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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, 2024

706RV
May 29-Jun.1
706RV
Harris
24%
Harris
24%

Harris

24%

Sanders

17%

H. Clinton

11%

Newsom

10%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Buttigieg

7%

Kennedy

6%

Warren

6%

Abrams

4%

Klobuchar

3%

Pritzker

1%
17%
SandersHarris+7
850A
May 29-Jun.1
850A
Harris
26%
Harris
26%

Harris

26%

Sanders

16%

H. Clinton

13%

Newsom

9%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Buttigieg

6%

Kennedy

6%

Warren

5%

Abrams

4%

Klobuchar

2%

Pritzker

1%
16%
SandersHarris+10
467RV
May 25-30
467RV
Biden
62%
Biden
62%

Biden

62%

Kennedy

12%

Williamson

5%
12%
KennedyBiden+50
425A
May 26-28
425A
Kennedy
44%
Kennedy
44%

Kennedy

44%

Williamson

28%
28%
Williamson  Kennedy+16
425A
May 26-28
425A
Biden
59%
Biden
59%

Biden

59%

Kennedy

19%

Williamson

11%
19%
KennedyBiden+40
538LV
May 22-25
538LV
Biden
60%
Biden
60%

Biden

60%

Kennedy

14%

Williamson

5%
14%
KennedyBiden+46
450LV
May 17-24
450LV
Biden
24%
Biden
24%

Biden

24%

M. Obama

22%

Sanders

8%

Harris

4%

H. Clinton

4%

Kennedy

4%

Buttigieg

3%

O'Rourke

3%

Warren

3%

Booker

2%

Klobuchar

2%

Manchin

2%

Whitmer

2%

Ocasio-Cortez

1%

Newsom

1%

Steyer

1%

Williamson

1%

Pritzker

1%

Gillibrand

0%

Patrick

0%

Hickenlooper

0%

P. Murphy

0%

Kaine

0%

Adams

0%

Polis

0%
22%
M. ObamaBiden+2
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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