Updated April 25, 2019, at 2:07 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2018-19 season

Argentina

Updated April 7, 2019, at 7:25 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
April
4/7
Racing1
42%29%
Defensa y Justicia1
29%
RACDYJ
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.31.0
Non-shot xG0.91.1
4/7
Patronato2
38%29%
Argentinos Juniors1
33%
CAPARGJ
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.61.0
Non-shot xG0.91.0
4/7
Belgrano1
37%31%
Godoy Cruz0
32%
BELGCM
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.1
Non-shot xG2.10.3
4/7
San Martín2
37%30%
Talleres1
33%
SMSJTDC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.01.2
Non-shot xG1.11.8
4/7
River Plate2
50%24%
Tigre3
26%
CARPTIG
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG2.70.7
Non-shot xG2.21.6
4/7
Rosario Central1
34%29%
Independiente2
37%
ROSIND
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.11.3
Non-shot xG0.71.1
4/7
Huracán2
38%27%
Atlético Tucumán0
35%
HURTUC
Adjusted goals1.70.0
Shot-based xG3.41.0
Non-shot xG1.51.3
4/6
Aldosivi1
29%29%
Boca Juniors1
42%
ALDOCABJ
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.70.7
Non-shot xG0.81.0
4/6
Vélez Sarsfield4
42%29%
Lanús0
30%
VELLAN
Adjusted goals4.10.0
Shot-based xG1.50.7
Non-shot xG0.41.2
4/6
Unión0
42%30%
Estudiantes0
28%
USFEST
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.70.3
Non-shot xG2.20.5
4/6
Banfield1
40%28%
Newell's Old Boys1
32%
BANNOB
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.31.3
Non-shot xG1.60.5
4/6
Gimnasia3
37%32%
Colón2
31%
GLPCOL
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.03.5
Non-shot xG1.01.4
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Racing57 pts
59.1
1.5
0.9
17.06.02.0+2757<1%✓
Defensa y Justicia53 pts
53.7
1.3
0.9
15.08.02.0+1553<1%—
Boca Juniors51 pts
61.0
1.5
0.9
15.06.04.0+2451<1%—
River Plate45 pts
61.2
1.6
1.0
13.06.06.0+2145<1%—
Atlético Tucumán42 pts
43.6
1.2
1.3
12.06.07.0+742<1%—
Vélez Sarsfield40 pts
50.6
1.2
1.0
11.07.07.0+940<1%—
Independiente38 pts
50.7
1.3
1.1
10.08.07.0+738<1%—
Unión36 pts
48.5
1.2
1.1
9.09.07.0+536<1%—
Tigre36 pts
46.0
1.4
1.4
9.09.07.0-336>99%—
Huracán35 pts
42.0
1.2
1.3
9.08.08.0+035<1%—
Lanús34 pts
44.1
1.2
1.2
9.07.09.0-534<1%—
Aldosivi33 pts
40.7
1.0
1.1
9.06.010.0-333<1%—
Talleres33 pts
43.4
1.0
1.1
9.06.010.0+133<1%—
Godoy Cruz32 pts
39.2
1.0
1.3
9.05.011.0-732<1%—
Newell's Old Boys29 pts
45.1
1.2
1.2
7.08.010.0+329<1%—
Estudiantes29 pts
41.3
1.0
1.1
7.08.010.0-429<1%—
Gimnasia29 pts
36.7
1.0
1.3
8.05.012.0-1129<1%—
Banfield29 pts
46.7
1.2
1.2
6.011.08.0-429<1%—
Rosario Central26 pts
39.3
1.0
1.2
6.08.011.0-1026<1%—
Patronato26 pts
39.6
1.1
1.4
7.05.013.0-826<1%—
San Martín25 pts
39.4
1.1
1.4
6.07.012.0-1025>99%—
Belgrano24 pts
39.9
0.9
1.1
4.012.09.0-724>99%—
Colón23 pts
41.6
1.0
1.2
4.011.010.0-1223<1%—
San Lorenzo23 pts
43.4
1.0
1.1
3.014.08.0-923<1%—
San Martín T.23 pts
38.1
1.1
1.4
4.011.010.0-1323>99%—
Argentinos Juniors22 pts
42.9
1.0
1.1
5.07.013.0-1322<1%—
Forecast from
Season

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