Updated April 24, 2019, at 4:48 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2018-19 Clausura season

Mexico

Updated April 21, 2019, at 9:02 p.m.

Upcoming matches
April
4/26
Puebla
28%
28%
Tigres UANL
44%
4/26
Morelia
36%
28%
Tijuana
36%
4/27
Pachuca
59%
23%
Atlas
18%
4/27
Club América
57%
25%
Santos Laguna
18%
4/27
Monterrey
57%
24%
Necaxa
19%
4/27
Guadalajara
30%
28%
León
41%
4/28
Pumas UNAM
35%
27%
Toluca
39%
4/28
Lobos BUAP
23%
28%
Cruz Azul
49%
4/28
Querétaro
45%
30%
Veracruz
26%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
April
4/21
Santos Laguna2
57%27%
Querétaro1
17%
SANQTO
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.70.8
Non-shot xG2.01.2
4/21
Toluca3
34%28%
Club América2
37%
TOLAME
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.92.5
Non-shot xG1.12.5
4/20
Guadalajara1
43%31%
Puebla3
26%
GDLPUE
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.31.3
Non-shot xG1.71.2
4/20
Cruz Azul2
54%27%
Pumas UNAM1
20%
CAZPUM
Adjusted goals1.71.1
Shot-based xG2.31.1
Non-shot xG2.00.4
4/20
Tigres UANL3
69%21%
Morelia3
10%
TIGMOR
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG1.71.5
Non-shot xG2.10.8
4/20
León5
62%24%
Atlas2
14%
LEOATL
Adjusted goals4.72.1
Shot-based xG1.92.2
Non-shot xG1.31.1
4/20
Necaxa2
40%26%
Pachuca2
35%
NECPAC
Adjusted goals2.11.9
Shot-based xG1.51.2
Non-shot xG1.31.6
4/19
Tijuana1
59%25%
Lobos BUAP2
15%
TIJBUAP
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG3.01.1
Non-shot xG2.50.3
4/19
Veracruz0
15%22%
Monterrey1
63%
VERMON
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.61.8
Non-shot xG1.02.1
4/14
Monterrey4
53%26%
Santos Laguna0
21%
MONSAN
Adjusted goals3.60.0
Shot-based xG1.61.7
Non-shot xG0.82.1
4/14
Club América0
51%27%
Cruz Azul0
22%
AMECAZ
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.10.4
Non-shot xG1.30.6
4/14
Lobos BUAP0
18%25%
Tigres UANL3
57%
BUAPTIG
Adjusted goals0.03.2
Shot-based xG0.31.6
Non-shot xG0.71.2
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make playoffswin clausura
Tigres UANL33 pts
62.0
1.7
1.0
11.13.52.4+1737—✓25%
Monterrey29 pts
59.0
1.7
1.1
9.05.52.4+1533—✓17%
León38 pts
56.1
1.6
1.2
12.92.51.6+2841—✓16%
Club América23 pts
60.3
1.7
1.0
8.22.56.3+827—89%15%
Cruz Azul26 pts
54.4
1.4
1.0
8.15.53.4+930—>99%11%
Pachuca25 pts
52.3
1.7
1.4
7.84.54.7+628—96%7%
Necaxa25 pts
47.0
1.4
1.3
7.74.54.8+728—95%4%
Toluca21 pts
49.0
1.5
1.3
7.03.56.5+225—34%2%
Tijuana22 pts
44.7
1.3
1.3
7.81.67.6-225—41%2%
Puebla23 pts
41.6
1.2
1.3
6.55.64.9+025—41%1%
Santos Laguna19 pts
49.4
1.4
1.2
5.74.56.8-422—2%<1%
Lobos BUAP20 pts
32.7
1.0
1.6
6.42.58.1-1222—2%<1%
Pumas UNAM16 pts
44.4
1.3
1.4
4.64.57.9-518———
Atlas16 pts
40.1
1.2
1.4
5.41.510.1-1118———
Guadalajara15 pts
42.6
1.2
1.3
4.43.59.0-617———
Morelia12 pts
41.4
1.3
1.5
2.56.57.9-914———
Querétaro8 pts
36.8
1.0
1.4
2.62.611.8-1910———
Veracruz4 pts
26.6
0.9
1.7
0.44.512.1-266✓——
Forecast from
Season

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