Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022

535LV
Jun.17-19
535LV
Fetterman
48%
Fetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Oz

44%
44%
Oz  Fetterman+4
500LV
Jun.12-19
500LV
Fetterman
50%
Fetterman
50%

Fetterman

50%

Oz

44%
44%
Oz  Fetterman+6

Governor, Pennsylvania, 2022

535LV
Jun.17-19
535LV
Shapiro
48%
Shapiro
48%

Shapiro

48%

Mastriano

45%
45%
Mastriano  Shapiro+3
500LV
Jun.12-19
500LV
Shapiro
49%
Shapiro
49%

Shapiro

49%

Mastriano

46%
46%
Mastriano  Shapiro+3

June 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022

500LV
Jun.10-13
500LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

37%

Gerhardt

1%

Weiss

1%

Magee

1%

Stern

1%

Johnson

0%
37%
OzFetterman+9

Governor, Pennsylvania, 2022

500LV
Jun.10-13
500LV
Shapiro
44%
Shapiro
44%

Shapiro

44%

Mastriano

40%

DiGiulio

1%

Hackenburg

1%

Soloski

0%
40%
MastrianoShapiro+4

May 9, 2022

U.S. House, PA-17, 2022

494LV
May 9-10
494LV
Deluzio
44%
Deluzio
44%

Deluzio

44%

Shaffer

41%
41%
Shaffer  Deluzio+3

Feb. 15, 2022

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

635LV
Feb.15-16
635LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

40%
40%
Trump Sr.  Biden+5

Dec. 4, 2021

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022

581LV
Dec.3-5
581LV
Fetterman
44%
Fetterman
44%

Fetterman

44%

Oz

42%
42%
Oz  Fetterman+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download