Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 10:38 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2019-20 season

Argentina

Updated Oct. 20, 2019, at 6:47 p.m.

Upcoming matches
October 15-21
10/21
Central Córdoba
42%
29%
Estudiantes
30%
10/21
Colón
43%
28%
Godoy Cruz
29%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
October 15-21
10/20
Rosario Central0
32%29%
Vélez Sarsfield1
39%
ROSVEL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.80.9
Non-shot xG1.61.2
10/20
Huracán2
37%29%
San Lorenzo0
34%
HURSLOR
Adjusted goals1.80.0
Shot-based xG1.30.2
Non-shot xG1.10.6
10/20
Gimnasia0
37%29%
Unión1
35%
GLPUSF
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.81.7
Non-shot xG1.21.4
10/20
Aldosivi1
32%31%
Justicia0
37%
ALDODYJ
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.21.2
Non-shot xG0.31.3
10/19
Talleres2
42%28%
Lanús4
31%
TDCLAN
Adjusted goals2.14.2
Shot-based xG1.51.7
Non-shot xG1.81.2
10/19
Patronato1
33%28%
Newell's3
39%
CAPNOB
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG0.80.9
Non-shot xG1.50.6
10/19
Independiente0
50%27%
Argentinos1
23%
INDARGJ
Adjusted goals0.00.8
Shot-based xG0.40.7
Non-shot xG0.50.8
10/19
Banfield1
45%29%
Atlético2
27%
BANTUC
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG1.90.8
Non-shot xG1.10.8
10/18
Boca Juniors0
60%24%
Racing1
15%
CABJRAC
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.81.4
Non-shot xG2.20.7
10/18
Arsenal3
14%20%
River Plate3
66%
ARSCARP
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG1.22.2
Non-shot xG1.41.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionwin Superligawin league
River Plate18 pts
67.4
1.9
0.9
+304637%
Boca Juniors21 pts
60.2
1.4
0.8
+194636%
Vélez Sarsfield19 pts
50.8
1.3
1.1
+9407%
Racing19 pts
52.5
1.4
1.1
+7406%
Newell's18 pts
47.4
1.2
1.1
+11395%
Argentinos21 pts
43.8
1.0
1.1
+6384%
Lanús19 pts
45.8
1.3
1.3
+5373%
Independiente13 pts
47.5
1.2
1.1
+134<1%
Arsenal16 pts
42.2
1.2
1.4
+734<1%
Talleres16 pts
41.8
1.1
1.3
+033<1%
San Lorenzo16 pts
42.1
1.1
1.2
-433<1%
Unión14 pts
42.8
1.1
1.2
-431<1%
Rosario Central13 pts
40.7
1.0
1.2
-129<1%
Huracán13 pts
39.0
1.0
1.2
-529<1%
Justicia10 pts
45.0
1.1
1.1
-428<1%
Atlético13 pts
39.3
1.0
1.3
-728<1%
Central Córdoba11 pts
39.7
1.1
1.3
-428<1%
Patronato12 pts
37.7
1.0
1.3
-728<1%
Estudiantes10 pts
40.0
1.0
1.2
-427<1%
Banfield8 pts
45.3
1.1
1.1
-226<1%
Colón10 pts
37.2
1.0
1.3
-1025<1%
Aldosivi8 pts
33.3
0.9
1.3
-1122<1%
Gimnasia4 pts
35.1
1.0
1.4
-1218<1%
Godoy Cruz3 pts
31.6
0.9
1.5
-2016<1%
Forecast from
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