Updated Oct. 28, 2020, at 7:58 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

league-logo

A-League

2019-20

Australia

Updated Aug. 30, 2020, at 7:09 a.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Final
8/30
Sydney FC1
53%
Melbourne City0
47%
SYDMBC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.61.6
Non-shot xG2.12.5
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Sydney FC53 pts
35.2
1.1
1.6
+2453
Melbourne City47 pts
35.4
1.2
1.6
+1247
W. Phoenix41 pts
30.2
1.1
1.8
+541
Brisbane Roar40 pts
26.2
0.9
1.8
+140
Western United39 pts
26.3
1.0
2.0
+939
Perth Glory37 pts
31.9
1.1
1.7
+737
Adelaide United36 pts
29.4
1.2
2.1
-536
Newcastle Jets34 pts
31.9
1.1
1.8
-834
Western Sydney33 pts
26.8
1.1
2.0
-533
Melbourne Vic23 pts
26.6
1.1
2.0
-1123
C.C. Mariners18 pts
17.3
0.8
2.3
-2918
Forecast from
Season

Comments