Updated May 26, 2020, at 4:26 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2019-20 Clausura season

Mexico

Updated March 16, 2020, at 12:14 a.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 10-16
3/15
Club América0
46%26%
Cruz Azul1
29%
AMECAZ
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.41.1
Non-shot xG1.21.3
3/15
Santos Laguna2
52%25%
Necaxa1
23%
SANNEC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.80.7
Non-shot xG1.11.0
3/15
Toluca2
46%28%
Atlas3
26%
TOLATL
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG2.82.0
Non-shot xG0.91.0
3/14
Guadalajara1
36%27%
Monterrey1
37%
GDLMON
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.71.1
Non-shot xG1.22.3
3/14
León3
49%25%
Pumas UNAM1
27%
LEOPUM
Adjusted goals2.51.1
Shot-based xG3.00.3
Non-shot xG2.51.0
3/14
Tigres UANL3
67%21%
FC Juárez2
12%
TIGFCJ
Adjusted goals3.02.1
Shot-based xG2.11.9
Non-shot xG1.11.7
3/14
San Luis0
48%29%
Puebla1
23%
ASLPUE
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.40.6
Non-shot xG1.00.7
3/13
Tijuana3
31%28%
Pachuca2
41%
TIJPAC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.61.7
Non-shot xG1.51.0
3/13
Morelia4
43%27%
Querétaro0
31%
MORQTO
Adjusted goals3.80.0
Shot-based xG3.10.6
Non-shot xG1.30.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffswin clausura
Cruz Azul22 pts
54.9
1.6
1.2
+1233>99%18%
Tigres UANL14 pts
57.2
1.5
1.0
+62670%16%
Club América17 pts
53.3
1.5
1.1
+22881%13%
León21 pts
50.9
1.6
1.3
+113298%13%
Santos Laguna17 pts
50.8
1.5
1.3
+22882%11%
Pachuca14 pts
49.3
1.4
1.3
+02451%7%
Guadalajara16 pts
44.4
1.3
1.4
+22664%5%
Morelia14 pts
46.0
1.4
1.4
+12345%4%
Pumas UNAM15 pts
43.4
1.3
1.4
+22560%4%
Querétaro14 pts
42.7
1.2
1.3
-32336%3%
FC Juárez14 pts
39.0
1.2
1.5
+12341%2%
Necaxa11 pts
44.1
1.3
1.4
+12019%2%
San Luis13 pts
39.4
1.1
1.4
-62119%1%
Puebla14 pts
37.7
1.0
1.3
-32122%1%
Monterrey5 pts
56.4
1.6
1.1
-4172%<1%
Toluca10 pts
38.0
1.2
1.6
-6174%<1%
Tijuana9 pts
40.3
1.2
1.4
-9173%<1%
Atlas9 pts
38.4
1.1
1.4
-9173%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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