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Updated Aug. 14, 2018 at 9:28 AM
10/19 |  Adelaide United | 28% | 23% |
 Sydney FC | 49% |
10/20 |  Melbourne Victory | 53% | 22% |
 Melbourne City | 25% |
10/21 |  W. Phoenix | 31% | 22% |
 Newcastle Jets | 47% |
10/21 |  Brisbane Roar | 61% | 21% |
 C.C. Mariners | 17% |
10/21 |  Perth Glory | 45% | 22% |
 Western Sydney | 32% |
10/26 | Adelaide United | 40% | 23% |
Newcastle Jets | 36% |
10/27 | C.C. Mariners | 21% | 22% |
Melbourne City | 57% |
10/27 | Sydney FC | 64% | 19% |
Western Sydney | 17% |
10/28 | Brisbane Roar | 57% | 22% |
W. Phoenix | 21% |
10/28 | Melbourne Victory | 66% | 18% |
Perth Glory | 16% |
11/2 | Melbourne City | 39% | 24% |
Sydney FC | 36% |
11/3 | W. Phoenix | 35% | 23% |
Western Sydney | 42% |
11/3 | Newcastle Jets | 32% | 22% |
Melbourne Victory | 46% |
11/3 | Perth Glory | 45% | 23% |
Brisbane Roar | 31% |
11/4 | C.C. Mariners | 32% | 24% |
Adelaide United | 44% |
11/9 | Melbourne City | 68% | 19% |
W. Phoenix | 13% |
11/10 | Western Sydney | 46% | 24% |
Brisbane Roar | 30% |
11/10 | Newcastle Jets | 33% | 22% |
Sydney FC | 45% |
11/11 | Adelaide United | 45% | 23% |
Perth Glory | 31% |
11/11 | Melbourne Victory | 82% | 12% |
C.C. Mariners | 6% |
11/23 | Western Sydney | 42% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 36% |
11/24 | W. Phoenix | 36% | 24% |
Adelaide United | 39% |
11/24 | Brisbane Roar | 35% | 25% |
Melbourne City | 40% |
11/25 | Sydney FC | 46% | 23% |
Melbourne Victory | 31% |
11/25 | Perth Glory | 62% | 20% |
C.C. Mariners | 18% |
11/30 | Adelaide United | 45% | 25% |
Brisbane Roar | 31% |
12/1 | C.C. Mariners | 17% | 19% |
Sydney FC | 64% |
12/1 | Melbourne Victory | 65% | 19% |
Western Sydney | 17% |
12/2 | W. Phoenix | 36% | 23% |
Perth Glory | 41% |
12/2 | Melbourne City | 53% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 25% |
12/7 | Western Sydney | 62% | 20% |
C.C. Mariners | 18% |
12/8 | Sydney FC | 78% | 14% |
W. Phoenix | 8% |
12/8 | Melbourne Victory | 66% | 19% |
Adelaide United | 15% |
12/8 | Perth Glory | 34% | 23% |
Melbourne City | 43% |
12/9 | Newcastle Jets | 51% | 23% |
Brisbane Roar | 27% |
12/14 | Brisbane Roar | 29% | 23% |
Melbourne Victory | 48% |
12/15 | W. Phoenix | 51% | 23% |
C.C. Mariners | 26% |
12/15 | Western Sydney | 29% | 22% |
Sydney FC | 49% |
12/16 | Newcastle Jets | 52% | 21% |
Perth Glory | 27% |
12/16 | Adelaide United | 34% | 25% |
Melbourne City | 42% |
12/21 | Perth Glory | 28% | 22% |
Sydney FC | 50% |
12/22 | W. Phoenix | 35% | 24% |
Brisbane Roar | 40% |
12/22 | Melbourne City | 39% | 24% |
Melbourne Victory | 37% |
12/23 | C.C. Mariners | 27% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 51% |
12/26 | Adelaide United | 45% | 24% |
Western Sydney | 32% |
12/28 | Melbourne Victory | 78% | 14% |
W. Phoenix | 8% |
12/29 | Sydney FC | 64% | 20% |
Brisbane Roar | 16% |
12/30 | Newcastle Jets | 52% | 22% |
Adelaide United | 26% |
12/31 | C.C. Mariners | 31% | 23% |
Perth Glory | 46% |
1/1 | Western Sydney | 35% | 24% |
Melbourne City | 41% |
1/2 | Newcastle Jets | 51% | 23% |
Brisbane Roar | 27% |
1/4 | Sydney FC | 82% | 13% |
C.C. Mariners | 6% |
1/5 | Adelaide United | 56% | 22% |
W. Phoenix | 22% |
1/5 | Western Sydney | 29% | 22% |
Melbourne Victory | 50% |
1/6 | Melbourne City | 53% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 25% |
1/6 | Brisbane Roar | 47% | 23% |
Perth Glory | 30% |
1/8 | Western Sydney | 58% | 21% |
W. Phoenix | 21% |
1/9 | Adelaide United | 28% | 23% |
Melbourne Victory | 50% |
1/9 | Perth Glory | 28% | 22% |
Sydney FC | 50% |
1/11 | Melbourne City | 57% | 23% |
Brisbane Roar | 20% |
