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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+7
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 2-6
775LV
Oct. 2-6
775LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+5
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+5
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617RV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

48%

Oliver

3%

Stein

2%
48%
TrumpTrump+7
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+6
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

2%
49%
TrumpTrump+7
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 4
617LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+6
Sept. 25-27
779LV
Sept. 25-27
779LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+7
Sept. 25-26
759RV
Sept. 25-26
759RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+5
Sept. 25-26
759RV
Sept. 25-26
759RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

West

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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