Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
Updated April 24, 2019, at 2:49 PM
4/26 |  AaB | 57% | 24% |
 Hobro | 19% |
4/26 |  Vendsyssel | 36% | 30% |
 Randers | 35% |
4/28 |  AGF Aarhus | 55% | 24% |
 Horsens | 21% |
4/28 |  SønderjyskE | 52% | 27% |
 Vejle | 22% |
4/28 |  Brøndby | 46% | 25% |
 Esbjerg | 28% |
4/28 |  Copenhagen | 61% | 24% |
 Odense | 16% |
4/29 |  Nordsjælland | 32% | 23% |
 Midtjylland | 44% |
5/5 | Copenhagen | 77% | 15% |
Brøndby | 8% |
5/5 | Odense | 29% | 27% |
Midtjylland | 45% |
5/6 | Esbjerg | 38% | 27% |
Nordsjælland | 36% |
5/10 | Odense | 49% | 29% |
Esbjerg | 21% |
5/12 | Midtjylland | 28% | 25% |
Copenhagen | 47% |
5/13 | Brøndby | 50% | 22% |
Nordsjælland | 27% |
5/19 | Brøndby | 32% | 23% |
Midtjylland | 45% |
5/19 | Esbjerg | 12% | 21% |
Copenhagen | 67% |
5/19 | Nordsjælland | 42% | 27% |
Odense | 31% |
5/26 | Copenhagen | 81% | 13% |
Nordsjælland | 6% |
5/26 | Odense | 40% | 26% |
Brøndby | 34% |
5/26 | Midtjylland | 67% | 21% |
Esbjerg | 13% |
| 4/23 | Esbjerg0 | 36% | 29% |
Odense0 | 35% |
| 4/22 | Midtjylland1 | 59% | 20% |
Brøndby2 | 20% |
| 4/22 | Nordsjælland0 | 17% | 20% |
Copenhagen3 | 63% |
| 4/22 | Randers0 | 39% | 29% |
AaB2 | 32% |
| 4/22 | Hobro3 | 39% | 29% |
Vendsyssel2 | 32% |
| 4/21 | Vejle2 | 39% | 28% |
AGF Aarhus4 | 33% |
| 4/21 | Horsens0 | 41% | 28% |
SønderjyskE1 | 31% |
| 4/19 | Odense2 | 40% | 27% |
Nordsjælland2 | 33% |
| 4/19 | Randers1 | 46% | 29% |
Hobro0 | 25% |
| 4/18 | Copenhagen3 | 52% | 24% |
Midtjylland0 | 25% |
| 4/18 | Esbjerg1 | 35% | 24% |
Brøndby0 | 40% |
| 4/18 | Horsens0 | 39% | 27% |
Vejle0 | 35% |
| 4/18 | AGF Aarhus2 | 51% | 26% |
SønderjyskE1 | 23% |
| 4/17 | AaB1 | 53% | 25% |
Vendsyssel1 | 22% |
| 4/15 | SønderjyskE0 | 39% | 27% |
AGF Aarhus1 | 35% |
| 4/14 | Midtjylland2 | 65% | 21% |
Odense0 | 14% |
| 4/14 | Brøndby1 | 18% | 20% |
Copenhagen2 | 62% |
| 4/14 | Nordsjælland1 | 47% | 25% |
Esbjerg2 | 28% |
| 4/14 | Hobro1 | 35% | 30% |
Randers2 | 35% |
| 4/13 | Vendsyssel1 | 31% | 26% |
AaB0 | 43% |
| 4/12 | Vejle3 | 42% | 27% |
Horsens0 | 31% |
| 4/8 | Nordsjælland1 | 42% | 22% |
Brøndby1 | 36% |
| 4/7 | Odense0 | 17% | 23% |
Copenhagen1 | 60% |
| 4/7 | Esbjerg2 | 12% | 19% |
Midtjylland2 | 68% |
| 4/7 | Vejle4 | 30% | 29% |
SønderjyskE1 | 40% |
| 4/7 | Hobro1 | 32% | 26% |
AaB1 | 42% |
| 4/6 | Randers1 | 54% | 27% |
Vendsyssel1 | 19% |
| 4/5 | Horsens0 | 40% | 26% |
