Updated Feb. 26, 2020, at 4:59 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

League One

2019-20 season

England, tier 3

Updated Feb. 25, 2020, at 4:48 p.m.

Upcoming matches

February 25 - March 2

2/28	Portsmouth	70%	20%
	Rochdale	11%

2/29	Bolton	30%	25%
	Stanley	45%

2/29	Blackpool	29%	28%
	Ipswich Town	42%

2/29	Tranmere Rovers	22%	25%
	Fleetwood Town	53%

2/29	Gillingham	54%	28%
	Wimbledon	17%

2/29	Doncaster	48%	28%
	Wycombe	24%

2/29	Bristol Rovers	40%	31%
	Shrewsbury	29%

2/29	Rotherham	65%	21%
	MK Dons	14%

2/29	Oxford United	83%	12%
	Southend United	5%

2/29	Burton Albion	26%	23%
	Peterborough	51%

3/1	Coventry City	32%	31%
	Sunderland	36%

See more

Completed matches

February 25 - March 2

2/25	Oxford United3	61%	23%
	Stanley0	17%

2/25	Shrewsbury2	48%	30%
	Tranmere Rovers3	22%

2/25	Blackpool2	55%	25%
	Bolton1	21%

2/25	Coventry City1	38%	27%
	Rotherham1	34%

2/25	Sunderland1	60%	26%
	Fleetwood Town1	14%

2/25	Portsmouth3	57%	26%
	MK Dons1	17%

See more

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	make prom. playoffs	promotedprom.	win League Onewin league
Rotherham61 pts	33.9	1.1	1.7	+34	82		—	34%	67%	38%
Coventry City61 pts	28.2	0.8	1.6	+19	80		—	45%	48%	21%
Sunderland58 pts	35.8	1.0	1.4	+27	79		<1%	51%	51%	16%
Portsmouth56 pts	31.3	1.0	1.6	+22	76		<1%	49%	31%	8%
Peterborough55 pts	35.0	1.2	1.7	+35	76		<1%	52%	32%	7%
Oxford United54 pts	33.3	1.0	1.6	+32	76		<1%	52%	31%	5%
Fleetwood Town55 pts	26.0	0.8	1.7	+15	74		<1%	38%	16%	3%
Wycombe59 pts	19.2	0.6	1.8	+6	73		—	33%	10%	2%
Ipswich Town52 pts	27.1	0.8	1.6	+20	71		<1%	29%	10%	<1%
Gillingham50 pts	22.8	0.6	1.6	+12	67		<1%	7%	2%	<1%
Doncaster48 pts	25.5	0.8	1.7	+18	66		<1%	8%	2%	<1%
Burton Albion46 pts	22.1	0.9	2.0	+1	62		<1%	2%	<1%	<1%
Blackpool41 pts	19.6	0.7	1.9	-1	56		<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Bristol Rovers42 pts	14.1	0.5	2.0	-16	55		<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Lincoln City39 pts	19.3	0.7	1.9	-1	54		<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Stanley39 pts	19.0	0.7	2.0	-7	53		<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Shrewsbury38 pts	13.0	0.4	1.9	-16	51		<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
MK Dons36 pts	19.8	0.7	1.9	-13	49		1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Rochdale33 pts	13.4	0.5	2.2	-23	46		7%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Wimbledon31 pts	13.6	0.5	2.0	-17	43		11%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Tranmere Rovers26 pts	10.6	0.4	2.3	-36	36		80%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Southend United16 pts	9.7	0.6	2.7	-59	25		>99%	—	—	—
Bolton11 pts	9.5	0.4	2.4	-51	22		>99%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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