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Who’s ahead in the Utah race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 15, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

300LV
Jun.14-16
300LV
McMullin
33%
McMullin
33%

McMullin

33%

Lee

52%
52%
Lee  Lee+19

June 14, 2022

June 3, 2022

March 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

804RV
Mar.9-21
804RV
McMullin
19%
McMullin
19%

McMullin

19%

Lee

43%

Weston

11%
43%
LeeLee+24

Feb. 13, 2022

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022

739RV
Feb.7-14
739RV
McMullin
23%
McMullin
23%

McMullin

23%

Lee

36%

Schmidt

11%
36%
LeeLee+13
739RV
Feb.7-14
739RV
McMullin
24%
McMullin
24%

McMullin

24%

Lee

34%

Weston

12%
34%
LeeLee+10
739RV
Feb.7-14
739RV
Schmidt
25%
Schmidt
25%

Schmidt

25%

Lee

45%
45%
Lee  Lee+20
739RV
Feb.7-14
739RV
Weston
25%
Weston
25%

Weston

25%

Lee

45%
45%
Lee  Lee+20
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