Updated Aug. 21, 2017 at 8:55 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 24 leagues, updated after each match.

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Major League Soccer

2017 season

USA

Updated Aug. 21, 2017 at 12:03 AM

Upcoming matches
8/23
Columbus
52%
24%
LA Galaxy
24%
8/23
D.C. United
38%
26%
Atlanta
36%
8/23
FC Dallas
50%
26%
Houston
24%
8/23
Toronto FC
68%
20%
Philadelphia
12%
8/23
Real Salt Lake
56%
24%
San Jose
20%
8/23
Vancouver
43%
26%
Seattle
31%
8/23
Portland
61%
23%
Colorado
16%
8/25
NY Red Bulls
50%
24%
NYCFC
26%
8/26
D.C. United
40%
25%
New England
35%
8/26
Philadelphia
43%
26%
Atlanta
30%
8/26
Columbus
44%
26%
FC Dallas
30%
8/26
Orlando City
42%
27%
Vancouver
31%
8/26
Chicago
68%
19%
Minnesota
13%
8/26
Houston
45%
29%
Sporting KC
26%
8/26
Real Salt Lake
55%
25%
Colorado
19%
8/27
Montreal
33%
24%
Toronto FC
43%
8/27
LA Galaxy
55%
25%
San Jose
21%
See all▾
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
8/20
Seattle2
76%16%
Minnesota1
8%
SEAMNU
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.41.0
Non-shot xG2.70.6
8/20
NYCFC2
56%22%
New England1
23%
NYCNWE
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.7
Non-shot xG1.60.7
8/19
San Jose2
43%28%
Philadelphia2
30%
SANPHI
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.60.6
Non-shot xG1.30.9
8/19
Vancouver2
47%26%
Houston1
27%
VANHOU
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.30.9
Non-shot xG1.01.7
8/19
Colorado0
50%28%
D.C. United1
23%
CLRDCU
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG2.60.7
Non-shot xG1.41.4
8/19
Sporting KC2
51%28%
FC Dallas0
21%
SKCDAL
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG0.90.5
Non-shot xG0.80.5
8/19
Chicago1
40%25%
Toronto FC3
35%
CHITOR
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG0.82.5
Non-shot xG1.42.7
8/19
Orlando City1
44%26%
Columbus1
30%
ORLCLB
Adjusted goals0.81.1
Shot-based xG1.00.7
Non-shot xG1.40.4
8/19
Montreal3
51%23%
Real Salt Lake1
26%
MTLRSL
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG2.32.5
Non-shot xG1.41.5
8/18
Portland2
43%24%
NY Red Bulls0
34%
PRTNWY
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.10.8
Non-shot xG1.21.2
8/16
Montreal3
40%24%
Chicago0
36%
MTLCHI
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG2.40.4
Non-shot xG0.31.8
8/12
LA Galaxy0
39%23%
NYCFC2
37%
LAGNYC
Adjusted goals0.02.0
Shot-based xG2.20.4
Non-shot xG1.70.6