See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 26, 2020, at 3:01 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 23, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 18-20, 2020
579 LV
Sep 18-20, 2020
579LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 17-20, 2020
612 LV
Sep 17-20, 2020
612LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

2%

Blankenship

0%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+1
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 18-20, 2020
579 LV
Sep 18-20, 2020
579LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+5
Governor
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 17-20, 2020
612 LV
Sep 17-20, 2020
612LVCooper
46%

Cooper

46%

Forest

39%

DiFiore

1%

Pisano

1%
MoreCooper+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
586 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
586LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpEven
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 17-20, 2020
612 LV
Sep 17-20, 2020
612LVCunningham
44%

Cunningham

44%

Tillis

38%

Hayes

3%

Bray

2%
MoreCunningham+6
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-20, 2020
1,604 LV
Sep 11-20, 2020
1,604LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

38%
38%
TillisCunningham+9
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
586 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
586LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

44%
44%
TillisCunningham+4

Sept. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 16-18, 2020
717 LV
Sep 16-18, 2020
717LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+6

Sept. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 16-18, 2020
717 LV
Sep 16-18, 2020
717LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+2

Sept. 18, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
653 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
653LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092 LV
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+2
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
653 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
653LVCunningham
42%

Cunningham

42%

Tillis

37%

Bray

2%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+5
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092 LV
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

38%
38%
TillisCunningham+11
Governor
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
653 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
653LVCooper
47%

Cooper

47%

Forest

42%

Pisano

2%

DiFiore

1%
MoreCooper+5
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092 LV
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092LVCooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

36%
36%
ForestCooper+19
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