UPDATED Aug. 11, 2022, at 8:18 PM

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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

656LV
Aug.4-6
656LV
Beasley
46%
Beasley
46%

Beasley

46%

Budd

42%
42%
Budd  Beasley+4
300LV
Jul.22-24
300LV
Beasley
43%
Beasley
43%

Beasley

43%

Budd

40%
40%
Budd  Beasley+2
1,068LV
Jun.29-Jul.1
1,068LV
Beasley
45%
Beasley
45%

Beasley

45%

Budd

48%

Bray

2%
48%
BuddBudd+3
600LV
Jun.17-19
600LV
Beasley
40%
Beasley
40%

Beasley

40%

Budd

45%

Bray

3%

Hoh

1%
45%
BuddBudd+5
650LV
Jun.8-12
650LV
Beasley
44%
Beasley
44%

Beasley

44%

Budd

40%

Bray

2%
40%
BuddBeasley+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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