Updated Oct. 28, 2020, at 7:58 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2020-21

Italy, tier 2

Updated Oct. 25, 2020, at 12:59 p.m.

Upcoming matches
October 27 - November 2
10/31
Cittadella
31%
29%
Monza
40%
10/31
Brescia
61%
25%
Virtus Entella
14%
10/31
Salernitana
49%
28%
Reggiana
23%
10/31
Ascoli
41%
30%
Pordenone
29%
10/31
Vicenza
42%
30%
Pisa
28%
10/31
Chievo
55%
28%
Cosenza
17%
10/31
Venezia
33%
30%
Empoli
37%
11/1
Reggina
33%
28%
SPAL
39%
11/1
Frosinone
50%
30%
Cremonese
19%
11/2
Lecce
59%
26%
Pescara
16%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
October 20-26
10/25
Cosenza1
33%30%
Lecce1
37%
COSLEC
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.53.1
Non-shot xG0.83.0
10/24
Pescara0
33%32%
Frosinone2
35%
PESFRO
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.41.1
Non-shot xG1.01.3
10/24
Pordenone2
40%30%
Reggina2
30%
PDCREG
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG0.41.2
Non-shot xG0.90.9
10/24
SPAL3
63%23%
Vicenza2
14%
SPALVIC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG3.11.1
Non-shot xG1.91.3
10/24
Monza1
60%26%
Chievo2
15%
MONCVO
Adjusted goals1.11.7
Shot-based xG1.92.6
Non-shot xG1.42.2
10/24
Salernitana1
47%28%
Ascoli0
25%
SALASC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.50.5
Non-shot xG2.10.6
10/23
Empoli3
56%26%
Pisa1
18%
EMPPISA
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG2.60.9
Non-shot xG2.30.6
10/21
Lecce2
51%29%
Cremonese2
20%
LECCRE
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG2.01.1
Non-shot xG3.20.9
10/20
Venezia4
45%31%
Pescara0
24%
VENPES
Adjusted goals3.10.0
Shot-based xG3.20.1
Non-shot xG1.60.6
10/20
Chievo1
32%30%
Brescia0
39%
CVOBRS
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.20.4
Non-shot xG0.70.6
10/20
Pisa1
21%27%
Monza1
52%
PISAMON
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.50.5
Non-shot xG0.71.2
10/20
Vicenza1
41%29%
Salernitana1
30%
VICSAL
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.51.5
Non-shot xG1.11.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Empoli13 pts
32.9
1.0
1.6
+16642%48%39%17%
Monza3 pts
40.0
1.2
1.5
+21632%47%42%16%
Brescia4 pts
37.6
1.1
1.5
+17623%47%36%14%
SPAL6 pts
36.8
1.2
1.6
+16613%48%33%12%
Chievo10 pts
30.4
0.9
1.5
+9604%47%26%9%
Cittadella10 pts
28.2
0.9
1.6
+10585%45%22%7%
Frosinone10 pts
29.6
0.8
1.5
+8585%45%22%7%
Lecce6 pts
32.2
1.1
1.7
+7567%43%20%6%
Salernitana11 pts
25.6
0.8
1.7
+2549%38%13%4%
Reggina7 pts
27.5
0.9
1.7
+25212%34%12%3%
Venezia7 pts
24.6
0.7
1.7
-15016%29%9%2%
Cremonese3 pts
23.2
0.7
1.7
-74527%19%5%<1%
Pordenone4 pts
22.9
0.7
1.7
-74527%19%4%<1%
Virtus Entella3 pts
22.0
0.7
1.7
-94432%17%4%<1%
Cosenza5 pts
20.8
0.7
1.8
-94333%15%3%<1%
Ascoli4 pts
20.6
0.7
1.9
-134236%13%3%<1%
Pisa3 pts
21.4
0.7
1.8
-144238%13%3%<1%
Reggiana4 pts
19.8
0.7
1.9
-134240%13%3%<1%
Vicenza2 pts
20.6
0.7
1.9
-134142%11%2%<1%
Pescara1 pt
18.3
0.6
1.9
-223757%6%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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