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Updated Aug. 18, 2017 at 4:09 PM
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Man. City3 pts | 84.8 | 78% | 31% |
 Man. United3 pts | 82.9 | 70% | 22% |
 Tottenham3 pts | 81.0 | 62% | 16% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid0 pts | 93.2 | 97% | 50% |
 Barcelona0 pts | 92.5 | 95% | 43% |
 Atlético Madrid0 pts | 83.1 | 51% | 3% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich0 pts | 92.9 | 97% | 72% |
 Dortmund0 pts | 85.6 | 77% | 17% |
 RB Leipzig0 pts | 74.9 | 30% | 2% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Juventus0 pts | 87.1 | 88% | 45% |
 Napoli0 pts | 81.6 | 66% | 18% |
 Roma0 pts | 81.6 | 66% | 17% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 PSG6 pts | 89.2 | 95% | 68% |
 Monaco6 pts | 81.2 | 75% | 20% |
 Lyon6 pts | 74.2 | 45% | 6% |
| team | spi rating | supporters’ shield | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto FC47 pts | 44.9 | 64% | 24% |
 Seattle37 pts | 38.1 | 2% | 9% |
 NYCFC43 pts | 39.6 | 13% | 9% |
| team | spi rating | make playoffs | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 North Carolina36 pts | 55.1 | >99% | 40% |
 Portland31 pts | 52.4 | 92% | 23% |
 Chicago29 pts | 48.7 | 73% | 12% |
| team | spi rating | make playoffs | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Monterrey10 pts | 52.9 | 92% | 19% |
 Tigres UANL5 pts | 53.7 | 74% | 18% |
 Club América9 pts | 45.2 | 75% | 9% |
| team | spi rating | win league |
|---|---|---|
 Corinthians47 pts | 59.6 | 77% |
 Grêmio39 pts | 57.8 | 16% |
 Palmeiras33 pts | 56.2 | 3% |
| team | spi rating | win league |
|---|---|---|
 Boca Juniors0 pts | 59.8 | 20% |
 River Plate0 pts | 55.5 | 11% |
 Independiente0 pts | 54.2 | 9% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Benfica6 pts | 75.4 | 76% | 47% |
 Porto6 pts | 72.9 | 67% | 35% |
 Sporting6 pts | 67.1 | 40% | 16% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 PSV3 pts | 63.2 | 59% | 34% |
 Ajax0 pts | 65.0 | 56% | 32% |
 Feyenoord3 pts | 58.5 | 41% | 19% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Zenit16 pts | 71.7 | 80% | 47% |
 CSKA Moscow12 pts | 70.5 | 55% | 19% |
 Rostov13 pts | 64.9 | 44% | 13% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Beşiktaş3 pts | 64.5 | 54% | 35% |
 Galatasaray3 pts | 59.7 | 35% | 19% |
 Başakşehir3 pts | 55.4 | 24% | 11% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Basel9 pts | 62.6 | 76% | 53% |
 Young Boys9 pts | 55.4 | 51% | 24% |
 Zürich10 pts | 47.1 | 25% | 9% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 RB Salzburg10 pts | 66.8 | 91% | 75% |
 Sturm Graz12 pts | 47.4 | 43% | 12% |
 Rapid Vienna5 pts | 48.5 | 24% | 5% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Malmö46 pts | 58.3 | 98% | 98% |
 Djurgårdens IF33 pts | 45.3 | <1% | <1% |
 IK Sirius33 pts | 39.4 | <1% | <1% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Rosenborg41 pts | 55.0 | 91% | 91% |
 Sarpsborg34 pts | 37.4 | 3% | 3% |
 Brann31 pts | 44.7 | 3% | 3% |
| team | spi rating | qualify for UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Celtic6 pts | 63.8 | 80% | 80% |
 Aberdeen6 pts | 42.8 | 11% | 11% |
 Rangers3 pts | 39.3 | 4% | 4% |
| team | spi rating | promoted | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Middlesbrough6 pts | 51.5 | 41% | 18% |
