Major League Soccer Predictions

Major League Soccer

Upcoming matches

Conference Semifinals

12/3	Sporting KC	64%
12/3	Minnesota	36%

Completed matches

After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...

Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.

These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »

Conference Semifinals

12/1	Seattle1	73%
12/1	FC Dallas0	27%

11/29	Columbus2	64%
11/29	Nashville0	36%

11/29	Orlando City1	58%
11/29	New England3	42%

Forecast from

Season

11/24	Seattle3	61%
11/24	LAFC1	39%

11/24	Philadelphia0	71%
11/24	New England2	29%

11/24	Toronto FC0	69%
11/24	Nashville1	31%

11/22	Portland1	62%
11/22	FC Dallas1	38%

11/22	Minnesota3	60%
11/22	Colorado0	40%

11/22	Sporting KC3	72%
11/22	San Jose3	28%

11/21	Columbus3	62%
11/21	NY Red Bulls2	38%

11/21	Orlando City1	52%
11/21	NYCFC1	48%