Updated Apr. 18, 2018 at 9:36 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Liga MX

2017-18 Clausura season

Mexico

Updated Apr. 15, 2018, at 8:52 p.m.

Upcoming matches
4/20
Puebla
31%
30%
Club América
38%
4/20
Atlas
41%
28%
Guadalajara
31%
4/21
Querétaro
35%
27%
Pachuca
38%
4/21
Cruz Azul
51%
28%
Morelia
21%
4/21
Monterrey
60%
23%
Lobos BUAP
17%
4/21
León
35%
28%
Tijuana
37%
4/21
Necaxa
35%
33%
Tigres UANL
32%
4/22
Toluca
63%
25%
Veracruz
12%
4/22
Santos Laguna
57%
24%
Pumas UNAM
19%
See all▾
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
4/15
Veracruz1
37%28%
León2
35%
VERLEO
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.40.7
Non-shot xG1.61.0
4/15
Pumas UNAM4
39%29%
Puebla2
32%
PUMPUE
Adjusted goals3.71.9
Shot-based xG2.31.3
Non-shot xG1.51.7
4/14
Club América0
38%29%
Monterrey0
33%
AMEMON
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.60.3
Non-shot xG1.90.6
4/14
Morelia0
34%29%
Toluca1
37%
MORTOL
Adjusted goals0.00.8
Shot-based xG0.82.7
Non-shot xG0.71.1
4/14
Pachuca3
35%25%
Santos Laguna1
40%
PACSAN
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG1.30.8
Non-shot xG1.00.4
4/14
Tigres UANL2
50%30%
Cruz Azul2
20%
TIGCAZ
Adjusted goals1.92.1
Shot-based xG0.61.7
Non-shot xG1.31.4
4/14
Lobos BUAP0
36%29%
Necaxa1
35%
BUAPNEC
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.30.8
Non-shot xG1.10.5
4/13
Tijuana3
44%31%
Guadalajara0
25%
TIJGDL
Adjusted goals2.80.0
Shot-based xG2.40.2
Non-shot xG1.70.8
4/13
Atlas1
46%28%
Querétaro0
26%
ATLQTO
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.61.7
Non-shot xG1.21.0
4/8
Santos Laguna3
58%24%
Querétaro0
17%
SANQTO
Adjusted goals2.40.0
Shot-based xG2.52.1
Non-shot xG1.71.0
4/8
Toluca1
38%31%
Tigres UANL0
31%
TOLTIG
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.61.5
Non-shot xG0.41.3
4/7
Guadalajara0
54%28%
Veracruz1
18%
GDLVER
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.30.3
Non-shot xG1.80.2
See all▾
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make playoffswin clausura
Toluca33 pts
50.5
1.3
1.1
10.93.62.5+1036<1%✓20%
Monterrey25 pts
52.6
1.5
1.2
7.94.54.6+628<1%>99%17%
Tigres UANL26 pts
51.5
1.3
1.1
7.85.63.6+729<1%>99%17%
Santos Laguna29 pts
48.9
1.5
1.3
9.82.54.6+1232<1%✓14%
Club América26 pts
47.9
1.2
1.1
6.88.61.6+1129<1%>99%14%
Tijuana21 pts
44.7
1.2
1.2
5.76.64.7+524<1%67%6%
Pachuca21 pts
43.0
1.4
1.6
6.93.56.6+324<1%71%4%
Necaxa20 pts
44.2
1.1
1.1
4.78.63.7+623<1%45%4%
Morelia23 pts
39.2
1.2
1.4
7.62.66.8-125<1%79%3%
Pumas UNAM20 pts
36.3
1.2
1.6
5.65.55.8-122<1%27%<1%
León18 pts
37.6
1.3
1.7
5.63.57.8-1120<1%6%<1%
Cruz Azul16 pts
46.9
1.3
1.2
3.97.65.5+219<1%2%<1%
Puebla17 pts
37.2
1.1
1.5
5.62.68.8-419<1%2%<1%
Veracruz18 pts
30.8
0.9
1.5
5.43.68.1-102017%2%<1%
Querétaro16 pts
33.9
1.0
1.5
4.64.67.8-518<1%<1%<1%
Guadalajara15 pts
38.4
1.1
1.4
3.86.66.7-718<1%<1%<1%
Atlas14 pts
36.8
1.2
1.5
4.72.59.8-1017<1%——
Lobos BUAP9 pts
37.4
1.2
1.6
2.63.510.9-111183%——
Forecast from
Season

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