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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Nevada, 2024

Jan. 5-8
277LV
Jan. 5-8
277LV
Trump
73%
Trump
73%

Trump

73%

DeSantis

8%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

4%

Binkley

1%

Hutchinson

0%
8%
DeSantisTrump+65
Dec. 1-31
LV
Dec. 1-31
LV
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

10%

Haley

10%
10%
DeSantisTrump+55
Dec. 11-13
400LV
Dec. 11-13
400LV
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

DeSantis

15%

Christie

5%

Ramaswamy

2%

Binkley

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+60
Nov. 1-30
384LV
Nov. 1-30
384LV
Trump
67%
Trump
67%

Trump

67%

DeSantis

10%

Ramaswamy

10%

Haley

9%

Christie

3%
10%
DeSantisTrump+57
Oct. 1-31
368LV
Oct. 1-31
368LV
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

9%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%

Christie

1%

Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+53
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