Updated Aug. 22, 2019, at 12:36 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2019-20 season

England, tier 2

Updated Aug. 21, 2019, at 4:54 p.m.

Upcoming matches
August 20-26
8/24
Derby County
40%
28%
West Brom
32%
8/24
Middlesbrough
46%
30%
Millwall
24%
8/24
Fulham
65%
22%
Nottm Forest
13%
8/24
Blackburn
38%
28%
Cardiff City
35%
8/24
Preston
41%
29%
Sheffield Wed.
30%
8/24
Hull City
38%
27%
Bristol City
35%
8/24
Stoke City
29%
29%
Leeds United
43%
8/24
QPR
47%
27%
Wigan
25%
8/24
Barnsley
41%
29%
Luton Town
30%
8/24
Huddersfield
56%
25%
Reading
19%
8/24
Charlton Athletic
27%
28%
Brentford
45%
8/25
Swansea City
51%
26%
Birmingham
23%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
August 20-26
8/21
West Brom1
56%25%
Reading1
19%
WBAREA
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.10.6
Non-shot xG2.30.6
8/21
Charlton Athletic1
31%29%
Nottm Forest1
40%
CHAFOR
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.01.2
Non-shot xG1.11.2
8/21
Leeds United1
56%25%
Brentford0
19%
LEEBRN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.00.2
Non-shot xG1.10.5
8/21
Cardiff City2
37%27%
Huddersfield1
36%
CARHUD
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.6
Non-shot xG1.70.3
8/21
QPR1
39%27%
Swansea City3
34%
QPRSWA
Adjusted goals1.12.9
Shot-based xG1.51.6
Non-shot xG2.00.9
8/21
Preston3
34%29%
Stoke City1
37%
PNESTK
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG0.40.7
Non-shot xG0.80.8
8/21
Fulham4
69%21%
Millwall0
10%
FULMIL
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG2.00.9
Non-shot xG1.80.8
8/20
Sheffield Wed.1
53%26%
Luton Town0
21%
SHWLUT
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.40.6
Non-shot xG1.11.3
8/20
Hull City0
42%27%
Blackburn1
30%
HCYBLK
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.71.4
Non-shot xG1.51.3
8/20
Derby County1
46%27%
Bristol City2
27%
DERBRC
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.51.2
Non-shot xG1.70.6
8/20
Birmingham2
50%28%
Barnsley0
22%
BIRBAR
Adjusted goals1.90.0
Shot-based xG1.50.3
Non-shot xG1.80.3
8/20
Middlesbrough1
50%27%
Wigan0
23%
MIDWGA
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.30.6
Non-shot xG0.81.4
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Fulham9 pts
67.8
1.9
0.9
+4390<1%29%65%36%
Leeds United10 pts
65.3
1.8
0.9
+3687<1%33%57%28%
West Brom8 pts
55.1
1.5
1.1
+12722%30%20%5%
Swansea City10 pts
52.0
1.5
1.3
+9713%28%17%5%
Brentford4 pts
54.9
1.5
1.1
+9684%25%15%3%
Cardiff City6 pts
52.8
1.5
1.2
+4674%24%14%3%
Bristol City7 pts
51.3
1.5
1.2
+5674%24%13%3%
Derby County5 pts
52.6
1.4
1.1
+7675%23%13%3%
Huddersfield1 pt
55.5
1.6
1.1
+9665%23%13%3%
Sheffield Wed.9 pts
48.2
1.3
1.2
+1647%18%9%2%
Nottm Forest5 pts
50.5
1.4
1.1
+4637%18%9%2%
Stoke City1 pt
54.1
1.4
1.0
+2637%18%10%2%
Blackburn6 pts
47.9
1.3
1.2
-3629%15%7%1%
Middlesbrough4 pts
49.0
1.3
1.2
-26011%13%6%<1%
Preston6 pts
46.6
1.3
1.3
-26011%13%6%<1%
Birmingham7 pts
45.7
1.2
1.2
-76011%13%6%<1%
Millwall7 pts
45.0
1.2
1.2
-95912%12%5%<1%
QPR4 pts
47.0
1.3
1.3
-75913%12%5%<1%
Hull City4 pts
45.8
1.4
1.4
-85715%10%4%<1%
Reading4 pts
42.1
1.2
1.4
-135323%6%2%<1%
Wigan3 pts
42.1
1.2
1.4
-175225%5%2%<1%
Charlton Athletic8 pts
37.4
1.1
1.5
-195128%5%2%<1%
Barnsley4 pts
35.4
1.1
1.5
-284545%2%<1%<1%
Luton Town1 pt
37.3
1.1
1.5
-254447%2%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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