AGF Aarhus3 | 34% |
| 4/1 | AGF Aarhus2 | 59% | 25% |
Vejle2 | 16% |
| 3/31 | SønderjyskE0 | 48% | 26% |
Horsens0 | 26% |
| 3/31 | Copenhagen1 | 90% | 8% |
Esbjerg0 | 2% |
| 3/31 | AaB1 | 49% | 27% |
Randers2 | 24% |
| 3/31 | Vendsyssel3 | 41% | 31% |
Hobro3 | 29% |
| 3/30 | Midtjylland0 | 71% | 16% |
Nordsjælland0 | 13% |
| 3/29 | Brøndby2 | 42% | 25% |
Odense2 | 34% |
| 3/17 | Vendsyssel0 | 27% | 23% |
Nordsjælland1 | 49% |
| 3/17 | Horsens1 | 34% | 23% |
Brøndby3 | 44% |
| 3/17 | Esbjerg2 | 51% | 28% |
Vejle1 | 21% |
| 3/17 | Midtjylland2 | 82% | 13% |
SønderjyskE1 | 5% |
| 3/17 | Odense1 | 51% | 28% |
Randers0 | 22% |
| 3/17 | AaB3 | 45% | 26% |
AGF Aarhus1 | 29% |
| 3/17 | Copenhagen3 | 90% | 9% |
Hobro1 | 1% |
| 3/11 | AGF Aarhus1 | 41% | 28% |
Odense2 | 31% |
| 3/10 | Brøndby3 | 50% | 24% |
AaB3 | 26% |
| 3/10 | Nordsjælland2 | 14% | 17% |
Copenhagen2 | 68% |
| 3/10 | SønderjyskE3 | 44% | 29% |
Esbjerg1 | 28% |
| 3/10 | Randers2 | 44% | 27% |
Horsens0 | 29% |
| 3/9 | Vejle1 | 38% | 30% |
Vendsyssel1 | 32% |
| 3/8 | Hobro1 | 9% | 17% |
Midtjylland2 | 74% |
| 3/4 | Midtjylland3 | 82% | 12% |
Nordsjælland3 | 6% |
| 3/3 | Odense2 | 37% | 25% |
Brøndby0 | 38% |
| 3/3 | Copenhagen2 | 92% | 7% |
Vejle0 | 1% |
| 3/3 | Vendsyssel2 | 31% | 29% |
AGF Aarhus2 | 40% |
| 3/3 | SønderjyskE3 | 33% | 31% |
Randers0 | 37% |
| 3/2 | Esbjerg1 | 41% | 26% |
Horsens0 | 33% |
| 3/1 | AaB1 | 58% | 26% |
Hobro1 | 16% |
| 2/25 | Copenhagen1 | 93% | 6% |
Vendsyssel1 | 1% |
| 2/24 | Brøndby2 | 53% | 25% |
Randers1 | 23% |
| 2/24 | AGF Aarhus1 | 15% | 21% |
Midtjylland2 | 64% |
| 2/24 | Horsens1 | 40% | 26% |
Odense2 | 34% |
| 2/24 | Hobro2 | 31% | 30% |
Esbjerg0 | 39% |
| 2/23 | Vejle1 | 30% | 26% |
Nordsjælland3 | 44% |
| 2/22 | AaB3 | 50% | 27% |
SønderjyskE0 | 23% |
| 2/18 | Midtjylland2 | 83% | 12% |
AaB1 | 5% |
| 2/17 | Esbjerg2 | 29% | 24% |
Brøndby1 | 46% |
| 2/17 | Randers0 | 12% | 20% |
Copenhagen2 | 69% |
| 2/17 | Odense1 | 56% | 25% |
Vejle0 | 19% |
| 2/17 | Horsens3 | 50% | 25% |
Vendsyssel0 | 24% |
| 2/16 | Nordsjælland2 | 63% | 22% |
Hobro1 | 15% |
| 2/15 | SønderjyskE0 | 40% | 30% |
AGF Aarhus2 | 31% |
| 2/11 | Vendsyssel0 | 9% | 16% |
Midtjylland1 | 75% |
| 2/10 | Copenhagen6 | 80% | 15% |
Odense1 | 5% |
| 2/10 | Nordsjælland3 | 35% | 23% |
Brøndby3 | 41% |
| 2/10 | AaB0 | 48% | 28% |
Randers3 | 24% |
| 2/10 | Hobro0 | 32% | 26% |
Horsens0 | 42% |
| 2/9 | Vejle2 | 29% | 30% |
SønderjyskE0 | 41% |
