UPDATED Sep. 30, 2022, at 7:47 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.23-26
500LV
Hassan
50%
Hassan
50%

Hassan

50%

Bolduc

41%

Kauffman

3%
41%
BolducHassan+8

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.23-26
500LV
Sherman
36%
Sherman
36%

Sherman

36%

Sununu

53%

Halldorson

2%

Borysenko

2%
53%
SununuSununu+17

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

870LV
Sep.15-19
870LV
Hassan
49%
Hassan
49%

Hassan

49%

Bolduc

41%

Kauffman

5%
41%
BolducHassan+8
555RV
Sep.15-19
555RV
Hassan
53%
Hassan
53%

Hassan

53%

Bolduc

40%
40%
Bolduc  Hassan+13

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

445LV
Sep.15-19
445LV
Kuster
48%
Kuster
48%

Kuster

48%

Burns

45%
45%
Burns  Kuster+3

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

423LV
Sep.15-19
423LV
Pappas
50%
Pappas
50%

Pappas

50%

Leavitt

43%
43%
Leavitt  Pappas+7

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

870LV
Sep.15-19
870LV
Sherman
37%
Sherman
37%

Sherman

37%

Sununu

55%

Borysenko

1%

Halldorson

0%
55%
SununuSununu+18
555RV
Sep.15-19
555RV
Sherman
38%
Sherman
38%

Sherman

38%

Sununu

53%
53%
Sununu  Sununu+15

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Sep.14-15
800LV
Hassan
51%
Hassan
51%

Hassan

51%

Bolduc

40%
40%
Bolduc  Hassan+11

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

415LV
Sep.14-15
415LV
Pappas
47%
Pappas
47%

Pappas

47%

Leavitt

42%
42%
Leavitt  Pappas+5

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

385LV
Sep.14-15
385LV
Kuster
54%
Kuster
54%

Kuster

54%

Burns

36%
36%
Burns  Kuster+18

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Sep.14-15
800LV
Sherman
37%
Sherman
37%

Sherman

37%

Sununu

52%
52%
Sununu  Sununu+15

Aug. 10, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

820RV
Aug.9-11
820RV
Trump Sr.
50%
Trump Sr.
50%

Trump Sr.

50%

DeSantis

29%

Cheney

4%

Haley

3%

Pence

3%

Cruz

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

0%
29%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+21

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,898RV
Aug.9-11
1,898RV
Sherman
29%
Sherman
29%

Sherman

29%

Sununu

48%
48%
Sununu  Sununu+19

July 24, 2022

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

429LV
Jul.21-25
429LV
Buttigieg
17%
Buttigieg
17%

Buttigieg

17%

Biden

16%

Newsom

10%

Warren

10%

Klobuchar

9%

Sanders

8%

Harris

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Abrams

3%

H. Clinton

3%

Booker

2%

C. Murphy

1%

Whitmer

1%

Polis

0%

Pritzker

0%

Raimondo

0%
16%
BidenButtigieg+1
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