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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate Republican primary?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, Republican primary

Feb. 21-26
469LV
Feb. 21-26
469LV
Lake
55%
Lake
55%

Lake

55%

Lamb

26%
26%
Lamb  Lake+29
Feb. 6-13
351RV
Feb. 6-13
351RV
Lake
54%
Lake
54%

Lake

54%

Lamb

21%

Wright

6%

Nicholson

2%
21%
LambLake+33
Aug. 2-4
590RV
Aug. 2-4
590RV
Lake
42%
Lake
42%

Lake

42%

Lamb

11%

Masters

7%

Hamadeh

5%

Wright

2%

Lamon

2%

Walker

1%
11%
LambLake+31
April 10-12
550LV
April 10-12
550LV
Lake
54%
Lake
54%

Lake

54%

Lamb

22%
22%
Lamb  Lake+32
April 10-12
550LV
April 10-12
550LV
Lake
38%
Lake
38%

Lake

38%

Taylor Robson

10%

Lamb

8%

Masters

7%

Hamadeh

4%

Lamon

3%
10%
Taylor RobsonLake+28
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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