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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 22-24
586LV
July 22-24
586LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+3
July 19-20
573RV
July 19-20
573RV
Cooper
41%
Cooper
41%

Cooper

41%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

2%
45%
TrumpTrump+4
July 19-20
573RV
July 19-20
573RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

48%

Stein

2%

Kennedy

2%
48%
TrumpTrump+4
July 19-20
573RV
July 19-20
573RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4
July 19-20
573RV
July 19-20
573RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

48%

Stein

2%

Kennedy

2%
48%
TrumpTrump+6
July 16-18
461LV
July 16-18
461LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpTrump+6
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

6%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpTrump+9
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+7
July 8-10
420LV
July 8-10
420LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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