Updated Dec. 13, 2019, at 5:28 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Championship

2019-20 season

England, tier 2

Updated Dec. 13, 2019, at 4:41 p.m.

Upcoming matches
December 10-16
12/14
Birmingham
26%
27%
West Brom
47%
12/14
Wigan
37%
30%
Huddersfield
34%
12/14
Derby County
40%
29%
Millwall
31%
12/14
Preston
56%
25%
Luton Town
19%
12/14
Stoke City
49%
28%
Reading
23%
12/14
Barnsley
36%
27%
QPR
38%
12/14
Bristol City
47%
27%
Blackburn
26%
12/14
Nottm Forest
41%
30%
Sheffield Wed.
29%
12/14
Swansea City
44%
28%
Middlesbrough
28%
12/14
Leeds United
66%
22%
Cardiff City
12%
12/14
Brentford
47%
28%
Fulham
26%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
December 10-16
12/13
Charlton Athletic2
29%27%
Hull City2
44%
CHAHCY
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.31.3
Non-shot xG0.91.8
12/11
Brentford2
56%26%
Cardiff City1
19%
BRNCAR
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.40.4
Non-shot xG1.71.2
12/11
Swansea City1
45%27%
Blackburn1
29%
SWABLK
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.70.4
Non-shot xG1.30.7
12/11
Barnsley1
37%28%
Reading1
36%
BARREA
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.20.9
Non-shot xG1.61.0
12/11
Derby County1
36%29%
Sheffield Wed.1
35%
DERSHW
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.8
Non-shot xG1.31.8
12/11
Birmingham0
43%28%
QPR2
30%
BIRQPR
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.71.0
Non-shot xG1.61.1
12/11
Wigan1
22%25%
West Brom1
53%
WGAWBA
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.7
Non-shot xG1.11.1
12/10
Stoke City3
56%25%
Luton Town0
19%
STKLUT
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG1.60.3
Non-shot xG1.50.6
12/10
Charlton Athletic0
33%28%
Huddersfield1
39%
CHAHUD
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.31.2
Non-shot xG0.41.2
12/10
Leeds United2
65%22%
Hull City0
13%
LEEHCY
Adjusted goals1.80.0
Shot-based xG0.80.4
Non-shot xG1.81.3
12/10
Nottm Forest1
47%30%
Middlesbrough1
23%
FORMID
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.81.3
Non-shot xG1.70.9
12/10
Bristol City1
47%27%
Millwall2
26%
BRCMIL
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.81.0
Non-shot xG1.61.1
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Championshipwin league
Leeds United46 pts
68.5
1.7
0.8
+4494<1%13%89%62%
West Brom46 pts
59.8
1.7
1.1
+3388<1%31%69%27%
Brentford33 pts
62.3
1.6
0.9
+2876<1%51%32%4%
Fulham35 pts
59.1
1.7
1.1
+1975<1%49%26%3%
Nottm Forest34 pts
50.5
1.3
1.1
+1271<1%36%13%1%
Bristol City35 pts
50.2
1.5
1.3
+570<1%33%11%<1%
Sheffield Wed.33 pts
52.3
1.4
1.1
+1369<1%33%12%<1%
Preston34 pts
50.3
1.4
1.2
+869<1%30%10%<1%
Cardiff City31 pts
50.6
1.5
1.2
+365<1%20%6%<1%
QPR31 pts
48.9
1.4
1.3
-5651%18%6%<1%
Hull City30 pts
52.1
1.5
1.2
+6651%19%6%<1%
Swansea City31 pts
47.7
1.4
1.3
-1642%17%5%<1%
Millwall30 pts
49.0
1.3
1.2
-1641%16%5%<1%
Blackburn31 pts
46.8
1.3
1.3
-3632%14%4%<1%
Birmingham28 pts
46.3
1.3
1.2
-10605%7%2%<1%
Derby County26 pts
46.1
1.3
1.3
-9587%5%2%<1%
Huddersfield21 pts
48.2
1.3
1.2
-115414%2%<1%<1%
Reading22 pts
45.1
1.3
1.3
-65414%3%<1%<1%
Middlesbrough21 pts
45.4
1.2
1.2
-145220%2%<1%<1%
Stoke City17 pts
50.4
1.3
1.1
-105220%1%<1%<1%
Charlton Athletic24 pts
36.1
1.1
1.6
-174736%<1%<1%<1%
Wigan17 pts
40.3
1.2
1.4
-244550%<1%<1%<1%
Luton Town20 pts
35.5
1.2
1.6
-324552%<1%<1%<1%
Barnsley13 pts
38.7
1.2
1.6
-304072%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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