 Sunderland5 pts | 50.3 | 40% | 18% |
 Hull City4 pts | 48.6 | 34% | 13% |
| team | spi rating | promoted | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting Gijón0 pts | 59.1 | 61% | 34% |
 Osasuna0 pts | 51.8 | 38% | 15% |
 Granada0 pts | 50.5 | 32% | 11% |
| team | spi rating | promoted | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Ingolstadt0 pts | 59.7 | 59% | 32% |
 Darmstadt 987 pts | 54.2 | 57% | 30% |
 1. FC Nürnberg6 pts | 43.6 | 24% | 8% |
| team | spi rating | promoted | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Empoli0 pts | 51.5 | 58% | 30% |
 Parma0 pts | 48.2 | 46% | 19% |
 Pescara0 pts | 46.5 | 43% | 18% |
| team | spi rating | promoted | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Lorient8 pts | 54.8 | 67% | 41% |
 Le Havre10 pts | 48.5 | 52% | 24% |
 Reims12 pts | 40.4 | 32% | 11% |
8/19 |  Swansea City | 18% | 24% |
Man. United | 58% |
8/19 |  Liverpool | 67% | 20% |
 Crystal Palace | 13% |
8/19 |  Stoke City | 27% | 24% |
 Arsenal | 49% |
8/18 |  Valencia | 57% | 23% |
 Las Palmas | 20% |
8/19 |  Celta Vigo | 41% | 26% |
 Real Sociedad | 33% |
8/19 |  Sevilla | 58% | 25% |
 Espanyol | 17% |
8/18 | Bayern Munich | 80% | 13% |
 Leverkusen | 7% |
8/19 |  Wolfsburg | 26% | 24% |
Dortmund | 50% |
8/19 |  Schalke 04 | 41% | 26% |
RB Leipzig | 32% |
8/19 | Juventus | 84% | 12% |
 Cagliari | 4% |
8/19 |  Verona | 13% | 21% |
Napoli | 66% |
8/20 |  Atalanta | 32% | 25% |
Roma | 43% |
8/18 |  Metz | 16% | 19% |
Monaco | 65% |
8/19 | Lyon | 56% | 23% |
 Bordeaux | 21% |
8/19 |  Nice | 53% | 25% |
 Guingamp | 22% |
8/18 |  Portland | 43% | 24% |
 NY Red Bulls | 34% |
8/19 |  Chicago | 40% | 25% |
Toronto FC | 35% |
8/19 |  Sporting KC | 51% | 28% |
 FC Dallas | 21% |
8/19 | North Carolina | 61% | 23% |
 Washington | 17% |
8/19 |  Sky Blue | 33% | 22% |
 Seattle | 45% |
8/19 | Portland | 57% | 24% |
 Houston | 19% |
8/18 |  Morelia | 38% | 30% |
 Pachuca | 32% |
8/18 |  Tijuana | 39% | 28% |
 Santos Laguna | 33% |
8/19 |  León | 33% | 27% |
Monterrey | 40% |
8/19 | Corinthians | 64% | 22% |
 Vitória | 13% |
8/19 |  Flamengo | 67% | 21% |
 Atlético | 12% |
8/20 | Grêmio | 57% | 25% |
 Atlético-PR | 17% |
8/25 |  Tigre | 35% | 29% |
 Vélez Sarsfield | 36% |
8/25 |  Banfield | 46% | 29% |
 Belgrano | 25% |
8/26 |  San Lorenzo | 41% | 27% |
 Racing | 33% |
8/18 |  Rio Ave | 51% | 28% |
 Portimonense | 21% |
8/19 |  Guimarães | 23% | 24% |
Sporting | 52% |
8/19 | Benfica | 82% | 15% |
 Belenenses | 3% |
8/19 |  Twente | 57% | 24% |
 VVV-Venlo | 18% |
8/19 |  AZ Alkmaar | 65% | 20% |
 ADO Den Haag | 15% |
8/19 |  Heerenveen | 42% | 24% |
 Heracles | 34% |
8/19 |  Ural | 33% | 27% |
CSKA Moscow | 40% |
8/19 |  Spartak Moscow | 45% | 27% |
 Lokomotiv | 27% |
8/19 |  Rubin Kazan | 61% | 24% |
 Anzhi | 15% |
8/18 |  Kasımpaşa | 30% | 24% |
Beşiktaş | 46% |
8/19 |  Karabükspor | 31% | 27% |
Başakşehir | 43% |
8/19 |  Osmanlıspor | 19% | 21% |
Galatasaray | 60% |
8/19 | Zürich | 37% | 26% |
Young Boys | 37% |
8/19 |  Thun | 60% | 22% |
 Lausanne-Sport | 18% |
8/20 | Basel | 68% | 20% |
 Lugano | 13% |
8/19 | Rapid Vienna | 48% | 24% |
Sturm Graz | 28% |
8/19 |  Wolfsberger AC | 44% | 28% |
 Admira | 29% |
8/20 | RB Salzburg | 84% | 12% |
 St. Pölten | 4% |
8/19 |  Eskilstuna | 12% | 19% |
Malmö | 69% |
