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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 20, 2022

President: Republican primary, Pennsylvania, 2024

639RV
Nov.19-21
639RV
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  DeSantis+5

Nov. 6, 2022

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Nov.5-7
800LV
Fetterman
53%
Fetterman
53%

Fetterman

53%

Oz

47%
47%
Oz  Fetterman+6

Nov. 5, 2022

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

631LV
Nov.2-6
631LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
904RV
Nov.2-6
904RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Fetterman
49%
Fetterman
49%

Fetterman

49%

Oz

48%
48%
Oz  Fetterman+1
631LV
Nov.2-6
631LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

51%

Gerhardt

2%
51%
OzOz+5
904RV
Nov.2-6
904RV
Fetterman
47%
Fetterman
47%

Fetterman

47%

Oz

41%

Gerhardt

3%
41%
OzFetterman+6

Governor, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Shapiro
55%
Shapiro
55%

Shapiro

55%

Mastriano

43%
43%
Mastriano  Shapiro+12
631LV
Nov.2-6
631LV
Shapiro
52%
Shapiro
52%

Shapiro

52%

Mastriano

46%

Hackenburg

1%
46%
MastrianoShapiro+6
904RV
Nov.2-6
904RV
Shapiro
52%
Shapiro
52%

Shapiro

52%

Mastriano

38%

Hackenburg

2%
38%
MastrianoShapiro+14

Nov. 4, 2022

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

846RV
Nov.2-5
846RV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

49%
49%
Oz  Oz+3

Governor, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

846RV
Nov.2-5
846RV
Shapiro
52%
Shapiro
52%

Shapiro

52%

Mastriano

45%
45%
Mastriano  Shapiro+7
249LV
Aug.7-Nov.5
249LV
Shapiro
54%
Shapiro
54%

Shapiro

54%

Mastriano

46%
46%
Mastriano  Shapiro+8

Nov. 2, 2022

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

750LV
Nov.3
750LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

48%

Gerhardt

2%
48%
OzOz+2
1,097LV
Nov.1-3
1,097LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

48%
48%
Oz  Oz+2

Governor, Pennsylvania, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

750LV
Nov.3
750LV
Shapiro
51%
Shapiro
51%

Shapiro

51%

Mastriano

43%

Hackenburg

2%
43%
MastrianoShapiro+8
1,097LV
Nov.1-3
1,097LV
Shapiro
50%
Shapiro
50%

Shapiro

50%

Mastriano

45%
45%
Mastriano  Shapiro+4
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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