Updated Oct. 21, 2018 at 4:54 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2018 season

Argentina

Updated Oct. 20, 2018, at 8:57 p.m.

Upcoming matches
10/21
Estudiantes
43%
30%
Atlético Tucumán
27%
10/21
Argentinos Juniors
36%
32%
Unión
32%
10/21
Independiente
52%
26%
Huracán
21%
10/21
San Martín T.
22%
25%
Racing
53%
10/22
Belgrano
46%
30%
Banfield
24%
10/22
San Lorenzo
46%
27%
San Martín
27%
10/24
Estudiantes
43%
30%
Newell's Old Boys
27%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
10/20
Newell's Old Boys2
43%28%
Tigre0
29%
NOBTIG
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG0.60.7
Non-shot xG1.20.5
10/20
Boca Juniors0
74%18%
Rosario Central0
8%
CABJROS
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.90.9
Non-shot xG0.81.0
10/20
Lanús3
48%27%
Patronato1
25%
LANCAP
Adjusted goals3.01.1
Shot-based xG1.40.4
Non-shot xG1.21.0
10/20
Godoy Cruz2
46%28%
Aldosivi0
26%
GCMALDO
Adjusted goals1.90.0
Shot-based xG1.70.3
Non-shot xG2.01.1
10/19
Colón1
20%25%
River Plate0
54%
COLCARP
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.40.7
Non-shot xG0.41.4
10/19
Defensa y Justicia2
50%28%
Talleres0
23%
DYJTDC
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG0.80.5
Non-shot xG0.90.9
10/19
Vélez Sarsfield1
51%27%
Gimnasia0
22%
VELGLP
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.90.2
Non-shot xG1.10.6
10/8
Colón1
44%28%
Newell's Old Boys0
28%
COLNOB
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.40.4
Non-shot xG1.11.7
10/8
Tigre1
43%28%
Estudiantes0
29%
TIGEST
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.00.3
Non-shot xG0.60.7
10/7
Racing2
38%26%
Boca Juniors2
36%
RACCABJ
Adjusted goals2.11.9
Shot-based xG2.11.3
Non-shot xG1.20.7
10/7
Talleres3
42%29%
Belgrano0
28%
TDCBEL
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG1.80.6
Non-shot xG0.21.3
10/7
Rosario Central0
35%31%
Unión4
35%
ROSUSF
Adjusted goals0.03.8
Shot-based xG0.81.2
Non-shot xG0.70.7
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Racing20 pts
57.6
1.5
1.0
14.66.34.1+2150<1%42%
River Plate13 pts
61.8
1.6
0.9
12.58.24.3+2246<1%19%
Boca Juniors15 pts
61.3
1.6
0.9
12.86.95.4+1545<1%13%
Defensa y Justicia15 pts
50.4
1.2
1.0
11.38.15.6+842<1%8%
Unión15 pts
50.3
1.2
1.0
10.97.96.2+941<1%5%
Huracán14 pts
45.2
1.2
1.2
10.77.27.1+739<1%4%
Independiente10 pts
54.0
1.4
1.0
9.98.96.2+939<1%4%
Atlético Tucumán15 pts
41.7
1.1
1.2
9.78.17.2+4374%2%
Vélez Sarsfield14 pts
48.7
1.2
1.1
10.26.68.3+137<1%1%
Godoy Cruz13 pts
45.8
1.2
1.2
9.75.49.9+035<1%<1%
Aldosivi15 pts
39.0
1.1
1.3
9.84.410.8-43420%<1%
Colón12 pts
44.5
1.1
1.1
8.67.68.7-234<1%<1%
Banfield12 pts
42.5
1.0
1.1
8.37.98.8-333<1%<1%
Rosario Central11 pts
40.2
1.0
1.2
8.46.99.7-6322%<1%
Talleres10 pts
45.4
1.1
1.1
8.75.610.7+032<1%<1%
San Lorenzo7 pts
45.4
1.2
1.2
7.49.08.6-231<1%<1%
Argentinos Juniors6 pts
44.3
1.0
1.0
7.28.69.3-2304%<1%
Gimnasia11 pts
39.1
1.0
1.2
7.76.510.8-62917%<1%
Tigre10 pts
41.0
1.1
1.3
7.08.49.6-82993%<1%
Newell's Old Boys8 pts
42.2
1.1
1.2
7.56.810.7-4294%<1%
San Martín8 pts
39.1
1.1
1.4
7.46.910.7-82945%<1%
Belgrano7 pts
41.1
1.0
1.2
6.68.99.5-72947%<1%
Estudiantes4 pts
43.1
1.0
1.1
7.26.611.2-528<1%<1%
Lanús6 pts
41.6
1.1
1.3
6.37.411.3-10264%<1%
San Martín T.4 pts
37.8
1.0
1.3
5.08.911.1-122476%<1%
Patronato4 pts
34.7
1.0
1.4
5.25.314.6-182183%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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