Updated Feb. 26, 2020, at 4:59 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2019-20 season

Australia

Updated Feb. 23, 2020, at 4:00 a.m.

Upcoming matches
February 25 - March 2
2/28
Sydney FC
56%
22%
Western Sydney
23%
2/29
Newcastle Jets
31%
24%
Perth Glory
45%
2/29
Melbourne Vic
43%
23%
Adelaide United
34%
3/1
Western United
55%
23%
C.C. Mariners
22%
3/1
Melbourne City
54%
23%
Brisbane Roar
23%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
February 18-24
2/23
C.C. Mariners0
19%20%
Sydney FC3
61%
CCMSYD
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.31.6
Non-shot xG1.81.1
2/22
Newcastle Jets1
44%23%
Melbourne Vic1
33%
NEWMBV
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.0
Non-shot xG2.01.0
2/22
Brisbane Roar1
28%24%
Perth Glory1
48%
BRIPER
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.70.6
Non-shot xG1.52.2
2/21
Western Sydney5
41%23%
Adelaide United2
35%
WSFCADE
Adjusted goals5.22.1
Shot-based xG3.52.4
Non-shot xG2.62.0
2/21
W. Phoenix2
48%24%
Western United0
29%
WELWES
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG2.80.7
Non-shot xG2.00.8
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Sydney FC43 pts
39.4
1.3
1.6
+2960>99%>99%67%39%
Perth Glory30 pts
39.5
1.3
1.6
+2146>99%87%53%28%
Melbourne City30 pts
33.6
1.1
1.7
+74297%66%29%13%
W. Phoenix30 pts
29.1
1.1
1.9
+44194%53%19%7%
Adelaide United27 pts
29.2
1.2
2.0
-13878%39%14%5%
Brisbane Roar26 pts
24.4
0.9
2.0
-33667%28%8%3%
Western Sydney21 pts
28.9
1.2
2.0
-33337%17%6%3%
Western United21 pts
23.0
0.9
2.0
-53015%6%2%<1%
Melbourne Vic17 pts
28.2
1.1
1.9
-62810%4%2%<1%
Newcastle Jets15 pts
29.0
1.2
2.0
-17262%1%<1%<1%
C.C. Mariners13 pts
16.5
0.8
2.3
-2620<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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