Primera División Predictions

Primera División

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	win Primera Divisiónwin league
River Plate21 pts	62.7	1.7	1.0	+28	50		56%
Talleres23 pts	42.2	1.1	1.3	+10	43		11%
Lanús23 pts	41.9	1.3	1.5	+7	43		10%
Independiente19 pts	46.4	1.1	1.1	+11	42		7%
Estudiantes20 pts	42.5	1.1	1.2	+11	41		6%
Boca Juniors15 pts	52.8	1.3	1.0	+10	40		3%
Racing18 pts	43.4	1.0	1.1	+10	39		3%
Vélez Sarsfield14 pts	50.2	1.2	1.0	+14	38		2%
Justicia14 pts	42.9	1.1	1.2	+4	35		<1%
Argentinos14 pts	40.1	1.0	1.2	+2	34		<1%
Godoy Cruz16 pts	33.2	1.1	1.6	-2	33		<1%
Colón16 pts	32.3	0.9	1.5	-9	32		<1%
Newell's12 pts	39.2	1.1	1.4	-4	32		<1%
Atlético15 pts	35.1	1.0	1.4	-6	32		<1%
San Lorenzo13 pts	37.6	1.0	1.3	-4	31		<1%
Rosario Central13 pts	37.8	1.1	1.5	+1	31		<1%
Huracán13 pts	36.4	0.9	1.2	+0	31		<1%
Patronato14 pts	33.4	0.9	1.5	-5	31		<1%
Unión12 pts	32.9	0.9	1.4	-7	30		<1%
Sarmiento12 pts	33.5	0.9	1.4	-7	29		<1%
Central Córdoba11 pts	33.9	1.0	1.4	-5	28		<1%
Gimnasia11 pts	31.9	0.8	1.3	-9	28		<1%
Aldosivi13 pts	27.8	0.8	1.6	-13	27		<1%
Banfield9 pts	35.9	1.0	1.4	-7	27		<1%
Platense10 pts	30.3	0.9	1.6	-9	25		<1%
Arsenal8 pts	31.1	0.9	1.5	-19	23		<1%