Updated Dec. 16, 2018, at 3:00 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2018-19 Apertura season

Mexico

Updated Dec. 13, 2018, at 11:45 p.m.

Upcoming matches
12/16
Cruz Azul
33%
28%
Club América
38%
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/13
Club América0
57%24%
Cruz Azul0
18%
AMECAZ
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.70.9
Non-shot xG0.40.5
See more
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make playoffsmake semismake finalwin apertura
Club América
60.7
1.7
1.0
54%
Cruz Azul
49.7
1.4
1.2
46%
Monterrey
53.1
1.4
1.1
Pumas UNAM
48.9
1.5
1.3
Santos Laguna
51.2
1.5
1.2
Tigres UANL
60.3
1.6
1.0
Querétaro
43.6
1.2
1.3
Toluca
53.4
1.5
1.2
Morelia
43.9
1.4
1.4
Pachuca
50.8
1.5
1.2
Guadalajara
46.6
1.3
1.2
Puebla
41.6
1.2
1.4
Lobos BUAP
39.8
1.2
1.5
León
46.1
1.3
1.3
Tijuana
45.2
1.2
1.2
Necaxa
44.2
1.2
1.3
Atlas
39.7
1.1
1.4
Veracruz
33.2
1.1
1.6
Forecast from
Season

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