Updated June 22, 2018 at 10:40 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Primeira Liga

2017-18 season

Portugal

Updated May 13, 2018, at 3:08 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
5/13
Feirense0
44%29%
Estoril0
27%
FEIESTO
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.41.1
Non-shot xG0.60.7
5/13
Portimonense3
50%25%
Paços de Ferreira1
25%
PORFERR
Adjusted goals2.51.1
Shot-based xG3.51.7
Non-shot xG2.31.8
5/13
Rio Ave1
23%26%
Braga0
51%
RIOBRAG
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.11.8
Non-shot xG1.01.7
5/13
Vitória1
41%26%
Tondela0
32%
SETTOND
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.11.0
Non-shot xG1.11.0
5/13
Marítimo2
16%23%
Sporting1
61%
MARISCP
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.50.5
Non-shot xG1.01.6
5/13
Benfica1
87%11%
Moreirense0
2%
BENMORE
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.1
Non-shot xG1.50.2
5/12
Boavista1
42%31%
Belenenses0
27%
BOABELE
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.9
Non-shot xG1.90.7
5/12
Guimarães0
14%20%
Porto1
65%
GUIPOR
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.61.2
Non-shot xG0.52.0
5/11
Desportivo Aves2
39%27%
Chaves3
34%
DESGDC
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG1.32.0
Non-shot xG1.50.7
5/7
Paços de Ferreira0
36%30%
Rio Ave0
34%
FERRRIO
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.60.8
Non-shot xG0.80.7
5/6
Porto2
87%11%
Feirense1
2%
PORFEI
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.20.4
Non-shot xG2.11.0
5/6
Chaves4
46%28%
Marítimo1
26%
GDCMARI
Adjusted goals4.01.1
Shot-based xG2.91.3
Non-shot xG1.80.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.qualify for UCLqualify for UCLwin Primeira Ligawin league
Porto88 pts
77.8
2.2
0.7
28.04.02.0+6488
Benfica81 pts
74.6
2.0
0.7
25.06.03.0+5881
Sporting78 pts
66.8
1.8
0.9
24.06.04.0+3978
Braga75 pts
66.3
1.9
0.9
24.03.07.0+4575
Rio Ave51 pts
44.8
1.1
1.1
15.06.013.0-251
Marítimo47 pts
38.3
1.1
1.4
13.08.013.0-1347
Chaves47 pts
43.5
1.4
1.5
13.08.013.0-847
Boavista45 pts
41.7
1.0
1.2
13.06.015.0-945
Guimarães43 pts
44.6
1.3
1.3
13.04.017.0-1143
Portimonense38 pts
43.4
1.5
1.6
10.08.016.0-838
Tondela38 pts
39.1
1.2
1.5
10.08.016.0-938
Belenenses37 pts
40.9
1.1
1.3
9.010.015.0-1337
Desportivo Aves34 pts
36.9
1.1
1.4
9.07.018.0-1534
Vitória32 pts
37.5
1.1
1.5
7.011.016.0-2332
Moreirense32 pts
34.7
0.9
1.4
8.08.018.0-2132
Feirense31 pts
38.4
1.0
1.3
9.04.021.0-1631
Estoril30 pts
39.2
1.1
1.3
8.06.020.0-3230
Paços de Ferreira30 pts
36.0
1.0
1.4
7.09.018.0-2630
Forecast from

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