Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 10:38 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2019-20 season

Australia

Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 4:58 a.m.

Upcoming matches
October 22-28
10/25
Brisbane Roar
28%
23%
Melbourne Vic
48%
10/26
Newcastle Jets
43%
25%
Adelaide United
32%
10/26
Western Sydney
30%
24%
Sydney FC
46%
10/27
W. Phoenix
25%
23%
Perth Glory
52%
10/27
Western United
33%
28%
Melbourne City
39%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
October 15-21
10/20
Sydney FC2
65%20%
W. Phoenix1
15%
SYDWEL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.12.1
Non-shot xG2.31.8
10/20
Melbourne City2
55%25%
Adelaide United1
20%
MBCADE
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.70.9
Non-shot xG0.81.5
10/19
C.C. Mariners1
27%23%
Newcastle Jets1
50%
CCMNEW
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.21.6
Non-shot xG0.81.7
10/19
Western United1
33%26%
Perth Glory1
41%
WESPER
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.80.7
Non-shot xG0.51.7
10/18
Melbourne Vic1
53%23%
Western Sydney2
24%
MBVWSFC
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.21.6
Non-shot xG1.30.9
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Sydney FC6 pts
38.8
1.3
1.6
+164892%75%43%23%
Perth Glory2 pts
40.4
1.3
1.5
+154587%69%40%23%
Melbourne City4 pts
38.5
1.2
1.5
+144688%70%40%22%
Western United4 pts
28.5
0.9
1.7
+33865%40%17%7%
Melbourne Vic1 pt
30.7
1.1
1.8
+13553%31%14%6%
Adelaide United0 pts
29.4
1.0
1.8
+13553%30%13%6%
Western Sydney6 pts
26.2
1.0
2.0
-13759%33%13%5%
Newcastle Jets1 pt
28.7
1.0
1.8
-13551%30%13%5%
W. Phoenix0 pts
22.7
0.9
2.1
-112824%11%4%2%
Brisbane Roar1 pt
18.4
0.8
2.3
-152619%8%3%<1%
C.C. Mariners1 pt
15.0
0.7
2.3
-22217%3%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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