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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 21, 2024

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 21-22
500LV
Jan. 21-22
500LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

Haley

38%
38%
Haley  Trump+22
Jan. 17-22
851LV
Jan. 17-22
851LV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

Haley

37%

DeSantis

3%
37%
HaleyTrump+20

Jan. 20, 2024

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 21
850LV
Jan. 21
850LV
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

Haley

35%
35%
Haley  Trump+28
Jan. 19-21
1,084LV
Jan. 19-21
1,084LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

Haley

36%
36%
Haley  Trump+23

Jan. 19, 2024

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Jan. 18-20
467LV
Jan. 18-20
467LV
Biden
61%
Biden
61%

Biden

61%

Phillips

16%

Williamson

5%
16%
PhillipsBiden+45
Jan. 18-20
600LV
Jan. 18-20
600LV
Biden
54%
Biden
54%

Biden

54%

Phillips

32%

Williamson

3%
32%
PhillipsBiden+22

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 19-20
500LV
Jan. 19-20
500LV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

Haley

36%

DeSantis

6%
36%
HaleyTrump+19
Jan. 18-20
673LV
Jan. 18-20
673LV
Trump
50%
Trump
50%

Trump

50%

Haley

35%

DeSantis

8%
35%
HaleyTrump+15
Jan. 18-20
600LV
Jan. 18-20
600LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

44%

DeSantis

6%
44%
HaleyTrump+2
Jan. 16-20
712LV
Jan. 16-20
712LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

Haley

34%

DeSantis

8%

Christie

1%
34%
HaleyTrump+18

Jan. 18, 2024

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Jan. 16-19
775LV
Jan. 16-19
775LV
Biden
63%
Biden
63%

Biden

63%

Phillips

10%

Williamson

9%
10%
PhillipsBiden+53

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 16-19
1,242LV
Jan. 16-19
1,242LV
Trump
50%
Trump
50%

Trump

50%

Haley

39%

DeSantis

6%
39%
HaleyTrump+11

Jan. 17, 2024

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 17-18
500LV
Jan. 17-18
500LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

Haley

35%

DeSantis

6%
35%
HaleyTrump+16
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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