UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Washington race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022

400RV
Jul.7-11
400RV
Murray
53%
Murray
53%

Murray

53%

Smiley

33%
33%
Smiley  Murray+20

July 9, 2022

June 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022

600LV
Jun.14-19
600LV
Murray
48%
Murray
48%

Murray

48%

Smiley

43%
43%
Smiley  Murray+5

June 1, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022

1,039LV
Jun.1-2
1,039LV
Murray
51%
Murray
51%

Murray

51%

Smiley

40%
40%
Smiley  Murray+11

May 4, 2022

U.S. House, WA-8, 2022

400LV
May 2-5
400LV
Schrier
48%
Schrier
48%

Schrier

48%

Dunn

42%
42%
Dunn  Schrier+6
400LV
May 2-5
400LV
Schrier
48%
Schrier
48%

Schrier

48%

Jensen

42%
42%
Jensen  Schrier+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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