UPDATED Dec. 2, 2021, at 9:37 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Nov 16-18, 2021
500 LV
Nov 16-18, 2021
500LVHassan
47%

Hassan

47%

Messner

45%
45%
MessnerHassan+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 25, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 20-22, 2021
1,323 RV
Oct 20-22, 2021
1,323RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Sununu

46%
46%
SununuSununu+5

Oct. 20, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
979 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
979LVHassan
44%

Hassan

44%

Ayotte

43%
43%
AyotteHassan+1
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
979 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
979LVHassan
47%

Hassan

47%

Bolduc

42%
42%
BolducHassan+5
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
979 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
979LVHassan
42%

Hassan

42%

Sununu

45%
45%
SununuSununu+3

Oct. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
441 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
441LVTrump Sr.
43%

Trump Sr.

43%

DeSantis

18%

Romney

7%

Haley

6%

Pence

4%

Cruz

2%

Cotton

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+25

Aug. 30, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Aug 24-26, 2021
1,855 RV
Aug 24-26, 2021
1,855RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Sununu

49%
49%
SununuSununu+8
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