Updated Jan. 22, 2018 at 4:56 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Superliga

2017 season

Argentina

Updated Dec. 11, 2017 at 9:32 PM

Upcoming matches
1/24
Independiente
50%
31%
Rosario Central
19%
1/26
Tigre
36%
28%
Banfield
36%
1/26
Godoy Cruz
56%
26%
Chacarita
18%
1/26
Talleres
40%
31%
San Lorenzo
29%
1/27
Newell's Old Boys
46%
30%
Arsenal
24%
1/27
Defensa y Justicia
51%
29%
Vélez Sarsfield
21%
1/27
Lanús
49%
28%
Patronato
22%
1/27
Boca Juniors
62%
25%
Colón
13%
1/28
Argentinos Juniors
42%
30%
San Martín
27%
1/28
Olimpo
35%
33%
Belgrano
32%
1/28
Huracán
42%
29%
River Plate
29%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance.See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
12/11
Chacarita3
30%29%
Lanús0
41%
CHALAN
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG1.70.3
Non-shot xG1.00.8
12/11
San Martín1
32%29%
Defensa y Justicia0
39%
SMSJDYJ
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.31.5
Non-shot xG0.52.2
12/10
Estudiantes0
28%31%
Boca Juniors1
41%
ESTCABJ
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.81.0
Non-shot xG1.71.0
12/10
Racing3
49%27%
Gimnasia1
24%
RACGLP
Adjusted goals2.61.1
Shot-based xG3.40.2
Non-shot xG1.81.1
12/10
Colón0
38%32%
Talleres2
30%
COLTDC
Adjusted goals0.02.0
Shot-based xG1.41.2
Non-shot xG1.61.4
12/10
Rosario Central1
47%30%
Newell's Old Boys0
23%
ROSNOB
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.00.4
Non-shot xG0.90.6
12/9
Arsenal1
25%31%
Independiente2
44%
ARSIND
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.90.9
Non-shot xG1.40.8
12/9
Banfield2
49%29%
Argentinos Juniors3
22%
BANARGJ
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG2.71.7
Non-shot xG1.30.7
12/8
Belgrano1
37%34%
Huracán0
30%
BELHUR
Adjusted goals0.80.0
Shot-based xG0.80.4
Non-shot xG0.91.1
12/8
Patronato1
37%29%
Olimpo0
33%
CAPOBB
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.91.5
Non-shot xG1.90.9
12/8
Temperley2
39%30%
Tigre1
32%
TEMPTIG
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.21.9
Non-shot xG1.12.8
12/4
San Martín2
37%30%
Banfield1
33%
SMSJBAN
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.31.3
Non-shot xG0.51.3
See all
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Boca Juniors30 pts
64.3
1.6
0.8
18.33.94.8+3259<1%75%
San Lorenzo27 pts
52.5
1.3
1.0
14.27.45.3+1650<1%12%
Independiente21 pts
54.2
1.2
0.8
12.98.06.1+1147<1%5%
Talleres21 pts
50.7
1.2
1.0
12.07.57.5+1243<1%2%
Unión22 pts
47.2
1.2
1.1
11.48.47.2+843<1%1%
Huracán21 pts
48.4
1.1
1.0
11.67.67.8+10424%1%
Defensa y Justicia18 pts
53.1
1.4
1.1
11.57.28.3+742<1%<1%
Godoy Cruz17 pts
46.1
1.2
1.1
11.26.69.1+240<1%<1%
Belgrano20 pts
44.5
1.0
1.0
10.29.87.0+140<1%<1%
Colón20 pts
44.6
1.1
1.1
10.09.67.4+340<1%<1%
Racing16 pts
51.7
1.4
1.1
10.48.18.5+539<1%<1%
Estudiantes17 pts
49.4
1.1
0.9
10.86.79.4+339<1%<1%
San Martín20 pts
41.7
1.0
1.2
10.76.59.8+039<1%<1%
River Plate15 pts
49.8
1.4
1.2
10.07.19.8+137<1%<1%
Banfield15 pts
46.8
1.2
1.2
9.57.310.2+236<1%<1%
Argentinos Juniors17 pts
41.8
1.1
1.2
9.76.410.9+03619%<1%
Rosario Central13 pts
46.6
1.1
1.1
8.88.89.4-535<1%<1%
Atlético Tucumán16 pts
42.4
1.1
1.2
8.98.49.7-235<1%<1%
Vélez Sarsfield14 pts
44.3
1.0
1.1
9.26.711.2-4348%<1%
Lanús13 pts
41.3
1.1
1.2
9.25.812.0-1333<1%<1%
Gimnasia13 pts
43.1
1.2
1.2
8.95.412.7-832<1%<1%
Newell's Old Boys13 pts
41.0
1.0
1.2
7.68.510.9-331<1%<1%
Patronato15 pts
35.0
1.0
1.4
7.87.211.9-103132%<1%
Temperley12 pts
36.5
1.0
1.3
7.07.312.7-172878%<1%
Olimpo9 pts
38.3
1.0
1.3
6.47.413.2-142764%<1%
Tigre8 pts
40.0
1.1
1.3
5.59.312.3-122611%<1%
Chacarita9 pts
34.2
1.0
1.4
5.77.114.1-112485%<1%
Arsenal5 pts
37.0
1.0
1.3
5.26.415.4-142298%<1%
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