| 2/8 | AGF Aarhus2 | 46% | 28% |
Esbjerg0 | 27% |
| 12/17 | AGF Aarhus1 | 58% | 25% |
Hobro0 | 17% |
| 12/16 | Brøndby2 | 77% | 16% |
Vendsyssel3 | 7% |
| 12/16 | SønderjyskE0 | 14% | 22% |
Copenhagen3 | 64% |
| 12/16 | Horsens1 | 11% | 15% |
Midtjylland3 | 75% |
| 12/16 | Esbjerg3 | 34% | 26% |
Nordsjælland0 | 40% |
| 12/15 | Randers2 | 52% | 28% |
Vejle0 | 20% |
| 12/14 | Odense1 | 46% | 28% |
AaB2 | 26% |
| 12/10 | Nordsjælland1 | 51% | 24% |
AGF Aarhus0 | 26% |
| 12/9 | Vejle1 | 20% | 24% |
Brøndby2 | 56% |
| 12/9 | Copenhagen3 | 84% | 12% |
Esbjerg0 | 4% |
| 12/9 | AaB2 | 57% | 24% |
Horsens4 | 19% |
| 12/9 | Vendsyssel0 | 34% | 30% |
Randers1 | 37% |
| 12/8 | Hobro0 | 29% | 27% |
SønderjyskE0 | 44% |
| 12/7 | Midtjylland3 | 71% | 18% |
Odense0 | 11% |
| 12/3 | AGF Aarhus2 | 53% | 26% |
Vejle1 | 20% |
| 12/2 | Brøndby1 | 77% | 15% |
Hobro0 | 8% |
| 12/2 | Horsens1 | 13% | 19% |
Copenhagen6 | 67% |
| 12/2 | Randers1 | 12% | 18% |
Midtjylland2 | 69% |
| 12/2 | SønderjyskE1 | 41% | 25% |
Nordsjælland2 | 33% |
| 12/1 | Odense2 | 60% | 24% |
Vendsyssel0 | 16% |
| 11/30 | Esbjerg1 | 40% | 31% |
AaB4 | 29% |
| 11/26 | AGF Aarhus1 | 50% | 25% |
Horsens2 | 25% |
| 11/25 | Copenhagen2 | 38% | 24% |
Midtjylland1 | 38% |
| 11/25 | SønderjyskE0 | 34% | 25% |
Brøndby2 | 41% |
| 11/25 | Nordsjælland1 | 46% | 26% |
Odense3 | 28% |
| 11/25 | Vendsyssel1 | 33% | 29% |
Esbjerg1 | 38% |
| 11/24 | Hobro0 | 36% | 27% |
Randers1 | 37% |
| 11/23 | Vejle1 | 30% | 31% |
AaB1 | 39% |
| 11/11 | Odense2 | 46% | 29% |
Esbjerg1 | 25% |
| 11/11 | Midtjylland5 | 86% | 11% |
Vejle0 | 3% |
| 11/11 | AaB1 | 18% | 25% |
Copenhagen1 | 57% |
| 11/11 | Randers1 | 32% | 25% |
Nordsjælland1 | 42% |
| 11/11 | Hobro1 | 40% | 26% |
Vendsyssel0 | 34% |
| 11/10 | Horsens1 | 35% | 26% |
SønderjyskE1 | 39% |
| 11/9 | Brøndby2 | 56% | 22% |
AGF Aarhus0 | 22% |
| 11/5 | Vejle3 | 35% | 29% |
Horsens1 | 36% |
| 11/4 | Esbjerg2 | 14% | 21% |
Midtjylland2 | 65% |
| 11/4 | AGF Aarhus0 | 56% | 24% |
Randers2 | 19% |
| 11/4 | Nordsjælland1 | 50% | 26% |
AaB1 | 25% |
| 11/4 | Brøndby0 | 30% | 22% |
Copenhagen1 | 49% |
| 11/2 | Vendsyssel2 | 32% | 29% |
SønderjyskE3 | 39% |
| 11/2 | Odense1 | 61% | 22% |
Hobro0 | 17% |
| 10/29 | Midtjylland3 | 68% | 18% |
Brøndby2 | 15% |
| 10/28 | AaB0 | 57% | 26% |
Vendsyssel1 | 17% |
| 10/28 | Copenhagen4 | 69% | 19% |
AGF Aarhus2 | 12% |
| 10/28 | Randers0 | 40% | 29% |
Esbjerg2 | 31% |
