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Who’s ahead in the New York Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, New York, 2022

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Schumer
59%
Schumer
59%

Schumer

59%

Pinion

39%
39%
Pinion  Schumer+20
279LV
Aug.8-Nov.6
279LV
Schumer
60%
Schumer
60%

Schumer

60%

Pinion

40%
40%
Pinion  Schumer+20
1,000LV
Oct.28-31
1,000LV
Schumer
57%
Schumer
57%

Schumer

57%

Pinion

39%

Sare

1%
39%
PinionSchumer+19
1,198LV
Oct.27-31
1,198LV
Schumer
51%
Schumer
51%

Schumer

51%

Pinion

40%

Sare

5%
40%
PinionSchumer+11
501LV
Oct.27-29
501LV
Schumer
50%
Schumer
50%

Schumer

50%

Pinion

38%
38%
Pinion  Schumer+12
818LV
Oct.26-28
818LV
Schumer
56%
Schumer
56%

Schumer

56%

Pinion

39%
39%
Pinion  Schumer+17
1,001A
Oct.24-26
1,001A
Schumer
54%
Schumer
54%

Schumer

54%

Pinion

27%
27%
Pinion  Schumer+27
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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