Updated Aug. 15, 2018 at 3:25 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 35 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2018 season

Argentina

Updated Aug. 13, 2018, at 10:00 p.m.

Upcoming matches
8/17
Talleres
50%
27%
Rosario Central
23%
8/17
Newell's Old Boys
24%
26%
Independiente
50%
8/18
Defensa y Justicia
52%
26%
Atlético Tucumán
22%
8/18
Banfield
44%
28%
Gimnasia
28%
8/18
Argentinos Juniors
38%
28%
Godoy Cruz
34%
8/18
River Plate
62%
23%
Belgrano
15%
8/19
San Martín
47%
27%
Patronato
26%
8/19
Colón
45%
27%
Tigre
28%
8/19
Aldosivi
45%
26%
Huracán
29%
8/19
San Lorenzo
50%
26%
Lanús
24%
8/19
Racing
48%
25%
Vélez Sarsfield
27%
8/20
Estudiantes
17%
23%
Boca Juniors
60%
8/20
San Martín T.
40%
27%
Unión
33%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
8/13
Atlético Tucumán2
29%26%
Racing2
45%
TUCRAC
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.51.4
Non-shot xG2.01.1
8/12
Huracán0
23%23%
River Plate0
54%
HURCARP
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.30.9
Non-shot xG0.80.6
8/12
Rosario Central1
43%27%
Banfield0
30%
ROSBAN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.20.2
Non-shot xG1.20.5
8/12
Lanús2
37%27%
Defensa y Justicia2
36%
LANDYJ
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.31.1
Non-shot xG1.01.0
8/12
Godoy Cruz1
53%27%
Estudiantes0
21%
GCMEST
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.61.7
Non-shot xG0.81.6
8/12
Boca Juniors1
68%19%
Talleres0
12%
CABJTDC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.10.4
Non-shot xG1.20.8
8/11
Belgrano0
51%26%
San Martín0
23%
BELSMSJ
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.41.6
Non-shot xG1.11.3
8/11
Patronato0
36%28%
Colón0
36%
CAPCOL
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.00.7
Non-shot xG1.61.3
8/11
Unión1
49%26%
Aldosivi0
26%
USFALDO
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.90.2
Non-shot xG0.90.3
8/11
Gimnasia1
41%27%
Argentinos Juniors0
32%
GLPARGJ
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.11.0
Non-shot xG0.41.2
8/10
Tigre2
40%27%
San Lorenzo2
32%
TIGSLOR
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.02.3
Non-shot xG1.71.4
8/10
Vélez Sarsfield2
53%25%
Newell's Old Boys0
21%
VELNOB
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.10.1
Non-shot xG1.00.7
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Boca Juniors3 pts
65.5
1.8
1.0
15.35.24.6+2551<1%40%
River Plate1 pt
60.6
1.6
0.9
12.96.75.4+1845<1%16%
Independiente0 pts
57.4
1.5
1.0
12.36.36.4+1343<1%11%
Racing1 pt
52.6
1.5
1.2
10.96.97.2+940<1%6%
Godoy Cruz3 pts
49.5
1.3
1.1
10.86.37.8+539<1%5%
Vélez Sarsfield3 pts
49.3
1.3
1.2
10.86.38.0+6391%4%
Unión3 pts
46.8
1.2
1.1
10.06.68.4+2372%3%
Defensa y Justicia1 pt
48.3
1.3
1.2
9.57.38.2+336<1%2%
San Lorenzo1 pt
48.1
1.2
1.1
9.47.58.1+336<1%2%
Talleres0 pts
47.2
1.2
1.1
9.36.79.1+235<1%1%
Colón1 pt
45.6
1.1
1.1
8.77.68.7+034<1%1%
Belgrano1 pt
43.7
1.2
1.2
8.37.49.3-23232%<1%
Rosario Central3 pts
40.6
1.1
1.3
8.76.310.0-5325%<1%
Argentinos Juniors0 pts
44.5
1.1
1.2
8.46.79.9-2326%<1%
Lanús1 pt
42.5
1.2
1.3
8.17.49.5-3323%<1%
Huracán1 pt
42.1
1.2
1.3
8.17.49.5-3325%<1%
Tigre1 pt
42.1
1.2
1.4
8.17.19.7-43281%<1%
Estudiantes0 pts
43.2
1.1
1.1
8.06.710.2-331<1%<1%
Gimnasia3 pts
38.1
1.1
1.4
8.16.310.6-73122%<1%
San Martín T.0 pts
39.6
1.2
1.4
8.06.410.6-63043%<1%
Banfield0 pts
41.0
1.0
1.2
7.66.610.8-629<1%<1%
Aldosivi0 pts
39.0
1.1
1.4
7.66.211.2-72950%<1%
San Martín1 pt
38.6
1.1
1.4
7.27.310.5-82948%<1%
Atlético Tucumán1 pt
38.0
1.0
1.3
7.07.510.5-82835%<1%
Newell's Old Boys0 pts
38.4
1.0
1.3
7.16.411.4-92812%<1%
Patronato1 pt
35.4
1.0
1.4
6.47.311.3-112753%<1%
Forecast from
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