Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 10:38 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Super League

2019 season

China

Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 9:40 a.m.

Upcoming matches
October 22-28
10/25
Chongqing Lifan
40%
26%
Shenhua
34%
10/26
Hebei CF
48%
23%
Guangzhou R&F
29%
10/26
Shenzhen
45%
28%
Wuhan Zall
26%
10/26
Beijing Guoan
67%
21%
Tianjin Teda
12%
10/27
Tianjin Quanjian
60%
24%
Beijing Renhe
17%
10/27
Jiangsu Suning
41%
26%
Shandong
33%
10/27
Guangzhou E.
76%
16%
Henan Jianye
7%
10/27
Shanghai SIPG
72%
18%
Dalian Yifang
10%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
October 15-21
10/20
Jiangsu Suning4
58%24%
Hebei CF1
19%
JIANHCFC
Adjusted goals4.11.1
Shot-based xG0.71.8
Non-shot xG1.00.6
10/20
Henan Jianye1
41%27%
Chongqing Lifan0
32%
JIANCHON
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.91.2
Non-shot xG1.81.0
10/20
Shenhua2
42%25%
Dalian Yifang1
34%
SHENDAY
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.70.4
Non-shot xG2.70.9
10/20
Tianjin Teda1
60%24%
Beijing Renhe0
17%
TEDAGUR
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.60.4
Non-shot xG1.71.3
10/19
Beijing Guoan0
52%25%
Shanghai SIPG2
23%
BEIJSIPG
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.51.1
Non-shot xG1.40.9
10/19
Guangzhou R&F1
35%23%
Shandong3
43%
R&FSHAN
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.01.6
Non-shot xG1.62.9
10/18
Tianjin Quanjian3
46%28%
Wuhan Zall1
26%
TIAWUH
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG2.02.0
Non-shot xG2.21.6
10/18
Shenzhen2
18%24%
Guangzhou E.3
58%
SHZGUAN
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG1.71.7
Non-shot xG1.31.1
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.qualify for ACLmake ACLwin Super Leaguewin league
Guangzhou E.62 pts
60.6
1.9
1.2
+417078%
Shanghai SIPG59 pts
59.0
1.7
1.1
+336715%
Beijing Guoan58 pts
57.9
1.7
1.2
+30667%
Shandong44 pts
50.3
1.6
1.4
+1850
Jiangsu Suning43 pts
49.5
1.5
1.3
+1650
Wuhan Zall37 pts
38.9
1.2
1.5
+043
Tianjin Teda35 pts
39.0
1.2
1.5
-440
Dalian Yifang34 pts
38.8
1.3
1.6
-240
Henan Jianye33 pts
37.6
1.2
1.5
-838<1%
Chongqing Lifan33 pts
36.7
1.2
1.6
-838<1%
Guangzhou R&F29 pts
34.6
1.5
2.0
-1734<1%
Shenhua30 pts
39.4
1.4
1.7
-934<1%
Hebei CF26 pts
35.4
1.2
1.7
-1931<1%
Tianjin Quanjian21 pts
33.3
1.1
1.7
-142628%
Shenzhen19 pts
33.3
1.0
1.6
-182473%
Beijing Renhe12 pts
26.1
0.9
1.8
-3716>99%
Forecast from
Season

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