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9/22 |  Portland | 42% |
 North Carolina | 58% |
| 9/18 | North Carolina2 | 70% |
 Chicago0 | 30% |
| 9/15 | Portland2 | 69% |
 Seattle1 | 31% |
| Team rating | avg. simulated season | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | W | D | L | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | make playoffs | make final | win final | ||||
North Carolina53 pts | 78.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | +33 | 53 | ✓ | ✓ | 58% | ||||
Portland42 pts | 65.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | +12 | 42 | ✓ | ✓ | 42% | ||||
Seattle41 pts | 57.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | +8 | 41 | ✓ | — | — | ||||
Chicago36 pts | 59.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | +13 | 36 | ✓ | — | — | ||||
 Utah35 pts | 49.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -1 | 35 | — | — | — | ||||
 Houston32 pts | 48.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -4 | 32 | — | — | — | ||||
 Orlando30 pts | 44.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -7 | 30 | — | — | — | ||||
 Sky Blue9 pts | 39.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | -30 | 9 | — | — | — | ||||
 Washington8 pts | 42.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | -24 | 8 | — | — | — | ||||
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