Updated May 26, 2020, at 4:26 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

league-logo

A-League

2019-20 season

Australia

Updated March 23, 2020, at 6:26 a.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 17-23
3/23
Newcastle Jets2
38%24%
Melbourne City1
38%
NEWMBC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.91.1
Non-shot xG1.21.1
3/21
Western Sydney1
33%24%
Sydney FC1
44%
WSFCSYD
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.91.2
Non-shot xG1.30.5
3/20
Brisbane Roar1
39%24%
Newcastle Jets0
36%
BRINEW
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.61.0
Non-shot xG0.70.9
3/20
C.C. Mariners2
22%22%
Melbourne City4
56%
CCMMBC
Adjusted goals2.14.1
Shot-based xG1.13.0
Non-shot xG0.72.0
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Sydney FC48 pts
38.2
1.2
1.6
+295866%40%
Perth Glory31 pts
39.7
1.3
1.6
+184399%75%41%22%
Melbourne City40 pts
34.6
1.2
1.7
+945>99%78%39%18%
W. Phoenix36 pts
30.0
1.1
1.9
+944>99%67%28%11%
Brisbane Roar35 pts
25.4
0.9
1.9
+04097%40%12%4%
Western United27 pts
25.4
1.0
2.0
+33343%16%5%2%
Western Sydney26 pts
27.5
1.1
2.0
-33336%13%5%2%
Adelaide United27 pts
26.5
1.2
2.1
-103219%8%3%1%
Newcastle Jets24 pts
30.8
1.1
1.9
-12305%2%<1%<1%
Melbourne Vic20 pts
26.6
1.1
2.0
-11271%<1%<1%<1%
C.C. Mariners13 pts
15.9
0.8
2.4
-3316
Forecast from
Season

Comments