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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-10
808RV
Oct. 7-10
808RV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

39%
39%
Lake  Gallego+9
Oct. 7-10
808LV
Oct. 7-10
808LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

41%
41%
Lake  Gallego+7
Sept. 8-Oct. 10
400LV
Sept. 8-Oct. 10
400LV
Gallego
53%
Gallego
53%

Gallego

53%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+6
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+7
Oct. 5-7
735LV
Oct. 5-7
735LV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

39%
39%
Lake  Gallego+13
Sept. 30-Oct. 2
783LV
Sept. 30-Oct. 2
783LV
Gallego
52%
Gallego
52%

Gallego

52%

Lake

42%
42%
Lake  Gallego+10
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
555LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
555LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

42%

Quintana

1%
42%
LakeGallego+6
Sept. 24-Oct. 1
600LV
Sept. 24-Oct. 1
600LV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

44%
44%
Lake  Gallego+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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