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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate general?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

May 28-June 4
600LV
May 28-June 4
600LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+3
May 19-21
501LV
May 19-21
501LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

39%
39%
Lake  Gallego+8
May 19-21
609RV
May 19-21
609RV
Gallego
44%
Gallego
44%

Gallego

44%

Lake

38%
38%
Lake  Gallego+7
May 10-16
1,183LV
May 10-16
1,183LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

36%
36%
Lake  Gallego+13
May 7-14
1,003RV
May 7-14
1,003RV
Gallego
46%
Gallego
46%

Gallego

46%

Lake

36%
36%
Lake  Gallego+10
May 6-13
527LV
May 6-13
527LV
Gallego
46%
Gallego
46%

Gallego

46%

Lake

41%
41%
Lake  Gallego+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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