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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

Aug.21-23
590LV
Aug.21-23
590LV
Trump
64%
Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

36%
36%
DeSantis  Trump+28
Aug.21-23
590LV
Aug.21-23
590LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

23%

Christie

4%

Ramaswamy

3%

Haley

2%

Pence

1%

Scott

1%
23%
DeSantisTrump+36
Jun.27-Jul.1
315RV
Jun.27-Jul.1
315RV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

37%
37%
DeSantis  Trump+17
Jun.27-Jul.1
315RV
Jun.27-Jul.1
315RV
Trump
50%
Trump
50%

Trump

50%

DeSantis

30%

Ramaswamy

4%

Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

2%

Haley

1%
30%
DeSantisTrump+20
Jun.9-11
Jun.9-11
DeSantis
41%
DeSantis
41%

DeSantis

41%

Trump

41%

Pence

3%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Haley

2%

Elder

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Scott

0%
41%
TrumpEven
May 25-27
700LV
May 25-27
700LV
DeSantis
40%
DeSantis
40%

DeSantis

40%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  DeSantis+1
May 25-27
700LV
May 25-27
700LV
DeSantis
38%
DeSantis
38%

DeSantis

38%

Trump

38%

Scott

3%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

Ramaswamy

0%
38%
TrumpEven
May 8-9
500LV
May 8-9
500LV
Trump
42%
Trump
42%

Trump

42%

DeSantis

34%

Haley

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

2%

Scott

1%

Sununu

1%

Hutchinson

0%
34%
DeSantisTrump+8
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