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Who’s ahead in the Georgia Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 4, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022, Runoff
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 3-5
1,099LV
Dec. 3-5
1,099LV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

47%
47%
Walker  Warnock+4
Dec. 1-5
1,229LV
Dec. 1-5
1,229LV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

49%
49%
Walker  Warnock+2

Dec. 3, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022, Runoff
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 4
625LV
Dec. 4
625LV
Warnock
50%
Warnock
50%

Warnock

50%

Walker

45%
45%
Walker  Warnock+5
Dec. 4
800LV
Dec. 4
800LV
Warnock
52%
Warnock
52%

Warnock

52%

Walker

47%
47%
Walker  Warnock+6
Dec. 4
750LV
Dec. 4
750LV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

48%
48%
Walker  Warnock+2

Dec. 1, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022, Runoff
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 30-Dec. 2
818RV
Nov. 30-Dec. 2
818RV
Warnock
49%
Warnock
49%

Warnock

49%

Walker

47%
47%
Walker  Warnock+2

Nov. 29, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022, Runoff
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 28-30
888LV
Nov. 28-30
888LV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

49%
49%
Walker  Warnock+2
Nov. 26-30
1,214LV
Nov. 26-30
1,214LV
Warnock
50%
Warnock
50%

Warnock

50%

Walker

47%
47%
Walker  Warnock+3

Nov. 28, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022, Runoff
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 25-29
1,184LV
Nov. 25-29
1,184LV
Warnock
52%
Warnock
52%

Warnock

52%

Walker

48%
48%
Walker  Warnock+4
Nov. 25-29
1,886RV
Nov. 25-29
1,886RV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

44%
44%
Walker  Warnock+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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