See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 29, 2020, at 2:32 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 21-26, 2020
702 RV
Sep 21-26, 2020
702RVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+10
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 21-26, 2020
568 LV
Sep 21-26, 2020
568LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 25-27, 2020
711 LV
Sep 25-27, 2020
711LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

40%
40%
TrumpBiden+9
U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-10PA-10
Sep 22-24, 2020
401 LV
Sep 22-24, 2020
401LVDePasquale
50%

DePasquale

50%

Perry

43%
43%
PerryDePasquale+7

Sept. 27, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 24-26, 2020
774 LV
Sep 24-26, 2020
774LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 24-26, 2020
909 RV
Sep 24-26, 2020
909RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+5

Sept. 25, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 18-21, 2020
1,006 LV
Sep 18-21, 2020
1,006LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+2
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 17-19, 2020
400 LV
Sep 17-19, 2020
400LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+11

Sept. 24, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 20-23, 2020
910 RV
Sep 20-23, 2020
910RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 20-23, 2020
856 LV
Sep 20-23, 2020
856LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+7
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 10-21, 2020
642 LV
Sep 10-21, 2020
642LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 10-21, 2020
723 RV
Sep 10-21, 2020
723RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 1-21, 2020
2,714 RV
Sep 1-21, 2020
2,714RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Aug 1-31, 2020
4,471 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
4,471RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Jul 1-31, 2020
5,771 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
5,771RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Jun 8-30, 2020
5,065 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
5,065RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+5
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