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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 7, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 30-Sept. 8
1,910LV
Aug. 30-Sept. 8
1,910LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Aug. 30-Sept. 8
1,910LV
Aug. 30-Sept. 8
1,910LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+9

Sept. 5, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 3-6
1,078LV
Sept. 3-6
1,078LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Sept. 3-6
1,078LV
Sept. 3-6
1,078LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

41%
41%
McCormick  Casey+7

Sept. 2, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 1-3
857RV
Sept. 1-3
857RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

Aug. 29, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 28-30
1,082LV
Aug. 28-30
1,082LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2

Aug. 28, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpTrump+1
Aug. 23-29
789LV
Aug. 23-29
789LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpEven

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Aug. 23-29
789LV
Aug. 23-29
789LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Even
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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