8/20 |  Östersunds FK | 38% | 29% |
 AIK | 33% |
8/20 |  IFK Göteborg | 45% | 27% |
 BK Häcken | 28% |
8/19 |  Lillestrøm | 45% | 25% |
 Vålerenga | 30% |
8/20 | Rosenborg | 68% | 20% |
 Haugesund | 12% |
8/20 |  Viking | 28% | 25% |
Brann | 47% |
8/19 |  Kilmarnock | 7% | 14% |
Celtic | 79% |
8/19 | Rangers | 55% | 24% |
 Hearts | 22% |
8/19 |  St Johnstone | 58% | 24% |
 Partick Thistle | 17% |
8/18 |  Burton Albion | 39% | 30% |
 Birmingham | 31% |
8/19 |  Wolverhampton | 40% | 30% |
 Cardiff City | 30% |
8/19 | Sunderland | 57% | 26% |
 Leeds United | 18% |
8/18 |  Lorca | 45% | 28% |
 Cultural Leonesa | 27% |
8/18 |  Tenerife | 48% | 29% |
 Zaragoza | 23% |
8/19 |  Alcorcón | 27% | 28% |
Sporting Gijón | 45% |
8/19 |  Fortuna | 38% | 31% |
 1. FCK | 31% |
8/19 |  Dynamo Dresden | 43% | 29% |
 SV Sandhausen | 27% |
8/19 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 45% | 30% |
 MSV Duisburg | 25% |
8/25 | Parma | 79% | 15% |
 Cremonese | 6% |
8/26 |  Ternana | 23% | 28% |
Empoli | 49% |
8/26 |  Palermo | 50% | 31% |
 Spezia | 19% |
8/19 |  Lens | 45% | 29% |
 Brest | 26% |
8/21 |  Châteauroux | 28% | 30% |
 Nîmes | 42% |
8/25 | Nîmes | 31% | 33% |
Le Havre | 36% |
8/19 | North Carolina | 61% | 23% |
Washington | 17% |
8/19 |  Boston | 27% | 26% |
 Orlando | 47% |
8/19 | Sky Blue | 33% | 22% |
Seattle | 45% |
8/19 | Portland | 57% | 24% |
Houston | 19% |
8/20 | Chicago | 54% | 27% |
 Kansas City | 19% |
8/26 | Kansas City | 34% | 27% |
Orlando | 39% |
8/26 | Seattle | 45% | 25% |
Portland | 30% |
8/26 | Sky Blue | 53% | 23% |
Boston | 24% |
8/26 | Washington | 38% | 27% |
Chicago | 36% |
8/27 | Houston | 32% | 28% |
North Carolina | 40% |
8/30 | Washington | 32% | 26% |
North Carolina | 42% |
9/2 | Portland | 58% | 23% |
Washington | 19% |
9/2 | Orlando | 65% | 21% |
Boston | 14% |
9/3 | Chicago | 39% | 29% |
North Carolina | 32% |
9/3 | Kansas City | 48% | 24% |
Sky Blue | 28% |
9/3 | Houston | 36% | 26% |
Seattle | 38% |
9/9 | Kansas City | 36% | 29% |
Chicago | 34% |
9/9 | North Carolina | 60% | 24% |
Houston | 16% |
9/9 | Orlando | 46% | 24% |
Seattle | 30% |
9/10 | Boston | 27% | 27% |
Portland | 46% |
9/10 | Sky Blue | 44% | 22% |
Washington | 34% |
9/23 | Houston | 38% | 28% |
Chicago | 34% |
9/23 | Orlando | 45% | 25% |
Portland | 30% |
9/23 | Washington | 55% | 25% |
Boston | 21% |
9/24 | Sky Blue | 29% | 24% |
North Carolina | 48% |
9/24 | Seattle | 58% | 24% |
Kansas City | 19% |
9/29 | Kansas City | 44% | 28% |
Houston | 28% |
9/30 | Portland | 49% | 27% |
Chicago | 24% |
9/30 | Washington | 36% | 24% |
Seattle | 40% |
9/30 | Boston | 40% | 25% |
Sky Blue | 35% |
9/30 | North Carolina | 50% | 25% |
Orlando | 25% |
| 8/16 | Kansas City2 | 30% | 28% |
Portland1 | 42% |
| 8/16 | Chicago1 | 47% | 26% |
Seattle2 | 27% |
| 8/16 | Boston1 | 42% | 29% |
Houston3 | 29% |
| 8/13 | Seattle1 | 43% | 27% |
North Carolina2 | 31% |
| 8/13 | Houston0 | 50% | 27% |
Kansas City1 | 23% |
| 8/12 | Chicago2 | 45% | 30% |
Portland3 | 25% |
| 8/12 | Orlando5 | 53% | 21% |
Sky Blue0 | 26% |
| 8/12 | Washington2 | 53% | 26% |
Boston2 | 21% |
| 8/10 | Kansas City0 | 31% | 28% |
North Carolina1 | 42% |
| 8/8 | Orlando3 | 47% | 24% |
Washington0 | 29% |
| 8/5 | Orlando1 | 40% | 25% |
Chicago1 | 35% |
| 8/5 | North Carolina1 | 47% | 24% |
Seattle0 | 29% |
| 8/5 | Portland2 | 55% | 24% |
