Updated Dec. 12, 2018, at 5:03 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2018 season

Argentina

Updated Dec. 10, 2018, at 9:09 p.m.

Upcoming matches
12/13
Huracán
46%
29%
Argentinos Juniors
25%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/10
Belgrano1
45%27%
Tigre2
28%
BELTIG
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.31.4
Non-shot xG0.71.7
12/10
Patronato3
32%28%
Vélez Sarsfield3
39%
CAPVEL
Adjusted goals2.93.2
Shot-based xG1.71.9
Non-shot xG1.42.3
12/9
Racing1
69%20%
San Martín0
11%
RACSMSJ
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.31.5
Non-shot xG1.51.2
12/9
Argentinos Juniors1
45%30%
Aldosivi2
25%
ARGJALDO
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.50.4
Non-shot xG1.10.9
12/9
Gimnasia2
37%29%
Huracán2
34%
GLPHUR
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG2.11.5
Non-shot xG1.21.0
12/8
Godoy Cruz1
36%27%
Independiente1
37%
GCMIND
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.51.0
Non-shot xG1.10.9
12/8
Defensa y Justicia3
54%28%
Colón0
19%
DYJCOL
Adjusted goals2.90.0
Shot-based xG1.80.2
Non-shot xG2.00.6
12/8
Lanús2
41%30%
Talleres1
28%
LANTDC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.50.8
Non-shot xG1.41.1
12/8
Unión0
42%31%
Banfield1
27%
USFBAN
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.62.1
Non-shot xG1.01.3
12/8
San Lorenzo1
39%31%
Estudiantes1
30%
SLOREST
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.72.1
Non-shot xG1.21.4
12/7
San Martín T.0
45%29%
Newell's Old Boys3
26%
SANNOB
Adjusted goals0.01.8
Shot-based xG1.11.7
Non-shot xG1.41.4
12/3
Talleres1
23%28%
Racing3
49%
TDCRAC
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.21.8
Non-shot xG0.71.5
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Racing36 pts
58.9
1.5
1.0
16.15.53.4+2454<1%67%
Defensa y Justicia30 pts
52.1
1.3
1.0
12.69.13.4+1347<1%11%
River Plate19 pts
60.5
1.5
0.9
12.57.55.0+2045<1%10%
Boca Juniors24 pts
58.8
1.5
1.0
13.16.15.8+1445<1%7%
Huracán25 pts
45.4
1.2
1.2
11.77.36.0+842<1%3%
Atlético Tucumán28 pts
45.7
1.2
1.2
11.97.06.1+1143<1%2%
Vélez Sarsfield25 pts
50.1
1.2
1.0
10.96.87.2+440<1%<1%
Independiente23 pts
53.6
1.4
1.1
10.47.66.9+1139<1%<1%
Godoy Cruz23 pts
46.5
1.2
1.1
11.05.09.0+538<1%<1%
Aldosivi23 pts
39.1
1.1
1.3
10.04.710.3-4357%<1%
Banfield21 pts
45.0
1.1
1.1
8.28.97.9+034<1%<1%
Unión19 pts
44.2
1.1
1.1
8.37.29.5-432<1%<1%
Estudiantes18 pts
43.1
1.1
1.1
7.58.98.6+031<1%<1%
Newell's Old Boys18 pts
45.4
1.1
1.1
8.45.910.6+231<1%<1%
Rosario Central18 pts
39.0
1.0
1.3
8.36.110.6-831<1%<1%
Talleres18 pts
44.5
1.1
1.1
8.35.910.7-131<1%<1%
Tigre17 pts
43.3
1.2
1.3
7.47.710.0-93095%<1%
Lanús15 pts
44.0
1.1
1.2
6.68.89.6-729<1%<1%
Colón16 pts
42.0
1.1
1.2
6.29.98.8-729<1%<1%
San Martín14 pts
40.6
1.1
1.3
7.65.112.3-72845%<1%
San Martín T.16 pts
38.8
1.1
1.3
5.99.79.4-112760%<1%
Gimnasia15 pts
38.6
1.0
1.3
7.05.812.2-122717%<1%
San Lorenzo13 pts
42.8
1.1
1.2
5.610.19.3-727<1%<1%
Belgrano12 pts
37.9
1.0
1.3
5.08.811.2-112476%<1%
Argentinos Juniors9 pts
40.9
1.0
1.1
5.56.313.2-122316%<1%
Patronato10 pts
36.5
1.1
1.5
4.86.513.6-152184%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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