UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Jersey?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 31, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2021
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2021
450LVMurphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
CiattarelliMurphy+6
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 29-31, 2021
1,085 LV
Oct 29-31, 2021
1,085LVMurphy
49%

Murphy

49%

Ciattarelli

45%
45%
CiattarelliMurphy+4
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 21-27, 2021
901 RV
Oct 21-27, 2021
901RVMurphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

42%
42%
CiattarelliMurphy+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 28, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 23-28, 2021
823 RV
Oct 23-28, 2021
823RVMurphy
53%

Murphy

53%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
CiattarelliMurphy+9

Oct. 27, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 17-26, 2021
522 LV
Oct 17-26, 2021
522LVMurphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

41%
41%
CiattarelliMurphy+9

Oct. 26, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 21-25, 2021
1,000 RV
Oct 21-25, 2021
1,000RVMurphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

39%
39%
CiattarelliMurphy+11

Oct. 20, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.J. N.J.
Oct 15-18, 2021
600 LV
Oct 15-18, 2021
600LVMurphy
52%

Murphy

52%

Ciattarelli

48%
48%
CiattarelliMurphy+4
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