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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 22-24
1,357LV
Oct. 22-24
1,357LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 19-24
1,000LV
Oct. 19-24
1,000LV
ActiVote
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Oct. 21-23
633LV
Oct. 21-23
633LV
Tufts University Public Opinion Lab
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 21-23
1,033A
Oct. 21-23
1,033A
Tufts University Public Opinion Lab
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 21-23
800LV
Oct. 21-23
800LV
OnMessage
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 20-23
2,516LV
Oct. 20-23
2,516LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
47%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 20-23
2,516LV
Oct. 20-23
2,516LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 20-23
2,516RV
Oct. 20-23
2,516RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
46%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 20-23
2,516RV
Oct. 20-23
2,516RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
Oct. 20-23
1,704RV
Oct. 20-23
1,704RV
CNN/SSRS
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 20-23
1,704LV
Oct. 20-23
1,704LV
CNN/SSRS
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
47%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 18-23
1,592LV
Oct. 18-23
1,592LV
Big Village
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+7
Oct. 18-23
1,739RV
Oct. 18-23
1,739RV
Big Village
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+6
Oct. 18-23
2,026A
Oct. 18-23
2,026A
Big Village
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+5
Oct. 21-22
1,244LV
Oct. 21-22
1,244LV
HarrisX
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

West

2%

Stein

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 21-22
1,512RV
Oct. 21-22
1,512RV
HarrisX
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

West

3%

Stein

1%
48%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 21-22
1,244LV
Oct. 21-22
1,244LV
HarrisX
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 21-22
1,512RV
Oct. 21-22
1,512RV
HarrisX
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 19-22
1,293LV
Oct. 19-22
1,293LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 19-22
1,422RV
Oct. 19-22
1,422RV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 19-22
1,500RV
Oct. 19-22
1,500RV
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 19-22
1,500RV
Oct. 19-22
1,500RV
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

2%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%
47%
 TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 21
1,189LV
Oct. 21
1,189LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
47%
 TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 19-21
1,268LV
Oct. 19-21
1,268LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 18-21
1,189LV
Oct. 18-21
1,189LV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 18-21
1,266RV
Oct. 18-21
1,266RV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 17-21
802RV
Oct. 17-21
802RV
Monmouth University Polling Institute
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 16-21
3,307LV
Oct. 16-21
3,307LV
Ipsos
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 16-21
3,481RV
Oct. 16-21
3,481RV
Ipsos
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

43%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%
43%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 16-21
4,129A
Oct. 16-21
4,129A
Ipsos
 Harris
41%
 Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

39%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%
39%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 16-21
4,129A
Oct. 16-21
4,129A
Ipsos
 Harris
41%
 Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 16-21
3,307LV
Oct. 16-21
3,307LV
Ipsos
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 16-21
3,481RV
Oct. 16-21
3,481RV
Ipsos
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 18-20
8,570LV
Oct. 18-20
8,570LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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