| 10/28 | Hobro1 | 39% | 26% |
Vejle0 | 34% |
| 10/27 | Horsens3 | 32% | 26% |
Nordsjælland3 | 42% |
| 10/26 | SønderjyskE0 | 43% | 27% |
Odense0 | 30% |
| 10/22 | Brøndby1 | 56% | 22% |
Odense1 | 22% |
| 10/21 | AGF Aarhus2 | 44% | 30% |
AaB2 | 25% |
| 10/21 | Vejle1 | 12% | 20% |
Copenhagen3 | 68% |
| 10/21 | Randers1 | 35% | 27% |
SønderjyskE1 | 38% |
| 10/21 | Vendsyssel0 | 39% | 27% |
Horsens1 | 33% |
| 10/20 | Nordsjælland1 | 23% | 23% |
Midtjylland4 | 54% |
| 10/19 | Esbjerg2 | 53% | 24% |
Hobro0 | 23% |
| 10/7 | Midtjylland3 | 85% | 11% |
Vendsyssel0 | 4% |
| 10/7 | AaB1 | 37% | 27% |
Brøndby3 | 36% |
| 10/7 | Copenhagen4 | 78% | 15% |
Randers0 | 7% |
| 10/7 | Horsens1 | 44% | 29% |
Esbjerg2 | 28% |
| 10/7 | Hobro3 | 19% | 21% |
Nordsjælland2 | 60% |
| 10/6 | Odense2 | 42% | 28% |
AGF Aarhus2 | 30% |
| 10/5 | SønderjyskE3 | 50% | 27% |
Vejle0 | 23% |
| 10/1 | Nordsjælland4 | 50% | 26% |
SønderjyskE1 | 23% |
| 9/30 | Brøndby1 | 66% | 20% |
Horsens2 | 15% |
| 9/30 | AaB0 | 48% | 28% |
Odense1 | 24% |
| 9/30 | Esbjerg0 | 35% | 29% |
AGF Aarhus0 | 37% |
| 9/30 | Vendsyssel2 | 11% | 17% |
Copenhagen1 | 72% |
| 9/29 | Midtjylland5 | 91% | 8% |
Hobro2 | 2% |
| 9/28 | Vejle1 | 41% | 29% |
Randers1 | 30% |
| 9/24 | Odense4 | 43% | 28% |
Horsens0 | 29% |
| 9/23 | AGF Aarhus3 | 30% | 26% |
Brøndby2 | 44% |
| 9/23 | Copenhagen2 | 65% | 21% |
Nordsjælland1 | 14% |
| 9/23 | Hobro0 | 33% | 30% |
AaB5 | 37% |
| 9/23 | SønderjyskE0 | 18% | 22% |
Midtjylland0 | 60% |
| 9/22 | Randers2 | 48% | 26% |
Vendsyssel0 | 27% |
| 9/21 | Vejle1 | 40% | 29% |
Esbjerg0 | 31% |
| 9/17 | AaB1 | 51% | 30% |
Vejle1 | 19% |
| 9/16 | Midtjylland3 | 43% | 25% |
Copenhagen1 | 32% |
| 9/16 | Brøndby2 | 68% | 20% |
SønderjyskE4 | 12% |
| 9/16 | Horsens3 | 35% | 32% |
AGF Aarhus2 | 33% |
| 9/16 | Vendsyssel1 | 45% | 26% |
Hobro1 | 29% |
| 9/15 | Nordsjælland4 | 55% | 26% |
Randers1 | 19% |
| 9/14 | Esbjerg2 | 38% | 27% |
Odense0 | 34% |
| 9/2 | Brøndby2 | 38% | 26% |
Midtjylland2 | 36% |
| 9/2 | AGF Aarhus1 | 58% | 25% |
Vendsyssel1 | 17% |
| 9/2 | Esbjerg0 | 14% | 19% |
Copenhagen2 | 66% |
| 9/2 | Randers2 | 37% | 33% |
AaB2 | 30% |
| 9/2 | Odense0 | 36% | 26% |
Nordsjælland0 | 38% |
| 9/1 | SønderjyskE1 | 54% | 25% |
Hobro1 | 21% |
| 8/31 | Horsens0 | 48% | 28% |
Vejle0 | 24% |
| 8/27 | AaB0 | 52% | 28% |
Esbjerg1 | 19% |
| 8/26 | Midtjylland3 | 72% | 18% |
Randers0 | 9% |
| 8/26 | Copenhagen3 | 81% | 14% |
