Updated July 12, 2020, at 3:32 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 38 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2019-20 season

England, tier 2

Updated July 12, 2020, at 10:32 a.m.

Upcoming matches
July 14-20
7/14
West Brom
50%
29%
Fulham
21%
7/14
Wigan
48%
28%
Hull City
24%
7/14
Reading
35%
30%
Middlesbrough
34%
7/14
Sheffield Wed.
34%
30%
Huddersfield
36%
7/14
Cardiff City
43%
28%
Derby County
29%
7/14
Millwall
40%
31%
Blackburn
29%
7/14
Luton Town
35%
28%
QPR
37%
7/15
Bristol City
32%
28%
Stoke City
40%
7/15
Brentford
66%
24%
Preston
10%
7/15
Birmingham
35%
29%
Charlton Athletic
36%
7/15
Nottm Forest
35%
30%
Swansea City
34%
7/16
Leeds United
68%
22%
Barnsley
10%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
July 7-13
7/12
Swansea City0
15%23%
Leeds United1
62%
SWALEE
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.21.0
Non-shot xG0.70.9
7/12
Stoke City2
48%27%
Birmingham0
25%
STKBIR
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.8
Non-shot xG1.70.8
7/11
Barnsley0
27%31%
Wigan0
42%
BARWGA
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.90.4
Non-shot xG1.00.9
7/11
QPR0
39%28%
Sheffield Wed.3
33%
QPRSHW
Adjusted goals0.03.0
Shot-based xG0.81.8
Non-shot xG1.11.1
7/11
Hull City0
35%28%
Millwall1
37%
HCYMIL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.20.8
Non-shot xG0.91.0
7/11
Preston1
38%32%
Nottm Forest1
30%
PNEFOR
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.41.1
Non-shot xG1.90.8
7/11
Blackburn1
20%27%
West Brom1
53%
BLKWBA
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.71.9
Non-shot xG1.31.6
7/11
Middlesbrough1
43%29%
Bristol City3
29%
MIDBRC
Adjusted goals1.12.9
Shot-based xG1.41.9
Non-shot xG1.31.6
7/11
Charlton Athletic0
37%31%
Reading1
32%
CHAREA
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.71.1
Non-shot xG2.10.8
7/11
Derby County1
16%24%
Brentford3
59%
DERBRN
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG0.91.2
Non-shot xG0.61.0
7/10
Fulham2
41%30%
Cardiff City0
29%
FULCAR
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.61.1
Non-shot xG1.11.3
7/10
Huddersfield0
51%28%
Luton Town2
21%
HUDLUT
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.50.4
Non-shot xG1.50.8
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Leeds United84 pts
70.8
1.8
0.7
+3991—1%>99%89%
West Brom81 pts
61.0
1.6
0.9
+3586—31%80%10%
Brentford78 pts
69.3
1.8
0.8
+4684—70%66%1%
Fulham76 pts
56.3
1.4
1.0
+1480—99%27%<1%
Nottm Forest69 pts
47.0
1.2
1.1
+1273—97%12%—
Cardiff City64 pts
49.9
1.4
1.2
+569—46%7%—
Swansea City63 pts
48.9
1.4
1.2
+567—26%4%—
Millwall62 pts
50.8
1.2
1.0
+466—14%2%—
Preston62 pts
49.1
1.2
1.1
+366—7%1%—
Bristol City61 pts
44.8
1.3
1.4
-465—3%<1%—
Derby County61 pts
48.7
1.4
1.3
-264—3%<1%—
Blackburn60 pts
48.9
1.3
1.2
+464—4%<1%—
Reading56 pts
45.1
1.2
1.2
+660—<1%<1%—
Sheffield Wed.55 pts
46.0
1.3
1.3
-559—<1%<1%—
QPR53 pts
45.7
1.3
1.3
-1157————
Stoke City49 pts
52.2
1.4
1.1
-1053<1%———
Birmingham49 pts
43.5
1.3
1.4
-17531%———
Middlesbrough47 pts
45.1
1.2
1.3
-13516%———
Huddersfield47 pts
46.2
1.2
1.2
-17519%———
Charlton Athletic46 pts
39.0
1.1
1.4
-134927%———
Hull City45 pts
41.9
1.4
1.6
-184936%———
Luton Town44 pts
34.6
1.1
1.5
-314765%———
Wigan42 pts
50.8
1.2
1.0
-64763%———
Barnsley43 pts
43.6
1.2
1.2
-234592%———
Forecast from
Season

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