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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Nevada, 2024

Jun.26-28
500LV
Jun.26-28
500LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

22%

Christie

3%

Haley

3%

Ramaswamy

2%

Scott

2%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

0%
22%
DeSantisTrump+30
May 30-Jun.1
500LV
May 30-Jun.1
500LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

21%

Haley

3%

Scott

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

1%

Sununu

0%

Hutchinson

0%
21%
DeSantisTrump+32
May 15-19
112RV
May 15-19
112RV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

DeSantis

21%

Haley

5%

Ramaswamy

3%

Pence

2%
21%
DeSantisTrump+30
Oct.24-27
Oct.24-27
Trump
41%
Trump
41%

Trump

41%

DeSantis

34%

Pence

7%

Cruz

5%

Haley

1%

Pompeo

1%

Rubio

1%

Hogan

0%
34%
DeSantisTrump+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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