UPDATED Aug. 11, 2022, at 8:18 PM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

600RV
Jul.13-14
600RV
DeSantis
61%
DeSantis
61%

DeSantis

61%

Trump Sr.

39%
39%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+22
656V
Jul.7-10
656V
DeSantis
51%
DeSantis
51%

DeSantis

51%

Trump Sr.

39%
39%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+12
259RV
Feb.7-20
259RV
DeSantis
44%
DeSantis
44%

DeSantis

44%

Trump Sr.

41%
41%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+3
176LV
Jan.26-29
176LV
Trump Sr.
47%
Trump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

DeSantis

40%
40%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+7
203LV
Sep.16-18
203LV
Trump Sr.
58%
Trump Sr.
58%

Trump Sr.

58%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+28
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