Updated Aug. 3, 2020, at 10:05 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 38 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2019-20

Italy, tier 2

Updated July 31, 2020, at 5:05 p.m.

Upcoming matches
August 4-10
8/4
Chievo
45%
30%
Empoli
25%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
July 28 - August 3
7/31
Virtus Entella2
30%31%
Cittadella3
39%
VIRCITT
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG2.21.0
Non-shot xG1.01.0
7/31
Trapani2
30%28%
Crotone0
42%
TRAPCRO
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG0.71.1
Non-shot xG1.11.6
7/31
Cosenza3
47%28%
Juve Stabia1
24%
COSJVS
Adjusted goals3.11.1
Shot-based xG2.13.0
Non-shot xG1.01.4
7/31
Venezia3
33%34%
Perugia1
33%
VENPER
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG2.60.6
Non-shot xG1.21.2
7/31
Chievo1
44%31%
Pescara0
25%
CVOPES
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.70.1
Non-shot xG1.30.2
7/31
Ascoli2
27%29%
Benevento4
44%
ASCBEN
Adjusted goals2.13.8
Shot-based xG2.13.5
Non-shot xG1.72.1
7/31
Cremonese2
38%33%
Pordenone2
30%
CREPDC
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG0.71.0
Non-shot xG1.40.9
7/31
Frosinone1
48%31%
Pisa1
21%
FROPISA
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.01.2
Non-shot xG1.71.4
7/31
Salernitana1
28%32%
Spezia2
40%
SALSPEZ
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG1.32.0
Non-shot xG1.52.6
7/31
Livorno0
25%28%
Empoli2
47%
LVOEMP
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.63.0
Non-shot xG0.32.1
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Benevento86 pts
37.2
1.1
1.5
+4086
Crotone68 pts
36.3
1.0
1.4
+2368
Spezia61 pts
33.7
0.9
1.4
+146147%
Pordenone58 pts
22.0
0.7
1.8
+25815%
Cittadella58 pts
27.6
0.9
1.7
+05811%
Chievo56 pts
30.6
0.9
1.5
+105614%
Pisa54 pts
20.8
0.7
1.8
+454<1%<1%
Frosinone54 pts
28.0
0.8
1.6
+3548%
Empoli54 pts
25.1
0.8
1.8
-1545%
Salernitana52 pts
24.5
0.8
1.8
+352
Venezia50 pts
22.3
0.7
1.7
-350
Cremonese49 pts
24.6
0.7
1.6
-149
Virtus Entella48 pts
23.9
0.8
1.7
-448
Cosenza46 pts
24.2
0.8
1.8
+146
Ascoli46 pts
19.4
0.7
2.0
-846
Pescara45 pts
21.6
0.7
1.8
-74557%
Perugia45 pts
20.0
0.6
1.8
-114543%
Trapani44 pts
24.6
0.9
1.9
-1244>99%
Juve Stabia41 pts
19.7
0.8
2.0
-1641
Livorno21 pts
12.8
0.5
2.1
-3721
Forecast from
Season

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