Updated Oct. 18, 2018 at 12:05 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Super League

2018 season

China

Updated Oct. 7, 2018, at 9:34 a.m.

Upcoming matches
10/20
Shenhua
47%
27%
Tianjin Quanjian
26%
10/20
Shandong Luneng
61%
23%
Tianjin Teda
16%
10/20
Chongqing Lifan
45%
28%
Hebei CF
27%
10/20
Guangzhou E.
81%
14%
Beijing Renhe
5%
10/20
Guizhou Hengfeng
40%
28%
Dalian Yifang
33%
10/21
Beijing Guoan
64%
20%
Changchun Yatai
16%
10/21
Henan Jianye
51%
26%
Guangzhou R&F
23%
10/21
Jiangsu Suning
24%
26%
Shanghai SIPG
50%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
10/7
Shanghai SIPG5
81%14%
Guizhou Hengfeng0
5%
SIPGHENG
Adjusted goals4.90.0
Shot-based xG2.50.3
Non-shot xG2.21.0
10/7
Guangzhou R&F0
27%22%
Beijing Guoan3
51%
R&FBEIJ
Adjusted goals0.02.4
Shot-based xG0.72.4
Non-shot xG1.62.5
10/6
Hebei CF0
18%22%
Guangzhou E.3
60%
HCFCGUAN
Adjusted goals0.03.2
Shot-based xG1.11.7
Non-shot xG1.41.3
10/6
Chongqing Lifan0
44%28%
Shenhua1
28%
CHONSHEN
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.00.8
Non-shot xG1.40.4
10/6
Tianjin Teda3
40%28%
Changchun Yatai3
33%
TEDAYATA
Adjusted goals2.93.2
Shot-based xG2.71.9
Non-shot xG1.41.3
10/6
Dalian Yifang3
36%29%
Jiangsu Suning1
35%
DAYJIAN
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG1.40.4
Non-shot xG1.00.4
10/5
Beijing Renhe1
41%31%
Henan Jianye0
28%
GURJIAN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.00.5
Non-shot xG1.71.3
10/5
Shandong Luneng3
60%25%
Tianjin Quanjian2
16%
SHANTIA
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.01.4
Non-shot xG1.00.8
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.qualify for ACLmake ACLwin Super Leaguewin league
Shanghai SIPG58 pts
63.0
1.9
1.1
20.65.24.2+4467>99%63%
Guangzhou E.54 pts
67.7
2.1
1.1
20.34.05.7+4465>99%37%
Beijing Guoan48 pts
55.8
1.8
1.4
16.57.26.3+235759%<1%
Shandong Luneng48 pts
47.3
1.4
1.4
16.07.26.7+165541%<1%
Jiangsu Suning38 pts
47.5
1.3
1.2
11.89.48.8+845<1%
Shenhua33 pts
43.2
1.3
1.4
10.97.311.8-740<1%<1%
Dalian Yifang32 pts
41.1
1.2
1.4
10.76.412.9-1539<1%<1%
Hebei CF32 pts
43.6
1.3
1.4
9.69.311.0-438<1%<1%
Beijing Renhe33 pts
41.2
1.1
1.3
9.310.210.5-938<1%<1%
Changchun Yatai30 pts
45.4
1.5
1.5
9.87.213.0-737<1%<1%
Guangzhou R&F29 pts
39.7
1.4
1.7
9.76.314.0-10352%<1%
Tianjin Teda28 pts
38.2
1.2
1.5
8.38.213.5-10336%<1%
Tianjin Quanjian27 pts
38.6
1.2
1.5
8.37.314.4-153212%<1%
Chongqing Lifan24 pts
37.1
1.1
1.4
7.67.315.1-93033%<1%
Henan Jianye22 pts
38.0
1.1
1.4
7.75.416.9-212955%<1%
Guizhou Hengfeng18 pts
33.7
1.1
1.7
6.64.319.1-282492%<1%
Forecast from

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