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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-7
739LV
Nov. 4-7
739LV
Barnes
49%
Barnes
49%

Barnes

49%

Johnson

50%
50%
Johnson  Johnson+1
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Barnes
47%
Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

53%
53%
Johnson  Johnson+6
Nov. 2-5
1,504LV
Nov. 2-5
1,504LV
Barnes
47%
Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

53%
53%
Johnson  Johnson+6
Nov. 2-4
1,095LV
Nov. 2-4
1,095LV
Barnes
47%
Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

50%
50%
Johnson  Johnson+3
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
679LV
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
679LV
Barnes
48%
Barnes
48%

Barnes

48%

Johnson

50%
50%
Johnson  Johnson+2
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
802RV
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
802RV
Barnes
45%
Barnes
45%

Barnes

45%

Johnson

48%
48%
Johnson  Johnson+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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