See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 18, 2020, at 2:02 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

				Dates	Pollster	Sample		Result				Net result
President: general election
President: general election		N.C.	•	N.C. Sep 11-16, 2020 653 LV	Sep 11-16, 2020	A+ Siena College/The New York Times Upshot	653	LV	Biden	45%	Biden 45% Trump 44% Jorgensen 2% Hawkins 1%	More		Biden	+1
								Trump	44%
								Jorgensen	2%
								Hawkins	1%
President: general election		N.C.	•	N.C. Sep 12-15, 2020 1,092 LV	Sep 12-15, 2020	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,092	LV	Biden	47%	Biden 47% Trump 45% Jorgensen 1% Hawkins 1%	More		Biden	+2
								Trump	45%
								Jorgensen	1%
								Hawkins	1%
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate	•	N.C.		N.C. Sep 11-16, 2020 653 LV	Sep 11-16, 2020	A+ Siena College/The New York Times Upshot	653	LV	Cunningham	42%	Cunningham 42% Tillis 37% Bray 2% Hayes 1%	More		Cunningham	+5
								Tillis	37%
								Bray	2%
								Hayes	1%
U.S. Senate	•	N.C.		N.C. Sep 12-15, 2020 1,092 LV	Sep 12-15, 2020	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,092	LV	Cunningham	49%	Cunningham 49% Tillis 38%	38%	Tillis	Cunningham	+11
Governor
Governor	•	N.C.		N.C. Sep 11-16, 2020 653 LV	Sep 11-16, 2020	A+ Siena College/The New York Times Upshot	653	LV	Cooper	47%	Cooper 47% Forest 42% Pisano 2% DiFiore 1%	More		Cooper	+5
								Forest	42%
								Pisano	2%
								DiFiore	1%
Governor	•	N.C.		N.C. Sep 12-15, 2020 1,092 LV	Sep 12-15, 2020	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,092	LV	Cooper	55%	Cooper 55% Forest 36%	36%	Forest	Cooper	+19

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

President: general election

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV

Sep 11-14, 2020

Suffolk University

500

LV

Biden

47%

Biden

47%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump

Biden

+4

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV

Sep 11-14, 2020

Suffolk University

500

LV

Biden

46%

Biden

46%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

5%

Hawkins

0%

Blankenship

0%

More

Biden

+3

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

5%

Hawkins

0%

Blankenship

0%

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172 RV

Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020

Kaiser Family Foundation

1,172

RV

Biden

45%

Biden

45%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump

Biden

+2

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV

Sep 11-14, 2020

Suffolk University

500

LV

Cunningham

42%

Cunningham

42%

Tillis

38%

Bray

6%

Hayes

2%

More

Cunningham

+4

Tillis

38%

Bray

6%

Hayes

2%

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172 RV

Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020

Kaiser Family Foundation

1,172

RV

Cunningham

41%

Cunningham

41%

Tillis

37%

37%

Tillis

Cunningham

+4

Governor

Governor

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV

Sep 11-14, 2020

Suffolk University

500

LV

Cooper

50%

Cooper

50%

Forest

38%

DiFiore

5%

Pisano

1%

More

Cooper

+12

Forest

38%

DiFiore

5%

Pisano

1%

Governor

•

N.C.

N.C.
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172 RV

Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020

Kaiser Family Foundation

1,172

RV

Cooper

48%

Cooper

48%

Forest

38%

38%

Forest

Cooper

+10

Sept. 15, 2020

President: general election

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
787 LV

Sep 9-13, 2020

787

LV

Biden

49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

0%

More

Biden

+3

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

0%

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
893 RV

Sep 9-13, 2020

893

RV

Biden

49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

0%

More

Biden

+5

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

0%

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
787 LV

Sep 9-13, 2020

787

LV

Cunningham

47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

46%

Bray

3%

Hayes

1%

More

Cunningham

+1

Tillis

46%

Bray

3%

Hayes

1%

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
893 RV

Sep 9-13, 2020

893

RV

Cunningham

46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

44%

Bray

4%

Hayes

1%

More

Cunningham

+2

Tillis

44%

Bray

4%

Hayes

1%

Governor

Governor

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
787 LV

Sep 9-13, 2020

787

LV

Cooper

53%

Cooper

53%

Forest

44%

DiFiore

1%

Pisano

0%

More

Cooper

+9

Forest

44%

DiFiore

1%

Pisano

0%

Governor

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
893 RV

Sep 9-13, 2020

893

RV

Cooper

53%

Cooper

53%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%

More

Cooper

+11

Forest

42%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%

Sept. 14, 2020

President: general election

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 10-13, 2020
596 LV

Sep 10-13, 2020

596

LV

Biden

47%

Biden

47%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump

Even

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,046 LV

Sep 9-11, 2020

Trafalgar Group

1,046

LV

Biden

46%

Biden

46%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

1%

More

Trump

+2

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

1%

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 10-13, 2020
596 LV

Sep 10-13, 2020

596

LV

Cunningham

47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

40%

40%

Tillis

Cunningham

+7

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,046 LV

Sep 9-11, 2020

Trafalgar Group

1,046

LV

Cunningham

46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

45%

Bray

3%

Hayes

1%

More

Cunningham

+1

Tillis

45%

Bray

3%

Hayes

1%

Governor

Governor

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 10-13, 2020
596 LV

Sep 10-13, 2020

596

LV

Cooper

49%

Cooper

49%

Forest

42%

42%

Forest

Cooper

+7

Sept. 11, 2020

President: general election

President: general election

N.C.

•

N.C.
Sep 7-8, 2020
1,000 LV

Sep 7-8, 2020

Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research

1,000

LV

Biden

48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%

49%

Trump

Trump

+1

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Sep 7-8, 2020
1,000 LV

Sep 7-8, 2020

Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research

1,000

LV

Cunningham

47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

44%

44%

Tillis

Cunningham

+3

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Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter.

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Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani and Julia Wolfe. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research.

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