Updated Aug. 19, 2019, at 12:20 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2019-20 season

Argentina

Updated Aug. 18, 2019, at 8:56 p.m.

Upcoming matches
August 13-19
8/19
Atlético
43%
27%
Godoy Cruz
30%
8/19
Colón
44%
28%
Gimnasia
28%
8/19
Estudiantes
29%
27%
Independiente
43%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
August 13-19
8/18
Boca Juniors2
79%16%
Aldosivi0
5%
CABJALDO
Adjusted goals1.90.0
Shot-based xG1.90.4
Non-shot xG1.70.8
8/18
Lanús3
32%27%
Vélez Sarsfield1
41%
LANVEL
Adjusted goals2.61.1
Shot-based xG1.90.1
Non-shot xG0.61.0
8/18
Justicia0
53%25%
Arsenal3
21%
DYJARS
Adjusted goals0.03.0
Shot-based xG0.52.1
Non-shot xG1.41.3
8/18
Patronato2
40%27%
Huracán1
33%
CAPHUR
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.91.2
Non-shot xG1.41.1
8/17
Racing1
29%25%
River Plate6
46%
RACCARP
Adjusted goals1.15.7
Shot-based xG0.83.0
Non-shot xG0.81.7
8/17
San Lorenzo2
50%27%
Rosario Central2
23%
SLORROS
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG2.30.7
Non-shot xG2.30.4
8/17
Newell's2
42%28%
Unión0
30%
NOBUSF
Adjusted goals1.80.0
Shot-based xG2.10.2
Non-shot xG1.40.4
8/16
Talleres1
50%27%
Central Córdoba1
23%
TDCCTR
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.10.7
Non-shot xG1.80.8
8/16
Argentinos3
41%28%
Banfield2
31%
ARGJBAN
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG0.91.6
Non-shot xG0.91.1
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionwin Superligawin league
River Plate7 pts
68.7
1.9
0.9
+345153%
Boca Juniors7 pts
64.2
1.7
0.9
+234727%
Independiente3 pts
51.9
1.4
1.1
+10397%
Racing2 pts
52.9
1.4
1.1
+4352%
San Lorenzo7 pts
45.5
1.2
1.2
+2352%
Arsenal9 pts
40.3
1.2
1.4
+3352%
Newell's6 pts
43.8
1.1
1.2
+3342%
Vélez Sarsfield1 pt
50.8
1.3
1.1
+333<1%
Argentinos5 pts
41.6
1.1
1.2
+032<1%
Lanús4 pts
42.7
1.2
1.3
-131<1%
Rosario Central7 pts
38.5
1.0
1.3
-331<1%
Unión4 pts
42.3
1.1
1.2
-231<1%
Banfield3 pts
44.3
1.2
1.3
-131<1%
Talleres4 pts
41.8
1.0
1.2
-330<1%
Huracán4 pts
39.9
1.1
1.4
-229<1%
Patronato6 pts
37.3
1.1
1.4
-629<1%
Estudiantes3 pts
39.1
1.0
1.2
-529<1%
Justicia0 pts
43.8
1.1
1.2
-528<1%
Central Córdoba4 pts
36.5
1.1
1.4
-827<1%
Colón0 pts
38.1
1.0
1.3
-925<1%
Gimnasia1 pt
35.8
1.0
1.4
-925<1%
Atlético0 pts
37.6
1.1
1.4
-925<1%
Aldosivi1 pt
36.2
0.9
1.3
-924<1%
Godoy Cruz0 pts
35.5
1.0
1.4
-1123<1%
Forecast from
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