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Who’s ahead in the Illinois Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Illinois, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Duckworth
58%
Duckworth
58%

Duckworth

58%

Salvi

40%
40%
Salvi  Duckworth+18
Oct. 22-25
659LV
Oct. 22-25
659LV
Duckworth
56%
Duckworth
56%

Duckworth

56%

Salvi

40%
40%
Salvi  Duckworth+16
Oct. 20-24
1,000LV
Oct. 20-24
1,000LV
Duckworth
49%
Duckworth
49%

Duckworth

49%

Salvi

39%

Redpath

2%
39%
SalviDuckworth+10
Oct. 10-11
770LV
Oct. 10-11
770LV
Duckworth
50%
Duckworth
50%

Duckworth

50%

Salvi

36%

Redpath

5%
36%
SalviDuckworth+14
Oct. 5-11
1,000RV
Oct. 5-11
1,000RV
Duckworth
48%
Duckworth
48%

Duckworth

48%

Salvi

29%

Redpath

6%
29%
SalviDuckworth+20
Sept. 21-23
1,000LV
Sept. 21-23
1,000LV
Duckworth
50%
Duckworth
50%

Duckworth

50%

Salvi

31%
31%
Salvi  Duckworth+19
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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