Updated Nov. 17, 2017 at 11:54 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Liga MX

2017-18 Apertura season

Mexico

Updated Nov. 17, 2017 at 11:54 PM

Upcoming matches
11/18
Querétaro
44%
28%
Pumas UNAM
27%
11/18
Cruz Azul
58%
26%
Veracruz
17%
11/18
Monterrey
40%
30%
Tigres UANL
30%
11/18
León
50%
26%
Guadalajara
24%
11/18
Necaxa
42%
31%
Morelia
27%
11/19
Toluca
42%
30%
Tijuana
28%
11/19
Santos Laguna
43%
27%
Club América
30%
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
11/17
Atlas1
44%28%
Pachuca1
28%
ATLPAC
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.40.9
Non-shot xG1.51.1
11/17
Puebla0
48%27%
Lobos BUAP1
26%
PUEBUAP
Adjusted goals0.00.8
Shot-based xG0.31.8
Non-shot xG0.61.5
11/9
Monterrey1
52%25%
Santos Laguna1
23%
MONSAN
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.70.2
Non-shot xG1.20.4
11/5
Veracruz0
33%29%
Toluca1
38%
VERTOL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.41.2
Non-shot xG1.91.2
11/5
Tigres UANL1
52%30%
Necaxa0
18%
TIGNEC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG3.20.4
Non-shot xG2.60.5
11/5
Pumas UNAM2
34%28%
Santos Laguna2
38%
PUMSAN
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.51.0
Non-shot xG0.91.3
11/4
Guadalajara1
41%29%
Atlas2
30%
GDLATL
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.41.3
Non-shot xG1.10.9
11/4
Club América1
48%29%
Puebla1
23%
AMEPUE
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.90.9
Non-shot xG0.81.1
11/4
Pachuca0
51%26%
Querétaro1
23%
PACQTO
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.80.3
Non-shot xG2.00.5
11/4
Lobos BUAP2
25%25%
Monterrey1
51%
BUAPMON
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.20.3
Non-shot xG1.60.6
11/3
Tijuana2
38%29%
León1
34%
TIJLEO
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG3.10.6
Non-shot xG2.31.2
11/3
Morelia1
42%29%
Cruz Azul2
29%
MORCAZ
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.42.6
Non-shot xG1.11.4
See all
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffswin clausura
Tigres UANL32 pts
54.2
1.5
1.1
9.35.32.4+143328%
Monterrey34 pts
51.8
1.4
1.1
10.44.32.3+153522%
León26 pts
45.5
1.4
1.4
8.52.36.2+72810%
Club América27 pts
44.2
1.3
1.3
8.33.35.4+42810%
Toluca26 pts
42.3
1.2
1.3
7.45.34.3+1287%
Morelia26 pts
41.7
1.2
1.4
7.35.34.4+7277%
Cruz Azul24 pts
45.9
1.3
1.2
6.66.34.2+02665%7%
Necaxa24 pts
40.5
1.0
1.2
6.46.34.3+52678%5%
Atlas25 pts
42.5
1.2
1.3
7.04.06.0+42558%3%
Lobos BUAP23 pts
38.5
1.3
1.6
7.02.08.0-523
Tijuana21 pts
42.3
1.1
1.3
6.33.37.4-422<1%<1%
Santos Laguna18 pts
44.5
1.4
1.4
3.49.34.3-220
Pachuca19 pts
42.6
1.3
1.4
5.04.08.0-219
Querétaro15 pts
36.5
1.1
1.5
3.46.37.3-817
Puebla16 pts
38.1
1.0
1.3
3.07.07.0-616
Guadalajara15 pts
39.0
1.1
1.4
3.26.37.5-516
Veracruz14 pts
32.2
1.0
1.6
4.22.310.6-1415
Pumas UNAM12 pts
35.0
1.0
1.5
3.33.310.4-1113
Forecast from
Season

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