Updated March 2, 2021, at 10:00 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2020-21

Australia

Updated March 2, 2021, at 7:14 a.m.

Upcoming matches
March 2-8
3/2
Western Sydney
33%
24%
Melbourne City
44%
3/2
Perth Glory
52%
22%
C.C. Mariners
25%
3/3
W. Phoenix
39%
23%
Western United
38%
3/5
Adelaide United
41%
25%
Macarthur FC
35%
3/5
Adelaide United
40%
25%
Newcastle Jets
35%
3/6
Brisbane Roar
34%
26%
Sydney FC
39%
3/6
Melbourne Vic
31%
24%
Melbourne City
45%
3/7
W. Phoenix
38%
24%
Perth Glory
38%
3/7
Western United
51%
22%
Western Sydney
27%
3/8
C.C. Mariners
41%
26%
Newcastle Jets
34%
3/8
C.C. Mariners
41%
25%
Macarthur FC
34%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 2-8
3/2
Perth Glory1
55%22%
C.C. Mariners2
23%
PERCCM
Adjusted goals
Shot-based xG
Non-shot xG
3/2
Western Sydney0
36%24%
Melbourne City2
41%
WSFCMBC
Adjusted goals
Shot-based xG
Non-shot xG
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Melbourne City12 pts
36.0
1.2
1.7
+84677%58%34%19%
Perth Glory12 pts
31.6
1.2
1.9
+94778%59%32%16%
Western United11 pts
31.7
1.3
2.0
+64367%47%25%13%
Sydney FC11 pts
32.7
1.1
1.7
+64158%40%21%11%
C.C. Mariners21 pts
24.8
1.0
2.0
+44779%53%23%10%
Macarthur FC17 pts
26.6
0.9
1.8
+04158%36%16%8%
Western Sydney13 pts
25.6
1.0
2.0
-33946%27%13%6%
Adelaide United13 pts
24.9
1.0
2.1
-83842%24%10%5%
Brisbane Roar14 pts
24.1
0.9
1.9
+03735%20%9%4%
Newcastle Jets11 pts
26.6
0.9
1.8
-53630%19%9%4%
Melbourne Vic7 pts
24.6
1.0
2.0
-123117%10%5%2%
W. Phoenix8 pts
26.0
1.0
1.9
-63012%7%3%2%
Forecast from
Season

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