UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 18, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-1, 2022

625LV
Jul.13-19
625LV
Norcross
49%
Norcross
49%

Norcross

49%

Gustafson

44%
44%
Gustafson  Norcross+5

Jan. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

600LV
Jan.19-27
600LV
Malinowski
46%
Malinowski
46%

Malinowski

46%

Kean

46%
46%
Kean  Even

Oct. 31, 2021

Governor, New Jersey, 2021

450LV
Oct.31-Nov.1
450LV
Murphy
50%
Murphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+6

Oct. 30, 2021

Oct. 27, 2021

Governor, New Jersey, 2021

823RV
Oct.23-28
823RV
Murphy
53%
Murphy
53%

Murphy

53%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+9
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