Updated March 23, 2020, at 6:26 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Superliga

2019-20 season

Argentina

Updated March 9, 2020, at 10:01 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 3-9
3/9
Estudiantes1
36%31%
Racing2
33%
ESTRAC
Adjusted goals1.11.7
Shot-based xG0.80.8
Non-shot xG0.90.9
3/9
Unión0
33%31%
Vélez Sarsfield3
36%
USFVEL
Adjusted goals0.03.0
Shot-based xG1.01.5
Non-shot xG1.21.2
3/8
Talleres2
47%27%
Colón0
26%
TDCCOL
Adjusted goals1.90.0
Shot-based xG2.80.2
Non-shot xG1.10.3
3/8
Newell's0
51%25%
Godoy Cruz2
23%
NOBGCM
Adjusted goals0.01.7
Shot-based xG2.01.4
Non-shot xG3.10.5
3/8
Independiente3
44%29%
Central Córdoba0
27%
INDCTR
Adjusted goals2.30.0
Shot-based xG2.30.3
Non-shot xG2.40.5
3/8
San Lorenzo4
38%28%
Lanús3
35%
SLORLAN
Adjusted goals4.23.2
Shot-based xG1.72.8
Non-shot xG1.71.7
3/7
Atlético1
14%22%
River Plate1
64%
TUCCARP
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.61.6
Non-shot xG1.51.4
3/7
Boca Juniors1
73%20%
Gimnasia0
7%
CABJGLP
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.31.0
Non-shot xG2.00.8
3/7
Justicia2
46%26%
Patronato0
28%
DYJCAP
Adjusted goals1.80.0
Shot-based xG1.91.4
Non-shot xG2.20.8
3/7
Banfield0
42%31%
Huracán3
27%
BANHUR
Adjusted goals0.03.0
Shot-based xG0.61.0
Non-shot xG1.01.0
3/6
Argentinos2
39%30%
Rosario Central1
31%
ARGJROS
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.00.9
Non-shot xG1.51.0
3/6
Arsenal4
43%27%
Aldosivi0
30%
ARSALDO
Adjusted goals3.90.0
Shot-based xG2.11.1
Non-shot xG1.41.1
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionwin Superligawin league
Boca Juniors48 pts
60.2
1.5
0.9
+2748
River Plate47 pts
65.5
1.7
0.9
+2347
Racing39 pts
48.4
1.2
1.1
+539
Argentinos39 pts
42.9
1.0
1.1
+539
Vélez Sarsfield39 pts
53.3
1.2
0.9
+1339
Rosario Central36 pts
42.7
1.2
1.3
+236
Lanús36 pts
45.7
1.3
1.3
+336
San Lorenzo36 pts
41.0
1.1
1.3
+236
Justicia36 pts
51.8
1.3
1.0
+836
Newell's35 pts
48.6
1.2
1.1
+835
Talleres34 pts
44.8
1.2
1.2
+434
Arsenal34 pts
41.8
1.3
1.4
+534
Estudiantes30 pts
42.6
1.0
1.1
+130
Atlético29 pts
41.2
1.1
1.2
-329
Independiente29 pts
49.5
1.2
1.0
+229
Unión27 pts
39.2
1.0
1.2
-927
Central Córdoba26 pts
37.2
1.0
1.3
-826
Banfield26 pts
39.7
1.0
1.2
-426
Patronato23 pts
40.3
1.2
1.4
-1223
Gimnasia23 pts
40.3
1.0
1.2
-123
Huracán22 pts
37.9
1.0
1.2
-1022
Aldosivi22 pts
33.6
0.9
1.3
-1522
Colón18 pts
29.9
0.8
1.5
-2218
Godoy Cruz18 pts
29.8
0.9
1.6
-2418
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