Updated May 26, 2020, at 4:26 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2019-20 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated March 9, 2020, at 5:56 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 3-9
3/9
Chievo2
43%33%
Cosenza0
24%
CVOCOS
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.20.4
Non-shot xG1.20.4
3/8
Benevento4
63%24%
Pescara0
12%
BENPES
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG3.01.0
Non-shot xG1.91.0
3/8
Virtus Entella3
46%29%
Ascoli0
25%
VIRASC
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG2.31.5
Non-shot xG2.10.7
3/8
Juve Stabia3
27%30%
Spezia1
43%
JVSSPEZ
Adjusted goals3.11.1
Shot-based xG1.51.9
Non-shot xG0.61.6
3/7
Pisa1
47%29%
Livorno0
24%
PISALVO
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.91.0
Non-shot xG0.91.5
3/7
Venezia1
28%31%
Crotone3
41%
VENCRO
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG2.11.2
Non-shot xG1.71.5
3/7
Frosinone0
57%28%
Cremonese2
15%
FROCRE
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.31.1
Non-shot xG1.21.2
3/7
Perugia1
41%32%
Salernitana0
27%
PERSAL
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.40.3
Non-shot xG1.10.4
3/7
Empoli1
53%26%
Trapani1
20%
EMPTRAP
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.51.1
Non-shot xG0.71.3
3/7
Cittadella0
56%27%
Pordenone2
17%
CITTPDC
Adjusted goals0.01.9
Shot-based xG0.91.4
Non-shot xG1.21.2
3/4
Spezia2
54%28%
Pescara0
18%
SPEZPES
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.5
Non-shot xG1.90.7
3/4
Ascoli1
34%31%
Chievo1
35%
ASCCVO
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.3
Non-shot xG1.10.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Benevento69 pts
41.4
1.2
1.3
+4687<1%>99%>99%
Crotone49 pts
32.9
1.0
1.6
+1865<1%49%62%<1%
Frosinone47 pts
31.4
0.9
1.5
+1362<1%74%43%<1%
Spezia44 pts
29.9
0.9
1.5
+1159<1%81%25%<1%
Pordenone45 pts
23.9
0.8
1.8
+359<1%79%17%<1%
Cittadella43 pts
30.1
0.9
1.6
+558<1%76%20%<1%
Salernitana42 pts
22.8
0.7
1.7
+456<1%62%9%<1%
Chievo41 pts
27.6
0.8
1.5
+755<1%59%10%<1%
Empoli40 pts
26.7
0.9
1.7
-153<1%46%7%<1%
Virtus Entella38 pts
23.5
0.8
1.8
-2513%29%3%
Perugia36 pts
22.3
0.7
1.7
-84910%12%1%
Pescara35 pts
21.3
0.8
1.9
-74812%10%<1%
Pisa36 pts
19.1
0.7
1.9
-34714%8%<1%
Juve Stabia36 pts
18.0
0.7
2.0
-134620%5%<1%
Cremonese30 pts
24.9
0.8
1.7
-34622%5%<1%
Ascoli32 pts
18.4
0.7
2.0
-84532%4%<1%
Venezia32 pts
20.9
0.6
1.7
-94428%2%<1%
Cosenza24 pts
23.0
0.7
1.6
-43972%<1%<1%
Trapani25 pts
19.8
0.7
2.0
-243787%<1%<1%
Livorno18 pts
19.3
0.7
1.9
-2530>99%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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