SønderjyskE2 | 5% |
| 8/26 | Vendsyssel1 | 15% | 20% |
Brøndby2 | 65% |
| 8/26 | Vejle0 | 41% | 26% |
Odense2 | 33% |
| 8/26 | Nordsjælland0 | 58% | 24% |
Horsens1 | 18% |
| 8/24 | Hobro0 | 33% | 28% |
AGF Aarhus2 | 39% |
| 8/20 | Horsens0 | 35% | 30% |
AaB0 | 35% |
| 8/19 | Odense1 | 16% | 20% |
Midtjylland1 | 64% |
| 8/19 | Brøndby0 | 83% | 12% |
Esbjerg1 | 5% |
| 8/19 | AGF Aarhus1 | 18% | 24% |
Copenhagen1 | 58% |
| 8/19 | Randers3 | 43% | 27% |
Hobro0 | 29% |
| 8/19 | Nordsjælland2 | 57% | 24% |
Vejle0 | 19% |
| 8/17 | SønderjyskE2 | 51% | 27% |
Vendsyssel1 | 22% |
| 8/13 | Esbjerg1 | 35% | 27% |
SønderjyskE0 | 39% |
| 8/12 | Midtjylland3 | 75% | 16% |
Horsens0 | 8% |
| 8/12 | Randers0 | 36% | 29% |
AGF Aarhus0 | 35% |
| 8/12 | Copenhagen3 | 43% | 25% |
Brøndby1 | 31% |
| 8/12 | AaB1 | 37% | 29% |
Nordsjælland0 | 34% |
| 8/11 | Hobro3 | 41% | 26% |
Odense2 | 33% |
| 8/10 | Vendsyssel1 | 39% | 27% |
Vejle1 | 35% |
| 8/6 | Vendsyssel0 | 32% | 28% |
AaB1 | 40% |
| 8/5 | Brøndby2 | 59% | 22% |
Nordsjælland0 | 20% |
| 8/5 | Odense0 | 19% | 21% |
Copenhagen1 | 61% |
| 8/5 | Horsens2 | 47% | 27% |
Hobro2 | 26% |
| 8/4 | Vejle1 | 20% | 23% |
Midtjylland3 | 57% |
| 8/4 | Esbjerg3 | 38% | 28% |
Randers3 | 34% |
| 8/3 | AGF Aarhus1 | 46% | 28% |
SønderjyskE0 | 26% |
| 7/30 | Vejle1 | 37% | 28% |
AGF Aarhus1 | 35% |
| 7/29 | Copenhagen4 | 59% | 24% |
AaB0 | 17% |
| 7/29 | Hobro1 | 16% | 21% |
Brøndby2 | 63% |
| 7/29 | Randers1 | 39% | 26% |
Odense0 | 34% |
| 7/29 | Nordsjælland3 | 62% | 21% |
Vendsyssel0 | 17% |
| 7/28 | Midtjylland3 | 80% | 14% |
Esbjerg1 | 6% |
| 7/27 | SønderjyskE2 | 41% | 28% |
Horsens0 | 31% |
| 7/23 | Hobro0 | 22% | 23% |
Copenhagen3 | 55% |
| 7/22 | Brøndby1 | 80% | 14% |
Vejle1 | 6% |
| 7/22 | AGF Aarhus1 | 37% | 26% |
Nordsjælland1 | 37% |
| 7/22 | Odense2 | 46% | 26% |
SønderjyskE2 | 28% |
| 7/22 | Horsens1 | 50% | 27% |
Randers1 | 24% |
| 7/21 | Esbjerg2 | 43% | 27% |
Vendsyssel3 | 30% |
| 7/20 | AaB2 | 25% | 27% |
Midtjylland1 | 48% |
| 7/16 | Randers0 | 17% | 21% |
Brøndby2 | 62% |
| 7/16 | Copenhagen1 | 69% | 19% |
Horsens2 | 12% |
| 7/15 | Vendsyssel3 | 33% | 26% |
Odense2 | 40% |
| 7/15 | Nordsjælland1 | 66% | 20% |
Esbjerg1 | 14% |
| 7/14 | Midtjylland0 | 68% | 19% |
AGF Aarhus0 | 13% |
| 7/13 | SønderjyskE0 | 39% | 30% |
AaB1 | 32% |
| 7/13 | Vejle3 | 37% | 28% |
Hobro1 | 35% |
