Updated April 25, 2019, at 5:21 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2018-19 season

Australia

Updated April 25, 2019, at 2:07 a.m.

Upcoming matches
April
4/26
Melbourne City
55%
22%
C.C. Mariners
23%
4/27
Newcastle Jets
34%
24%
Sydney FC
42%
4/27
Western Sydney
36%
22%
Melbourne Vic
42%
4/28
Perth Glory
73%
17%
W. Phoenix
11%
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
April
4/25
Brisbane Roar3
24%22%
Adelaide United5
54%
BRIADE
Adjusted goals3.24.9
Shot-based xG2.32.2
Non-shot xG0.91.2
4/21
W. Phoenix3
27%24%
Melbourne City2
49%
WELMBC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.02.1
Non-shot xG1.11.9
4/20
C.C. Mariners3
33%21%
Western Sydney1
46%
CCMWSFC
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG2.21.9
Non-shot xG1.11.4
4/20
Brisbane Roar1
35%22%
Newcastle Jets6
43%
BRINEW
Adjusted goals1.15.8
Shot-based xG1.63.9
Non-shot xG0.91.9
4/19
Adelaide United1
45%24%
Melbourne Vic0
30%
ADEMBV
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.40.4
Non-shot xG0.90.7
4/18
Sydney FC1
41%26%
Perth Glory0
34%
SYDPER
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.10.4
Non-shot xG0.81.2
4/14
Perth Glory1
59%21%
Newcastle Jets0
20%
PERNEW
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.50.6
Non-shot xG2.51.3
4/14
Melbourne Vic2
74%15%
C.C. Mariners1
11%
MBVCCM
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.21.0
Non-shot xG3.11.4
4/13
Western Sydney1
34%23%
Sydney FC1
43%
WSFCSYD
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.5
Non-shot xG1.21.8
4/13
Melbourne City0
54%26%
Adelaide United0
20%
MBCADE
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.41.4
Non-shot xG2.10.9
4/12
Brisbane Roar2
36%22%
W. Phoenix1
43%
BRIWEL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.61.4
Non-shot xG1.21.8
4/7
C.C. Mariners0
16%18%
Perth Glory3
66%
CCMPER
Adjusted goals0.03.2
Shot-based xG0.51.7
Non-shot xG1.11.4
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Perth Glory57 pts
47.6
1.4
1.4
17.76.23.1+295975%43%
Sydney FC52 pts
42.7
1.2
1.4
16.44.26.3+165466%32%
Melbourne Vic47 pts
38.0
1.3
1.7
14.45.27.4+174858%34%14%
Adelaide United44 pts
33.7
1.0
1.6
12.08.07.0+54463%25%11%
W. Phoenix40 pts
31.4
1.2
1.9
11.17.28.7+74136%<1%<1%
Melbourne City37 pts
40.1
1.2
1.4
10.67.29.2+33943%<1%<1%
Newcastle Jets32 pts
38.6
1.4
1.7
9.35.212.4+233
Western Sydney24 pts
33.1
1.3
1.9
6.46.214.4-1125
Brisbane Roar18 pts
22.0
1.1
2.4
4.06.017.0-3318
C.C. Mariners13 pts
19.3
0.9
2.3
3.24.219.6-3514
Forecast from

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