Updated Aug. 3, 2020, at 4:38 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 38 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2019-20

Australia

Updated Aug. 3, 2020, at 7:26 a.m.

Upcoming matches
August 4-10
8/4
Western Sydney
36%
25%
Perth Glory
39%
8/5
W. Phoenix
49%
25%
Brisbane Roar
27%
8/6
Adelaide United
38%
23%
Sydney FC
39%
8/7
Western United
42%
24%
Western Sydney
34%
8/8
Perth Glory
61%
20%
Melbourne Vic
18%
8/10
Brisbane Roar
32%
26%
Sydney FC
42%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
July 28 - August 3
8/3
Melbourne Vic2
48%23%
C.C. Mariners3
29%
MBVCCM
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG1.41.9
Non-shot xG1.21.6
8/2
Newcastle Jets1
48%24%
Western United0
28%
NEWWES
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.20.8
Non-shot xG1.31.0
8/1
Melbourne City2
42%25%
Sydney FC0
33%
MBCSYD
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.30.4
Non-shot xG1.00.8
7/31
Western Sydney1
41%23%
W. Phoenix0
35%
WSFCWEL
Adjusted goals0.80.0
Shot-based xG0.90.3
Non-shot xG0.90.6
7/30
Adelaide United5
33%24%
Perth Glory3
43%
ADEPER
Adjusted goals5.33.2
Shot-based xG2.71.8
Non-shot xG1.01.6
7/29
Melbourne Vic1
43%25%
Brisbane Roar2
32%
MBVBRI
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG1.71.0
Non-shot xG1.92.7
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Sydney FC51 pts
36.0
1.2
1.6
+265658%32%
Melbourne City43 pts
35.4
1.2
1.7
+114694%53%27%
Perth Glory34 pts
36.4
1.2
1.6
+133993%58%28%15%
W. Phoenix40 pts
30.0
1.1
1.8
+843>99%59%25%11%
Brisbane Roar38 pts
25.7
0.9
1.8
+040>99%42%16%6%
Adelaide United34 pts
28.3
1.2
2.1
-63651%22%9%4%
Western United30 pts
25.6
1.0
2.0
+43531%14%5%2%
Western Sydney30 pts
27.7
1.1
1.9
-23426%12%5%2%
Newcastle Jets31 pts
31.5
1.1
1.8
-1133<1%<1%<1%<1%
Melbourne Vic20 pts
24.2
1.0
2.1
-1622
C.C. Mariners18 pts
17.3
0.8
2.3
-2918
Forecast from
Season

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