Updated May 5, 2021, at 9:14 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2020-21

Italy, tier 2

Updated May 4, 2021, at 9:58 a.m.

Upcoming matches
May 4-10
5/7
Brescia
48%
27%
Pisa
25%
5/7
Salernitana
43%
30%
Empoli
27%
5/7
Frosinone
47%
31%
Vicenza
22%
5/7
Cremonese
56%
28%
Pescara
16%
5/7
Ascoli
33%
33%
Cittadella
34%
5/7
Lecce
60%
26%
Reggina
14%
5/7
Venezia
53%
28%
Pordenone
19%
5/7
Reggiana
34%
33%
SPAL
33%
5/7
Cosenza
22%
30%
Monza
49%
5/7
Virtus Entella
24%
32%
Chievo
45%
5/10
Reggina
42%
33%
Frosinone
25%
5/10
Empoli
44%
28%
Lecce
28%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
May 4-10
5/4
Pordenone1
31%34%
Salernitana2
35%
PDCSAL
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.61.2
Non-shot xG1.71.4
5/4
SPAL0
44%31%
Frosinone1
24%
SPALFRO
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.81.9
Non-shot xG1.91.1
5/4
Chievo1
43%32%
Cremonese1
26%
CVOCRE
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.70.6
Non-shot xG1.51.1
5/4
Pisa2
35%30%
Venezia2
35%
PISAVEN
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG2.52.2
Non-shot xG1.01.3
5/4
Pescara1
43%33%
Reggiana0
24%
PESREG
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.61.1
Non-shot xG0.71.9
5/4
Vicenza0
39%29%
Brescia3
31%
VICBRS
Adjusted goals0.03.2
Shot-based xG0.82.4
Non-shot xG1.51.3
5/4
Monza1
40%30%
Lecce0
30%
MONLEC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.11.6
Non-shot xG1.01.8
5/4
Cittadella1
64%25%
Virtus Entella0
11%
CITTVIR
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.11.1
Non-shot xG3.10.5
5/4
Empoli4
66%23%
Cosenza0
11%
EMPCOS
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG2.40.4
Non-shot xG1.61.1
5/4
Reggina2
49%32%
Ascoli2
20%
REGASC
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.41.2
Non-shot xG1.31.1
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Empoli70 pts
38.0
1.2
1.5
+3473
Salernitana63 pts
27.7
0.8
1.5
+76651%61%
Monza61 pts
32.9
1.0
1.5
+186467%53%
Lecce61 pts
37.7
1.2
1.5
+236482%49%
Venezia57 pts
31.7
1.0
1.6
+1460>99%13%
Cittadella56 pts
29.7
0.8
1.5
+155911%
Chievo50 pts
29.1
0.8
1.5
+95477%6%
SPAL50 pts
25.2
0.8
1.7
+05344%2%
Brescia50 pts
29.7
1.0
1.8
+55355%4%
Reggina49 pts
26.0
0.7
1.6
+05118%1%
Frosinone46 pts
26.4
0.8
1.6
-8493%<1%
Cremonese45 pts
31.9
1.0
1.5
+1482%<1%
Pisa45 pts
27.1
0.9
1.7
-548<1%<1%
Vicenza44 pts
22.3
0.7
1.7
-647<1%<1%<1%
Pordenone41 pts
23.8
0.7
1.6
-1446%
Ascoli41 pts
22.4
0.7
1.7
-114310%
Cosenza35 pts
16.7
0.6
1.9
-143791%
Reggiana34 pts
17.1
0.5
1.8
-253694%
Pescara32 pts
19.3
0.6
1.7
-2634>99%
Virtus Entella23 pts
14.7
0.5
2.0
-3225
Forecast from
Season

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