Updated Aug. 14, 2018 at 9:28 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 35 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Super League

2018 season

China

Updated Aug. 14, 2018, at 9:28 a.m.

Upcoming matches
8/15
Shanghai SIPG
74%
16%
Guangzhou R&F
10%
8/15
Shandong Luneng
59%
24%
Hebei CF
17%
8/15
Jiangsu Suning
58%
25%
Chongqing Lifan
17%
8/15
Beijing Renhe
38%
30%
Changchun Yatai
32%
8/15
Tianjin Quanjian
49%
27%
Tianjin Teda
24%
8/15
Shenhua
51%
25%
Guizhou Hengfeng
24%
8/15
Henan Jianye
18%
24%
Guangzhou E.
58%
8/18
Guangzhou R&F
41%
25%
Changchun Yatai
33%
8/18
Tianjin Teda
36%
29%
Jiangsu Suning
34%
8/18
Chongqing Lifan
21%
24%
Shanghai SIPG
55%
8/18
Beijing Renhe
25%
25%
Beijing Guoan
50%
8/18
Dalian Yifang
48%
30%
Henan Jianye
22%
8/18
Guizhou Hengfeng
30%
27%
Shandong Luneng
44%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
8/14
Beijing Guoan5
64%22%
Dalian Yifang2
14%
BEIJDAY
Adjusted goals5.12.1
Shot-based xG2.80.7
Non-shot xG2.40.9
8/12
Beijing Renhe3
40%30%
Tianjin Quanjian3
30%
GURTIA
Adjusted goals3.22.9
Shot-based xG2.61.8
Non-shot xG0.71.9
8/11
Hebei CF1
55%23%
Guizhou Hengfeng0
22%
HCFCHENG
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.60.7
Non-shot xG1.01.1
8/11
Shanghai SIPG2
71%18%
Shenhua0
11%
SIPGSHEN
Adjusted goals2.00.0
Shot-based xG1.40.3
Non-shot xG1.60.4
8/11
Chongqing Lifan0
28%28%
Shandong Luneng2
44%
CHONSHAN
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.20.8
Non-shot xG1.81.2
8/11
Changchun Yatai3
22%24%
Guangzhou E.2
54%
YATAGUAN
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.30.5
Non-shot xG0.41.0
8/10
Dalian Yifang3
43%26%
Guangzhou R&F0
31%
DAYR&F
Adjusted goals2.90.0
Shot-based xG1.30.4
Non-shot xG1.60.9
8/10
Tianjin Teda2
46%30%
Henan Jianye0
24%
TEDAJIAN
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.30.4
Non-shot xG0.50.9
8/10
Beijing Guoan3
51%25%
Jiangsu Suning1
23%
BEIJJIAN
Adjusted goals2.91.1
Shot-based xG1.61.0
Non-shot xG1.61.7
8/5
Hebei CF1
53%25%
Tianjin Teda2
21%
HCFCTEDA
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.42.0
Non-shot xG0.81.5
8/5
Dalian Yifang1
22%24%
Shanghai SIPG0
55%
DAYSIPG
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.40.7
Non-shot xG0.90.8
8/5
Jiangsu Suning3
61%23%
Guizhou Hengfeng1
16%
JIANHENG
Adjusted goals2.61.1
Shot-based xG1.60.5
Non-shot xG1.81.0
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.qualify for ACLqualify for ACLwin Super Leaguewin league
Shanghai SIPG33 pts
62.5
1.9
1.2
17.76.16.2+3659<1%80%37%
Beijing Guoan39 pts
55.3
1.8
1.4
16.58.84.7+2358<1%76%24%
Guangzhou E.30 pts
64.0
2.0
1.2
16.96.17.0+2857<1%68%23%
Shandong Luneng35 pts
50.9
1.4
1.2
15.98.55.6+1956<1%62%15%
Jiangsu Suning28 pts
49.1
1.4
1.2
13.37.69.1+948<1%11%<1%
Shenhua23 pts
42.1
1.3
1.4
10.68.410.9-6401%<1%<1%
Tianjin Teda24 pts
40.3
1.2
1.4
11.26.512.3-1401%<1%<1%
Tianjin Quanjian22 pts
44.2
1.4
1.4
10.57.312.2-3392%<1%<1%
Changchun Yatai21 pts
45.6
1.3
1.3
10.76.512.8-3392%<1%<1%
Guangzhou R&F22 pts
42.3
1.5
1.7
10.47.112.5-7383%<1%<1%
Hebei CF21 pts
43.8
1.4
1.5
9.39.411.3-5375%<1%<1%
Beijing Renhe21 pts
37.5
1.1
1.4
8.69.511.9-13358%<1%<1%
Henan Jianye18 pts
35.7
1.0
1.4
8.56.614.8-163222%<1%<1%
Dalian Yifang16 pts
37.4
1.1
1.4
7.77.315.0-213033%<1%<1%
Chongqing Lifan15 pts
35.7
1.1
1.6
7.76.316.0-142940%<1%<1%
Guizhou Hengfeng8 pts
35.2
1.2
1.7
5.95.219.0-252383%<1%<1%
Forecast from

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