| Team rating | avg. simulated season | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | W | D | L | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Superligawin league | ||||
Copenhagen76 pts | 72.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 27.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 | +58 | 87 | — | >99% | >99% | ||||
Midtjylland65 pts | 58.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 21.3 | 9.2 | 5.5 | +36 | 73 | — | <1% | <1% | ||||
Odense45 pts | 40.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 13.6 | 10.3 | 12.2 | +0 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||
Esbjerg46 pts | 34.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 14.1 | 8.2 | 13.6 | -5 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||
Brøndby43 pts | 47.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 13.7 | 8.1 | 14.2 | +2 | 49 | — | — | — | ||||
Nordsjælland39 pts | 41.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 12.4 | -4 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||
The top two teams from each group qualify for the knockout phase. The third-place team from each group qualifies for the UEFA Europa League knockout phase. The third-place finisher from each group in the UEFA Champions League — eight teams total — will join the UEFA Europa League in the round of 32.The top seven teams from each conference — 14 teams total — make the MLS playoffs. The top team from each conference receives a first-round bye.The top ten teams from each conference — 20 teams total — make the USL playoffs.The top eight teams at the end of the regular season make the Liga MX playoffs.The top four teams at the end of the regular season make the NWSL playoffs.The top six teams make the A-League playoffs, with two teams receiving a first-round bye.Three teams are promoted, and four teams are relegated. Depending on the league standings, playoffs for the final promotion and relegation spots may be necessary.Four teams — based on overall performance during the last four seasons — are relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the second-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, and the third-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the next two bottom teams will enter a playoff against teams from the lower division to determine if they are relegated.One to three teams are relegated through a playoff.
Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
Comments