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Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 18, 2020

President: Republican primary, 2020

March 18-19
423LV
March 18-19
423LV
Trump
94%
Trump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

6%
6%
Weld  Trump+89

March 6, 2020

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2020

March 5-7
409LV
March 5-7
409LV
Trump
93%
Trump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

4%
4%
Weld  Trump+89

March 2, 2020

President: Republican primary, 2020

March 1-3
232LV
March 1-3
232LV
Trump
94%
Trump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

2%

De La Fuente

1%
2%
WeldTrump+92

Feb. 27, 2020

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2020

Feb. 21-28
246LV
Feb. 21-28
246LV
Trump
91%
Trump
91%

Trump

91%

Walsh

4%

Weld

3%
4%
WalshTrump+87
Feb. 21-28
443RV
Feb. 21-28
443RV
Trump
89%
Trump
89%

Trump

89%

Walsh

4%

Weld

4%
4%
WalshTrump+85

Feb. 26, 2020

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2020

Feb. 23-27
621LV
Feb. 23-27
621LV
Trump
94%
Trump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

4%
4%
Weld  Trump+90
Feb. 23-27
1,118RV
Feb. 23-27
1,118RV
Trump
91%
Trump
91%

Trump

91%

Weld

5%
5%
Weld  Trump+86

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2020

Feb. 23-27
410LV
Feb. 23-27
410LV
Trump
93%
Trump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

6%
6%
Weld  Trump+87
Feb. 23-27
714RV
Feb. 23-27
714RV
Trump
90%
Trump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

8%
8%
Weld  Trump+82
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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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