Updated Oct. 23, 2018 at 2:51 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2018-19 season

Australia

Updated Oct. 21, 2018, at 6:14 a.m.

Upcoming matches
10/26
Adelaide United
41%
24%
Newcastle Jets
35%
10/27
C.C. Mariners
20%
21%
Melbourne City
58%
10/27
Sydney FC
64%
19%
Western Sydney
16%
10/28
Brisbane Roar
56%
22%
W. Phoenix
21%
10/28
Melbourne Victory
64%
19%
Perth Glory
17%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
10/21
Perth Glory1
45%22%
Western Sydney1
32%
PERWSFC
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.11.1
Non-shot xG2.00.8
10/21
Brisbane Roar1
61%21%
C.C. Mariners1
17%
BRICCM
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.40.4
Non-shot xG2.50.5
10/21
W. Phoenix2
31%22%
Newcastle Jets1
47%
WELNEW
Adjusted goals1.61.1
Shot-based xG1.91.2
Non-shot xG1.21.6
10/20
Melbourne Victory1
53%22%
Melbourne City2
25%
MBVMBC
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.21.7
Non-shot xG1.40.4
10/19
Adelaide United1
28%23%
Sydney FC1
49%
ADESYD
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.30.9
Non-shot xG0.40.5
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Sydney FC1 pt
49.0
1.5
1.4
14.56.56.1+215094%80%52%29%
Melbourne Victory0 pts
49.0
1.6
1.5
14.65.27.2+204993%78%49%26%
Melbourne City3 pts
43.3
1.4
1.5
14.05.87.3+144891%72%40%20%
Newcastle Jets0 pts
36.1
1.3
1.8
10.55.610.9+03763%38%15%7%
Western Sydney1 pt
32.2
1.2
1.8
9.56.710.8-33555%30%11%4%
Perth Glory1 pt
32.5
1.2
1.9
9.56.610.9-43556%30%11%4%
Adelaide United1 pt
30.7
1.0
1.7
9.27.010.8-43453%28%9%4%
Brisbane Roar1 pt
32.2
1.1
1.7
9.17.110.8-43453%28%10%4%
W. Phoenix3 pts
23.7
0.9
2.0
7.85.513.7-162930%12%3%1%
C.C. Mariners1 pt
19.1
0.8
2.1
5.46.315.3-252212%4%<1%<1%
Forecast from

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