UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Oklahoma?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 18, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Okla. Okla.
Oct 12-14, 2021
500 RV
Oct 12-14, 2021
500RVHofmeister
33%

Hofmeister

33%

Stitt

49%
49%
StittStitt+16

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Okla.
Okla.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,902 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,902LVBiden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

65%
65%
TrumpTrump+30
President: general election Okla.
Okla.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,902 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,902RVBiden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

63%
63%
TrumpTrump+27

Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
OK-5 OK-5
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
607 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
607LVHorn
47%

Horn

47%

Bice

47%
47%
BiceEven

Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
OK-5 OK-5
Oct 22-25, 2020
500 LV
Oct 22-25, 2020
500LVHorn
44%

Horn

44%

Bice

49%
49%
BiceBice+5

Oct. 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Okla.
Okla.
Aug 13-31, 2020
379 LV
Aug 13-31, 2020
379LVBiden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

60%
60%
TrumpTrump+25
U.S. House
U.S. House
OK-1 OK-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
1,492 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
1,492LVAsamoa-Caesar
30%

Asamoa-Caesar

30%

Hern

59%

Rogers

6%
MoreHern+29
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