UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Oklahoma race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022

500LV
Sep.19-21
500LV
K. Horn
39%
K. Horn
39%

K. Horn

39%

Mullin

50%
50%
Mullin  Mullin+11
500LV
Sep.19-21
500LV
M. Horn
34%
M. Horn
34%

M. Horn

34%

Lankford

52%
52%
Lankford  Lankford+18

Governor, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.19-21
500LV
Hofmeister
44%
Hofmeister
44%

Hofmeister

44%

Stitt

47%

Bruno

2%

Yen

1%
47%
StittStitt+3

Sept. 6, 2022

President: general election, Oklahoma, 2024

522LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
522LV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

DeSantis

53%
53%
DeSantis  DeSantis+25
522LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
522LV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

Trump Sr.

63%
63%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+33

President: Republican primary, Oklahoma, 2024

265LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
265LV
Trump Sr.
60%
Trump Sr.
60%

Trump Sr.

60%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+30

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022

402LV
Sep.2-7
402LV
M. Horn
35%
M. Horn
35%

M. Horn

35%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

4%
52%
LankfordLankford+17
402LV
Sep.2-7
402LV
K. Horn
40%
K. Horn
40%

K. Horn

40%

Mullin

52%

Woods

4%
52%
MullinMullin+12
522LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
522LV
K. Horn
28%
K. Horn
28%

K. Horn

28%

Mullin

58%
58%
Mullin  Mullin+30
522LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
522LV
M. Horn
29%
M. Horn
29%

M. Horn

29%

Lankford

59%
59%
Lankford  Lankford+30

Governor, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

402LV
Sep.2-7
402LV
Hofmeister
43%
Hofmeister
43%

Hofmeister

43%

Stitt

44%

Yen

4%

Bruno

3%
44%
StittStitt+1
522LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
522LV
Hofmeister
36%
Hofmeister
36%

Hofmeister

36%

Stitt

55%
55%
Stitt  Stitt+19

Aug. 14, 2022

President: Republican primary, Oklahoma, 2024

684LV
Aug.11-15
684LV
DeSantis
49%
DeSantis
49%

DeSantis

49%

Pence

10%

Cruz

7%

Trump Jr.

6%

Haley

5%

Romney

4%

Rubio

4%

Pompeo

2%

Christie

2%

T. Scott

1%
10%
PenceDeSantis+39
684LV
Aug.11-15
684LV
Trump Sr.
50%
Trump Sr.
50%

Trump Sr.

50%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

6%

Romney

4%

Cruz

2%

Haley

2%

Christie

2%

Rubio

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+28

July 25, 2022

Governor, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,079RV
Jul.22-26
2,079RV
Hofmeister
34%
Hofmeister
34%

Hofmeister

34%

Stitt

42%

Bruno

6%

Yen

4%
42%
StittStitt+8

June 8, 2022

Governor, Oklahoma, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

795LV
Jun.6-9
795LV
Hofmeister
29%
Hofmeister
29%

Hofmeister

29%

Stitt

47%

Yen

5%

Bruno

2%
47%
StittStitt+18
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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