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Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024

393LV
Nov.14-18
393LV
DeSantis
33%
DeSantis
33%

DeSantis

33%

Trump Sr.

30%

Pence

3%

Haley

1%

Reynolds

1%

Noem

1%

Carson

1%
30%
Trump Sr.DeSantis+3
508LV
Nov.11-13
508LV
DeSantis
48%
DeSantis
48%

DeSantis

48%

Trump Sr.

37%
37%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+11
600LV
Aug.7-10
600LV
Trump Sr.
52%
Trump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

37%
37%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+15
546LV
Jun.22-Jul.1
546LV
Trump Sr.
38%
Trump Sr.
38%

Trump Sr.

38%

DeSantis

17%

Pence

2%

Haley

2%

Cruz

1%

Rubio

1%

Reynolds

1%

Noem

1%
17%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+21
630RV
Mar.5-8
630RV
Trump Sr.
61%
Trump Sr.
61%

Trump Sr.

61%

Pence

8%

Haley

6%

Romney

5%

Cruz

4%

DeSantis

4%

Noem

2%

Pompeo

2%
8%
PenceTrump Sr.+53
630RV
Mar.5-8
630RV
DeSantis
20%
DeSantis
20%

DeSantis

20%

Pence

19%

Cruz

16%

Haley

10%

Noem

6%

Pompeo

6%

Romney

5%
19%
PenceDeSantis+1
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