Updated Jan. 21, 2018 at 1:06 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Championship

2017-18 season

England, tier 2

Updated Jan. 20, 2018 at 2:32 PM

Upcoming matches
1/27
Ipswich Town
26%
29%
Wolverhampton
45%
1/27
Barnsley
26%
26%
Fulham
48%
1/27
Bristol City
51%
27%
QPR
22%
1/27
Brentford
50%
26%
Norwich City
24%
1/30
Middlesbrough
52%
28%
Sheffield Wed.
20%
1/30
Birmingham
41%
31%
Sunderland
28%
1/30
Hull City
43%
28%
Leeds United
29%
1/30
Nottm Forest
35%
30%
Preston
35%
1/30
Millwall
34%
28%
Derby County
38%
1/30
Sheffield United
37%
30%
Aston Villa
33%
1/30
Burton Albion
34%
31%
Reading
35%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance.See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
1/20
Sheffield Wed.0
32%30%
Cardiff City0
39%
SHWCAR
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.61.2
Non-shot xG1.31.1
1/20
Norwich City1
40%30%
Sheffield United2
31%
NORSHEF
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.41.1
Non-shot xG0.91.5
1/20
Leeds United3
43%30%
Millwall4
27%
LEEMIL
Adjusted goals3.23.6
Shot-based xG2.32.7
Non-shot xG1.33.3
1/20
Wolverhampton0
65%23%
Nottm Forest2
12%
WOLFOR
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.30.3
Non-shot xG1.10.6
1/20
QPR0
33%29%
Middlesbrough3
37%
QPRMID
Adjusted goals0.02.8
Shot-based xG0.71.5
Non-shot xG1.51.3
1/20
Preston1
56%28%
Birmingham1
15%
PNEBIR
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.81.4
Non-shot xG0.61.8
1/20
Sunderland1
35%28%
Hull City0
37%
SUNHCY
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.71.3
Non-shot xG0.91.5
1/20
Reading0
31%27%
Brentford1
41%
REABRN
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.62.5
Non-shot xG1.62.1
1/20
Bolton1
40%29%
Ipswich Town1
31%
BLTIPS
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.0
Non-shot xG1.40.9
1/20
Fulham6
63%23%
Burton Albion0
14%
FULBUR
Adjusted goals5.60.0
Shot-based xG3.50.2
Non-shot xG1.30.6
1/20
Aston Villa3
62%26%
Barnsley1
12%
AVLBAR
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG1.62.5
Non-shot xG1.91.9
1/19
Derby County0
51%27%
Bristol City0
22%
DERBRC
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG2.30.9
Non-shot xG1.51.6
See all
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Wolverhampton62 pts
49.6
1.3
1.1
27.510.08.4+3793<1%12%89%70%
Derby County53 pts
48.1
1.3
1.2
23.213.19.7+2983<1%49%51%13%
Aston Villa50 pts
47.7
1.3
1.2
22.213.110.6+2580<1%56%38%6%
Cardiff City51 pts
45.7
1.2
1.2
22.811.112.0+2180<1%55%35%6%
Fulham45 pts
47.1
1.5
1.4
20.413.612.0+2075<1%45%22%2%
Bristol City48 pts
40.4
1.2
1.4
20.114.111.7+1175<1%43%15%1%
Sheffield United46 pts
42.7
1.2
1.3
21.39.115.6+1473<1%37%14%<1%
Middlesbrough44 pts
45.2
1.2
1.2
20.810.215.0+1773<1%36%14%<1%
Brentford43 pts
43.7
1.4
1.5
18.814.812.4+1271<1%30%12%<1%
Preston42 pts
40.0
1.1
1.3
16.717.312.0+668<1%15%5%<1%
Leeds United43 pts
36.8
1.1
1.5
18.99.117.9+566<1%11%3%<1%
Ipswich Town40 pts
32.7
1.0
1.6
17.59.219.3-362<1%4%<1%<1%
Norwich City37 pts
37.5
1.1
1.4
16.212.217.6-661<1%3%<1%<1%
Millwall34 pts
38.9
1.2
1.5
14.815.016.2+1591%2%<1%<1%
Nottm Forest35 pts
33.1
1.0
1.6
16.77.122.2-11573%<1%<1%<1%
Sheffield Wed.32 pts
35.6
1.0
1.4
12.916.316.8-6555%<1%<1%<1%
QPR33 pts
32.8
1.0
1.6
13.614.018.4-13556%<1%<1%<1%
Reading29 pts
31.0
0.9
1.6
12.013.220.8-124921%<1%<1%<1%
Hull City25 pts
36.9
1.1
1.5
11.315.119.6-74922%<1%<1%<1%
Barnsley27 pts
30.3
0.9
1.6
11.014.220.9-184732%<1%<1%<1%
Bolton26 pts
30.5
1.0
1.7
11.113.121.7-264738%<1%<1%<1%
Sunderland25 pts
30.4
1.0
1.7
10.115.020.9-234543%<1%<1%<1%
Birmingham24 pts
30.1
0.9
1.5
10.811.323.8-294454%<1%<1%<1%
Burton Albion24 pts
24.5
0.8
1.8
9.910.925.2-434174%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from

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