Updated Jan. 23, 2018 at 4:42 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Liga MX

2017-18 Clausura season

Mexico

Updated Jan. 21, 2018 at 8:54 PM

Upcoming matches
1/26
Morelia
50%
28%
Querétaro
21%
1/26
Tijuana
43%
32%
Puebla
25%
1/27
Lobos BUAP
41%
27%
Pumas UNAM
32%
1/27
Tigres UANL
56%
26%
Pachuca
19%
1/27
León
49%
28%
Necaxa
22%
1/27
Guadalajara
29%
28%
Monterrey
43%
1/27
Club América
47%
29%
Atlas
25%
1/28
Toluca
40%
30%
Cruz Azul
30%
1/28
Veracruz
30%
28%
Santos Laguna
42%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance.See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
1/21
Santos Laguna1
45%27%
Morelia0
28%
SANMOR
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.70.4
Non-shot xG0.71.0
1/21
Pumas UNAM0
40%29%
Club América0
31%
PUMAME
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.00.7
Non-shot xG0.81.3
1/20
Necaxa1
42%32%
Guadalajara3
26%
NECGDL
Adjusted goals1.12.7
Shot-based xG2.71.8
Non-shot xG2.51.3
1/20
Pachuca3
51%24%
Lobos BUAP1
25%
PACBUAP
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG2.30.8
Non-shot xG1.21.1
1/20
Monterrey0
55%27%
Tijuana0
18%
MONTIJ
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.70.3
Non-shot xG0.90.5
1/20
Cruz Azul0
46%28%
León0
26%
CAZLEO
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.91.5
Non-shot xG1.51.3
1/20
Querétaro0
24%28%
Tigres UANL0
48%
QTOTIG
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.10.5
Non-shot xG0.21.0
1/19
Atlas1
39%28%
Toluca3
33%
ATLTOL
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG1.22.0
Non-shot xG1.61.2
1/19
Puebla2
50%30%
Veracruz0
20%
PUEVER
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.50.6
Non-shot xG1.40.6
1/14
Veracruz0
23%28%
Monterrey2
50%
VERMON
Adjusted goals0.01.7
Shot-based xG0.50.9
Non-shot xG1.21.2
1/14
Pumas UNAM3
40%28%
Atlas1
32%
PUMATL
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG2.00.6
Non-shot xG1.31.3
1/13
Guadalajara1
37%32%
Cruz Azul3
32%
GDLCAZ
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG1.01.6
Non-shot xG1.50.9
See all
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make playoffswin clausura
Monterrey5 pts
54.6
1.5
1.1
7.65.93.5+929<1%78%19%
Tigres UANL4 pts
54.6
1.4
1.0
7.95.04.1+829<1%79%19%
León7 pts
45.8
1.4
1.4
7.64.84.6+528<1%72%8%
Cruz Azul5 pts
46.1
1.1
1.1
6.66.24.2+526<1%63%8%
Santos Laguna6 pts
44.2
1.4
1.4
7.23.95.9+326<1%59%6%
Tijuana5 pts
42.3
1.1
1.2
6.36.14.5+325<1%56%5%
Toluca4 pts
44.5
1.3
1.4
6.25.05.9+123<1%45%5%
Club América5 pts
41.3
1.1
1.3
6.06.24.7+224<1%51%5%
Pachuca4 pts
43.8
1.4
1.4
6.04.96.1+123<1%43%5%
Puebla6 pts
40.6
1.1
1.2
6.64.26.1+124<1%50%4%
Morelia4 pts
41.7
1.2
1.3
6.25.05.8+124<1%47%4%
Pumas UNAM7 pts
38.3
1.1
1.4
6.55.05.6+124<1%51%3%
Guadalajara4 pts
40.7
1.2
1.4
5.94.96.2-122<1%39%3%
Necaxa1 pt
38.2
1.0
1.3
4.15.37.5-618<1%14%1%
Atlas0 pts
38.3
1.2
1.5
4.53.98.5-7172%14%1%
Querétaro4 pts
34.5
1.0
1.5
4.85.07.1-4204%21%1%
Lobos BUAP0 pts
36.3
1.3
1.7
4.33.79.0-101720%11%<1%
Veracruz1 pt
30.5
0.9
1.5
3.55.08.4-101674%8%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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