Updated Jan. 23, 2020, at 4:57 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2019-20 season

England, tier 2

Updated Jan. 22, 2020, at 4:48 p.m.

Upcoming matches
January 21-27
1/25
Stoke City
49%
28%
Swansea City
23%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
January 21-27
1/22
Charlton Athletic0
25%26%
Fulham0
49%
CHAFUL
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.10.6
Non-shot xG0.70.6
1/22
Nottm Forest1
45%29%
Reading1
26%
FORREA
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.10.4
Non-shot xG1.01.1
1/21
Barnsley0
39%28%
Preston3
32%
BARPNE
Adjusted goals0.03.2
Shot-based xG0.30.9
Non-shot xG0.91.2
1/21
Middlesbrough1
44%28%
Birmingham1
27%
MIDBIR
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.80.6
Non-shot xG1.31.3
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Leeds United52 pts
64.9
1.8
0.9
+3386<1%25%79%48%
Brentford47 pts
66.4
1.6
0.8
+3781<1%45%62%22%
West Brom53 pts
56.4
1.6
1.1
+2582<1%45%55%21%
Fulham49 pts
57.6
1.6
1.1
+1776<1%54%30%5%
Nottm Forest48 pts
47.7
1.3
1.2
+971<1%36%12%1%
Preston46 pts
49.9
1.3
1.1
+869<1%30%9%<1%
Millwall44 pts
50.6
1.3
1.0
+569<1%29%10%<1%
Swansea City45 pts
48.6
1.4
1.2
+268<1%26%8%<1%
Sheffield Wed.42 pts
49.6
1.4
1.2
+967<1%24%8%<1%
Bristol City44 pts
47.8
1.4
1.3
+067<1%22%6%<1%
Hull City39 pts
52.1
1.4
1.1
+665<1%15%5%<1%
Blackburn40 pts
49.4
1.3
1.2
+564<1%14%4%<1%
QPR38 pts
49.7
1.6
1.4
-364<1%11%3%<1%
Cardiff City39 pts
49.1
1.4
1.3
-264<1%11%4%<1%
Reading37 pts
46.8
1.3
1.2
+2612%6%2%<1%
Derby County37 pts
45.0
1.3
1.3
-12583%3%<1%<1%
Middlesbrough35 pts
48.0
1.3
1.2
-8574%2%<1%<1%
Birmingham34 pts
46.0
1.3
1.3
-13567%<1%<1%<1%
Stoke City28 pts
54.4
1.4
1.0
-4568%1%<1%<1%
Huddersfield29 pts
45.2
1.2
1.2
-165121%<1%<1%<1%
Charlton Athletic30 pts
38.7
1.2
1.5
-124834%<1%<1%<1%
Wigan23 pts
43.1
1.2
1.3
-224558%<1%<1%<1%
Barnsley24 pts
40.1
1.3
1.5
-264371%<1%<1%<1%
Luton Town21 pts
33.0
1.1
1.7
-403890%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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