UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Ohio race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 21, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

642LV
Sep.18-22
642LV
Ryan
46%
Ryan
46%

Ryan

46%

Vance

43%
43%
Vance  Ryan+3

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

642LV
Sep.18-22
642LV
Whaley
32%
Whaley
32%

Whaley

32%

DeWine

55%
55%
DeWine  DeWine+23

Sept. 20, 2022

U.S. House, OH-1, 2022

506LV
Sep.17-21
506LV
Landsman
49%
Landsman
49%

Landsman

49%

Chabot

46%
46%
Chabot  Landsman+3

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,200RV
Sep.12-15
1,200RV
Ryan
45%
Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

46%
46%
Vance  Vance+1
855LV
Sep.12-15
855LV
Ryan
48%
Ryan
48%

Ryan

48%

Vance

45%
45%
Vance  Ryan+3

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,200RV
Sep.12-15
1,200RV
Whaley
37%
Whaley
37%

Whaley

37%

DeWine

55%
55%
DeWine  DeWine+18
855LV
Sep.12-15
855LV
Whaley
39%
Whaley
39%

Whaley

39%

DeWine

57%
57%
DeWine  DeWine+18

Sept. 12, 2022

President: general election, Ohio, 2024

1,000LV
Sep.12-13
1,000LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantis  DeSantis+10
1,000LV
Sep.12-13
1,000LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump Sr.

50%
50%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+10

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.12-13
1,000LV
Ryan
40%
Ryan
40%

Ryan

40%

Vance

44%
44%
Vance  Vance+4
780LV
Sep.10-13
780LV
Ryan
45%
Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

48%
48%
Vance  Vance+3

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.12-13
1,000LV
Whaley
33%
Whaley
33%

Whaley

33%

DeWine

50%
50%
DeWine  DeWine+17
780LV
Sep.10-13
780LV
Whaley
41%
Whaley
41%

Whaley

41%

DeWine

44%
44%
DeWine  DeWine+3

Sept. 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600RV
Sep.6-11
600RV
Ryan
46%
Ryan
46%

Ryan

46%

Vance

43%
43%
Vance  Ryan+3

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600RV
Sep.6-11
600RV
Whaley
37%
Whaley
37%

Whaley

37%

DeWine

49%
49%
DeWine  DeWine+13
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