| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | make playoffs | make semis | make final | win final | ||||||
 Portland38 pts | 66.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | +26 | 40 | ✓ | 98% | 73% | 42% | |||||||
 Reign37 pts | 61.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | +11 | 39 | ✓ | 96% | 64% | 31% | |||||||
 North Carolina31 pts | 61.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | +13 | 33 | 66% | 35% | 14% | 8% | |||||||
 Kansas City36 pts | 50.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | +1 | 37 | ✓ | 60% | 19% | 7% | |||||||
 San Diego Wave35 pts | 52.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | +11 | 36 | ✓ | 56% | 16% | 6% | |||||||
 Houston33 pts | 50.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | +7 | 34 | >99% | 41% | 10% | 4% | |||||||
 Chicago30 pts | 55.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | +5 | 32 | 28% | 12% | 4% | 2% | |||||||
 Angel City29 pts | 42.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -3 | 30 | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
 Orlando22 pts | 35.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | -21 | 22 | — | — | — | — | |||||||
 Racing Louisville20 pts | 40.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | -13 | 21 | — | — | — | — | |||||||
 Washington19 pts | 51.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -6 | 21 | — | — | — | — | |||||||
 NJ/NY Gotham12 pts | 32.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -31 | 13 | — | — | — | — | |||||||
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