UPDATED Jan. 14, 2022, at 9:51 AM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Jan 7-9, 2022
600 LV
Jan 7-9, 2022
600LVTrump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

8%

Pence

5%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

2%

Noem

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+27

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 28, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Nov 10, 2021
640 LV
Nov 10, 2021
640LVBeasley
40%

Beasley

40%

McCrory

42%
42%
McCroryMcCrory+2
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Nov 10, 2021
640 LV
Nov 10, 2021
640LVBeasley
39%

Beasley

39%

Budd

40%
40%
BuddBudd+1
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Nov 10, 2021
777 RV
Nov 10, 2021
777RVBeasley
37%

Beasley

37%

McCrory

39%
39%
McCroryMcCrory+2
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Nov 10, 2021
777 RV
Nov 10, 2021
777RVBeasley
36%

Beasley

36%

Budd

37%
37%
BuddBudd+1

Jan. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221 LV
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221LVPence
48%

Pence

48%

Romney

10%

Cruz

9%

Haley

9%

Rubio

3%
MorePence+38
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221 LV
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221LVTrump Sr.
76%

Trump Sr.

76%

Haley

6%

Cruz

3%

Romney

3%

Rubio

2%
MoreTrump Sr.+70

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
5,363 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
5,363LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
5,363 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
5,363RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+4

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
690 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
690LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
473 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
473LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%

West

1%
MoreBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
676 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
676LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,982 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,982LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 26-29, 2020
1,489 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
1,489LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 10-13, 2020
994 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
994LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Oct 9-10, 2020
950 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
950LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

42%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+7
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
619 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
619LVCunningham
53%

Cunningham

53%

Tillis

47%
47%
TillisCunningham+6
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
473 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
473LVCunningham
50%

Cunningham

50%

Tillis

46%
46%
TillisCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
707LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

46%
46%
TillisCunningham+2
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
676 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
676LVCunningham
50%

Cunningham

50%

Tillis

46%

Bray

3%

Hayes

2%
MoreCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
N.C. N.C.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,982 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,982LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+5
Governor
Governor
N.C. N.C.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
655 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
655LVCooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+13
Governor
N.C. N.C.
Oct 30-31, 2020
676 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
676LVCooper
52%

Cooper

52%

Forest

45%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+7
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