UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 10, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Mar 4-6, 2021
871 RV
Mar 4-6, 2021
871RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Sununu

47%
47%
SununuSununu+6

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Feb. 25, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
53%

Hassan

53%

Lewandowski

34%
34%
LewandowskiHassan+19
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
52%

Hassan

52%

Bolduc

39%
39%
BolducHassan+13
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
48%

Hassan

48%

Ayotte

43%
43%
AyotteHassan+5
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
46%

Hassan

46%

Sununu

48%
48%
SununuSununu+2

Jan. 20, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624 RV
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624RVPence
25%

Pence

25%

Trump

14%

Haley

12%

Cruz

10%

Romney

8%

Cotton

6%

Carlson

4%

Rubio

4%

Scott

3%
MorePence+11
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624 RV
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624RVTrump
57%

Trump

57%

Romney

7%

Haley

7%

Pence

6%

Cruz

4%

Trump

3%

Rubio

2%

Scott

2%

Cotton

2%

Carlson

1%
MoreTrump+49

Nov. 4, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,013 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,013LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+9
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,013 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,013RVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+11

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVBiden
58%

Biden

58%

Trump

39%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+19
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVShaheen
57%

Shaheen

57%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

0%
MoreShaheen+17
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

43%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+11
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

39%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+15
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVShaheen
57%

Shaheen

57%

Messner

38%
38%
MessnerShaheen+19
U.S. House
U.S. House
NH-2NH-2
Oct 24-28, 2020
412 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
412LVKuster
51%

Kuster

51%

Negron

41%

Olding

7%
MoreKuster+10
U.S. House
NH-1NH-1
Oct 24-28, 2020
451 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
451LVPappas
48%

Pappas

48%

Mowers

50%

Dumont

2%
MoreMowers+2
U.S. House
NH-2NH-2
Oct 23-26, 2020
458 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
458LVKuster
54%

Kuster

54%

Negron

39%

Olding

3%
MoreKuster+15
U.S. House
NH-1NH-1
Oct 23-26, 2020
560 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
560LVPappas
49%

Pappas

49%

Mowers

44%

Dumont

1%
MorePappas+5
Governor
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVFeltes
46%

Feltes

46%

Sununu

51%

Perry

1%
MoreSununu+5
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVFeltes
36%

Feltes

36%

Sununu

60%

Perry

2%
MoreSununu+24
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVFeltes
35%

Feltes

35%

Sununu

60%

Perry

1%
MoreSununu+25
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVFeltes
36%

Feltes

36%

Sununu

59%
59%
SununuSununu+23
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