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Who’s ahead in the Washington race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 7, 2023

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2024

Mar.7-8
874LV
Mar.7-8
874LV
A-
Public Policy Polling
 Cantwell
50%
 Cantwell
50%

Cantwell

50%

Herrera Beutler

35%
35%
Herrera Beutler  Cantwell+15

Nov. 4, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov.3-5
500LV
Nov.3-5
500LV
B/C
Moore Information
 Murray
47%
 Murray
47%

Murray

47%

Smiley

47%
47%
Smiley  Even

Oct. 30, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct.31
550LV
Oct.31
550LV
B
InsiderAdvantage
 Murray
48%
 Murray
48%

Murray

48%

Smiley

46%
46%
Smiley  Murray+2

Oct. 27, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct.25-28
1,207LV
Oct.25-28
1,207LV
B

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Murray
49%
 Murray
49%

Murray

49%

Smiley

48%
48%
Smiley  Murray+1

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct.26-27
506LV
Oct.26-27
506LV
C/D
Triton Polling & Research
 Murray
51%
 Murray
51%

Murray

51%

Smiley

45%
45%
Smiley  Murray+5
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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