Houston1 | 21% |
| 8/4 | Sky Blue1 | 47% | 22% |
Washington4 | 32% |
| 8/4 | Boston2 | 42% | 28% |
Kansas City2 | 30% |
| 7/22 | Seattle5 | 55% | 22% |
Sky Blue4 | 23% |
| 7/22 | Portland2 | 55% | 23% |
Washington1 | 22% |
| 7/22 | Houston1 | 51% | 26% |
Boston0 | 24% |
| 7/22 | Chicago2 | 51% | 24% |
Orlando1 | 26% |
| 7/15 | Seattle1 | 58% | 24% |
Boston1 | 18% |
| 7/15 | Houston2 | 42% | 24% |
Washington1 | 33% |
| 7/15 | Orlando4 | 49% | 25% |
Kansas City1 | 26% |
| 7/15 | Sky Blue2 | 42% | 25% |
Chicago2 | 33% |
| 7/15 | Portland1 | 44% | 25% |
North Carolina0 | 31% |
| 7/8 | Houston1 | 28% | 24% |
Portland1 | 48% |
| 7/8 | North Carolina2 | 43% | 24% |
Seattle0 | 33% |
| 7/8 | Sky Blue3 | 52% | 25% |
Kansas City2 | 24% |
| 7/8 | Washington2 | 47% | 24% |
Orlando2 | 29% |
| 7/7 | Boston0 | 24% | 26% |
Chicago0 | 51% |
| 7/2 | Kansas City1 | 52% | 25% |
Houston2 | 23% |
| 7/1 | Seattle2 | 48% | 24% |
Portland0 | 28% |
| 7/1 | Orlando0 | 39% | 25% |
Chicago1 | 36% |
| 7/1 | Boston1 | 29% | 25% |
Washington0 | 46% |
| 7/1 | North Carolina0 | 56% | 22% |
Sky Blue1 | 23% |
| 6/28 | Seattle2 | 50% | 24% |
Chicago1 | 26% |
| 6/28 | Portland3 | 52% | 26% |
Kansas City0 | 22% |
| 6/28 | Houston0 | 52% | 23% |
Boston0 | 25% |
| 6/28 | Sky Blue2 | 50% | 23% |
Orlando3 | 26% |
| 6/25 | Chicago2 | 50% | 24% |
Sky Blue1 | 26% |
| 6/24 | Seattle1 | 55% | 24% |
Kansas City1 | 21% |
| 6/24 | Washington1 | 33% | 24% |
Portland0 | 44% |
| 6/24 | Boston0 | 12% | 17% |
North Carolina1 | 71% |
| 6/24 | Orlando0 | 58% | 21% |
Houston2 | 21% |
| 6/17 | Portland1 | 56% | 23% |
Sky Blue3 | 21% |
| 6/17 | Houston2 | 34% | 25% |
Orlando4 | 42% |
| 6/17 | Kansas City1 | 33% | 26% |
Seattle1 | 41% |
| 6/17 | North Carolina3 | 58% | 22% |
Boston1 | 21% |
| 6/17 | Chicago1 | 56% | 22% |
Washington1 | 22% |
| 6/4 | Chicago1 | 42% | 25% |
Seattle0 | 33% |
| 6/3 | Orlando2 | 54% | 23% |
Boston0 | 23% |
| 6/3 | Washington2 | 47% | 22% |
Houston0 | 31% |
| 6/3 | Sky Blue0 | 38% | 25% |
Portland2 | 38% |
| 6/3 | North Carolina2 | 50% | 24% |
Kansas City0 | 25% |
| 5/27 | Portland2 | 58% | 22% |
Boston0 | 20% |
| 5/27 | Kansas City3 | 51% | 24% |
Washington2 | 24% |
| 5/27 | Sky Blue2 | 49% | 24% |
Orlando1 | 27% |
| 5/27 | Houston0 | 26% | 22% |
Seattle2 | 52% |
| 5/27 | Chicago3 | 45% | 25% |
North Carolina2 | 30% |
| 5/24 | North Carolina2 | 49% | 23% |
Sky Blue0 | 28% |
| 5/21 | Seattle1 | 56% | 22% |
Orlando1 | 22% |
| 5/21 | North Carolina1 | 52% | 24% |
Chicago3 | 24% |
| 5/20 | Washington0 | 43% | 25% |
Kansas City1 | 32% |
| 5/20 | Sky Blue2 | 53% | 22% |
Houston1 | 25% |
| 5/19 | Boston2 | 22% | 23% |
Portland2 | 54% |
| 5/14 | Chicago1 | 57% | 23% |
Boston1 | 20% |
| 5/14 | Orlando3 | 21% | 22% |
North Carolina1 | 56% |
| 5/13 | Houston1 | 48% | 24% |
Sky Blue3 | 29% |
| 5/13 | Seattle6 | 51% | 23% |
Washington2 | 26% |
| 5/13 | Kansas City0 | 38% | 26% |
Portland0 | 36% |
| 5/7 | Kansas City1 | 55% | 24% |
Orlando1 | 21% |
| 5/7 | Boston0 | 15% | 19% |
North Carolina1 | 66% |
| 5/6 | Portland2 | 48% | 24% |
Seattle2 | 28% |
| 5/6 | Washington4 | 48% | 25% |
Sky Blue3 | 26% |
| 5/6 | Chicago2 | 47% | 25% |
Houston0 | 28% |
| 4/30 | Sky Blue1 | 41% | 26% |
Kansas City0 | 33% |
| 4/29 | Washington0 | 52% | 23% |
Houston1 | 25% |
| 4/29 | Boston3 | 5% | 12% |
Seattle0 | 83% |
