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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Jun.17-19
600LV
Beasley
40%
Beasley
40%

Beasley

40%

Budd

45%

Bray

3%

Hoh

1%
45%
BuddBudd+5

June 11, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

650LV
Jun.8-12
650LV
Beasley
44%
Beasley
44%

Beasley

44%

Budd

40%

Bray

2%
40%
BuddBeasley+4

May 21, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
May 21-22
600LV
Beasley
42%
Beasley
42%

Beasley

42%

Budd

44%

Bray

2%

Hoh

1%
44%
BuddBudd+2

May 19, 2022

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024

635RV
May 19-20
635RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump Sr.

46%
46%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+9

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

635RV
May 19-20
635RV
Beasley
42%
Beasley
42%

Beasley

42%

Budd

49%
49%
Budd  Budd+8

U.S. House, NC-11, 2022

308LV
May 18-20
308LV
Beach-Ferrara
40%
Beach-Ferrara
40%

Beach-Ferrara

40%

Edwards

46%

Coatney

6%
46%
EdwardsEdwards+6

May 18, 2022

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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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