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Who’s ahead in Virginia?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
368LV
Feb. 29-March 3
368LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+6
Feb. 29-March 3
394RV
Feb. 29-March 3
394RV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+5
Feb. 11-19
705A
Feb. 11-19
705A
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Haley

49%
49%
Haley  Haley+9
Feb. 11-19
705A
Feb. 11-19
705A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Biden+4
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Haley

43%
43%
Haley  Haley+5
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

DeSantis

39%
39%
DeSantis  Biden+3
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812A
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Biden+3
Dec. 15-19
625RV
Dec. 15-19
625RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

14%
36%
TrumpBiden+6
Dec. 15-19
625RV
Dec. 15-19
625RV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Biden+6
Nov. 12-20
686A
Nov. 12-20
686A
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+4
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Campaign poll

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