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Who’s ahead in the Utah race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 22, 2022

President: Republican primary, Utah, 2024

Nov.18-23
DeSantis
29%
DeSantis
29%

DeSantis

29%

Trump Sr.

19%

Cheney

12%

Cruz

8%

Pence

6%

Haley

4%
19%
Trump Sr.DeSantis+10

Oct. 29, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

500LV
Oct.29-30
500LV
McMullin
46%
McMullin
46%

McMullin

46%

Lee

47%
47%
Lee  Lee+1

Oct. 27, 2022

President: general election, Utah, 2024

825LV
Oct.25-28
825LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump Sr.

47%
47%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+13

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

825LV
Oct.25-28
825LV
McMullin
40%
McMullin
40%

McMullin

40%

Lee

50%

Hansen

5%

Williams

3%
50%
LeeLee+10

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

600LV
Oct.25-27
600LV
McMullin
36%
McMullin
36%

McMullin

36%

Lee

51%

Hansen

3%

Williams

1%
51%
LeeLee+15

Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

500LV
Oct.8-11
500LV
McMullin
49%
McMullin
49%

McMullin

49%

Lee

43%

Hansen

4%
43%
LeeMcMullin+6
239LV
Oct.4-11
239LV
McMullin
38%
McMullin
38%

McMullin

38%

Lee

50%
50%
Lee  Lee+12
406RV
Oct.4-11
406RV
McMullin
37%
McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

38%
38%
Lee  Lee+1
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