Updated Oct. 24, 2021, at 11:55 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

Championship

2021-22

England, tier 2

Updated Oct. 24, 2021, at 11:54 a.m.

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	make prom. playoffs	promotedprom.	win Championshipwin league
Bournemouth34 pts	58.8	1.5	1.0	+35	91		<1%	30%	70%	40%
Fulham29 pts	61.4	1.8	1.1	+43	88		<1%	34%	65%	31%
West Brom28 pts	56.3	1.5	1.1	+31	83		<1%	45%	47%	16%
Sheffield Utd18 pts	54.0	1.6	1.2	+13	71		<1%	36%	19%	2%
Stoke City21 pts	49.1	1.3	1.2	+9	70		1%	32%	15%	2%
Luton Town21 pts	47.9	1.4	1.3	+10	68		1%	28%	12%	2%
Coventry City24 pts	44.3	1.2	1.3	+2	67		2%	25%	10%	1%
Middlesbrough21 pts	47.5	1.2	1.1	+7	67		2%	25%	11%	1%
Millwall21 pts	45.4	1.2	1.3	+3	67		2%	24%	9%	1%
QPR21 pts	45.7	1.4	1.4	+5	67		2%	24%	10%	1%
Blackburn20 pts	46.5	1.3	1.3	+8	65		2%	22%	9%	<1%
Birmingham16 pts	44.8	1.2	1.2	-3	61		6%	13%	5%	<1%
Swansea City17 pts	43.9	1.2	1.2	-2	61		6%	13%	5%	<1%
Huddersfield21 pts	39.5	1.1	1.3	-4	61		6%	12%	4%	<1%
Blackpool21 pts	36.8	1.1	1.5	-12	57		9%	7%	2%	<1%
Nottm Forest17 pts	40.0	1.1	1.3	-7	57		10%	8%	2%	<1%
Preston15 pts	42.3	1.1	1.2	-7	56		12%	6%	2%	<1%
Reading19 pts	36.5	1.2	1.6	-16	55		15%	5%	2%	<1%
Cardiff City11 pts	42.2	1.2	1.4	-17	53		19%	4%	1%	<1%
Bristol City16 pts	34.1	1.1	1.6	-19	51		26%	3%	<1%	<1%
Barnsley8 pts	39.3	1.1	1.3	-16	48		33%	2%	<1%	<1%
Peterborough14 pts	30.0	1.0	1.7	-31	45		47%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Hull City9 pts	34.5	1.0	1.4	-23	44		46%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Derby County5 pts	37.8	0.9	1.2	-9	43		51%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

Download this data.

Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments