UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 30, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Aug 24-26, 2021
1,855 RV
Aug 24-26, 2021
1,855RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Sununu

49%
49%
SununuSununu+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 21, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 15-19, 2021
1,540 LV
Jul 15-19, 2021
1,540LVHassan
49%

Hassan

49%

Ayotte

45%
45%
AyotteHassan+4
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 15-19, 2021
1,540 LV
Jul 15-19, 2021
1,540LVHassan
51%

Hassan

51%

Bolduc

41%
41%
BolducHassan+10
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 15-19, 2021
1,540 LV
Jul 15-19, 2021
1,540LVHassan
48%

Hassan

48%

Sununu

49%
49%
SununuSununu+1

July 20, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Jul 15-19, 2021
770 LV
Jul 15-19, 2021
770LVTrump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

6%

Pence

5%

Cruz

2%

Noem

2%

Cotton

0%

Hawley

0%

Pompeo

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+28

June 11, 2021

President: general election
President: general election N.H.
N.H.
May 7-10, 2021
1,267 RV
May 7-10, 2021
1,267RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump Sr.

43%
43%
Trump Sr.Biden+8
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
May 7-10, 2021
635 RV
May 7-10, 2021
635RVTrump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

7%

Pence

4%

Rubio

2%

Noem

2%

Cruz

2%

Romney

1%

Kasich

0%

T. Scott

0%

Cheney

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+32

April 13, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
Mar 5-11, 2021
DeSantis
25%

DeSantis

25%

Pence

20%

Cruz

12%

Romney

11%

Haley

7%

Pompeo

4%

Noem

1%
MoreDeSantis+5
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
400 RV
Mar 5-11, 2021
400RVDeSantis
21%

DeSantis

21%

Pence

18%

Romney

15%

Cruz

10%

Haley

7%

Pompeo

3%

Noem

1%
MoreDeSantis+3
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
Mar 5-11, 2021
Trump Sr.
62%

Trump Sr.

62%

Romney

8%

Pence

6%

DeSantis

5%

Haley

4%

Cruz

2%

Pompeo

0%

Noem

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+54
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
400 RV
Mar 5-11, 2021
400RVTrump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

Romney

13%

Pence

6%

DeSantis

5%

Haley

3%

Cruz

1%

Pompeo

0%

Noem

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+39
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