| 4/29 | North Carolina3 | 57% | 22% |
Orlando1 | 21% |
| 4/29 | Portland1 | 51% | 24% |
Chicago0 | 25% |
| 4/23 | Boston1 | 13% | 17% |
Sky Blue0 | 70% |
| 4/22 | Seattle5 | 50% | 24% |
Houston1 | 27% |
| 4/22 | North Carolina1 | 47% | 23% |
Portland0 | 30% |
| 4/22 | Orlando1 | 33% | 25% |
Washington1 | 43% |
| 4/22 | Chicago1 | 44% | 26% |
Kansas City0 | 30% |
| 4/16 | Kansas City2 | 57% | 21% |
Boston0 | 22% |
| 4/15 | Seattle1 | 55% | 23% |
Sky Blue1 | 23% |
| 4/15 | Washington0 | 46% | 23% |
North Carolina1 | 31% |
| 4/15 | Portland2 | 56% | 22% |
Orlando0 | 22% |
| 4/15 | Houston2 | 44% | 24% |
Chicago0 | 32% |
| Team rating | avg. simulated season | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | W | D | L | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | make playoffs | make final | win final | |||
North Carolina36 pts | 55.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 15.3 | 1.8 | 6.9 | +13 | 48 | >99% | 66% | 40% | |||
Portland31 pts | 52.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 11.7 | 5.5 | 6.8 | +9 | 41 | 92% | 49% | 23% | |||
Chicago29 pts | 48.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 7.1 | +4 | 37 | 73% | 28% | 12% | |||
Seattle27 pts | 51.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 9.6 | 7.4 | 7.0 | +8 | 36 | 61% | 27% | 12% | |||
Orlando26 pts | 51.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 9.7 | 6.5 | 7.9 | +11 | 35 | 57% | 25% | 11% | |||
Sky Blue23 pts | 38.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 11.4 | -8 | 31 | 9% | 3% | <1% | |||
Houston23 pts | 41.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 11.7 | -9 | 30 | 5% | 2% | <1% | |||
Kansas City20 pts | 39.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 10.4 | -8 | 28 | 3% | <1% | <1% | |||
Washington16 pts | 41.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 12.0 | -9 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||
Boston16 pts | 33.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 8.5 | 11.0 | -11 | 22 | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||
The top two teams from each group qualify for the knockout phase. The third-place team from each group qualifies for the Europa League knockout phase. The third-place finisher from each group in the Champions League — eight teams total — will join the Europa League in the round of 32.The top six teams from each conference — 12 teams total — make the MLS playoffs. The top two teams from each conference receive a first-round bye.The top eight teams at the end of the regular season make the Liga MX playoffs.The top four teams at the end of the regular season make the NWSL playoffs.Three teams are promoted, and four teams are relegated. Depending on the league standings, playoffs for the final promotion and relegation spots may be necessary.Four teams — based on overall performance during the last four seasons — are relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the second-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, and the third-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the next two bottom teams will enter a playoff against teams from the lower division to determine if they are relegated.
By Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe
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