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Who’s ahead in the national Democratic primary polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 25
392RV
March 25
392RV
HarrisX
 Harris
24%
 Harris
24%

Harris

24%

Sanders

11%

H. Clinton

11%

Newsom

9%

Buttigieg

6%

Warren

5%

Klobuchar

4%

Whitmer

4%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

Manchin

2%

Phillips

2%

Cuomo

1%

Williamson

1%

Abrams

1%
11%
 SandersHarris+13
March 8-11
356RV
March 8-11
356RV
Suffolk University
 Biden
74%
 Biden
74%

Biden

74%

Williamson

2%

Phillips

0%
2%
 WilliamsonBiden+72
March 5-6
540LV
March 5-6
540LV
Emerson College
 Biden
77%
 Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

4%

Williamson

3%
4%
 PhillipsBiden+74
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
TIPP Insights
 M. Obama
22%
 M. Obama
22%

M. Obama

22%

Harris

20%

Newsom

11%

Sanders

10%

H. Clinton

8%

Buttigieg

7%

Warren

5%

Klobuchar

2%
20%
 HarrisM. Obama+2
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
TIPP Insights
 Biden
76%
 Biden
76%

Biden

76%

Phillips

9%
9%
Phillips  Biden+67
Feb. 25-28
224LV
Feb. 25-28
224LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Biden
79%
 Biden
79%

Biden

79%

Phillips

10%

Williamson

0%
10%
 PhillipsBiden+69
Feb. 25-28
224RV
Feb. 25-28
224RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Biden
77%
 Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

12%

Williamson

0%
12%
 PhillipsBiden+65
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
HarrisX
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Phillips

12%
12%
Phillips  Harris+39
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
HarrisX
 Biden
74%
 Biden
74%

Biden

74%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+67
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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