Updated June 16, 2018 at 10:01 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Championship

2017-18 season

England, tier 2

Updated May 26, 2018, at 2:17 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
5/26
Aston Villa0
47%
Fulham1
53%
AVLFUL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.21.1
Non-shot xG1.41.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Wolverhampton99 pts
51.3
1.3
1.1
30.09.07.0+4399——✓✓
Cardiff City90 pts
48.3
1.3
1.2
27.09.010.0+3090——✓—
Fulham88 pts
53.3
1.4
1.1
25.013.08.0+3388—✓✓—
Aston Villa83 pts
49.6
1.3
1.1
24.011.011.0+3083—✓——
Middlesbrough76 pts
44.8
1.2
1.2
22.010.014.0+2276—✓——
Derby County75 pts
39.9
1.2
1.5
20.015.011.0+2275—✓——
Preston73 pts
42.1
1.1
1.3
19.016.011.0+1173————
Millwall72 pts
43.3
1.2
1.3
19.015.012.0+1172————
Brentford69 pts
46.8
1.3
1.3
18.015.013.0+1069————
Sheffield United69 pts
41.8
1.2
1.3
20.09.017.0+769————
Bristol City67 pts
36.9
1.2
1.6
17.016.013.0+967————
Norwich City60 pts
34.5
1.1
1.6
15.015.016.0-1160————
Ipswich Town60 pts
30.7
0.9
1.6
17.09.020.0-360————
Leeds United60 pts
32.2
1.0
1.6
17.09.020.0-560————
Sheffield Wed.57 pts
35.2
1.2
1.6
14.015.017.0-157————
QPR56 pts
34.6
1.2
1.7
15.011.020.0-1256————
Nottm Forest53 pts
31.8
1.0
1.6
15.08.023.0-1453————
Hull City49 pts
40.0
1.3
1.6
11.016.019.0+049————
Birmingham46 pts
35.0
1.1
1.6
13.07.026.0-3046————
Reading44 pts
24.2
0.9
1.9
10.014.022.0-2244————
Bolton43 pts
26.6
0.9
1.8
10.013.023.0-3543————
Barnsley41 pts
28.7
1.0
1.8
9.014.023.0-2441✓———
Burton Albion41 pts
26.8
0.9
1.8
10.011.025.0-4341✓———
Sunderland37 pts
30.1
1.1
1.9
7.016.023.0-2837✓———
Forecast from

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