Updated Jan. 21, 2021, at 11:58 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

League One

2020-21

England, tier 3

Updated Jan. 19, 2021, at 4:02 p.m.

Upcoming matches

January 19-25

1/23	Portsmouth	40%	28%
	Hull City	32%

1/23	Wigan	32%	26%
	Fleetwood Town	42%

1/23	Sunderland	58%	27%
	Shrewsbury	16%

1/23	Ipswich Town	32%	28%
	Peterborough	41%

1/23	Gillingham	44%	26%
	Rochdale	30%

1/23	Crewe Alexandra	50%	25%
	Wimbledon	25%

1/23	Lincoln City	61%	24%
	Northampton	15%

1/23	Oxford United	55%	24%
	Bristol Rovers	21%

1/23	Charlton Athletic	54%	22%
	Swindon Town	24%

See more

Completed matches

January 19-25

1/19	MK Dons3	33%	29%
	Fleetwood Town1	38%

1/19	Crewe Alexandra3	43%	28%
	Bristol Rovers2	29%

1/19	Doncaster1	60%	21%
	Rochdale0	20%

1/19	Sunderland1	69%	20%
	Plymouth Argyle2	11%

1/19	Portsmouth4	71%	19%
	Wimbledon0	10%

1/19	Peterborough2	51%	24%
	Charlton Athletic1	25%

1/19	Hull City3	62%	23%
	Stanley0	15%

See more

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	make prom. playoffs	promotedprom.	win League Onewin league
Portsmouth41 pts	36.7	1.1	1.5	+43	89		<1%	35%	67%	35%
Hull City42 pts	37.8	1.2	1.5	+37	88		<1%	39%	64%	30%
Peterborough39 pts	32.6	1.1	1.7	+28	82		<1%	49%	39%	11%
Doncaster39 pts	29.2	1.0	1.7	+23	80		<1%	48%	31%	9%
Lincoln City42 pts	25.5	0.8	1.7	+19	80		<1%	48%	26%	7%
Sunderland33 pts	32.9	0.9	1.4	+26	77		<1%	47%	27%	4%
Ipswich Town35 pts	25.0	0.8	1.6	+9	74		<1%	34%	15%	2%
Charlton Athletic36 pts	25.3	0.9	1.9	+9	70		<1%	23%	8%	<1%
Oxford United28 pts	27.2	0.9	1.8	+11	69		1%	21%	8%	<1%
Stanley33 pts	19.4	0.7	1.9	+0	67		1%	15%	4%	<1%
Fleetwood Town29 pts	24.4	0.8	1.7	+11	65		2%	11%	4%	<1%
Crewe Alexandra35 pts	19.3	0.7	1.9	+1	64		1%	8%	2%	<1%
Blackpool28 pts	21.4	0.6	1.7	-1	63		3%	8%	3%	<1%
MK Dons28 pts	22.6	0.8	1.8	+3	61		4%	5%	1%	<1%
Gillingham29 pts	18.6	0.6	1.8	-7	59		6%	3%	<1%	<1%
Shrewsbury24 pts	18.7	0.6	1.8	-7	57		12%	3%	<1%	<1%
Plymouth Argyle30 pts	16.9	0.7	2.2	-17	56		12%	1%	<1%	<1%
Bristol Rovers22 pts	14.8	0.5	2.1	-20	50		33%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Rochdale22 pts	17.5	0.8	2.3	-18	49		35%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Wigan20 pts	17.3	0.8	2.2	-22	49		37%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Swindon Town20 pts	16.0	0.8	2.4	-28	46		52%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Northampton22 pts	10.7	0.4	2.2	-35	45		59%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Wimbledon21 pts	11.9	0.5	2.3	-30	44		59%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Burton Albion16 pts	14.4	0.7	2.5	-36	38		82%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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