Updated March 2, 2021, at 11:54 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2021 Guardianes

Mexico

Updated March 2, 2021, at 11:54 p.m.

Upcoming matches
March 2-8
3/3
Querétaro
31%
27%
Guadalajara
41%
3/3
FC Juárez
22%
26%
Monterrey
52%
3/3
Cruz Azul
63%
23%
Mazatlán
14%
3/3
Tijuana
30%
29%
Club América
41%
3/4
Necaxa
35%
29%
Pachuca
36%
3/4
Pumas UNAM
35%
29%
Santos Laguna
35%
3/5
San Luis
43%
27%
Toluca
29%
3/5
Puebla
27%
30%
Tigres UANL
43%
3/6
Atlas
48%
29%
FC Juárez
23%
3/6
Club América
48%
28%
León
24%
3/6
Monterrey
68%
21%
Querétaro
11%
3/6
Mazatlán
30%
27%
Guadalajara
43%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 2-8
3/2
León1
50%28%
Puebla2
21%
LEOPUE
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.21.6
Non-shot xG0.81.1
3/2
Tigres UANL0
60%24%
Toluca1
16%
TIGTOL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.70.5
Non-shot xG1.80.4
3/2
Atlas3
43%30%
San Luis1
28%
ATLASL
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG2.20.2
Non-shot xG1.10.5
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsfirst-round byewin Guardianes
Monterrey12 pts
60.2
1.6
1.0
+103199%67%23%
Club América19 pts
55.3
1.4
1.0
+1133>99%84%18%
Cruz Azul18 pts
55.8
1.5
1.1
+1334>99%87%17%
Tigres UANL11 pts
56.9
1.5
1.0
+42693%26%13%
Santos Laguna15 pts
48.6
1.3
1.2
+62998%49%8%
Tijuana13 pts
43.3
1.2
1.3
+32590%20%3%
Puebla15 pts
41.6
1.1
1.2
+52594%21%3%
Guadalajara10 pts
46.2
1.4
1.3
-12268%6%3%
Toluca17 pts
40.9
1.2
1.4
+52697%28%3%
León7 pts
47.1
1.4
1.3
-42054%2%3%
Atlas9 pts
43.2
1.1
1.2
-42054%1%2%
San Luis11 pts
39.7
1.2
1.4
-12165%3%1%
FC Juárez8 pts
36.8
1.1
1.5
-81946%2%<1%
Pumas UNAM5 pts
40.6
1.1
1.3
-51623%<1%<1%
Pachuca3 pts
45.0
1.3
1.3
-81515%<1%<1%
Querétaro10 pts
35.0
1.1
1.5
-82046%2%<1%
Necaxa6 pts
37.8
1.1
1.4
-71728%<1%<1%
Mazatlán10 pts
33.5
1.0
1.5
-111831%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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