Updated April 25, 2019, at 2:07 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2018-19 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated April 22, 2019, at 5:08 p.m.

Upcoming matches
April
4/26
Benevento
48%
31%
Cosenza
21%
4/27
Livorno
27%
30%
Palermo
43%
4/27
Salernitana
53%
27%
Carpi
20%
4/27
Pescara
35%
31%
Verona
35%
4/27
Venezia
35%
33%
Crotone
32%
4/27
Spezia
41%
29%
Perugia
30%
4/28
Cittadella
57%
26%
Ascoli
17%
4/28
Cremonese
40%
33%
Foggia
27%
4/28
Lecce
39%
28%
Brescia
32%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
April
4/22
Carpi0
35%29%
Pescara0
36%
CARPES
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.21.7
Non-shot xG1.01.7
4/22
Cosenza1
36%32%
Spezia0
32%
COSSPEZ
Adjusted goals0.80.0
Shot-based xG5.00.4
Non-shot xG1.50.8
4/22
Foggia2
48%30%
Livorno2
21%
FOGLVO
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG2.11.9
Non-shot xG1.11.3
4/22
Ascoli1
39%32%
Venezia0
29%
ASCVEN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.31.0
Non-shot xG0.61.3
4/22
Cittadella1
50%31%
Cremonese3
19%
CITTCRE
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG2.21.9
Non-shot xG1.61.3
4/22
Perugia1
33%29%
Lecce2
38%
PERLEC
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.10.7
Non-shot xG1.31.1
4/22
Palermo1
67%24%
Padova1
9%
PALPAD
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.01.7
Non-shot xG2.30.3
4/22
Brescia3
62%24%
Salernitana0
14%
BRSSAL
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG2.50.9
Non-shot xG1.52.0
4/22
Verona0
39%31%
Benevento3
30%
HELBEN
Adjusted goals0.02.6
Shot-based xG1.72.0
Non-shot xG2.71.0
4/15
Livorno0
23%27%
Brescia1
49%
LVOBRS
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.31.4
Non-shot xG1.01.2
4/14
Benevento1
36%31%
Palermo2
32%
BENPAL
Adjusted goals1.11.8
Shot-based xG2.01.2
Non-shot xG2.31.0
4/14
Padova0
33%34%
Cosenza0
33%
PADCOS
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.50.7
Non-shot xG0.80.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Brescia63 pts
38.2
1.2
1.6
18.813.14.1+30692%98%86%
Lecce60 pts
34.2
1.0
1.5
18.39.97.8+216543%68%10%
Palermo57 pts
33.3
1.0
1.5
16.813.26.0+206457%57%4%
Benevento53 pts
33.4
1.0
1.5
16.69.210.2+155998%29%<1%
Verona48 pts
29.8
0.9
1.6
13.613.29.2+75496%14%
Pescara50 pts
24.0
0.8
1.8
14.011.910.0+25497%7%
Spezia46 pts
28.7
1.0
1.7
14.38.113.6+55166%8%
Cittadella45 pts
30.9
1.0
1.7
12.613.110.3+95159%8%
Perugia45 pts
29.9
1.0
1.7
14.57.214.3-15157%8%
Cremonese42 pts
26.6
0.7
1.4
11.313.311.4+44718%2%
Cosenza42 pts
28.4
0.8
1.5
11.013.012.0-746<1%3%<1%
Ascoli42 pts
21.0
0.7
1.8
10.813.112.1-1445<1%4%<1%
Salernitana38 pts
26.1
0.8
1.7
11.59.215.3-8442%<1%<1%
Crotone34 pts
29.7
0.9
1.6
9.511.215.2-64015%<1%<1%
Venezia33 pts
19.7
0.6
1.7
8.213.314.5-103841%<1%<1%
Livorno31 pts
20.2
0.7
1.8
8.211.216.6-163665%
Foggia29 pts
25.1
0.8
1.7
9.314.212.5-63481%<1%<1%
Carpi26 pts
17.4
0.7
2.1
7.19.219.7-293197%
Padova26 pts
20.2
0.6
1.7
4.914.916.2-1529>99%
Forecast from
Season

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