UPDATED Jun. 14, 2021, at 4:25 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Washington?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added May 31, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Wash.Wash.
May 25-26, 2021
992 LV
May 25-26, 2021
992LVMurray
53%

Murray

53%

Smiley

37%
37%
SmileyMurray+16

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Wash.
Wash.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,142 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,142LVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+27
President: general election Wash.
Wash.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,142 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,142RVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+27

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Wash.
Wash.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
489 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
489LVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

39%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+20
Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
474 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
474LVInslee
59%

Inslee

59%

Culp

41%
41%
CulpInslee+18

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
WA-3WA-3
Oct 19-20, 2020
425 LV
Oct 19-20, 2020
425LVLong
47%

Long

47%

Herrera Beutler

49%
49%
Herrera BeutlerHerrera Beutler+2

Oct. 19, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Wash.
Wash.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
7,652 LV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
7,652LVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+25
President: general election Wash.
Wash.
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
7,652 RV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
7,652RVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+24
Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Oct 14-15, 2020
610 LV
Oct 14-15, 2020
610LVInslee
56%

Inslee

56%

Culp

40%
40%
CulpInslee+16
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