Updated Dec. 16, 2018, at 3:00 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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A-League

2018-19 season

Australia

Updated Dec. 16, 2018, at 3:00 a.m.

Upcoming matches
12/16
Adelaide United
35%
27%
Melbourne City
38%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/16
Newcastle Jets0
48%23%
Perth Glory2
29%
NEWPER
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.51.8
Non-shot xG2.60.5
12/15
Western Sydney1
32%24%
Sydney FC3
44%
WSFCSYD
Adjusted goals1.12.3
Shot-based xG0.72.1
Non-shot xG0.62.0
12/15
W. Phoenix2
52%23%
C.C. Mariners0
25%
WELCCM
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.8
Non-shot xG1.41.1
12/14
Brisbane Roar2
30%23%
Melbourne Vic4
47%
BRIMBV
Adjusted goals2.13.6
Shot-based xG2.01.8
Non-shot xG0.42.1
12/9
Newcastle Jets2
51%23%
Brisbane Roar0
26%
NEWBRI
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.7
Non-shot xG1.60.9
12/8
Perth Glory1
38%25%
Melbourne City0
37%
PERMBC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.80.3
Non-shot xG0.40.2
12/8
Melbourne Vic2
63%20%
Adelaide United0
17%
MBVADE
Adjusted goals1.80.0
Shot-based xG1.21.2
Non-shot xG0.61.1
12/8
Sydney FC1
79%15%
W. Phoenix3
7%
SYDWEL
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG2.01.4
Non-shot xG1.41.0
12/7
Western Sydney2
62%20%
C.C. Mariners0
18%
WSFCCCM
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.7
Non-shot xG1.80.7
12/2
Melbourne City3
51%24%
Newcastle Jets0
26%
MBCNEW
Adjusted goals3.00.0
Shot-based xG0.50.6
Non-shot xG0.90.7
12/2
W. Phoenix1
31%23%
Perth Glory1
47%
WELPER
Adjusted goals1.10.8
Shot-based xG0.90.3
Non-shot xG0.71.4
12/1
Melbourne Vic4
60%20%
Western Sydney0
20%
MBVWSFC
Adjusted goals3.90.0
Shot-based xG2.90.9
Non-shot xG1.61.0
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsmake semismake finalwin final
Melbourne Vic18 pts
48.2
1.6
1.5
16.34.06.7+255399%88%58%31%
Sydney FC14 pts
47.1
1.4
1.4
14.26.26.6+184997%80%51%28%
Melbourne City10 pts
40.5
1.2
1.4
12.25.89.0+74285%57%27%14%
Perth Glory20 pts
35.9
1.2
1.7
13.66.37.0+94795%66%31%13%
Adelaide United11 pts
31.6
1.0
1.7
10.16.710.2+03764%32%11%5%
Newcastle Jets8 pts
36.5
1.2
1.6
9.96.310.8+03661%33%11%5%
Western Sydney8 pts
32.0
1.2
1.8
8.96.411.7-73343%20%6%3%
W. Phoenix11 pts
24.2
0.9
1.9
7.96.312.9-143027%10%2%<1%
Brisbane Roar6 pts
30.5
1.0
1.7
7.37.512.2-82927%12%3%1%
C.C. Mariners2 pts
18.8
0.8
2.1
3.95.917.2-30182%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from

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