Updated Feb. 20, 2019, at 2:55 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2018-19 season

Australia

Updated Feb. 17, 2019, at 2:59 a.m.

Upcoming matches
2/22
C.C. Mariners
39%
22%
Brisbane Roar
39%
2/23
W. Phoenix
28%
24%
Sydney FC
49%
2/23
Melbourne Vic
46%
24%
Melbourne City
30%
2/24
Newcastle Jets
48%
23%
Adelaide United
29%
2/24
Western Sydney
32%
21%
Perth Glory
47%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
2/17
Sydney FC1
74%16%
C.C. Mariners1
10%
SYDCCM
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG3.10.2
Non-shot xG3.20.3
2/16
Perth Glory4
64%19%
Brisbane Roar0
17%
PERBRI
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG2.90.7
Non-shot xG3.51.0
2/16
Adelaide United1
54%22%
Western Sydney3
25%
ADEWSFC
Adjusted goals1.13.1
Shot-based xG2.22.7
Non-shot xG1.70.8
2/15
Newcastle Jets3
44%25%
Melbourne City1
31%
NEWMBC
Adjusted goals2.91.1
Shot-based xG1.11.6
Non-shot xG0.92.5
2/15
W. Phoenix1
31%22%
Melbourne Vic1
47%
WELMBV
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.92.1
Non-shot xG1.11.4
2/10
Melbourne Vic1
46%22%
Perth Glory2
32%
MBVPER
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.82.0
Non-shot xG1.11.6
2/9
Melbourne City1
48%26%
Adelaide United1
26%
MBCADE
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.60.6
Non-shot xG0.70.3
2/9
Western Sydney2
59%19%
C.C. Mariners0
22%
WSFCCCM
Adjusted goals1.90.0
Shot-based xG1.70.6
Non-shot xG1.51.0
2/8
Brisbane Roar2
28%23%
Sydney FC1
49%
BRISYD
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.61.9
Non-shot xG1.12.3
2/7
Newcastle Jets1
61%20%
W. Phoenix1
19%
NEWWEL
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.72.3
Non-shot xG2.10.8
2/3
Sydney FC2
51%26%
Melbourne City0
23%
SYDMBC
Adjusted goals1.70.0
Shot-based xG1.51.9
Non-shot xG1.41.8
2/2
Perth Glory3
59%21%
W. Phoenix0
20%
PERWEL
Adjusted goals——
Shot-based xG——
Non-shot xG——
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Perth Glory46 pts
45.2
1.5
1.5
17.85.83.4+2859>99%>99%66%34%
Sydney FC36 pts
43.9
1.4
1.4
14.84.97.3+1449>99%82%52%27%
Melbourne Vic37 pts
40.8
1.4
1.7
14.65.76.7+1949>99%81%44%21%
Melbourne City28 pts
38.7
1.1
1.4
11.65.99.5+34192%51%17%9%
Adelaide United30 pts
35.2
1.1
1.6
11.07.98.1+34192%44%15%7%
W. Phoenix28 pts
26.6
1.0
1.9
9.48.88.8-33768%21%4%1%
Newcastle Jets22 pts
37.8
1.3
1.7
9.55.711.8+13444%20%2%1%
Western Sydney16 pts
32.6
1.3
2.0
6.95.714.4-13263%1%<1%<1%
Brisbane Roar12 pts
26.1
1.1
2.0
4.57.714.7-2321<1%<1%<1%<1%
C.C. Mariners7 pts
20.2
0.9
2.2
3.05.618.4-3014<1%<1%<1%<1%
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