Updated Oct. 21, 2018 at 4:54 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2018-19 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated Oct. 20, 2018, at 1:57 p.m.

Upcoming matches
10/21
Salernitana
36%
31%
Perugia
33%
10/21
Venezia
38%
31%
Verona
31%
10/21
Lecce
27%
30%
Palermo
43%
10/22
Benevento
60%
25%
Livorno
15%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
10/20
Crotone2
62%24%
Padova1
14%
CROPAD
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.11.6
Non-shot xG1.11.3
10/20
Cosenza2
32%29%
Foggia0
39%
COSFOG
Adjusted goals2.00.0
Shot-based xG1.91.0
Non-shot xG1.11.6
10/20
Ascoli1
43%36%
Carpi0
22%
ASCCAR
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.50.6
Non-shot xG0.91.0
10/20
Cittadella2
42%30%
Brescia2
28%
CITTBRS
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG0.91.3
Non-shot xG1.41.2
10/19
Spezia1
45%31%
Pescara3
24%
SPEZPES
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.20.6
Non-shot xG2.30.9
10/7
Palermo1
50%28%
Crotone0
22%
PALCRO
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.10.2
Non-shot xG2.00.4
10/7
Brescia4
55%27%
Padova1
18%
BRSPAD
Adjusted goals3.31.1
Shot-based xG2.90.4
Non-shot xG1.90.6
10/7
Livorno1
33%32%
Spezia3
34%
LVOSPEZ
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG0.71.8
Non-shot xG1.40.9
10/6
Perugia1
46%29%
Venezia0
25%
PERVEN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.70.5
Non-shot xG1.10.7
10/6
Carpi1
45%33%
Cosenza1
22%
CARCOS
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.81.8
Non-shot xG0.82.6
10/6
Foggia3
52%29%
Ascoli2
19%
FOGASC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.30.9
Non-shot xG0.50.9
10/6
Pescara2
30%30%
Benevento1
40%
PESBEN
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.80.4
Non-shot xG1.41.0
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Palermo11 pts
39.3
1.1
1.3
17.610.87.5+2264<1%39%59%33%
Benevento10 pts
32.1
1.0
1.6
15.29.911.0+10555%46%29%11%
Verona10 pts
31.7
1.0
1.6
14.710.011.3+7546%44%26%9%
Pescara18 pts
25.3
0.8
1.7
14.111.610.3+3545%47%20%7%
Perugia8 pts
31.7
1.0
1.6
13.910.911.2+5538%43%23%7%
Crotone10 pts
32.9
1.0
1.6
14.69.312.2+6536%45%22%6%
Brescia11 pts
31.2
1.0
1.7
13.013.39.7+8527%44%20%5%
Cittadella11 pts
29.5
0.9
1.6
13.711.011.2+7528%43%20%5%
Lecce12 pts
27.3
0.9
1.7
13.211.611.2+55110%40%16%5%
Spezia12 pts
26.7
0.8
1.6
13.58.713.8-24913%36%13%3%
Cremonese11 pts
26.3
0.7
1.5
11.614.410.1+34913%35%13%3%
Salernitana10 pts
26.3
0.8
1.6
11.813.311.0-14914%35%12%2%
Venezia4 pts
28.6
0.8
1.6
11.710.413.8-14622%27%10%2%
Foggia4 pts
30.0
1.0
1.8
14.68.113.3+24425%23%8%<1%
Ascoli9 pts
21.7
0.6
1.6
10.112.713.2-74330%19%5%<1%
Cosenza7 pts
20.4
0.7
1.8
8.912.814.3-123943%12%3%<1%
Carpi5 pts
19.3
0.5
1.7
8.411.216.5-163657%7%1%<1%
Padova6 pts
18.5
0.6
1.9
8.211.416.3-183657%7%1%<1%
Livorno2 pts
17.7
0.6
1.9
7.210.917.9-223270%4%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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