Updated Aug. 3, 2020, at 10:58 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 38 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2020-21 Guardianes

Mexico

Updated Aug. 3, 2020, at 10:05 p.m.

Upcoming matches
July 28 - August 3
8/3
León
30%
25%
Monterrey
44%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
July 28 - August 3
8/3
Atlas1
36%27%
Pumas UNAM2
37%
ATLPUM
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.01.9
Non-shot xG1.01.6
8/2
Santos Laguna2
44%26%
Guadalajara0
30%
SANGDL
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.71.4
Non-shot xG1.71.6
8/2
Querétaro1
55%26%
Mazatlán1
19%
QTOMAZ
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.40.5
Non-shot xG1.11.3
8/2
Toluca3
40%27%
San Luis2
33%
TOLASL
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.63.2
Non-shot xG1.41.7
8/1
Club América4
50%26%
Tijuana0
24%
AMETIJ
Adjusted goals3.60.0
Shot-based xG1.80.4
Non-shot xG1.10.7
8/1
Tigres UANL1
51%26%
Pachuca1
23%
TIGPAC
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.20.7
Non-shot xG1.80.7
7/31
FC Juárez1
38%27%
Necaxa0
34%
FCJNEC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.40.7
Non-shot xG0.80.7
7/31
Puebla1
22%25%
Cruz Azul1
53%
PUECAZ
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.41.6
Non-shot xG0.82.5
7/28
Monterrey3
63%22%
Toluca1
16%
MONTOL
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG1.71.9
Non-shot xG1.60.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsfirst-round byewin Guardianes
Monterrey3 pts
60.0
1.7
1.1
+133297%63%19%
Tigres UANL4 pts
59.5
1.6
1.0
+133197%61%18%
Cruz Azul4 pts
57.9
1.7
1.1
+113095%54%15%
Club América6 pts
55.8
1.5
1.1
+133297%63%14%
Santos Laguna3 pts
52.1
1.5
1.3
+62790%34%8%
León1 pt
49.7
1.5
1.3
+42582%25%6%
Pachuca1 pt
48.5
1.4
1.3
+32478%18%5%
Guadalajara1 pt
46.7
1.3
1.3
+02371%13%4%
Pumas UNAM6 pts
42.9
1.3
1.4
+02683%23%3%
Tijuana3 pts
42.1
1.2
1.4
-42267%12%2%
FC Juárez4 pts
39.3
1.2
1.5
-32264%10%1%
Toluca3 pts
38.2
1.3
1.6
-52157%7%1%
Necaxa0 pts
39.4
1.2
1.4
-71944%4%1%
Querétaro1 pt
38.0
1.1
1.5
-61839%3%<1%
Puebla4 pts
35.8
1.0
1.4
-32055%6%<1%
San Luis1 pt
38.1
1.2
1.5
-61842%4%<1%
Atlas0 pts
36.8
1.1
1.5
-91732%2%<1%
Mazatlán1 pt
25.2
0.8
1.8
-18129%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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