UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Utah race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

786LV
Sep.3-21
786LV
McMullin
34%
McMullin
34%

McMullin

34%

Lee

37%

Williams

3%

Hansen

2%
37%
LeeLee+3
815RV
Sep.3-21
815RV
McMullin
34%
McMullin
34%

McMullin

34%

Lee

36%

Williams

3%

Hansen

2%
36%
LeeLee+2

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

700LV
Sep.13-15
700LV
McMullin
34%
McMullin
34%

McMullin

34%

Lee

51%
51%
Lee  Lee+17

Sept. 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

509LV
Aug.30-Sep.13
509LV
McMullin
37%
McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

48%

Hansen

5%

Williams

5%
48%
LeeLee+11

U.S. House, UT-4, 2022

504LV
Aug.30-Sep.13
504LV
McDonald
30%
McDonald
30%

McDonald

30%

Owens

57%

Walker

6%
57%
OwensOwens+27

U.S. House, UT-3, 2022

504LV
Aug.30-Sep.13
504LV
Wright
27%
Wright
27%

Wright

27%

Curtis

51%

Heineman

5%

Stoddard

5%

Cummings

3%
51%
CurtisCurtis+25

U.S. House, UT-2, 2022

508LV
Aug.30-Sep.13
508LV
Mitchell
31%
Mitchell
31%

Mitchell

31%

Stewart

50%

Easley

6%

McFarland

4%
50%
StewartStewart+19

Sept. 7, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

474RV
Sep.1-8
474RV
McMullin
37%
McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

40%
40%
Lee  Lee+3
239LV
Sep.1-8
239LV
McMullin
39%
McMullin
39%

McMullin

39%

Lee

43%
43%
Lee  Lee+4

Aug. 31, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Aug.29-Sep.1
800LV
McMullin
47%
McMullin
47%

McMullin

47%

Lee

46%
46%
Lee  McMullin+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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