Updated March 2, 2021, at 11:54 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Serie B

2020-21

Italy, tier 2

Updated March 2, 2021, at 4:52 p.m.

Upcoming matches
March 2-8
3/6
Cremonese
46%
30%
Salernitana
24%
3/6
Pescara
34%
32%
SPAL
33%
3/6
Pisa
43%
31%
Reggina
26%
3/6
Cosenza
40%
31%
Frosinone
28%
3/6
Virtus Entella
39%
32%
Ascoli
30%
3/6
Venezia
48%
28%
Brescia
24%
3/6
Monza
63%
26%
Pordenone
11%
3/7
Empoli
57%
26%
Cittadella
17%
3/7
Reggiana
28%
30%
Lecce
42%
3/8
Chievo
53%
30%
Vicenza
17%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 2-8
3/2
Vicenza3
38%31%
Cremonese1
31%
VICCRE
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG1.11.1
Non-shot xG0.81.6
3/2
Chievo3
49%32%
Pordenone0
19%
CVOPDC
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG1.11.0
Non-shot xG0.51.6
3/2
Lecce0
63%23%
Virtus Entella0
13%
LECVIR
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.40.3
Non-shot xG2.70.4
3/2
Ascoli0
43%31%
Pisa2
27%
ASCPISA
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.30.7
Non-shot xG1.41.0
3/2
Cittadella0
58%27%
Pescara1
14%
CITTPES
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.30.5
Non-shot xG2.00.9
3/2
Salernitana0
41%30%
SPAL0
29%
SALSPAL
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.40.3
Non-shot xG2.11.8
3/2
Brescia2
47%28%
Cosenza0
25%
BRSCOS
Adjusted goals1.70.0
Shot-based xG2.70.5
Non-shot xG2.50.6
3/2
Reggina0
29%30%
Empoli3
41%
REGEMP
Adjusted goals0.02.6
Shot-based xG0.63.0
Non-shot xG0.92.1
3/2
Frosinone2
23%31%
Monza2
46%
FROMON
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.51.3
Non-shot xG2.10.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.make prom. playoffspromotedprom.win Serie Bwin league
Empoli49 pts
38.6
1.2
1.5
+337115%89%64%
Monza44 pts
38.7
1.1
1.3
+2366<1%39%73%22%
Venezia45 pts
27.2
0.8
1.6
+1161<1%74%30%5%
Chievo42 pts
30.7
0.8
1.4
+1560<1%77%28%3%
Salernitana43 pts
25.3
0.8
1.6
+258<1%74%17%2%
Lecce40 pts
33.9
1.1
1.6
+1458<1%71%22%2%
Cittadella40 pts
29.6
0.9
1.6
+1257<1%73%16%1%
SPAL38 pts
28.1
0.9
1.7
+555<1%61%11%<1%
Pisa36 pts
24.7
0.8
1.7
-3522%34%4%<1%
Frosinone34 pts
26.3
0.8
1.6
-5503%25%3%<1%
Pordenone33 pts
26.1
0.7
1.6
+3494%19%2%<1%
Reggina32 pts
24.7
0.8
1.7
-6477%12%1%<1%
Vicenza31 pts
23.8
0.7
1.7
-14710%9%<1%<1%
Cremonese29 pts
28.9
0.9
1.6
-34611%8%1%<1%
Brescia30 pts
27.6
1.0
1.9
-44613%7%<1%<1%
Reggiana28 pts
17.8
0.6
1.8
-194050%<1%<1%<1%
Cosenza26 pts
20.9
0.7
1.8
-84046%<1%<1%<1%
Pescara22 pts
18.4
0.5
1.7
-253678%<1%<1%<1%
Ascoli22 pts
19.3
0.6
1.8
-193581%<1%<1%<1%
Virtus Entella19 pts
18.3
0.6
1.9
-263194%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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