UPDATED May 4, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Who’s ahead in Ohio?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 21, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VRyan
37%

Ryan

37%

Vance

39%
39%
VanceVance+2
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VRyan
38%

Ryan

38%

Timken

41%
41%
TimkenTimken+3
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VRyan
38%

Ryan

38%

Mandel

42%
42%
MandelMandel+4
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VActon
40%

Acton

40%

Vance

38%
38%
VanceActon+2
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VActon
40%

Acton

40%

Timken

40%
40%
TimkenEven
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Mar 18-19, 2021
700 V
Mar 18-19, 2021
700VActon
42%

Acton

42%

Mandel

41%
41%
MandelActon+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Dec. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
OhioOhio
Jun 30-Jul 10, 2018
1,485 RV
Jun 30-Jul 10, 2018
1,485RVBrown
45%

Brown

45%

Renacci

41%
41%
RenacciBrown+4
Governor
Governor
OhioOhio
Jun 30-Jul 10, 2018
1,485 RV
Jun 30-Jul 10, 2018
1,485RVCordray
38%

Cordray

38%

DeWine

42%
42%
DeWineDeWine+4

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,025 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,025LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

51%
51%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,025 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,025RVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+2

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpEven
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
800 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
800LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
1,440 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
1,440LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
516 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
516LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

52%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreTrump+5
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 30-31, 2020
1,041 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
1,041LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+5
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 22-31, 2020
2,179 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
2,179LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+3
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 29-30, 2020
660 LV
Oct 29-30, 2020
660LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+3
U.S. House
U.S. House
OH-1OH-1
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
505 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
505LVSchroder
45%

Schroder

45%

Chabot

47%

Kahn

3%
MoreChabot+2

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
1,136 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
1,136LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
President: general election Ohio
Ohio
Oct 29-31, 2020
656 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
656LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+1
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