Updated June 16, 2018 at 10:01 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Championship

2017-18 season

England, tier 2

Updated May 26, 2018, at 2:17 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
5/26
Aston Villa0
47%
Fulham1
53%
AVLFUL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.21.1
Non-shot xG1.41.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Wolverhampton99 pts
51.3
1.3
1.1
30.09.07.0+4399
Cardiff City90 pts
48.3
1.3
1.2
27.09.010.0+3090
Fulham88 pts
53.3
1.4
1.1
25.013.08.0+3388
Aston Villa83 pts
49.6
1.3
1.1
24.011.011.0+3083
Middlesbrough76 pts
44.8
1.2
1.2
22.010.014.0+2276
Derby County75 pts
39.9
1.2
1.5
20.015.011.0+2275
Preston73 pts
42.1
1.1
1.3
19.016.011.0+1173
Millwall72 pts
43.3
1.2
1.3
19.015.012.0+1172
Brentford69 pts
46.8
1.3
1.3
18.015.013.0+1069
Sheffield United69 pts
41.8
1.2
1.3
20.09.017.0+769
Bristol City67 pts
36.9
1.2
1.6
17.016.013.0+967
Norwich City60 pts
34.5
1.1
1.6
15.015.016.0-1160
Ipswich Town60 pts
30.7
0.9
1.6
17.09.020.0-360
Leeds United60 pts
32.2
1.0
1.6
17.09.020.0-560
Sheffield Wed.57 pts
35.2
1.2
1.6
14.015.017.0-157
QPR56 pts
34.6
1.2
1.7
15.011.020.0-1256
Nottm Forest53 pts
31.8
1.0
1.6
15.08.023.0-1453
Hull City49 pts
40.0
1.3
1.6
11.016.019.0+049
Birmingham46 pts
35.0
1.1
1.6
13.07.026.0-3046
Reading44 pts
24.2
0.9
1.9
10.014.022.0-2244
Bolton43 pts
26.6
0.9
1.8
10.013.023.0-3543
Barnsley41 pts
28.7
1.0
1.8
9.014.023.0-2441
Burton Albion41 pts
26.8
0.9
1.8
10.011.025.0-4341
Sunderland37 pts
30.1
1.1
1.9
7.016.023.0-2837
Forecast from

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