| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Bundesligawin league | |||||||
 Bayern Munich77 pts | 91.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 | +60 | 77 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Dortmund69 pts | 81.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | +33 | 69 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Leverkusen64 pts | 77.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | +33 | 64 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 RB Leipzig58 pts | 81.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | +35 | 58 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Union Berlin57 pts | 74.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | +6 | 57 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 SC Freiburg55 pts | 70.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | +12 | 55 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 1. FC Köln52 pts | 70.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 | +3 | 52 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Mainz46 pts | 72.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +5 | 46 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Hoffenheim46 pts | 67.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 | -2 | 46 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Gladbach45 pts | 71.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | -7 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Eintracht42 pts | 68.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -4 | 42 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Wolfsburg42 pts | 69.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | -11 | 42 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 VfL Bochum42 pts | 62.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -14 | 42 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 FC Augsburg38 pts | 61.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -17 | 38 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 VfB Stuttgart33 pts | 66.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -18 | 33 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Hertha BSC33 pts | 59.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | -34 | 33 | 33% | — | — | ||||||||
 Arminia28 pts | 49.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | -26 | 28 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Greuther Fürth18 pts | 51.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | -54 | 18 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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