolducShaheen+11
Governor
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVVolinsky
29%

Volinsky

29%

Sununu

58%
58%
SununuSununu+29
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVFeltes
28%

Feltes

28%

Sununu

59%
59%
SununuSununu+31
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
939 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
939LVVolinsky
22%

Volinsky

22%

Sununu

62%
62%
SununuSununu+40
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
942 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
942LVFeltes
23%

Feltes

23%

Sununu

62%
62%
SununuSununu+39
Governor
N.H.N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
789 LV
May 14-18, 2020
789LVVolinsky
20%

Volinsky

20%

Sununu

61%
61%
SununuSununu+41
Governor
N.H.N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
787 LV
May 14-18, 2020
787LVFeltes
21%

Feltes

21%

Sununu

61%
61%
SununuSununu+40

June 18, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Jun 13-16, 2020
1,072 RV
Jun 13-16, 2020
1,072RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+7

June 17, 2020

Governor
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Jun 13-15, 2020
500 LV
Jun 13-15, 2020
500LVFeltes
20%

Feltes

20%

Sununu

59%
59%
SununuSununu+39

April 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Apr 23-27, 2020
820 RV
Apr 23-27, 2020
820RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+8
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