Updated Jan. 25, 2022, at 4:55 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

Liga MX

2022 Clausura

Mexico

Updated Jan. 23, 2022, at 9:56 p.m.

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	make playoffs	first-round bye	win clausura
Monterrey5 pts	64.7	1.8	0.9	+15	31		97%	66%	24%
Cruz Azul7 pts	58.6	1.6	1.0	+10	31		97%	62%	15%
Club América1 pt	59.0	1.6	1.0	+5	27		86%	34%	12%
Tigres UANL4 pts	57.9	1.6	1.0	+5	27		90%	38%	11%
Atlas7 pts	51.3	1.3	1.0	+5	28		91%	38%	7%
Pachuca6 pts	52.6	1.5	1.2	+5	27		88%	35%	7%
León5 pts	50.2	1.5	1.3	+3	25		82%	26%	5%
Guadalajara4 pts	49.2	1.4	1.2	+2	23		73%	17%	4%
Santos Laguna1 pt	50.8	1.4	1.2	-4	21		57%	9%	3%
Pumas UNAM6 pts	45.2	1.2	1.2	+4	24		75%	17%	3%
Puebla4 pts	44.4	1.2	1.2	+1	24		72%	18%	3%
FC Juárez6 pts	40.8	1.2	1.4	-3	23		66%	12%	2%
Toluca6 pts	40.8	1.3	1.5	-6	22		65%	12%	1%
Tijuana1 pt	42.9	1.2	1.3	-5	20		49%	6%	1%
Necaxa3 pts	38.6	1.2	1.5	-6	19		44%	5%	<1%
Querétaro2 pts	35.9	1.1	1.5	-8	17		32%	2%	<1%
Mazatlán0 pts	35.1	1.0	1.5	-13	15		19%	1%	<1%
San Luis0 pts	35.5	1.1	1.6	-12	14		17%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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