Updated Oct. 28, 2020, at 7:58 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2020-21 Guardianes

Mexico

Updated Oct. 27, 2020, at 1:04 a.m.

Upcoming matches
October 27 - November 2
10/29
San Luis
48%
27%
Mazatlán
25%
10/30
Necaxa
46%
27%
Toluca
27%
10/30
Tijuana
34%
30%
Pachuca
36%
10/30
FC Juárez
43%
28%
Querétaro
29%
10/31
Atlas
39%
30%
Puebla
31%
10/31
Pumas UNAM
41%
28%
Guadalajara
31%
10/31
Monterrey
39%
26%
Cruz Azul
35%
11/1
Club América
35%
27%
Tigres UANL
38%
11/2
León
44%
27%
Santos Laguna
29%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
October 20-26
10/26
Pachuca1
48%28%
Pumas UNAM1
23%
PACPUM
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.00.9
Non-shot xG1.31.3
10/25
Santos Laguna2
55%25%
San Luis1
19%
SANASL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.50.7
Non-shot xG1.21.1
10/25
Guadalajara0
32%27%
Cruz Azul2
40%
GDLCAZ
Adjusted goals0.01.6
Shot-based xG0.42.2
Non-shot xG1.31.1
10/25
Toluca2
38%28%
Tijuana0
35%
TOLTIJ
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.01.0
Non-shot xG1.21.5
10/24
Mazatlán1
23%24%
Monterrey2
53%
MAZMON
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.50.9
Non-shot xG1.10.6
10/24
Club América1
51%26%
Atlas0
23%
AMEATL
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.8
Non-shot xG2.20.6
10/24
Tigres UANL1
60%24%
FC Juárez1
16%
TIGFCJ
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.01.1
Non-shot xG1.41.3
10/24
Querétaro0
41%29%
Necaxa1
31%
QTONEC
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.40.4
Non-shot xG1.60.7
10/23
Puebla1
28%27%
León2
45%
PUELEO
Adjusted goals0.82.1
Shot-based xG1.51.4
Non-shot xG2.00.7
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsfirst-round byewin Guardianes
Cruz Azul29 pts
56.8
1.6
1.1
+103283%19%
Tigres UANL27 pts
56.8
1.5
1.0
+1430>99%67%18%
León36 pts
53.9
1.5
1.2
+1339>99%18%
Monterrey26 pts
53.4
1.6
1.2
+629>99%26%11%
Club América28 pts
50.7
1.5
1.3
+731>99%62%10%
Santos Laguna22 pts
51.8
1.4
1.2
+225>99%<1%7%
Pachuca22 pts
50.1
1.3
1.1
+425>99%<1%6%
Pumas UNAM28 pts
44.0
1.3
1.3
+1030>99%61%5%
Guadalajara22 pts
44.9
1.2
1.3
+124>99%<1%3%
Necaxa18 pts
39.8
1.1
1.3
-62191%<1%1%
Toluca20 pts
38.7
1.2
1.6
-522>99%<1%1%
FC Juárez15 pts
38.0
1.1
1.4
-41847%<1%<1%
Tijuana14 pts
40.0
1.1
1.3
-131715%<1%<1%
Puebla14 pts
36.8
1.1
1.5
-51726%<1%<1%
Querétaro12 pts
39.8
1.2
1.4
-41511%<1%<1%
Atlas13 pts
38.2
1.1
1.4
-7156%<1%<1%
Mazatlán13 pts
31.6
1.0
1.6
-10153%<1%<1%
San Luis11 pts
38.1
1.1
1.5
-13141%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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