Updated May 8, 2021, at 9:36 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2020-21

England, tier 2

Updated May 8, 2021, at 9:36 a.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
May 4-10
5/8
Bournemouth0
54%27%
Stoke City2
18%
BOUSTK
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.61.1
Non-shot xG0.80.6
5/8
Nottm Forest1
35%34%
Preston2
30%
FORPNE
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.01.5
Non-shot xG1.21.0
5/8
Watford2
51%28%
Swansea City0
21%
WATSWA
Adjusted goals1.70.0
Shot-based xG1.50.8
Non-shot xG1.01.7
5/8
Bristol City1
11%21%
Brentford3
68%
BRCBRN
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG0.62.3
Non-shot xG0.41.9
5/8
Barnsley2
33%29%
Norwich2
38%
BARNOR
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.41.2
Non-shot xG1.21.1
5/8
Cardiff City1
38%28%
Rotherham1
34%
CARROT
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.51.8
Non-shot xG0.61.3
5/8
QPR3
40%28%
Luton Town1
31%
QPRLUT
Adjusted goals2.61.1
Shot-based xG2.11.0
Non-shot xG1.60.9
5/8
Coventry City6
35%31%
Millwall1
34%
COVMIL
Adjusted goals5.91.1
Shot-based xG2.90.7
Non-shot xG1.71.2
5/8
Derby County3
42%32%
Sheffield Wed.3
26%
DERSHW
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG1.72.1
Non-shot xG1.31.0
5/8
Reading2
43%29%
Huddersfield2
27%
REAHUD
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.50.8
Non-shot xG0.80.6
5/8
Blackburn5
41%30%
Birmingham2
28%
BLKBIR
Adjusted goals4.52.1
Shot-based xG2.20.6
Non-shot xG2.30.3
5/8
Middlesbrough0
43%29%
Wycombe3
28%
MIDWYC
Adjusted goals0.03.2
Shot-based xG0.32.0
Non-shot xG0.71.2
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Norwich97 pts
65.0
1.8
1.0
+3997——✓✓
Watford91 pts
59.5
1.5
0.9
+3391——✓—
Brentford87 pts
65.1
1.7
0.9
+3787—✓39%—
Swansea City80 pts
47.6
1.3
1.2
+1780—✓12%—
Barnsley78 pts
55.7
1.4
1.0
+878—✓26%—
Bournemouth77 pts
58.6
1.6
1.0
+2777—✓23%—
Reading70 pts
47.8
1.3
1.2
+870————
Cardiff City68 pts
51.4
1.5
1.2
+1768————
QPR68 pts
50.3
1.5
1.3
+268————
Middlesbrough64 pts
46.8
1.2
1.2
+264————
Millwall62 pts
44.8
1.3
1.3
-562————
Luton Town62 pts
44.7
1.2
1.2
-1162————
Preston61 pts
46.9
1.2
1.1
-761————
Stoke City60 pts
51.0
1.3
1.0
-260————
Blackburn57 pts
52.9
1.5
1.2
+1157————
Coventry City55 pts
46.0
1.3
1.3
-1255————
Nottm Forest52 pts
44.2
1.1
1.1
-852————
Birmingham52 pts
41.7
1.1
1.3
-2452————
Bristol City51 pts
30.2
1.0
1.7
-2251————
Huddersfield49 pts
37.5
1.1
1.4
-2149————
Derby County44 pts
44.8
1.2
1.2
-2244<1%———
Wycombe43 pts
42.6
1.2
1.3
-3043✓———
Rotherham42 pts
48.1
1.3
1.2
-1642✓———
Sheffield Wed.41 pts
43.1
1.2
1.3
-2141>99%———
Forecast from
Season

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