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Who’s ahead in the Ohio race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 3, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022

1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
49%
Cranley
49%

Cranley

49%

DeWine

51%
51%
DeWine  DeWine+2
1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
49%
Cranley
49%

Cranley

49%

Blystone

51%
51%
Blystone  Blystone+2
1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
48%
Cranley
48%

Cranley

48%

Taylor

52%
52%
Taylor  Taylor+4
1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
45%
Cranley
45%

Cranley

45%

Renacci

55%
55%
Renacci  Renacci+10

Oct. 15, 2021

Aug. 23, 2021

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022

1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Ryan
37%
Ryan
37%

Ryan

37%

Mandel

41%
41%
Mandel  Mandel+4
1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Ryan
38%
Ryan
38%

Ryan

38%

Timken

36%
36%
Timken  Ryan+2
1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Ryan
37%
Ryan
37%

Ryan

37%

Vance

36%
36%
Vance  Ryan+1
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Ryan
36%
Ryan
36%

Ryan

36%

Mandel

38%
38%
Mandel  Mandel+2
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Ryan
36%
Ryan
36%

Ryan

36%

Timken

33%
33%
Timken  Ryan+3
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Ryan
36%
Ryan
36%

Ryan

36%

Vance

33%
33%
Vance  Ryan+3

Governor, Ohio, 2022

1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Cranley
25%
Cranley
25%

Cranley

25%

DeWine

47%
47%
DeWine  DeWine+22
1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Whaley
27%
Whaley
27%

Whaley

27%

DeWine

46%
46%
DeWine  DeWine+19
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Cranley
24%
Cranley
24%

Cranley

24%

DeWine

44%
44%
DeWine  DeWine+20
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Whaley
25%
Whaley
25%

Whaley

25%

DeWine

44%
44%
DeWine  DeWine+19

March 18, 2021

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022

700V
Mar.18-19
700V
Ryan
37%
Ryan
37%

Ryan

37%

Vance

39%
39%
Vance  Vance+2
700V
Mar.18-19
700V
Ryan
38%
Ryan
38%

Ryan

38%

Timken

41%
41%
Timken  Timken+3
700V
Mar.18-19
700V
Ryan
38%
Ryan
38%

Ryan

38%

Mandel

42%
42%
Mandel  Mandel+4
700V
Mar.18-19
700V
Acton
40%
Acton
40%

Acton

40%

Vance

38%
38%
Vance  Acton+2
700V
Mar.18-19
700V
Acton
40%
Acton
40%

Acton

40%

Timken

40%
40%
Timken  Even
700V
Mar.18-19
700V
Acton
42%
Acton
42%

Acton

42%

Mandel

41%
41%
Mandel  Acton+1

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, Ohio, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

6,025LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
6,025LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
6,025RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
6,025RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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