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Who’s ahead in the California Senate top-two primary?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Top-two primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Schiff
32%
Schiff
32%

Schiff

32%

Garvey

22%

Porter

20%

Lee

11%

Bradley

4%

Pascucci

3%

Liew

3%

Early

3%

Reiss

2%
22%
GarveySchiff+9
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
23%
Schiff
23%

Schiff

23%

Garvey

29%

Porter

20%

Lee

10%

Early

8%

Gilani

1%

Pascucci

1%
29%
GarveyGarvey+6
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
25%
Schiff
25%

Schiff

25%

Garvey

27%

Porter

19%

Lee

8%

Early

2%

Bradley

2%
27%
GarveyGarvey+2
Feb. 16-18
935LV
Feb. 16-18
935LV
Schiff
28%
Schiff
28%

Schiff

28%

Garvey

22%

Porter

16%

Lee

9%

Early

2%

Pascucci

2%

Reiss

2%

Bradley

2%

Liew

1%
22%
GarveySchiff+6
Feb. 6-13
1,075LV
Feb. 6-13
1,075LV
Schiff
24%
Schiff
24%

Schiff

24%

Porter

19%

Garvey

18%

Lee

10%

Early

4%

Bradley

3%

Liew

2%

Bassett

1%

Gary-Pandol

1%

Garza

1%

Grundmann

1%

Jones

1%

Lightfoot

1%

Macauley

1%

Pascucci

1%

Peterson

1%

Pierce

1%

Reiss

1%
19%
PorterSchiff+5
Jan. 21-29
1,416LV
Jan. 21-29
1,416LV
Schiff
25%
Schiff
25%

Schiff

25%

Porter

15%

Garvey

15%

Lee

7%

Early

1%

Bradley

1%

Resendez

1%
15%
PorterSchiff+10
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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