Who’s ahead in Iowa?
Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.