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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 25-July 18
400LV
June 25-July 18
400LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+9
June 29-July 1
589LV
June 29-July 1
589LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

1%

West

1%
49%
TrumpTrump+10
June 20-July 1
1,484LV
June 20-July 1
1,484LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+9
June 25-27
600LV
June 25-27
600LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+11
June 25-27
600LV
June 25-27
600LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

7%

Oliver

2%

West

1%

Stein

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+9
June 11-20
931LV
June 11-20
931LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

8%

Oliver

3%

Stein

1%
47%
TrumpTrump+6
June 11-20
1,144RV
June 11-20
1,144RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

12%

Oliver

3%

Stein

1%
46%
TrumpTrump+8
June 11-20
931LV
June 11-20
931LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
June 11-20
1,144RV
June 11-20
1,144RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+6
May 31-June 9
1,200RV
May 31-June 9
1,200RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+7
May 31-June 9
1,200RV
May 31-June 9
1,200RV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

2%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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