UPDATED Jan. 15, 2021, at 5:25 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
910 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
910LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
910 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
910RVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVBiden
58%

Biden

58%

Trump

39%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+19
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVShaheen
57%

Shaheen

57%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

0%
MoreShaheen+17
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

43%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+11
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

39%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+15
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVShaheen
57%

Shaheen

57%

Messner

38%
38%
MessnerShaheen+19
U.S. House
U.S. House
NH-2NH-2
Oct 24-28, 2020
412 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
412LVKuster
51%

Kuster

51%

Negron

41%

Olding

7%
MoreKuster+10
U.S. House
NH-1NH-1
Oct 24-28, 2020
451 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
451LVPappas
48%

Pappas

48%

Mowers

50%

Dumont

2%
MoreMowers+2
U.S. House
NH-2NH-2
Oct 23-26, 2020
458 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
458LVKuster
54%

Kuster

54%

Negron

39%

Olding

3%
MoreKuster+15
U.S. House
NH-1NH-1
Oct 23-26, 2020
560 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
560LVPappas
49%

Pappas

49%

Mowers

44%

Dumont

1%
MorePappas+5
Governor
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVFeltes
46%

Feltes

46%

Sununu

51%

Perry

1%
MoreSununu+5
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVFeltes
36%

Feltes

36%

Sununu

60%

Perry

2%
MoreSununu+24
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVFeltes
35%

Feltes

35%

Sununu

60%

Perry

1%
MoreSununu+25
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVFeltes
36%

Feltes

36%

Sununu

59%
59%
SununuSununu+23

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
1,410 LV
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
1,410LVBiden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

41%
41%
TrumpBiden+16
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
1,410 RV
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
1,410RVBiden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

41%
41%
TrumpBiden+16

Oct. 15, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 9-12, 2020
899 LV
Oct 9-12, 2020
899LVShaheen
55%

Shaheen

55%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+15
U.S. House
U.S. House
NH-2NH-2
Oct 9-12, 2020
410 LV
Oct 9-12, 2020
410LVKuster
49%

Kuster

49%

Negron

45%

Olding

2%
MoreKuster+4
U.S. House
NH-1NH-1
Oct 9-12, 2020
477 LV
Oct 9-12, 2020
477LVPappas
53%

Pappas

53%

Mowers

43%

Dumont

1%
MorePappas+10

Oct. 14, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
Oct 8-12, 2020
500 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
500LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 8-12, 2020
500 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
500LVShaheen
51%

Shaheen

51%

Messner

36%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+14
Governor
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 9-12, 2020
899 LV
Oct 9-12, 2020
899LVFeltes
37%

Feltes

37%

Sununu

62%

Perry

0%
MoreSununu+25
Governor
N.H.N.H.
Oct 8-12, 2020
500 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
500LVFeltes
31%

Feltes

31%

Sununu

55%

Perry

4%
MoreSununu+24
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