Updated Jan. 31, 2023, at 6:09 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

Championship

2022-23

England, tier 2

Updated Jan. 31, 2023, at 4:40 p.m.

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	make prom. playoffs	promotedprom.	win Championshipwin league
Burnley62 pts	55.3	1.4	1.0	+38	93		—	6%	95%	69%
Sheffield Utd57 pts	55.2	1.5	1.1	+33	88		<1%	21%	81%	28%
Middlesbrough45 pts	52.8	1.4	1.1	+15	73		<1%	51%	19%	<1%
Millwall42 pts	51.2	1.3	1.1	+12	72		<1%	46%	17%	<1%
Luton Town45 pts	48.9	1.3	1.2	+10	72		<1%	45%	15%	<1%
West Brom41 pts	55.0	1.4	1.0	+17	72		<1%	48%	20%	<1%
Norwich42 pts	52.4	1.5	1.2	+16	71		<1%	44%	16%	<1%
Watford44 pts	47.6	1.3	1.2	+6	70		<1%	35%	10%	<1%
Swansea City39 pts	51.3	1.5	1.2	+9	68		<1%	31%	10%	<1%
Sunderland41 pts	45.4	1.3	1.3	+10	66		<1%	22%	6%	<1%
Coventry City38 pts	45.5	1.2	1.2	+2	64		<1%	13%	4%	<1%
Blackburn43 pts	36.9	1.0	1.3	-9	64		<1%	11%	2%	<1%
Preston40 pts	39.2	1.1	1.4	-8	62		1%	9%	2%	<1%
QPR38 pts	42.2	1.1	1.3	-7	61		2%	5%	1%	<1%
Reading37 pts	36.5	1.1	1.5	-15	59		5%	3%	<1%	<1%
Stoke City33 pts	46.1	1.2	1.2	-2	59		4%	4%	1%	<1%
Bristol City33 pts	42.2	1.2	1.4	-2	57		7%	2%	<1%	<1%
Hull City37 pts	37.9	1.1	1.4	-14	56		7%	1%	<1%	<1%
Birmingham32 pts	40.3	1.2	1.4	-8	55		13%	1%	<1%	<1%
Cardiff City29 pts	36.6	0.9	1.3	-16	48		42%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Rotherham31 pts	29.8	1.0	1.7	-18	48		43%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Blackpool26 pts	35.0	1.1	1.5	-18	48		46%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Huddersfield26 pts	34.6	0.9	1.3	-18	46		55%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Wigan25 pts	33.3	1.0	1.5	-31	44		70%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

Download this data.

Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.