Updated July 12, 2020, at 2:34 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 38 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

league-logo

Major League Soccer

2020 season

USA

Updated March 9, 2020, at 12:59 a.m.

Upcoming matches
Group stage
7/12
Toronto FC
51%
24%
D.C. United
25%
7/12
Sporting KC
35%
23%
Minnesota
42%
7/12
Real Salt Lake
39%
27%
Colorado
34%
7/13
LAFC
62%
19%
Houston
19%
7/13
LA Galaxy
43%
21%
Portland
36%
7/14
Chicago
36%
24%
Seattle
40%
7/14
Philadelphia
39%
25%
Inter Miami
37%
7/14
Orlando City
28%
24%
NYCFC
48%
7/15
Montreal
23%
23%
Toronto FC
54%
7/15
Vancouver
25%
23%
San Jose
52%
7/16
Atlanta
68%
19%
FC Cincinnati
13%
7/16
D.C. United
33%
24%
New England
42%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Group stage
7/11
FC Cincinnati0
21%24%
Columbus4
55%
CINCLB
Adjusted goals0.04.2
Shot-based xG0.31.3
Non-shot xG0.41.7
7/11
Atlanta0
46%24%
NY Red Bulls1
30%
ATLNWY
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.61.7
Non-shot xG1.60.9
7/10
Seattle0
46%23%
San Jose0
31%
SEASAN
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.10.7
Non-shot xG1.11.5
7/9
Montreal0
32%23%
New England1
45%
MTLNWE
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.81.0
Non-shot xG0.81.3
7/9
NYCFC0
37%24%
Philadelphia1
39%
NYCPHI
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.90.4
Non-shot xG1.81.0
7/8
Orlando City2
27%24%
Inter Miami1
48%
ORLMIA
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.71.4
Non-shot xG1.21.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC4 pts
Western
57.0
2.0
1.5
+326695%47%32%25%
Toronto FC4 pts
Eastern
46.7
1.5
1.5
+155783%20%9%9%
Atlanta6 pts
Eastern
46.3
1.4
1.4
+125781%20%9%9%
Philadelphia1 pt
Eastern
46.0
1.5
1.5
+125474%14%5%7%
Seattle4 pts
Western
44.1
1.4
1.5
+85373%9%5%5%
Minnesota6 pts
Western
42.0
1.4
1.6
+125579%13%7%5%
NYCFC0 pts
Eastern
44.9
1.4
1.5
+105269%10%4%5%
Inter Miami0 pts
Eastern
44.3
1.4
1.4
+85165%9%3%5%
Chicago1 pt
Eastern
42.1
1.4
1.6
+54960%7%3%3%
FC Dallas4 pts
Western
40.7
1.4
1.6
+55065%6%3%3%
Columbus4 pts
Eastern
38.7
1.1
1.4
+34961%7%2%3%
LA Galaxy1 pt
Western
42.1
1.7
1.9
+24857%4%2%3%
Sporting KC6 pts
Western
39.1
1.4
1.7
+55066%6%3%3%
NY Red Bulls4 pts
Eastern
39.3
1.4
1.7
+04855%6%2%3%
Colorado6 pts
Western
37.3
1.3
1.8
-24959%5%2%2%
Real Salt Lake2 pts
Western
38.1
1.0
1.3
+14753%3%1%2%
Portland3 pts
Western
38.2
1.4
1.7
-54650%3%1%2%
New England1 pt
Eastern
37.9
1.4
1.7
-44442%3%<1%2%
San Jose1 pt
Western
37.5
1.4
1.8
-64443%2%1%1%
D.C. United3 pts
Eastern
33.6
1.1
1.7
-94236%2%<1%<1%
Orlando City1 pt
Eastern
34.1
1.2
1.7
-84134%2%<1%<1%
Montreal4 pts
Eastern
31.9
1.1
1.8
-114132%2%<1%<1%
Houston1 pt
Western
33.3
1.2
1.7
-134031%1%<1%<1%
Nashville0 pts
Western
27.5
0.9
1.7
-193415%<1%<1%<1%
Vancouver3 pts
Western
25.0
0.9
1.9
-253414%<1%<1%<1%
FC Cincinnati0 pts
Eastern
23.8
0.9
2.0
-28297%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

Comments