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Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

April 13-21
405LV
April 13-21
405LV
Kennedy
45%
Kennedy
45%

Kennedy

45%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Kennedy+6
April 13-21
405LV
April 13-21
405LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Kennedy

50%
50%
Kennedy  Kennedy+11
Feb. 25-28
640LV
Feb. 25-28
640LV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+15
Feb. 12-13
600LV
Feb. 12-13
600LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+9
Jan. 2-4
500LV
Jan. 2-4
500LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+12
Dec. 15-17
1,094RV
Dec. 15-17
1,094RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+9
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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