Updated June 15, 2019, at 9:28 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2018-19 season

England, tier 2

Updated May 27, 2019, at 12:13 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Final
5/27
Aston Villa2
60%
Derby County1
40%
AVLDER
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.20.8
Non-shot xG0.91.5
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Norwich City94 pts
61.9
1.9
1.2
27.013.06.0+3694
Sheffield United89 pts
62.6
1.6
0.9
26.011.09.0+3789
Leeds United83 pts
64.4
1.8
1.0
25.08.013.0+2383
West Brom80 pts
52.7
1.5
1.2
23.011.012.0+2580
Aston Villa76 pts
61.0
1.7
1.0
20.016.010.0+2176
Derby County74 pts
52.6
1.4
1.1
20.014.012.0+1574
Middlesbrough73 pts
49.6
1.3
1.1
20.013.013.0+873
Bristol City70 pts
52.4
1.5
1.2
19.013.014.0+670
Nottm Forest66 pts
47.1
1.3
1.2
17.015.014.0+766
Swansea City65 pts
53.5
1.6
1.3
18.011.017.0+365
Sheffield Wed.64 pts
48.4
1.3
1.2
16.016.014.0-264
Brentford64 pts
57.2
1.6
1.1
17.013.016.0+1464
Hull City62 pts
45.7
1.4
1.4
17.011.018.0-262
Preston61 pts
44.4
1.3
1.3
16.013.017.0+061
Blackburn60 pts
48.7
1.4
1.3
16.012.018.0-560
Stoke City55 pts
49.2
1.1
1.0
11.022.013.0-755
Wigan52 pts
44.3
1.3
1.3
13.013.020.0-1352
Birmingham52 pts
47.6
1.3
1.2
14.019.013.0+652
QPR51 pts
46.4
1.3
1.3
14.09.023.0-1851
Reading47 pts
36.1
1.1
1.5
10.017.019.0-1747
Millwall44 pts
49.1
1.3
1.1
10.014.022.0-1644
Rotherham40 pts
41.1
1.4
1.6
8.016.022.0-3140
Bolton32 pts
29.8
0.9
1.6
8.08.030.0-4932
Ipswich Town31 pts
32.5
1.0
1.5
5.016.025.0-4131
Forecast from
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