Updated Sept. 17, 2020, at 11:30 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2020

USA

Updated Sept. 16, 2020, at 11:52 p.m.

Upcoming matches
September 15-21
9/18
Seattle
41%
22%
LAFC
37%
9/19
Sporting KC
51%
24%
FC Dallas
26%
9/19
New England
40%
26%
NYCFC
34%
9/19
NY Red Bulls
64%
22%
FC Cincinnati
14%
9/19
Atlanta
43%
27%
Inter Miami
29%
9/19
Columbus
61%
25%
Nashville
14%
9/19
D.C. United
31%
25%
Toronto FC
44%
9/19
Orlando City
48%
23%
Chicago
28%
9/19
Houston
47%
24%
Minnesota
29%
9/19
Real Salt Lake
66%
21%
Vancouver
13%
9/19
LA Galaxy
54%
21%
Colorado
25%
9/19
San Jose
46%
22%
Portland
32%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
September 15-21
9/16
Vancouver3
33%25%
Montreal1
42%
VANMTL
Adjusted goals2.41.1
Shot-based xG1.81.0
Non-shot xG1.21.8
9/16
San Jose1
45%22%
Portland1
34%
SANPRT
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.40.9
Non-shot xG1.60.4
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffssupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC15 pts
Western
53.5
1.9
1.5
+2042>99%15%17%
Columbus24 pts
Eastern
44.6
1.2
1.3
+2246>99%39%12%
Toronto FC21 pts
Eastern
47.4
1.5
1.5
+1040>99%11%9%
Philadelphia21 pts
Eastern
45.7
1.4
1.4
+1442>99%16%9%
Seattle18 pts
Western
46.4
1.5
1.5
+163894%6%8%
LA Galaxy15 pts
Western
45.5
1.6
1.7
+73791%4%7%
NYCFC16 pts
Eastern
46.4
1.4
1.4
+43492%1%6%
Sporting KC20 pts
Western
41.9
1.4
1.6
+43590%2%5%
FC Dallas16 pts
Western
38.9
1.3
1.6
+83686%2%3%
Orlando City19 pts
Eastern
40.8
1.3
1.5
+23390%<1%3%
Minnesota17 pts
Western
39.0
1.3
1.6
+33380%1%3%
Atlanta11 pts
Eastern
39.5
1.2
1.5
-12973%<1%2%
NY Red Bulls14 pts
Eastern
38.1
1.2
1.6
-13389%<1%2%
Houston14 pts
Western
37.8
1.3
1.7
+43272%<1%2%
New England14 pts
Eastern
38.4
1.2
1.6
-32971%<1%2%
Inter Miami8 pts
Eastern
42.6
1.2
1.4
-62438%<1%2%
Portland15 pts
Western
36.5
1.4
1.8
-73059%<1%1%
Chicago9 pts
Eastern
39.7
1.4
1.6
-62655%<1%1%
Colorado13 pts
Western
38.5
1.4
1.7
-72636%<1%1%
Real Salt Lake14 pts
Western
35.5
1.1
1.5
-43059%<1%1%
Montreal16 pts
Eastern
31.5
1.1
1.7
+03288%<1%1%
Nashville12 pts
Eastern
31.4
0.9
1.5
-52861%<1%<1%
San Jose11 pts
Western
34.5
1.3
1.8
-152630%<1%<1%
D.C. United10 pts
Eastern
29.1
0.9
1.7
-112333%<1%<1%
FC Cincinnati9 pts
Eastern
23.7
0.8
1.8
-191910%<1%<1%
Vancouver12 pts
Western
21.7
0.9
2.1
-27183%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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