Updated Feb. 23, 2019, at 7:17 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2018-19 season

Italy, tier 2

Updated Feb. 23, 2019, at 2:01 p.m.

Upcoming matches
2/24
Livorno
42%
33%
Venezia
25%
2/26
Benevento
50%
30%
Pescara
21%
2/26
Salernitana
37%
35%
Cremonese
28%
2/26
Crotone
32%
31%
Palermo
37%
2/26
Ascoli
37%
31%
Foggia
31%
2/26
Lecce
40%
29%
Verona
30%
2/26
Padova
21%
27%
Brescia
53%
2/26
Cosenza
49%
30%
Carpi
21%
2/27
Venezia
35%
32%
Perugia
33%
2/27
Spezia
50%
29%
Livorno
21%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
2/23
Foggia1
34%31%
Benevento1
35%
FOGBEN
Adjusted goals1.10.8
Shot-based xG0.82.0
Non-shot xG0.91.3
2/23
Carpi3
30%31%
Spezia2
39%
CARSPEZ
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.32.1
Non-shot xG0.72.3
2/23
Pescara2
49%30%
Padova0
21%
PESPAD
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.41.4
Non-shot xG1.41.8
2/23
Cremonese0
46%34%
Ascoli1
20%
CREASC
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.40.8
Non-shot xG1.00.7
2/23
Cittadella4
38%31%
Lecce1
31%
CITTLEC
Adjusted goals4.21.1
Shot-based xG2.40.9
Non-shot xG1.90.4
2/23
Perugia0
48%29%
Cosenza1
23%
PERCOS
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.81.5
Non-shot xG1.70.5
2/23
Brescia2
55%25%
Crotone0
20%
BRSCRO
Adjusted goals1.50.0
Shot-based xG1.10.4
Non-shot xG1.61.1
2/22
Verona1
49%29%
Salernitana0
22%
HELSAL
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.30.3
Non-shot xG1.20.7
2/18
Crotone0
48%28%
Pescara2
24%
CROPES
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.70.7
Non-shot xG2.30.9
2/17
Spezia1
45%29%
Verona2
26%
SPEZHEL
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.41.0
Non-shot xG1.70.9
2/17
Cosenza2
39%35%
Cremonese0
26%
COSCRE
Adjusted goals1.40.0
Shot-based xG2.50.3
Non-shot xG1.60.6
2/17
Lecce3
50%30%
Livorno2
20%
LECLVO
Adjusted goals2.72.1
Shot-based xG2.20.8
Non-shot xG1.80.7
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Brescia46 pts
36.9
1.3
1.7
17.713.35.0+2766<1%20%84%57%
Palermo42 pts
35.5
1.0
1.4
16.713.06.3+2163<1%44%65%24%
Benevento40 pts
31.7
0.9
1.4
16.111.18.8+1459<1%69%40%10%
Lecce38 pts
27.8
0.9
1.7
14.911.89.3+756<1%74%23%4%
Pescara41 pts
26.3
0.9
1.7
14.911.69.4+556<1%76%21%3%
Verona36 pts
30.6
1.0
1.6
13.812.99.3+754<1%71%20%2%
Spezia34 pts
30.5
1.0
1.6
13.710.611.8+852<1%58%13%<1%
Perugia32 pts
29.9
1.0
1.7
14.18.913.0+151<1%54%11%<1%
Cittadella33 pts
30.4
0.9
1.6
12.612.610.8+650<1%51%10%<1%
Cosenza30 pts
27.2
0.8
1.6
11.513.111.4-3484%30%5%<1%
Salernitana31 pts
24.0
0.7
1.7
11.810.713.5-5466%21%3%<1%
Ascoli28 pts
22.3
0.7
1.7
10.911.413.7-104414%13%2%<1%
Venezia26 pts
23.4
0.7
1.6
10.212.513.3-64317%11%2%<1%
Cremonese27 pts
24.7
0.6
1.5
9.713.113.3-24220%7%1%<1%
Livorno20 pts
21.7
0.7
1.7
8.112.415.5-103756%1%<1%<1%
Crotone19 pts
27.8
0.9
1.6
8.310.717.0-133658%<1%<1%<1%
Foggia20 pts
24.8
0.8
1.8
9.913.612.5-73563%<1%<1%<1%
Carpi21 pts
19.2
0.7
1.9
8.39.718.1-233572%<1%<1%<1%
Padova18 pts
19.4
0.6
1.8
6.112.617.2-183188%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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