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Who’s ahead in the Montana Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 28, 2024

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Aug. 25-29
600LV
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Sheehy

51%
51%
Sheehy  Sheehy+6
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Tester
41%
Tester
41%

Tester

41%

Sheehy

49%

Daoud

4%

Downey

1%
49%
SheehySheehy+8

Aug. 19, 2024

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Aug. 18-20
500LV
Aug. 18-20
500LV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

51%

Daoud

2%

Downey

1%
51%
SheehySheehy+7

Aug. 13, 2024

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Aug. 6-14
540RV
Aug. 6-14
540RV
Tester
49%
Tester
49%

Tester

49%

Sheehy

44%
44%
Sheehy  Tester+5

Aug. 11, 2024

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Aug. 10-12
538RV
Aug. 10-12
538RV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Sheehy

51%
51%
Sheehy  Sheehy+6

Aug. 5, 2024

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Aug. 5-6
1,000LV
Aug. 5-6
1,000LV
Tester
46%
Tester
46%

Tester

46%

Sheehy

48%
48%
Sheehy  Sheehy+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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