1/12 | W. Phoenix | 51% | 23% |
C.C. Mariners | 26% |
1/12 | Melbourne Victory | 61% | 19% |
Newcastle Jets | 20% |
1/13 | Sydney FC | 65% | 20% |
Adelaide United | 15% |
1/13 | Perth Glory | 45% | 22% |
Western Sydney | 32% |
1/15 | Brisbane Roar | 29% | 23% |
Melbourne Victory | 48% |
1/16 | C.C. Mariners | 21% | 22% |
Melbourne City | 57% |
1/18 | Western Sydney | 47% | 23% |
Adelaide United | 29% |
1/19 | Sydney FC | 60% | 20% |
Newcastle Jets | 20% |
1/19 | Melbourne City | 58% | 21% |
Perth Glory | 21% |
1/20 | Melbourne Victory | 78% | 14% |
W. Phoenix | 8% |
1/20 | C.C. Mariners | 31% | 24% |
Brisbane Roar | 45% |
1/22 | Melbourne City | 57% | 21% |
Western Sydney | 21% |
1/23 | W. Phoenix | 20% | 20% |
Sydney FC | 60% |
1/23 | Newcastle Jets | 67% | 18% |
C.C. Mariners | 15% |
1/23 | Perth Glory | 47% | 23% |
Adelaide United | 30% |
1/25 | Brisbane Roar | 46% | 24% |
Western Sydney | 31% |
1/26 | W. Phoenix | 25% | 22% |
Melbourne City | 52% |
1/26 | Melbourne Victory | 46% | 23% |
Sydney FC | 31% |
1/27 | Adelaide United | 60% | 22% |
C.C. Mariners | 18% |
1/27 | Perth Glory | 41% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 37% |
2/1 | Western Sydney | 42% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 36% |
2/2 | C.C. Mariners | 17% | 19% |
Melbourne Victory | 65% |
2/2 | Adelaide United | 45% | 25% |
Brisbane Roar | 31% |
2/2 | Perth Glory | 57% | 21% |
W. Phoenix | 22% |
2/3 | Sydney FC | 53% | 23% |
Melbourne City | 24% |
2/7 | Newcastle Jets | 62% | 20% |
W. Phoenix | 19% |
2/8 | Brisbane Roar | 29% | 24% |
Sydney FC | 48% |
2/9 | Melbourne City | 58% | 22% |
Adelaide United | 20% |
2/9 | Western Sydney | 62% | 20% |
C.C. Mariners | 18% |
2/10 | Melbourne Victory | 66% | 18% |
Perth Glory | 16% |
2/15 | Newcastle Jets | 39% | 23% |
Melbourne City | 38% |
2/16 | W. Phoenix | 20% | 20% |
Melbourne Victory | 61% |
2/16 | Adelaide United | 45% | 24% |
Western Sydney | 32% |
2/16 | Perth Glory | 45% | 23% |
Brisbane Roar | 31% |
2/17 | Sydney FC | 82% | 13% |
C.C. Mariners | 6% |
2/22 | C.C. Mariners | 31% | 24% |
Brisbane Roar | 45% |
2/23 | W. Phoenix | 20% | 20% |
Sydney FC | 60% |
2/23 | Melbourne Victory | 53% | 22% |
Melbourne City | 25% |
2/24 | Newcastle Jets | 52% | 22% |
Adelaide United | 26% |
2/24 | Western Sydney | 47% | 22% |
Perth Glory | 31% |
3/1 | Sydney FC | 65% | 20% |
Adelaide United | 15% |
3/2 | Melbourne Victory | 61% | 19% |
Newcastle Jets | 20% |
3/3 | Melbourne City | 58% | 21% |
Perth Glory | 21% |
3/8 | Brisbane Roar | 46% | 24% |
Western Sydney | 31% |
3/9 | C.C. Mariners | 41% | 24% |
W. Phoenix | 35% |
3/15 | Melbourne Victory | 64% | 20% |
Brisbane Roar | 16% |
3/16 | Newcastle Jets | 67% | 18% |
C.C. Mariners | 15% |
3/16 | Sydney FC | 53% | 23% |
Melbourne City | 24% |
3/17 | W. Phoenix | 35% | 23% |
Western Sydney | 42% |
3/17 | Adelaide United | 45% | 23% |
Perth Glory | 31% |
3/29 | Brisbane Roar | 29% | 24% |
Sydney FC | 48% |
3/30 | W. Phoenix | 31% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 47% |
3/30 | Western Sydney | 35% | 24% |
Melbourne City | 41% |
3/30 | Perth Glory | 28% | 21% |
Melbourne Victory | 51% |
3/31 | C.C. Mariners | 32% | 24% |
Adelaide United | 44% |
4/5 | Melbourne City | 57% | 23% |
Brisbane Roar | 20% |
4/6 | Newcastle Jets | 51% | 22% |
Western Sydney | 28% |
4/6 | Sydney FC | 46% | 23% |
Melbourne Victory | 31% |
4/7 | Adelaide United | 56% | 22% |
W. Phoenix | 22% |
4/7 | C.C. Mariners | 31% | 23% |
Perth Glory | 46% |
4/12 | Brisbane Roar | 57% | 22% |
W. Phoenix | 21% |
4/13 | Melbourne City | 58% | 22% |
Adelaide United | 20% |
4/13 | Western Sydney | 29% | 22% |
Sydney FC | 49% |
