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Who’s ahead in the Maryland Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2022, General election

Sept. 8-12
748LV
Sept. 8-12
748LV
Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics
 Van Hollen
56%
 Van Hollen
56%

Van Hollen

56%

Chaffee

33%
33%
Chaffee  Van Hollen+23
Nov. 29-Dec. 1
500LV
Nov. 29-Dec. 1
500LV
WPA Intelligence
 Van Hollen
37%
 Van Hollen
37%

Van Hollen

37%

Hogan

49%
49%
Hogan  Hogan+12
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