See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 1:08 PM

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Who’s ahead in New Jersey?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
6,261 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
6,261LVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+23
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
6,261 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
6,261RVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

36%
36%
TrumpBiden+23

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 5-13, 2020
500 LV
Oct 5-13, 2020
500LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

34%
34%
TrumpBiden+22

Oct. 16, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Oct 7-13, 2020
721 LV
Oct 7-13, 2020
721LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

36%
36%
TrumpBiden+21
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.J.N.J.
Oct 7-13, 2020
721 LV
Oct 7-13, 2020
721LVBooker
57%

Booker

57%

Mehta

32%
32%
MehtaBooker+25

Oct. 9, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020
736 RV
Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020
736RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+17
President: general election N.J.
N.J.
Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020
582 LV
Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020
582LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

38%
38%
TrumpBiden+15

Oct. 5, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588 LV
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588LVKennedy
51%

Kennedy

51%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+7
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588 LV
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588LVKennedy
50%

Kennedy

50%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+6
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588 RV
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588RVKennedy
49%

Kennedy

49%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+5
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