Updated Feb. 23, 2019, at 7:17 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2018 season

Argentina

Updated Feb. 23, 2019, at 7:17 p.m.

Upcoming matches
2/23
Independiente
27%
26%
Racing
47%
2/24
River Plate
64%
22%
San Martín T.
14%
2/24
Estudiantes
37%
32%
Talleres
31%
2/24
Atlético Tucumán
43%
29%
Argentinos Juniors
28%
2/24
Defensa y Justicia
48%
28%
Boca Juniors
25%
2/25
Aldosivi
44%
29%
Gimnasia
27%
2/25
Newell's Old Boys
41%
30%
San Martín
30%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
2/23
Belgrano0
42%31%
San Lorenzo0
27%
BELSLOR
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.40.2
Non-shot xG1.20.7
2/23
Godoy Cruz0
35%29%
Vélez Sarsfield2
36%
GCMVEL
Adjusted goals0.01.9
Shot-based xG0.92.1
Non-shot xG1.31.0
2/23
Huracán1
38%30%
Unión3
32%
HURUSF
Adjusted goals1.12.8
Shot-based xG1.32.0
Non-shot xG2.21.2
2/22
Colón0
38%30%
Banfield1
32%
COLBAN
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.21.0
Non-shot xG1.10.5
2/22
Lanús2
42%30%
Rosario Central0
28%
LANROS
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.20.9
Non-shot xG1.51.4
2/22
Tigre2
43%25%
Patronato1
32%
TIGCAP
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.41.6
Non-shot xG1.61.5
2/20
Boca Juniors1
62%22%
Atlético Tucumán2
16%
CABJTUC
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.71.0
Non-shot xG2.50.6
2/18
Racing3
70%20%
Godoy Cruz0
10%
RACGCM
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG2.20.9
Non-shot xG1.80.9
2/18
Argentinos Juniors2
48%32%
Estudiantes1
20%
ARGJEST
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.61.4
Non-shot xG1.80.7
2/17
Banfield1
32%27%
River Plate1
40%
BANCARP
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.41.6
Non-shot xG1.21.7
2/17
Boca Juniors2
59%25%
Lanús1
16%
CABJLAN
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.80.8
Non-shot xG0.90.7
2/17
Talleres0
39%30%
Huracán0
31%
TDCHUR
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.40.8
Non-shot xG0.71.0
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Racing45 pts
59.7
1.6
1.0
17.24.53.3+2756<1%65%
Defensa y Justicia45 pts
54.2
1.3
0.9
15.67.71.7+1854<1%34%
Boca Juniors35 pts
59.3
1.5
1.0
12.86.65.6+1645<1%<1%
Atlético Tucumán35 pts
44.8
1.3
1.3
12.16.66.3+943<1%<1%
River Plate30 pts
60.6
1.6
0.9
11.37.56.2+1841<1%<1%
Vélez Sarsfield33 pts
51.1
1.3
1.0
11.17.46.5+641<1%<1%
Huracán32 pts
44.3
1.2
1.2
10.09.45.7+539<1%<1%
Independiente29 pts
51.0
1.3
1.1
9.39.66.1+937<1%<1%
Unión30 pts
47.9
1.2
1.0
9.87.47.7+437<1%<1%
Aldosivi28 pts
40.0
1.0
1.2
9.85.79.5-435<1%<1%
Lanús27 pts
46.5
1.1
1.1
8.87.48.7-134<1%—
Banfield27 pts
46.3
1.2
1.1
7.710.46.9+034<1%—
Godoy Cruz26 pts
40.5
1.1
1.3
9.63.412.0-832<1%—
Talleres24 pts
43.5
1.0
1.1
7.97.89.2+132<1%—
Tigre25 pts
42.7
1.3
1.4
7.38.39.4-103099%—
Newell's Old Boys22 pts
44.4
1.1
1.1
7.08.89.2+230<1%—
Estudiantes21 pts
40.9
1.0
1.2
6.97.710.4-528<1%—
Colón20 pts
43.8
1.0
1.1
6.19.89.1-628<1%—
Rosario Central21 pts
39.9
1.0
1.2
6.67.510.9-1027<1%—
San Martín19 pts
40.8
1.1
1.3
7.15.812.1-72736%—
Gimnasia18 pts
36.2
1.0
1.4
6.74.713.5-152514%—
San Lorenzo17 pts
42.8
1.0
1.1
4.012.88.2-625<1%—
San Martín T.18 pts
36.8
1.1
1.4
4.610.69.8-132488%—
Patronato17 pts
39.5
1.1
1.4
5.76.412.9-82467%—
Belgrano17 pts
38.2
0.9
1.2
3.412.49.1-102388%—
Argentinos Juniors14 pts
42.1
1.0
1.1
4.96.813.3-13229%—
Forecast from
Season

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