4/14 | Melbourne Victory | 82% | 12% |
C.C. Mariners | 6% |
4/14 | Perth Glory | 41% | 22% |
Newcastle Jets | 37% |
4/18 | Sydney FC | 65% | 19% |
Perth Glory | 16% |
4/19 | Adelaide United | 28% | 23% |
Melbourne Victory | 50% |
4/20 | Brisbane Roar | 42% | 24% |
Newcastle Jets | 35% |
4/20 | C.C. Mariners | 30% | 23% |
Western Sydney | 47% |
4/21 | W. Phoenix | 25% | 22% |
Melbourne City | 52% |
4/25 | Brisbane Roar | 47% | 25% |
Adelaide United | 29% |
4/26 | Melbourne City | 73% | 17% |
C.C. Mariners | 10% |
4/27 | Newcastle Jets | 33% | 22% |
Sydney FC | 45% |
4/27 | Western Sydney | 29% | 22% |
Melbourne Victory | 50% |
4/28 | Perth Glory | 57% | 21% |
W. Phoenix | 22% |
| Team rating | avg. simulated season | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | W | D | L | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | make playoffs | make semis | make final | win final | |||
Melbourne Victory0 pts | 50.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 15.4 | 5.3 | 6.2 | +23 | 52 | 95% | 82% | 53% | 30% | |||
Sydney FC0 pts | 49.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 15.0 | 5.6 | 6.4 | +21 | 51 | 94% | 80% | 52% | 28% | |||
Melbourne City0 pts | 42.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 12.9 | 6.0 | 8.1 | +11 | 45 | 85% | 62% | 32% | 16% | |||
Newcastle Jets0 pts | 36.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 5.8 | 10.1 | +3 | 39 | 70% | 43% | 17% | 8% | |||
Western Sydney0 pts | 32.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 11.1 | -3 | 36 | 58% | 32% | 11% | 5% | |||
Brisbane Roar0 pts | 31.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 11.2 | -4 | 35 | 54% | 29% | 11% | 5% | |||
Perth Glory0 pts | 32.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 11.4 | -4 | 35 | 55% | 29% | 10% | 4% | |||
Adelaide United0 pts | 30.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 11.4 | -4 | 35 | 53% | 28% | 10% | 4% | |||
W. Phoenix0 pts | 23.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 14.4 | -18 | 27 | 23% | 10% | 2% | <1% | |||
C.C. Mariners0 pts | 19.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 15.9 | -25 | 22 | 12% | 5% | <1% | <1% | |||
The top two teams from each group qualify for the knockout phase. The third-place team from each group qualifies for the UEFA Europa League knockout phase. The third-place finisher from each group in the UEFA Champions League — eight teams total — will join the UEFA Europa League in the round of 32.The top six teams from each conference — 12 teams total — make the MLS playoffs. The top two teams from each conference receive a first-round bye.The top eight teams from each conference — 16 teams total — make the USL playoffs.The top eight teams at the end of the regular season make the Liga MX playoffs.The top four teams at the end of the regular season make the NWSL playoffs.The top six teams make the A-League playoffs, with two teams receiving a first-round bye.Three teams are promoted, and four teams are relegated. Depending on the league standings, playoffs for the final promotion and relegation spots may be necessary.Four teams — based on overall performance during the last four seasons — are relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the second-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, and the third-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the next two bottom teams will enter a playoff against teams from the lower division to determine if they are relegated.One to three teams are relegated through a playoff.
Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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