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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 9-11
600LV
June 9-11
600LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
June 9-11
600LV
June 9-11
600LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

44%

Stein

5%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+5
June 9-11
600LV
June 9-11
600LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
41%
TrumpTrump+4
June 3-5
800LV
June 3-5
800LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

6%
41%
TrumpBiden+4
May 8-11
625LV
May 8-11
625LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+2
April 29-May 1
600LV
April 29-May 1
600LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+3
April 29-May 1
600LV
April 29-May 1
600LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%

Stein

3%

Mapstead

1%
46%
TrumpTrump+5
April 29-May 1
600LV
April 29-May 1
600LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Mapstead

1%
40%
TrumpEven
April 13-21
417LV
April 13-21
417LV
Kennedy
47%
Kennedy
47%

Kennedy

47%

Trump

36%
36%
Trump  Kennedy+11
April 13-21
417LV
April 13-21
417LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Kennedy

46%
46%
Kennedy  Kennedy+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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