Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 10:38 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2019-20 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 4:53 p.m.

Upcoming matches
October 15-21
10/21
Frosinone
53%
27%
Livorno
20%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
October 15-21
10/20
Empoli1
63%25%
Cremonese1
12%
EMPCRE
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.61.9
Non-shot xG1.81.5
10/20
Chievo2
60%25%
Ascoli0
16%
CVOASC
Adjusted goals1.50.0
Shot-based xG2.60.6
Non-shot xG2.30.6
10/20
Pisa1
27%30%
Crotone1
43%
PISACRO
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.02.6
Non-shot xG0.53.1
10/19
Benevento1
48%30%
Perugia0
23%
BENPER
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.30.5
Non-shot xG1.11.1
10/19
Virtus Entella1
48%30%
Trapani1
22%
VIRTRAP
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.81.3
Non-shot xG1.60.8
10/19
Juve Stabia4
41%30%
Pordenone2
29%
JVSPDC
Adjusted goals4.22.1
Shot-based xG1.60.8
Non-shot xG0.81.9
10/19
Venezia1
43%31%
Salernitana0
26%
VENSAL
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.00.7
Non-shot xG1.01.4
10/19
Pescara1
40%29%
Spezia2
30%
PESSPEZ
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.40.5
Non-shot xG1.11.0
10/18
Cittadella1
53%30%
Cosenza3
18%
CITTCOS
Adjusted goals1.13.1
Shot-based xG0.72.5
Non-shot xG1.11.3
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Benevento18 pts
33.2
0.9
1.5
+2067<1%48%50%23%
Empoli15 pts
36.5
1.1
1.6
+2167<1%47%50%22%
Crotone15 pts
34.5
1.0
1.5
+21651%50%44%18%
Chievo13 pts
35.1
1.1
1.6
+18632%51%38%13%
Perugia14 pts
30.0
0.9
1.6
+9603%52%28%8%
Cittadella12 pts
27.3
0.9
1.7
+1558%43%15%4%
Frosinone6 pts
29.9
1.0
1.7
+25212%35%13%3%
Salernitana14 pts
21.6
0.7
1.8
-35114%33%9%2%
Cremonese11 pts
23.3
0.7
1.6
-55016%30%8%1%
Spezia7 pts
26.2
0.8
1.7
-24919%28%7%<1%
Ascoli12 pts
21.0
0.7
1.8
-14821%25%6%1%
Venezia12 pts
20.5
0.6
1.7
-54821%24%5%<1%
Virtus Entella12 pts
20.1
0.7
1.8
-84823%23%5%<1%
Pescara10 pts
22.6
0.8
1.8
-64823%24%5%<1%
Pordenone11 pts
20.4
0.7
1.9
-64724%23%5%<1%
Cosenza7 pts
22.7
0.7
1.7
-34627%20%4%<1%
Pisa10 pts
19.6
0.7
1.9
-44629%18%3%<1%
Livorno4 pts
21.0
0.7
1.9
-124243%11%2%<1%
Juve Stabia7 pts
18.4
0.6
1.9
-174147%9%2%<1%
Trapani5 pts
16.4
0.6
1.9
-203666%4%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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