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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 17, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022

868LV
Apr.14-18
868LV
Hassan
46%
Hassan
46%

Hassan

46%

Fenton

40%
40%
Fenton  Hassan+6
868LV
Apr.14-18
868LV
Hassan
45%
Hassan
45%

Hassan

45%

Smith

44%
44%
Smith  Hassan+1
868LV
Apr.14-18
868LV
Hassan
44%
Hassan
44%

Hassan

44%

Morse

46%
46%
Morse  Morse+2
868LV
Apr.14-18
868LV
Hassan
47%
Hassan
47%

Hassan

47%

Bolduc

46%
46%
Bolduc  Hassan+1

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022

868LV
Apr.14-18
868LV
Sherman
29%
Sherman
29%

Sherman

29%

Sununu

55%
55%
Sununu  Sununu+26

April 15, 2022

April 7, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022

471RV
Apr.4-8
471RV
Hassan
51%
Hassan
51%

Hassan

51%

Morse

45%
45%
Morse  Hassan+6
533A
Apr.4-8
533A
Hassan
43%
Hassan
43%

Hassan

43%

Morse

40%
40%
Morse  Hassan+3
471RV
Apr.4-8
471RV
Hassan
54%
Hassan
54%

Hassan

54%

Bolduc

39%
39%
Bolduc  Hassan+15
533A
Apr.4-8
533A
Hassan
45%
Hassan
45%

Hassan

45%

Bolduc

40%
40%
Bolduc  Hassan+6

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022

471RV
Apr.4-8
471RV
Sherman
24%
Sherman
24%

Sherman

24%

Sununu

73%
73%
Sununu  Sununu+48
533A
Apr.4-8
533A
Sherman
24%
Sherman
24%

Sherman

24%

Sununu

62%
62%
Sununu  Sununu+38

March 23, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022

1,265RV
Mar.23-24
1,265RV
Hassan
43%
Hassan
43%

Hassan

43%

Morse

36%
36%
Morse  Hassan+7
1,265RV
Mar.23-24
1,265RV
Hassan
44%
Hassan
44%

Hassan

44%

Smith

34%
34%
Smith  Hassan+10
1,265RV
Mar.23-24
1,265RV
Hassan
44%
Hassan
44%

Hassan

44%

Bolduc

39%
39%
Bolduc  Hassan+5

Governor, New Hampshire, 2022

1,265RV
Mar.23-24
1,265RV
Sherman
24%
Sherman
24%

Sherman

24%

Sununu

51%
51%
Sununu  Sununu+27

Jan. 11, 2022

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022

1,215RV
Jan.11-12
1,215RV
Hassan
42%
Hassan
42%

Hassan

42%

Smith

24%
24%
Smith  Hassan+18
1,215RV
Jan.11-12
1,215RV
Hassan
41%
Hassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Morse

27%
27%
Morse  Hassan+14
1,215RV
Jan.11-12
1,215RV
Hassan
43%
Hassan
43%

Hassan

43%

Bolduc

36%
36%
Bolduc  Hassan+7
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