UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Jersey?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 19, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.J.N.J.
Oct 13-17, 2018
600 LV
Oct 13-17, 2018
600LVMenendez
42%

Menendez

42%

Hugin

40%
40%
HuginMenendez+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

38%
38%
TrumpBiden+18
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
324 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
324LVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

40%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+19
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,480 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,480LVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+20
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,480 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,480RVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

38%
38%
TrumpBiden+21
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.J.N.J.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBooker
55%

Booker

55%

Mehta

32%
32%
MehtaBooker+23

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 23-26, 2020
386 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
386LVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

38%

Hawkins

0%

Jorgensen

0%
MoreBiden+24
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.J.N.J.
Oct 23-26, 2020
363 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
363LVBooker
61%

Booker

61%

Mehta

39%
39%
MehtaBooker+22
U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Oct 22-27, 2020
676 LV
Oct 22-27, 2020
676LVKennedy
46%

Kennedy

46%

Van Drew

45%
45%
Van DrewKennedy+1

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 18-24, 2020
872 LV
Oct 18-24, 2020
872LVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+24
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 18-24, 2020
972 RV
Oct 18-24, 2020
972RVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+22
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.J.N.J.
Oct 18-24, 2020
872 LV
Oct 18-24, 2020
872LVBooker
61%

Booker

61%

Mehta

31%
31%
MehtaBooker+30
U.S. Senate
N.J.N.J.
Oct 18-24, 2020
972 RV
Oct 18-24, 2020
972RVBooker
59%

Booker

59%

Mehta

30%
30%
MehtaBooker+29

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
5,121 LV
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
5,121LVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

36%
36%
TrumpBiden+25
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
5,121 RV
Sep 21-Oct 19, 2020
5,121RVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+26
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 5-13, 2020
500 LV
Oct 5-13, 2020
500LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

34%
34%
TrumpBiden+22
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