UPDATED Dec. 10, 2021, at 9:35 AM

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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa. Pa.
Dec 3-5, 2021
581 LV
Dec 3-5, 2021
581LVFetterman
44%

Fetterman

44%

Öz

42%
42%
ÖzFetterman+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 22, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Nov 11-16, 2021
600 LV
Nov 11-16, 2021
600LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

51%
51%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+6

Sept. 27, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa. Pa.
May 10-19, 2021
901 LV
May 10-19, 2021
901LVFetterman
42%

Fetterman

42%

Parnell

42%
42%
ParnellEven
U.S. Senate
Pa. Pa.
May 10-19, 2021
901 LV
May 10-19, 2021
901LVFetterman
45%

Fetterman

45%

Bartos

36%
36%
BartosFetterman+9

May 19, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa. Pa.
May 7-14, 2021
651 LV
May 7-14, 2021
651LVFetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Parnell

40%
40%
ParnellFetterman+8
U.S. Senate
Pa. Pa.
May 7-14, 2021
651 LV
May 7-14, 2021
651LVFetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Bartos

38%
38%
BartosFetterman+10

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Pa.
Pa.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,045RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7
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