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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 24, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 23-25
800RV
July 23-25
800RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpEven
July 23-25
800RV
July 23-25
800RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 23-25
800RV
July 23-25
800RV
Casey
53%
Casey
53%

Casey

53%

McCormick

42%
42%
McCormick  Casey+11

July 23, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 22-24
851LV
July 22-24
851LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+4
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Shapiro
54%
Shapiro
54%

Shapiro

54%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Shapiro+10
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Whitmer
48%
Whitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpHarris+2

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 22-24
851LV
July 22-24
851LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

39%

Thomas

2%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
39%
McCormickCasey+7
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Casey
55%
Casey
55%

Casey

55%

McCormick

42%
42%
McCormick  Casey+13

July 22, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 22-23
850RV
July 22-23
850RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+2
July 22-23
850RV
July 22-23
850RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
July 20-23
600LV
July 20-23
600LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
July 20-23
147LV
July 20-23
147LV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

10%

Oliver

2%

Stein

2%
42%
TrumpTrump+7
July 20-23
147LV
July 20-23
147LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+9

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 22-23
850RV
July 22-23
850RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+4
July 20-23
600LV
July 20-23
600LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

41%
41%
McCormick  Casey+8

July 20, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 20-21
500LV
July 20-21
500LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4
July 20-21
500LV
July 20-21
500LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 20-21
500LV
July 20-21
500LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+10

July 17, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Shapiro
47%
Shapiro
47%

Shapiro

47%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpShapiro+4
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
45%
TrumpTrump+2
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+5
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
46%
TrumpTrump+4
July 16-18
688LV
July 16-18
688LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+4

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

39%
39%
McCormick  Casey+11
July 16-18
688LV
July 16-18
688LV
Casey
44%
Casey
44%

Casey

44%

McCormick

37%

Thomas

1%

Selker

1%

Hazou

1%
37%
McCormickCasey+7
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