Updated Feb. 26, 2021, at 4:53 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2020-21

England, tier 2

Updated Feb. 26, 2021, at 4:43 p.m.

Upcoming matches
February 23 - March 1
2/27
Bournemouth
32%
28%
Watford
40%
2/27
Middlesbrough
31%
28%
Cardiff City
42%
2/27
Blackburn
46%
29%
Coventry City
25%
2/27
Birmingham
33%
31%
QPR
35%
2/27
Preston
39%
30%
Huddersfield
31%
2/27
Barnsley
44%
32%
Millwall
24%
2/27
Swansea City
62%
25%
Bristol City
14%
2/27
Luton Town
41%
34%
Sheffield Wed.
26%
2/27
Brentford
55%
27%
Stoke City
19%
2/27
Rotherham
39%
30%
Reading
31%
2/28
Wycombe
16%
23%
Norwich
61%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
February 23 - March 1
2/26
Derby County1
39%35%
Nottm Forest1
26%
DERFOR
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.21.0
Non-shot xG0.71.1
2/24
Bournemouth1
40%27%
Cardiff City2
33%
BOUCAR
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.62.0
Non-shot xG1.40.8
2/24
Preston0
33%30%
QPR0
37%
PNEQPR
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.80.6
Non-shot xG1.50.6
2/24
Blackburn2
27%29%
Watford3
44%
BLKWAT
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG0.91.8
Non-shot xG1.31.0
2/24
Brentford3
64%24%
Sheffield Wed.0
12%
BRNSHW
Adjusted goals2.70.0
Shot-based xG1.90.1
Non-shot xG1.40.3
2/24
Swansea City1
50%30%
Coventry City0
20%
SWACOV
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.50.5
Non-shot xG0.70.8
2/24
Barnsley2
39%32%
Stoke City0
28%
BARSTK
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG0.80.8
Non-shot xG1.51.2
2/23
Rotherham0
42%31%
Nottm Forest1
27%
ROTFOR
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.40.8
Non-shot xG1.80.6
2/23
Wycombe1
26%28%
Reading0
45%
WYCREA
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.51.8
Non-shot xG0.91.4
2/23
Luton Town1
33%34%
Millwall1
34%
LUTMIL
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.71.2
Non-shot xG0.71.6
2/23
Derby County2
43%30%
Huddersfield0
27%
DERHUD
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG0.70.4
Non-shot xG0.60.5
2/23
Birmingham1
19%27%
Norwich3
53%
BIRNOR
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG1.52.4
Non-shot xG1.30.8
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Norwich67 pts
61.5
1.7
1.0
+2791—16%87%61%
Brentford60 pts
61.5
1.7
1.0
+3284—53%59%16%
Watford60 pts
60.3
1.6
1.0
+2683—59%54%13%
Swansea City59 pts
50.9
1.3
1.0
+2182<1%65%39%9%
Cardiff City49 pts
57.1
1.7
1.2
+1972<1%49%17%<1%
Barnsley48 pts
53.5
1.3
1.0
+571<1%42%12%<1%
Reading51 pts
50.4
1.3
1.1
+770<1%35%9%<1%
Bournemouth49 pts
54.9
1.6
1.2
+1770<1%38%12%<1%
Stoke City45 pts
52.5
1.3
1.0
+466<1%13%4%<1%
Middlesbrough46 pts
48.4
1.3
1.2
+365<1%11%3%<1%
QPR40 pts
50.3
1.4
1.2
-263<1%8%2%<1%
Millwall43 pts
50.2
1.2
1.0
+362<1%5%2%<1%
Blackburn39 pts
50.8
1.4
1.2
+1061<1%4%1%<1%
Nottm Forest40 pts
48.1
1.1
1.0
-4572%<1%<1%<1%
Preston40 pts
44.3
1.1
1.2
-11573%<1%<1%<1%
Luton Town38 pts
42.2
1.1
1.2
-14565%<1%<1%<1%
Derby County38 pts
47.7
1.1
1.0
-9565%<1%<1%<1%
Bristol City42 pts
34.2
1.1
1.6
-19565%<1%<1%<1%
Huddersfield36 pts
43.9
1.3
1.3
-125313%<1%<1%<1%
Coventry City34 pts
43.1
1.2
1.2
-165218%<1%<1%<1%
Rotherham29 pts
47.6
1.3
1.2
-85122%<1%<1%<1%
Birmingham31 pts
39.5
1.0
1.3
-234658%<1%<1%<1%
Sheffield Wed.28 pts
37.1
1.0
1.3
-214373%<1%<1%<1%
Wycombe23 pts
36.9
1.2
1.5
-373894%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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