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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 10-Oct. 9
400LV
Sept. 10-Oct. 9
400LV
Harris
53%
Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
551LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
551LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

43%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
43%
TrumpHarris+8
Sept. 23-26
646LV
Sept. 23-26
646LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 16-19
703LV
Sept. 16-19
703LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpHarris+6
Sept. 16-18
800LV
Sept. 16-18
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 9-18
517LV
Sept. 9-18
517LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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