Updated Jan. 19, 2020, at 8:26 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2019-20 season

Argentina

Updated Dec. 13, 2019, at 5:07 p.m.

Upcoming matches
January 14-20
1/19
Independiente
19%
23%
River Plate
58%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
December 10-16
12/13
Independiente2
44%28%
Newell's3
28%
INDNOB
Adjusted goals2.13.2
Shot-based xG1.51.0
Non-shot xG1.21.2
12/12
Arsenal2
58%24%
Colón1
19%
ARSCOL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.71.2
Non-shot xG1.80.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionwin Superligawin league
River Plate27 pts
65.1
1.8
1.0
+244442%
Boca Juniors29 pts
59.5
1.5
0.9
+194332%
Lanús29 pts
46.5
1.3
1.2
+6407%
Vélez Sarsfield28 pts
50.6
1.2
1.0
+9407%
Argentinos30 pts
42.3
1.0
1.1
+5396%
Arsenal27 pts
43.8
1.3
1.4
+8372%
Racing26 pts
50.4
1.3
1.1
+4371%
Newell's25 pts
46.4
1.2
1.2
+736<1%
Rosario Central26 pts
42.9
1.1
1.2
+735<1%
San Lorenzo26 pts
40.9
1.2
1.4
+035<1%
Talleres24 pts
45.5
1.1
1.1
+534<1%
Atlético25 pts
42.3
1.1
1.2
+033<1%
Estudiantes24 pts
42.6
1.0
1.1
+233<1%
Justicia21 pts
48.3
1.2
1.1
+032<1%
Independiente21 pts
45.4
1.2
1.2
-331<1%
Banfield20 pts
46.1
1.1
1.1
+131<1%
Unión20 pts
42.2
1.1
1.2
-529<1%
Central Córdoba18 pts
39.8
1.1
1.3
-526<1%
Huracán15 pts
37.5
0.9
1.2
-924<1%
Colón16 pts
32.5
0.9
1.5
-1422<1%
Gimnasia14 pts
40.1
1.0
1.3
-322<1%
Patronato13 pts
35.8
1.0
1.4
-1421<1%
Aldosivi12 pts
32.9
0.9
1.4
-1619<1%
Godoy Cruz9 pts
28.8
0.9
1.7
-2814<1%
Forecast from
Season

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