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Who’s ahead in the California Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 24, 2024

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election

March 19-25
1,084LV
March 19-25
1,084LV
Schiff
61%
Schiff
61%

Schiff

61%

Garvey

37%
37%
Garvey  Schiff+24

Feb. 26, 2024

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Top-two primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Schiff
32%
Schiff
32%

Schiff

32%

Garvey

22%

Porter

20%

Lee

11%

Bradley

4%

Pascucci

3%

Liew

3%

Early

3%

Reiss

2%
22%
GarveySchiff+9

Feb. 25, 2024

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election

Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Porter
52%
Porter
52%

Porter

52%

Garvey

38%
38%
Garvey  Porter+14
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
30%
Schiff
30%

Schiff

30%

Porter

30%
30%
Porter  Even
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
53%
Schiff
53%

Schiff

53%

Garvey

38%
38%
Garvey  Schiff+15

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Top-two primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
23%
Schiff
23%

Schiff

23%

Garvey

29%

Porter

20%

Lee

10%

Early

8%

Gilani

1%

Pascucci

1%
29%
GarveyGarvey+6
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
25%
Schiff
25%

Schiff

25%

Garvey

27%

Porter

19%

Lee

8%

Early

2%

Bradley

2%
27%
GarveyGarvey+2

Feb. 17, 2024

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Top-two primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 16-18
935LV
Feb. 16-18
935LV
Schiff
28%
Schiff
28%

Schiff

28%

Garvey

22%

Porter

16%

Lee

9%

Early

2%

Pascucci

2%

Reiss

2%

Bradley

2%

Liew

1%
22%
GarveySchiff+6

Feb. 12, 2024

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Top-two primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 6-13
1,075LV
Feb. 6-13
1,075LV
Schiff
24%
Schiff
24%

Schiff

24%

Porter

19%

Garvey

18%

Lee

10%

Early

4%

Bradley

3%

Liew

2%

Bassett

1%

Gary-Pandol

1%

Garza

1%

Grundmann

1%

Jones

1%

Lightfoot

1%

Macauley

1%

Pascucci

1%

Peterson

1%

Pierce

1%

Reiss

1%
19%
PorterSchiff+5
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