Updated May 7, 2021, at 7:26 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2020-21

Australia

Updated May 7, 2021, at 7:26 a.m.

Upcoming matches
May 4-10
5/8
Newcastle Jets
30%
26%
Sydney FC
44%
5/8
Western Sydney
41%
23%
Western United
36%
5/9
Melbourne City
60%
22%
Brisbane Roar
18%
5/9
Perth Glory
53%
22%
Melbourne Vic
25%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
May 4-10
5/7
Adelaide United0
44%23%
W. Phoenix0
33%
ADEWEL
Adjusted goals
Shot-based xG
Non-shot xG
5/6
Melbourne Vic1
35%25%
Macarthur FC2
41%
MBVMFC
Adjusted goals
Shot-based xG
Non-shot xG
5/5
Perth Glory1
24%22%
Melbourne City3
54%
PERMBC
Adjusted goals
Shot-based xG
Non-shot xG
5/5
Brisbane Roar2
43%27%
Western United1
30%
BRIWES
Adjusted goals
Shot-based xG
Non-shot xG
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Melbourne City38 pts
46.5
1.6
1.6
+3457>99%>99%71%49%
Adelaide United32 pts
29.3
1.1
1.9
+44583%54%25%10%
Sydney FC31 pts
33.5
1.1
1.6
+104373%47%22%10%
Brisbane Roar30 pts
29.0
0.9
1.7
+94369%43%19%8%
Western United28 pts
29.2
1.0
1.8
+44365%41%18%7%
C.C. Mariners32 pts
22.6
0.9
2.0
+14577%44%16%5%
Western Sydney28 pts
27.6
1.2
2.2
-14148%28%11%5%
Macarthur FC32 pts
25.0
0.8
1.8
-14263%33%12%4%
Perth Glory19 pts
23.7
0.9
2.0
-83517%9%4%1%
W. Phoenix27 pts
30.4
1.1
1.8
+3343%2%<1%<1%
Melbourne Vic15 pts
18.1
0.9
2.4
-3523<1%<1%<1%<1%
Newcastle Jets13 pts
21.7
0.8
2.0
-1923<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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