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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,410RV
Oct. 3-7
1,410RV
Marist College
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 3-7
1,257LV
Oct. 3-7
1,257LV
Marist College
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
40%
 Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

53%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
53%
 TrumpTrump+13
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
41%
 Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+13
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
40%
 Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

53%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
53%
 TrumpTrump+13
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
41%
 Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+14
Sept. 17-Oct. 6
400LV
Sept. 17-Oct. 6
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+6
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
2,946LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
2,946LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

49%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
49%
 TrumpTrump+4
Sept. 25-27
774LV
Sept. 25-27
774LV
RMG Research
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Sept. 25-26
808RV
Sept. 25-26
808RV
Public Policy Polling
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4
Sept. 25-26
808RV
Sept. 25-26
808RV
Public Policy Polling
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

West

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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