Updated Feb. 26, 2020, at 4:59 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2019-20 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated Feb. 24, 2020, at 4:57 p.m.

Upcoming matches
February 25 - March 2
2/28
Virtus Entella
32%
29%
Crotone
39%
2/29
Empoli
50%
28%
Pordenone
22%
2/29
Benevento
48%
31%
Spezia
21%
2/29
Cittadella
53%
28%
Cremonese
19%
2/29
Pisa
40%
30%
Perugia
30%
2/29
Venezia
37%
34%
Cosenza
29%
2/29
Juve Stabia
46%
29%
Trapani
25%
2/29
Frosinone
59%
28%
Salernitana
13%
2/29
Chievo
60%
26%
Livorno
14%
3/1
Pescara
47%
28%
Ascoli
24%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
February 18-24
2/24
Perugia0
39%30%
Empoli1
32%
PEREMP
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.31.4
Non-shot xG1.70.9
2/23
Crotone4
55%26%
Pescara1
18%
CROPES
Adjusted goals4.21.1
Shot-based xG2.51.2
Non-shot xG1.11.0
2/23
Pordenone0
35%31%
Chievo1
35%
PDCCVO
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.70.3
Non-shot xG1.91.2
2/23
Salernitana1
53%28%
Livorno0
19%
SALLVO
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.80.3
Non-shot xG0.80.7
2/22
Pisa1
40%31%
Venezia2
29%
PISAVEN
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.81.1
Non-shot xG1.90.6
2/22
Virtus Entella0
31%31%
Benevento4
37%
VIRBEN
Adjusted goals0.03.8
Shot-based xG0.52.2
Non-shot xG0.91.3
2/22
Trapani1
25%29%
Spezia1
46%
TRAPSPEZ
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.90.7
Non-shot xG0.61.0
2/22
Cittadella3
57%27%
Juve Stabia0
16%
CITTJVS
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG4.00.1
Non-shot xG2.60.2
2/21
Cosenza0
33%34%
Frosinone2
33%
COSFRO
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.61.5
Non-shot xG1.00.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Benevento60 pts
39.1
1.1
1.3
+4083<1%>99%99%
Frosinone43 pts
33.3
0.9
1.4
+1765<1%57%55%<1%
Spezia41 pts
29.7
0.9
1.5
+1361<1%72%32%<1%
Crotone40 pts
32.6
1.0
1.6
+1561<1%70%32%<1%
Cittadella39 pts
32.2
1.0
1.5
+860<1%72%28%<1%
Chievo37 pts
28.7
0.8
1.5
+957<1%65%15%<1%
Salernitana39 pts
23.8
0.7
1.7
+456<1%61%11%<1%
Empoli36 pts
27.6
0.9
1.7
+1551%51%9%<1%
Pordenone36 pts
22.6
0.8
1.8
-2533%41%5%<1%
Virtus Entella35 pts
24.2
0.8
1.7
+0533%38%5%<1%
Perugia33 pts
23.0
0.7
1.7
-7509%19%2%<1%
Pescara32 pts
22.6
0.8
1.8
-24912%15%1%<1%
Venezia31 pts
20.9
0.6
1.7
-54718%11%1%<1%
Ascoli31 pts
19.4
0.7
1.9
-54720%12%1%<1%
Juve Stabia32 pts
17.3
0.6
2.0
-154626%6%<1%<1%
Pisa30 pts
19.5
0.7
2.0
-54529%6%<1%<1%
Cremonese26 pts
23.1
0.7
1.7
-64435%4%<1%<1%
Cosenza23 pts
23.8
0.7
1.6
-24151%1%<1%<1%
Trapani20 pts
16.8
0.6
2.0
-303493%<1%<1%
Livorno14 pts
17.3
0.6
2.0
-2828>99%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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