Updated Sept. 17, 2020, at 11:30 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2020-21

England, tier 2

Updated Sept. 12, 2020, at 11:58 a.m.

Upcoming matches
September 15-21
9/18
Coventry City
36%
27%
QPR
37%
9/19
Nottm Forest
37%
29%
Cardiff City
34%
9/19
Middlesbrough
23%
25%
Bournemouth
52%
9/19
Blackburn
50%
27%
Wycombe
23%
9/19
Reading
41%
29%
Barnsley
30%
9/19
Sheffield Wed.
23%
25%
Watford
51%
9/19
Swansea City
48%
27%
Birmingham
26%
9/19
Luton Town
34%
29%
Derby County
37%
9/19
Brentford
56%
26%
Huddersfield
17%
9/19
Rotherham
33%
29%
Millwall
38%
9/19
Norwich
58%
26%
Preston
17%
9/20
Stoke City
48%
27%
Bristol City
25%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
September 8-14
9/12
Millwall0
35%28%
Stoke City0
36%
MILSTK
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.50.9
Non-shot xG0.81.8
9/12
Bournemouth3
63%22%
Blackburn2
15%
BOUBLK
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG0.90.8
Non-shot xG1.41.1
9/12
Huddersfield0
27%27%
Norwich1
46%
HUDNOR
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.31.5
Non-shot xG0.62.1
9/12
Bristol City2
49%27%
Coventry City1
25%
BRCCOV
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.61.3
Non-shot xG1.31.2
9/12
Barnsley0
47%28%
Luton Town1
24%
BARLUT
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.70.6
Non-shot xG0.81.0
9/12
Cardiff City0
45%27%
Sheffield Wed.2
28%
CARSHW
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.90.9
Non-shot xG1.20.9
9/12
QPR2
40%27%
Nottm Forest0
33%
QPRFOR
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG2.41.3
Non-shot xG1.10.9
9/12
Preston0
38%29%
Swansea City1
33%
PNESWA
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.60.9
Non-shot xG1.00.6
9/12
Derby County0
44%27%
Reading2
29%
DERREA
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.31.0
Non-shot xG0.70.8
9/12
Wycombe0
40%29%
Rotherham1
31%
WYCROT
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.70.8
Non-shot xG0.71.3
9/12
Birmingham1
24%26%
Brentford0
50%
BIRBRN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.91.7
Non-shot xG0.81.1
9/11
Watford1
64%22%
Middlesbrough0
14%
WATMID
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.91.1
Non-shot xG0.91.5
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Bournemouth3 pts
64.5
1.9
1.0
+3486<1%35%50%25%
Watford3 pts
64.2
1.8
1.0
+3385<1%35%49%23%
Norwich3 pts
61.6
1.7
1.0
+2782<1%36%41%17%
Brentford0 pts
60.8
1.6
1.0
+22771%35%32%10%
Stoke City1 pt
54.1
1.5
1.1
+11694%27%17%4%
Swansea City3 pts
50.8
1.4
1.2
+5675%23%14%3%
Bristol City3 pts
47.8
1.4
1.3
-1638%18%9%2%
Cardiff City0 pts
50.0
1.4
1.2
+0638%18%9%2%
Millwall1 pt
48.0
1.3
1.2
-1619%16%8%2%
Blackburn0 pts
47.9
1.4
1.3
-26110%16%7%1%
Reading3 pts
45.7
1.3
1.3
-46110%15%7%1%
QPR3 pts
45.5
1.4
1.4
-56011%15%7%1%
Birmingham3 pts
44.8
1.3
1.4
-66012%14%6%1%
Middlesbrough0 pts
47.2
1.3
1.2
-45912%14%6%1%
Preston0 pts
47.5
1.2
1.1
-45912%13%6%<1%
Huddersfield0 pts
46.6
1.3
1.2
-55913%13%6%<1%
Nottm Forest0 pts
45.7
1.3
1.3
-75814%11%5%<1%
Derby County0 pts
45.9
1.3
1.3
-85814%11%5%<1%
Barnsley0 pts
45.0
1.2
1.2
-85616%10%4%<1%
Luton Town3 pts
39.2
1.1
1.4
-175223%7%3%<1%
Rotherham3 pts
39.2
1.1
1.4
-175223%6%2%<1%
Sheffield Wed.-9 pts
46.6
1.3
1.3
-25029%6%3%<1%
Coventry City0 pts
39.3
1.2
1.4
-195029%5%2%<1%
Wycombe0 pts
37.7
1.1
1.5
-234736%3%1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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