We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Nov. 25, 2020, at 2:34 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
690 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
D-
Swayable
690LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
473 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
C-
Change Research
473LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
B-
Ipsos
707LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%

West

1%
MoreBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
B-
Ipsos
707LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
4,867 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
D-
SurveyMonkey
4,867LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
4,867 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
D-
SurveyMonkey
4,867RVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+8
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
676 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
B/C
Frederick Polls
676LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,982 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
B/C
Morning Consult
1,982LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 26-29, 2020
1,489 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
1,489LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 24-25, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 24-25, 2020
Wick
1,000LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 10-13, 2020
994 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
994LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 9-10, 2020
950 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
950LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

42%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+7
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
619 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
D-
Swayable
619LVCunningham
53%

Cunningham

53%

Tillis

47%
47%
TillisCunningham+6
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
473 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
C-
Change Research
473LVCunningham
50%

Cunningham

50%

Tillis

46%
46%
TillisCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
B-
Ipsos
707LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

46%
46%
TillisCunningham+2
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
676 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
B/C
Frederick Polls
676LVCunningham
50%

Cunningham

50%

Tillis

46%

Bray

3%

Hayes

2%
MoreCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,982 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
B/C
Morning Consult
1,982LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+5
Governor
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
655 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
D-
Swayable
655LVCooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+13
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
676 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
B/C
Frederick Polls
676LVCooper
52%

Cooper

52%

Forest

45%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
908 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
B-
Data for Progress
908LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%

Hawkins

1%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
450 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
B-
InsiderAdvantage
450LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+4
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
812 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
B/C
AtlasIntel
812LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 29-31, 2020
855 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
A-
Emerson College
855LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpEven
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-29, 2020
1,082 LV
Oct 27-29, 2020
C-
Trafalgar Group*
1,082LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreTrump+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Sep 29-Oct 27, 2020
1,627 LV
Sep 29-Oct 27, 2020
B
CCES / YouGov
1,627LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+4
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
908 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
B-
Data for Progress
908LVCunningham
51%

Cunningham

51%

Tillis

46%

Bray

2%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+5
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 29-31, 2020
855 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
A-
Emerson College
855LVCunningham
50%

Cunningham

50%

Tillis

47%
47%
TillisCunningham+3
Governor
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 29-31, 2020
855 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
A-
Emerson College
855LVCooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

45%
45%
ForestCooper+10

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 23-30, 2020
932 RV
Oct 23-30, 2020
B/C
CNN/SSRS
932RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 23-30, 2020
901 LV
Oct 23-30, 2020
B/C
CNN/SSRS
901LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+6
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-30, 2020
932 RV
Oct 23-30, 2020
B/C
CNN/SSRS
932RVCunningham
45%

Cunningham

45%

Tillis

43%

Bray

3%

Hayes

3%
MoreCunningham+2
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-30, 2020
901 LV
Oct 23-30, 2020
B/C
CNN/SSRS
901LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

44%

Bray

2%

Hayes

2%
MoreCunningham+3
Governor
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-30, 2020
932 RV
Oct 23-30, 2020
B/C
CNN/SSRS
932RVCooper
51%

Cooper

51%

Forest

41%

DiFiore

3%

Pisano

2%
MoreCooper+10
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-30, 2020
901 LV
Oct 23-30, 2020
B/C
CNN/SSRS
901LVCooper
52%

Cooper

52%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

3%

Pisano

1%
MoreCooper+10

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 28-29, 2020
800 LV
Oct 28-29, 2020
C+
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
800LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpTrump+1
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,103 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
B/C
East Carolina University
1,103LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
750 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)
750LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

48%

Blankenship

2%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreTrump+2
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 25-28, 2020
800 LV
Oct 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
800LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 25-28, 2020
1,049 RV
Oct 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
1,049RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 24-27, 2020
600 LV
Oct 24-27, 2020
B/C
Meeting Street Insights*
600LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 23-26, 2020
396 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
D-
Swayable
396LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+3
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 28-29, 2020
800 LV
Oct 28-29, 2020
C+
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
800LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

44%
44%
TillisCunningham+3
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,103 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
B/C
East Carolina University
1,103LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

47%
47%
TillisCunningham+2
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
750 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)
750LVCunningham
41%

Cunningham

41%

Tillis

46%

Bray

6%

Hayes

2%
MoreTillis+5
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 25-28, 2020
800 LV
Oct 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
800LVCunningham
53%

Cunningham

53%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+10
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 25-28, 2020
1,049 RV
Oct 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
1,049RVCunningham
53%

Cunningham

53%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+10
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 24-27, 2020
600 LV
Oct 24-27, 2020
B/C
Meeting Street Insights*
600LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-26, 2020
363 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
D-
Swayable
363LVCunningham
50%

Cunningham

50%

Tillis

50%
50%
TillisTillis+1
Governor
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,103 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
B/C
East Carolina University
1,103LVCooper
54%

Cooper

54%

Forest

43%
43%
ForestCooper+11
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
750 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)
750LVCooper
47%

Cooper

47%

Forest

45%

Pisano

3%

DiFiore

1%
MoreCooper+1
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 25-28, 2020
800 LV
Oct 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
800LVCooper
59%

Cooper

59%

Forest

40%
40%
ForestCooper+19
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 25-28, 2020
1,049 RV
Oct 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
1,049RVCooper
59%

Cooper

59%

Forest

40%
40%
ForestCooper+19
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 24-27, 2020
600 LV
Oct 24-27, 2020
B/C
Meeting Street Insights*
600LVCooper
51%

Cooper

51%

Forest

43%
43%
ForestCooper+8
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-26, 2020
386 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
D-
Swayable
386LVCooper
53%

Cooper

53%

Forest

44%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

1%
MoreCooper+9

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 26-29, 2020
903 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
C
Harris Poll
903LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 23-27, 2020
1,034 LV
Oct 23-27, 2020
A+
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot
1,034LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 20-26, 2020
911 LV
Oct 20-26, 2020
A/B
University of Massachusetts Lowell
911LVBiden
48%
Tie

Biden

48%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreEven
President: general election N.C.
•
N.C.
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
Citizen Data
1,000LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+7
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-27, 2020
1,034 LV
Oct 23-27, 2020
A+
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot
1,034LVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

43%

Bray

2%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+3
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-26, 2020
911 LV
Oct 20-26, 2020
A/B
University of Massachusetts Lowell
911LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

45%
45%
TillisCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
Citizen Data
1,000LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

42%
42%
TillisCunningham+6
U.S. House
U.S. House
•
NC-9NC-9
Oct 28-29, 2020
750 V
Oct 28-29, 2020
B
Public Policy Polling*
750VWallace
43%

Wallace

43%

Bishop

45%
45%
BishopBishop+2
Governor
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-27, 2020
1,034 LV
Oct 23-27, 2020
A+
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot
1,034LVCooper
51%

Cooper

51%

Forest

42%

Pisano

1%

DiFiore

1%
MoreCooper+9
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 23-26, 2020
637 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
A
SurveyUSA
637LVCooper
53%

Cooper

53%

Forest

42%
42%
ForestCooper+11
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-26, 2020
911 LV
Oct 20-26, 2020
A/B
University of Massachusetts Lowell
911LVCooper
54%

Cooper

54%

Forest

42%
42%
ForestCooper+12
Governor
•
N.C.N.C.
Oct 22-25, 2020
504 LV
Oct 22-25, 2020
B/C
Harper Polling
504LVCooper
52%

Cooper

52%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

1%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+10
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