Updated Feb. 26, 2020, at 4:59 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Liga MX

2019-20 Clausura season

Mexico

Updated Feb. 23, 2020, at 10:02 p.m.

Upcoming matches
February 25 - March 2
2/28
Toluca
25%
25%
Monterrey
50%
2/28
San Luis
47%
27%
FC Juárez
26%
2/28
Morelia
34%
26%
Cruz Azul
40%
2/28
Tijuana
46%
29%
Puebla
25%
2/29
Pachuca
51%
26%
Querétaro
23%
2/29
Club América
58%
24%
Necaxa
18%
2/29
Tigres UANL
57%
24%
Pumas UNAM
18%
3/1
Guadalajara
42%
26%
León
33%
3/1
Santos Laguna
59%
23%
Atlas
18%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
February 18-24
2/23
FC Juárez1
32%25%
Santos Laguna2
43%
FCJSAN
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.61.1
Non-shot xG1.50.8
2/23
Querétaro0
51%26%
San Luis1
23%
QTOASL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.30.6
Non-shot xG1.50.7
2/23
Pumas UNAM1
52%25%
Morelia2
24%
PUMMOR
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.71.2
Non-shot xG1.21.5
2/22
Monterrey0
47%26%
Club América1
27%
MONAME
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.80.9
Non-shot xG1.80.8
2/22
Cruz Azul2
41%27%
Tigres UANL1
32%
CAZTIG
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.5
Non-shot xG0.81.4
2/22
León2
51%24%
Necaxa1
25%
LEONEC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.00.8
Non-shot xG0.91.2
2/21
Tijuana0
41%28%
Guadalajara1
31%
TIJGDL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.50.7
Non-shot xG1.10.9
2/21
Puebla2
42%28%
Toluca0
30%
PUETOL
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.01.0
Non-shot xG1.11.6
2/21
Atlas0
35%28%
Pachuca2
38%
ATLPAC
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.41.8
Non-shot xG0.50.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffswin clausura
Club América16 pts
56.9
1.6
1.1
+93396%20%
Cruz Azul13 pts
53.7
1.5
1.2
+82982%14%
Tigres UANL7 pts
57.0
1.6
1.1
+52557%12%
Santos Laguna11 pts
50.8
1.6
1.4
+22769%9%
León15 pts
48.2
1.5
1.4
+73087%9%
Pachuca10 pts
51.1
1.4
1.2
+22559%8%
Pumas UNAM14 pts
45.9
1.4
1.4
+62876%6%
Monterrey3 pts
57.4
1.6
1.1
+02022%5%
Querétaro12 pts
44.7
1.3
1.3
+22559%5%
Guadalajara9 pts
43.6
1.3
1.4
-12234%3%
San Luis12 pts
40.2
1.2
1.4
-22448%3%
Necaxa8 pts
42.9
1.3
1.4
-22021%2%
Morelia8 pts
42.4
1.3
1.5
-42123%2%
FC Juárez11 pts
38.0
1.2
1.5
+02337%2%
Tijuana6 pts
39.6
1.1
1.4
-7188%<1%
Puebla7 pts
37.7
1.1
1.4
-6188%<1%
Atlas6 pts
38.5
1.1
1.4
-9177%<1%
Toluca6 pts
37.7
1.2
1.5
-8176%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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