Updated Jul. 20, 2017 at 12:40 AM

2016-17 Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for nine leagues, updated after each match.

Liga MX
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals reduce the value of late game goals when a team is already winning and goals when their opponent is a man down. Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of their shots and the players who took them, and Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. These advanced metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to affect each team’s ratings and future predictions. Read the full methodology »
5/28
Guadalajara2
28%30%
Tigres UANL1
42%
GDLTIG
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.41.3
Non-shot xG0.51.6
See all
SPI ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamoffdefmake playoffsmake semismake finalwin clausura
Guadalajara
0.9
1.4
Tigres UANL
1.3
1.2
Tijuana
1.0
1.5
Toluca
0.9
1.6
Monterrey
1.1
1.5
Santos Laguna
1.3
1.7
Atlas
1.0
1.6
Morelia
0.9
1.6
Club América
1.0
1.6
Pachuca
1.0
1.5
Necaxa
0.8
1.5
Cruz Azul
1.1
1.5
Veracruz
0.8
1.7
León
1.1
1.6
Chiapas
0.9
1.8
Querétaro
0.9
1.8
Pumas UNAM
1.0
1.8
Puebla
0.9
1.7
Forecast from

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