Updated Apr. 18, 2018 at 9:36 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Superliga

2017 season

Argentina

Updated Apr. 16, 2018, at 10:10 p.m.

Upcoming matches
4/20
Argentinos Juniors
64%
23%
Olimpo
13%
4/20
Estudiantes
45%
32%
Belgrano
22%
4/21
San Martín
44%
29%
Lanús
28%
4/21
Temperley
31%
29%
Vélez Sarsfield
41%
4/21
Talleres
57%
27%
Gimnasia
16%
4/21
Banfield
34%
30%
Godoy Cruz
36%
4/21
San Lorenzo
56%
26%
Chacarita
18%
4/22
Tigre
41%
29%
Huracán
29%
4/22
Rosario Central
32%
25%
Racing
43%
4/22
Atlético Tucumán
38%
30%
Unión
32%
4/22
Arsenal
23%
27%
River Plate
50%
4/22
Boca Juniors
60%
25%
Newell's Old Boys
15%
4/23
Colón
54%
29%
Patronato
18%
4/23
Independiente
45%
29%
Defensa y Justicia
26%
See all▾
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
4/16
Vélez Sarsfield2
41%31%
San Lorenzo2
29%
VELSLOR
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.31.7
Non-shot xG1.41.6
4/16
Newell's Old Boys2
31%33%
Talleres1
36%
NOBTDC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.8
Non-shot xG1.20.4
4/15
Independiente1
34%30%
Boca Juniors0
36%
INDCABJ
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.30.9
Non-shot xG1.81.3
4/15
River Plate2
53%25%
Rosario Central0
23%
CARPROS
Adjusted goals1.90.0
Shot-based xG2.40.8
Non-shot xG2.20.3
4/15
Chacarita0
34%30%
Colón2
36%
CHACOL
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.42.1
Non-shot xG1.31.4
4/15
Patronato0
30%31%
Estudiantes1
39%
CAPEST
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.61.6
Non-shot xG1.31.2
4/15
Unión3
47%30%
Tigre3
23%
USFTIG
Adjusted goals3.03.2
Shot-based xG2.22.0
Non-shot xG1.51.2
4/14
Defensa y Justicia3
40%27%
Racing2
34%
DYJRAC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.81.5
Non-shot xG1.41.5
4/14
Belgrano3
50%30%
Arsenal0
20%
BELARS
Adjusted goals2.90.0
Shot-based xG1.80.1
Non-shot xG3.00.3
4/14
Lanús0
35%30%
Banfield0
35%
LANBAN
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.70.2
Non-shot xG1.20.3
4/14
Godoy Cruz3
62%24%
Temperley0
14%
GCMTEMP
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG2.60.3
Non-shot xG1.50.6
4/14
Olimpo0
33%28%
San Martín2
38%
OBBSMSJ
Adjusted goals0.01.6
Shot-based xG1.23.1
Non-shot xG1.31.7
See all▾
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.win Superligawin league
Boca Juniors50 pts
61.1
1.6
0.9
18.13.15.8+2757<1%91%
Godoy Cruz46 pts
54.9
1.4
1.0
15.85.16.1+1853<1%8%
San Lorenzo43 pts
47.7
1.2
1.1
13.68.25.2+1149<1%<1%
Independiente42 pts
53.9
1.3
0.9
13.77.26.1+1248<1%<1%
Talleres41 pts
51.5
1.2
0.9
13.96.27.0+1648<1%<1%
Huracán40 pts
45.4
1.1
1.1
12.28.26.6+745<1%<1%
Racing36 pts
55.7
1.6
1.2
11.97.08.1+1343<1%—
Argentinos Juniors36 pts
47.4
1.2
1.1
12.74.110.2+742<1%—
River Plate35 pts
54.7
1.5
1.1
11.86.19.1+842<1%—
Defensa y Justicia35 pts
52.6
1.4
1.1
11.86.19.2+441<1%—
Colón34 pts
47.2
1.1
1.0
10.88.57.7+641<1%—
Unión36 pts
48.1
1.2
1.1
10.210.26.6+741<1%—
Estudiantes35 pts
50.2
1.1
0.9
11.46.29.4+341<1%—
Belgrano34 pts
46.6
1.1
1.1
9.411.26.3+240<1%—
Atlético Tucumán33 pts
44.1
1.2
1.2
9.610.17.3+539<1%—
Rosario Central31 pts
43.6
1.2
1.3
9.38.19.6-436<1%—
Banfield30 pts
45.9
1.1
1.0
9.57.210.3+436<1%—
San Martín29 pts
40.3
1.1
1.3
9.36.111.6-634<1%—
Patronato28 pts
36.6
1.0
1.3
8.18.210.7-433<1%—
Vélez Sarsfield25 pts
45.7
1.2
1.2
7.88.510.7-732<1%—
Newell's Old Boys27 pts
43.7
1.1
1.1
8.27.211.7-232<1%—
Lanús25 pts
39.3
1.0
1.3
7.28.211.6-1830<1%—
Tigre20 pts
44.7
1.2
1.2
4.612.110.3-726<1%—
Gimnasia22 pts
37.6
1.0
1.3
6.95.115.0-1826<1%—
Chacarita18 pts
35.8
1.0
1.4
5.27.114.7-1223>99%—
Temperley17 pts
33.8
0.9
1.4
4.19.113.7-2422>99%—
Arsenal14 pts
34.0
0.9
1.4
2.89.015.2-1718>99%—
Olimpo13 pts
28.5
0.9
1.6
3.75.018.2-3216>99%—
Forecast from

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