Updated Feb. 16, 2019, at 11:57 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

Premier Division

2018-19 season

South Africa

Updated Feb. 10, 2019, at 10:30 a.m.

Upcoming matches

2/19	M. Sundowns	69%	21%
	Polokwane City	10%

2/20	SuperSport Utd	26%	30%
	Orlando Pirates	44%

2/22	Chippa United	39%	32%
	Golden Arrows	29%

2/23	Polokwane City	29%	29%
	Kaizer Chiefs	42%

2/23	Bidvest Wits	28%	30%
	M. Sundowns	42%

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Completed matches

2/10	Baroka2	38%	33%
	Bloem Celtic2	29%

2/10	Golden Arrows2	39%	34%
	SuperSport Utd3	27%

2/9	AmaZulu1	32%	28%
	Cape Town City0	41%

2/9	Free State Stars0	35%	32%
	Chippa United2	33%

2/9	Highlands Park2	22%	27%
	Bidvest Wits1	51%

2/9	Kaizer Chiefs1	35%	30%
	Orlando Pirates1	35%

2/8	Maritzburg United3	29%	33%
	Polokwane City1	38%

2/6	M. Sundowns3	81%	15%
	Black Leopards0	4%

2/3	Baroka1	37%	35%
	Chippa United1	28%

2/3	Bloem Celtic3	43%	30%
	Black Leopards0	27%

2/2	Golden Arrows2	44%	30%
	Highlands Park1	26%

2/1	Bidvest Wits1	62%	27%
	Maritzburg United0	11%

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	Team rating				avg. simulated season					avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	W	D	L	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	relegatedrel.	qualify for CCLmake CCL	win Premier Divisionwin league
M. Sundowns34 pts	42.5	1.1	1.2	16.3	10.5	3.2	+22	59	<1%	89%	71%
Orlando Pirates33 pts	36.0	1.1	1.5	13.4	11.9	4.7	+15	52	<1%	44%	13%
Bidvest Wits37 pts	32.0	0.9	1.5	15.1	6.9	8.0	+14	52	<1%	44%	12%
Cape Town City30 pts	31.4	0.9	1.6	12.3	9.1	8.6	+8	46	<1%	9%	2%
Kaizer Chiefs28 pts	32.5	0.8	1.3	11.9	10.0	8.1	+11	46	<1%	5%	<1%
SuperSport Utd29 pts	25.3	0.6	1.5	11.9	8.5	9.6	+3	44	<1%	4%	<1%
AmaZulu29 pts	27.1	0.8	1.6	11.8	8.0	10.2	+0	43	<1%	2%	<1%
Polokwane City27 pts	25.6	0.9	1.8	11.0	9.2	9.8	-1	42	<1%	2%	<1%
Bloem Celtic29 pts	23.0	0.7	1.6	11.0	7.9	11.1	+0	41	<1%	<1%	<1%
Highlands Park25 pts	23.5	0.8	1.7	8.6	12.9	8.5	+1	39	<1%	<1%	<1%
Golden Arrows24 pts	24.6	0.7	1.7	8.1	11.9	10.0	-3	36	1%	<1%	<1%
Chippa United19 pts	20.9	0.5	1.5	7.0	10.2	12.8	-8	31	10%	<1%	<1%
Black Leopards20 pts	14.5	0.5	2.0	7.3	7.9	14.7	-18	30	21%	<1%	<1%
Baroka18 pts	18.7	0.5	1.7	5.7	12.1	12.2	-9	29	22%	<1%	<1%
Free State Stars16 pts	14.3	0.5	1.9	6.5	7.0	16.6	-23	26	51%	<1%	<1%
Maritzburg United14 pts	16.4	0.3	1.5	4.5	11.3	14.2	-13	25	61%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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