UPDATED Jun. 14, 2021, at 4:25 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Polls policy and FAQs

Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added May 19, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
May 7-14, 2021
651 LV
May 7-14, 2021
651LVFetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Parnell

40%
40%
ParnellFetterman+8
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
May 7-14, 2021
651 LV
May 7-14, 2021
651LVFetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Bartos

38%
38%
BartosFetterman+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Nov 1-2, 2020
499 LV
Nov 1-2, 2020
499LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreTrump+1
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,107 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,107LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+2
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
800 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
800LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+3
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2020
340 LV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2020
340LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
1,020 RV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
1,020RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
772 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
772LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
699 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
699LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+4
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
502 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
502LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
502 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
502LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
502 RV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
502RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,417 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,417LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+7
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 30-31, 2020
1,062 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
1,062LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreTrump+2
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 30-31, 2020
879 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
879LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 22-31, 2020
2,686 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
2,686LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+9
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 26-29, 2020
2,125 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
2,125LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 10-13, 2020
1,289 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
1,289LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 9-10, 2020
1,145 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
1,145LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+5

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
673 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
673LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%

West

0%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
673 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
673LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 30-31, 2020
500 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
500LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreTrump+1
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 26-31, 2020
1,862 LV
Oct 26-31, 2020
1,862LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 29-30, 2020
823 LV
Oct 29-30, 2020
823LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 25-30, 2020
998 LV
Oct 25-30, 2020
998LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+14
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 24-29, 2020
810 LV
Oct 24-29, 2020
810LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+7
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 24-29, 2020
908 RV
Oct 24-29, 2020
908RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+4
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Sep 29-Oct 27, 2020
2,703 LV
Sep 29-Oct 27, 2020
2,703LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+8

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 29-30, 2020
672 LV
Oct 29-30, 2020
672LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+1
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 23-28, 2020
419 LV
Oct 23-28, 2020
419LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+5
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