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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 22-28
1,399RV
Nov. 22-28
1,399RV
HarrisX
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Williamson

8%

Phillips

7%
8%
 WilliamsonHarris+38
Nov. 22-28
1,399RV
Nov. 22-28
1,399RV
HarrisX
 Biden
65%
 Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Williamson

8%

Phillips

4%
8%
 WilliamsonBiden+57
Nov. 17-20
599LV
Nov. 17-20
599LV
Emerson College
 Biden
66%
 Biden
66%

Biden

66%

Williamson

5%

Phillips

2%
5%
 WilliamsonBiden+61
Nov. 16-20
440LV
Nov. 16-20
440LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Biden
66%
 Biden
66%

Biden

66%

Williamson

9%

Phillips

3%
9%
 WilliamsonBiden+57
Nov. 15-19
1,066RV
Nov. 15-19
1,066RV
HarrisX
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Williamson

9%

Phillips

5%
9%
 WilliamsonHarris+36
Nov. 15-19
1,066RV
Nov. 15-19
1,066RV
HarrisX
 Biden
65%
 Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Williamson

5%

Phillips

4%
5%
 WilliamsonBiden+60
Nov. 14-17
482LV
Nov. 14-17
482LV
Echelon Insights
 Biden
67%
 Biden
67%

Biden

67%

Williamson

6%

Phillips

5%
6%
 WilliamsonBiden+61
Nov. 15-16
RV
Nov. 15-16
RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Harris
24%
 Harris
24%

Harris

24%

H. Clinton

13%

Sanders

10%

Newsom

7%

Buttigieg

7%

Warren

5%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

Klobuchar

3%

Manchin

3%

Whitmer

3%

Abrams

2%

Phillips

2%

Cuomo

2%

Williamson

2%
13%
 H. ClintonHarris+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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