| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | conference | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | make playoffs | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | |||||
 Louisville City20 pts | Eastern | 25.7 | 0.9 | 1.8 | +12 | 60 | >99% | 73% | 48% | 29% | 16% | ||||||
 San Antonio22 pts | Western | 27.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | +23 | 60 | 98% | 66% | 42% | 25% | 15% | ||||||
 Sacramento27 pts | Western | 23.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | +25 | 62 | 99% | 64% | 36% | 20% | 12% | ||||||
 Tampa Bay20 pts | Eastern | 24.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | +15 | 56 | 98% | 66% | 39% | 22% | 10% | ||||||
 San Diego Loyal20 pts | Western | 23.3 | 0.9 | 2.0 | +10 | 55 | 92% | 49% | 24% | 12% | 6% | ||||||
 Memphis 90115 pts | Eastern | 20.2 | 0.8 | 2.1 | +7 | 52 | 92% | 52% | 25% | 13% | 6% | ||||||
 Pittsburgh20 pts | Eastern | 17.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | +10 | 53 | 96% | 55% | 28% | 13% | 6% | ||||||
 Phoenix Rising16 pts | Western | 23.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | +7 | 52 | 85% | 43% | 21% | 10% | 6% | ||||||
 C.S. Switchbacks16 pts | Western | 20.5 | 0.7 | 1.9 | +2 | 50 | 81% | 38% | 17% | 8% | 4% | ||||||
 El Paso22 pts | Western | 17.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | +6 | 53 | 89% | 40% | 17% | 7% | 4% | ||||||
 Oakland Roots17 pts | Western | 18.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | +7 | 50 | 81% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 3% | ||||||
 New Mexico14 pts | Western | 18.6 | 0.7 | 2.0 | +4 | 49 | 77% | 33% | 15% | 6% | 3% | ||||||
 Charleston24 pts | Eastern | 13.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -2 | 52 | 94% | 43% | 17% | 7% | 2% | ||||||
 Birmingham16 pts | Eastern | 15.7 | 0.7 | 2.2 | -7 | 44 | 76% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2% | ||||||
 The Miami FC12 pts | Eastern | 14.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -2 | 41 | 62% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||||||
 Orange County10 pts | Western | 17.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | -8 | 39 | 34% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ||||||
 Indy Eleven12 pts | Eastern | 10.7 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -12 | 39 | 52% | 17% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||||||
 FC Tulsa13 pts | Eastern | 11.2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | -8 | 37 | 41% | 12% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||||||
 Hartford Athletic8 pts | Eastern | 12.5 | 0.6 | 2.4 | -16 | 35 | 35% | 11% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||||||
 Detroit City11 pts | Eastern | 8.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 | -13 | 36 | 38% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||||||
 Monterey Bay14 pts | Western | 11.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -8 | 38 | 27% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Las Vegas Lights9 pts | Western | 10.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | -15 | 35 | 19% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 RGV Toros11 pts | Western | 10.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -19 | 35 | 17% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Loudoun United10 pts | Eastern | 7.5 | 0.3 | 2.4 | -19 | 31 | 17% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
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