Updated Sept. 24, 2021, at 2:24 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

2. Bundesliga

2021-22

Germany, tier 2

Updated Sept. 24, 2021, at 2:24 p.m.

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	promotedprom.	win 2. Bundesligawin league
Werder Bremen11 pts	48.5	1.5	1.4	+19	59		<1%	43%	22%
Hamburger SV12 pts	45.0	1.5	1.5	+18	58		<1%	37%	19%
Schalke 0410 pts	47.3	1.5	1.4	+15	57		<1%	34%	15%
SC Paderborn14 pts	38.1	1.3	1.6	+14	54		2%	23%	10%
FC St. Pauli13 pts	36.5	1.2	1.7	+7	51		3%	14%	6%
Heidenheim15 pts	36.0	1.1	1.6	+4	51		2%	13%	5%
Regensburg17 pts	32.6	1.1	1.7	+7	51		2%	14%	5%
Karlsruher SC12 pts	34.3	1.1	1.6	+5	49		4%	11%	4%
Fortuna8 pts	39.2	1.2	1.5	+3	48		5%	11%	4%
Nürnberg13 pts	34.0	1.1	1.6	+2	48		5%	10%	4%
Darmstadt 9810 pts	37.2	1.3	1.7	+5	47		7%	8%	3%
Hannover 9610 pts	34.3	1.1	1.6	-4	47		7%	7%	2%
Dynamo Dresden10 pts	30.7	1.0	1.6	-3	43		12%	4%	1%
Holstein Kiel5 pts	33.6	1.1	1.7	-11	40		20%	2%	<1%
Hansa Rostock7 pts	27.8	0.9	1.7	-12	38		26%	1%	<1%
SV Sandhausen4 pts	26.9	1.0	1.8	-19	34		43%	<1%	<1%
Ingolstadt4 pts	25.2	0.9	1.8	-25	33		48%	<1%	<1%
Erzgebirge Aue3 pts	24.3	0.9	1.9	-24	30		61%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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