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Who’s ahead in the Arizona presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, Arizona, 2024

Aug. 2-4
516LV
Aug. 2-4
516LV
Emerson College
 Biden
65%
 Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Kennedy

10%

Williamson

2%
10%
 KennedyBiden+54
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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