Filter by poll type or state

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Feb. 27, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Phillips

12%
12%
Phillips  Harris+39
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
Feb. 24-28
1,076RV
Biden
74%
Biden
74%

Biden

74%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+67

Feb. 26, 2024

President: Democratic primary, California, 2024

Feb. 24-27
570LV
Feb. 24-27
570LV
Biden
80%
Biden
80%

Biden

80%

Phillips

6%
6%
Phillips  Biden+73

Feb. 25, 2024

President: Democratic primary, Texas, 2024

Feb. 18-26
441LV
Feb. 18-26
441LV
Biden
74%
Biden
74%

Biden

74%

Phillips

10%
10%
Phillips  Biden+64

Feb. 23, 2024

President: Democratic primary, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 20-24
406LV
Feb. 20-24
406LV
Biden
77%
Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+69

Feb. 22, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 20-23
1,070RV
Feb. 20-23
1,070RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Phillips

13%
13%
Phillips  Harris+37
Feb. 20-23
1,070RV
Feb. 20-23
1,070RV
Biden
72%
Biden
72%

Biden

72%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+65
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download