Updated Dec. 12, 2018, at 5:03 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2018-19 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated Dec. 10, 2018, at 4:55 p.m.

Upcoming matches
12/14
Foggia
46%
31%
Cremonese
22%
12/15
Palermo
70%
22%
Livorno
8%
12/15
Perugia
47%
30%
Spezia
23%
12/15
Ascoli
29%
34%
Cittadella
37%
12/15
Cosenza
34%
30%
Benevento
36%
12/16
Crotone
46%
30%
Venezia
23%
12/16
Carpi
38%
34%
Salernitana
28%
12/16
Brescia
52%
27%
Lecce
21%
12/17
Verona
50%
29%
Pescara
21%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/10
Salernitana1
34%31%
Brescia3
35%
SALBRS
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG0.54.1
Non-shot xG1.12.1
12/9
Benevento0
46%29%
Verona1
25%
BENHEL
Adjusted goals0.00.8
Shot-based xG1.52.4
Non-shot xG0.91.1
12/9
Cremonese0
32%35%
Cittadella0
34%
CRECITT
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.90.7
Non-shot xG1.01.6
12/9
Livorno3
30%30%
Foggia1
40%
LVOFOG
Adjusted goals3.11.1
Shot-based xG1.00.9
Non-shot xG1.11.2
12/8
Venezia1
46%33%
Ascoli0
21%
VENASC
Adjusted goals0.80.0
Shot-based xG1.60.4
Non-shot xG1.10.8
12/8
Lecce0
41%29%
Perugia0
31%
LECPER
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.41.5
Non-shot xG0.71.0
12/8
Spezia4
46%31%
Cosenza0
23%
SPEZCOS
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG1.40.7
Non-shot xG1.11.9
12/8
Padova1
17%27%
Palermo3
56%
PADPAL
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.01.5
Non-shot xG1.30.9
12/7
Pescara2
45%32%
Carpi0
23%
PESCAR
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.20.5
Non-shot xG1.71.4
12/3
Foggia1
46%30%
Venezia1
25%
FOGVEN
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.71.4
Non-shot xG1.61.3
12/2
Perugia2
52%27%
Pescara1
21%
PERPES
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.80.7
Non-shot xG1.11.3
12/2
Carpi0
33%32%
Lecce1
35%
CARLEC
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.71.0
Non-shot xG1.10.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Palermo29 pts
40.4
1.1
1.3
18.911.45.7+2868<1%24%79%55%
Brescia24 pts
34.8
1.1
1.6
15.512.48.2+1659<1%53%41%13%
Cittadella24 pts
32.3
0.9
1.4
14.712.98.4+1357<1%57%33%9%
Lecce26 pts
27.4
0.9
1.7
14.511.310.2+8552%57%21%4%
Perugia21 pts
31.5
1.0
1.6
14.89.611.6+5543%52%22%4%
Verona19 pts
30.5
0.9
1.6
13.811.011.1+5535%49%19%4%
Benevento21 pts
30.1
1.0
1.6
14.29.612.1+4525%49%18%3%
Pescara26 pts
24.6
0.8
1.7
13.611.510.9+2524%51%14%2%
Spezia20 pts
27.6
0.8
1.6
13.58.913.5+2508%39%12%2%
Venezia19 pts
27.2
0.8
1.6
12.711.112.2+1499%39%11%1%
Salernitana20 pts
23.3
0.7
1.7
11.711.912.4-54715%30%6%<1%
Cremonese19 pts
24.9
0.6
1.5
10.814.510.8+04714%29%7%<1%
Crotone12 pts
31.4
1.0
1.6
11.69.714.7-14519%23%7%<1%
Ascoli19 pts
22.3
0.6
1.6
11.111.213.7-54522%21%4%<1%
Cosenza14 pts
22.0
0.7
1.8
9.511.814.7-124040%11%2%<1%
Foggia9 pts
28.2
0.9
1.7
11.911.512.5-23941%10%2%<1%
Carpi10 pts
18.6
0.5
1.7
7.811.316.9-193567%3%<1%<1%
Padova11 pts
18.2
0.7
2.0
7.311.217.5-203374%2%<1%<1%
Livorno9 pts
19.3
0.6
1.8
7.79.718.6-203374%1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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