Updated Jan. 22, 2018 at 4:56 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

league-logo

Primeira Liga

2017-18 season

Portugal

Updated Jan. 21, 2018 at 5:23 PM

Upcoming matches
1/29
Paços de Ferreira
47%
29%
Feirense
24%
1/29
Portimonense
33%
30%
Rio Ave
38%
1/29
Belenenses
14%
24%
Benfica
62%
1/30
Braga
75%
17%
Desportivo Aves
7%
1/30
Estoril
44%
27%
Tondela
29%
1/31
Boavista
44%
33%
Marítimo
23%
1/31
Chaves
55%
26%
Vitória
19%
1/31
Sporting
74%
17%
Guimarães
8%
1/31
Moreirense
9%
17%
Porto
73%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance.See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
1/21
Guimarães3
52%25%
Estoril1
23%
GUIESTO
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.30.9
Non-shot xG1.30.3
1/21
Rio Ave2
51%31%
Boavista0
18%
RIOBOA
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.50.5
Non-shot xG1.00.6
1/21
Feirense1
44%30%
Moreirense0
26%
FEIMORE
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.60.7
Non-shot xG0.41.1
1/21
Desportivo Aves0
39%28%
Paços de Ferreira2
33%
DESFERR
Adjusted goals0.01.9
Shot-based xG1.01.6
Non-shot xG1.51.0
1/20
Portimonense1
25%26%
Braga2
50%
PORBRAG
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG2.90.7
Non-shot xG1.80.9
1/20
Benfica3
78%16%
Chaves0
6%
BENGDC
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG1.30.2
Non-shot xG2.00.5
1/20
Marítimo0
44%32%
Belenenses0
24%
MARIBELE
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.30.7
Non-shot xG0.71.2
1/19
Porto1
88%9%
Tondela0
3%
PORTOND
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG3.10.1
Non-shot xG2.40.8
1/19
Vitória1
11%20%
Sporting1
69%
SETSCP
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.21.0
Non-shot xG0.21.4
1/15
Moreirense2
46%29%
Vitória2
24%
MORESET
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.50.5
Non-shot xG1.60.5
1/14
Sporting3
85%12%
Desportivo Aves0
3%
SCPDES
Adjusted goals2.60.0
Shot-based xG2.10.7
Non-shot xG1.40.7
1/14
Belenenses1
32%33%
Rio Ave2
35%
BELERIO
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG0.60.9
Non-shot xG0.71.4
See all
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.qualify for UCLqualify for UCLwin Primeira Ligawin league
Porto48 pts
78.8
2.3
0.7
26.35.91.8+6185<1%90%67%
Benfica46 pts
73.9
2.0
0.7
24.26.92.9+5479<1%63%20%
Sporting47 pts
70.9
2.0
0.8
23.28.32.5+4778<1%45%13%
Braga40 pts
59.9
1.7
1.0
20.74.68.6+2767<1%2%<1%
Rio Ave33 pts
51.3
1.2
1.0
16.07.110.9+1155<1%<1%<1%
Guimarães26 pts
47.0
1.4
1.3
13.45.714.8-846<1%<1%<1%
Chaves26 pts
44.2
1.3
1.3
12.39.112.6-546<1%<1%<1%
Marítimo29 pts
39.4
1.0
1.2
12.19.312.6-946<1%<1%<1%
Boavista24 pts
41.4
1.0
1.1
11.87.215.0-842<1%<1%<1%
Tondela22 pts
38.4
1.2
1.5
10.47.915.7-12393%<1%<1%
Belenenses20 pts
39.2
1.0
1.2
9.39.315.4-13375%<1%<1%
Portimonense18 pts
41.4
1.2
1.4
8.810.015.2-11368%<1%<1%
Feirense20 pts
37.1
1.0
1.3
9.86.118.1-15358%<1%<1%
Paços de Ferreira18 pts
40.8
1.2
1.4
8.59.915.6-183511%<1%<1%
Moreirense15 pts
36.1
1.0
1.4
6.89.917.2-233034%<1%<1%
Estoril12 pts
37.9
1.1
1.4
7.57.319.2-293042%<1%<1%
Vitória14 pts
34.0
1.0
1.5
5.712.016.4-252944%<1%<1%
Desportivo Aves14 pts
33.3
1.0
1.5
6.78.818.5-252945%<1%<1%
Forecast from

Comments