See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 18, 2020, at 2:02 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
653 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
653LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+1
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092 LV
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+2
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
653 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
653LVCunningham
42%

Cunningham

42%

Tillis

37%

Bray

2%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+5
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092 LV
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

38%
38%
TillisCunningham+11
Governor
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-16, 2020
653 LV
Sep 11-16, 2020
653LVCooper
47%

Cooper

47%

Forest

42%

Pisano

2%

DiFiore

1%
MoreCooper+5
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092 LV
Sep 12-15, 2020
1,092LVCooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

36%
36%
ForestCooper+19

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV
Sep 11-14, 2020
500LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV
Sep 11-14, 2020
500LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

5%

Hawkins

0%

Blankenship

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172 RV
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172RVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+2
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV
Sep 11-14, 2020
500LVCunningham
42%

Cunningham

42%

Tillis

38%

Bray

6%

Hayes

2%
MoreCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172 RV
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172RVCunningham
41%

Cunningham

41%

Tillis

37%
37%
TillisCunningham+4
Governor
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 11-14, 2020
500 LV
Sep 11-14, 2020
500LVCooper
50%

Cooper

50%

Forest

38%

DiFiore

5%

Pisano

1%
MoreCooper+12
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172 RV
Aug 29-Sep 13, 2020
1,172RVCooper
48%

Cooper

48%

Forest

38%
38%
ForestCooper+10

Sept. 15, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
787 LV
Sep 9-13, 2020
787LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
893 RV
Sep 9-13, 2020
893RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

0%
MoreBiden+5
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
787 LV
Sep 9-13, 2020
787LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

46%

Bray

3%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+1
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
893 RV
Sep 9-13, 2020
893RVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

44%

Bray

4%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+2
Governor
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
787 LV
Sep 9-13, 2020
787LVCooper
53%

Cooper

53%

Forest

44%

DiFiore

1%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+9
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 9-13, 2020
893 RV
Sep 9-13, 2020
893RVCooper
53%

Cooper

53%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
MoreCooper+11

Sept. 14, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 10-13, 2020
596 LV
Sep 10-13, 2020
596LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpEven
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,046 LV
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,046LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%

Blankenship

1%
MoreTrump+2
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 10-13, 2020
596 LV
Sep 10-13, 2020
596LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

40%
40%
TillisCunningham+7
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,046 LV
Sep 9-11, 2020
1,046LVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

45%

Bray

3%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+1
Governor
Governor
N.C.N.C.
Sep 10-13, 2020
596 LV
Sep 10-13, 2020
596LVCooper
49%

Cooper

49%

Forest

42%
42%
ForestCooper+7

Sept. 11, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.C.
N.C.
Sep 7-8, 2020
1,000 LV
Sep 7-8, 2020
1,000LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Sep 7-8, 2020
1,000 LV
Sep 7-8, 2020
1,000LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

44%
44%
TillisCunningham+3
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