| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | conference | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | make playoffs | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | |||||
 San Antonio24 pts | Western | 30.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | +30 | 70 | >99% | 85% | 57% | 35% | 22% | ||||||
 Louisville City24 pts | Eastern | 27.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | +31 | 66 | 99% | 81% | 52% | 31% | 16% | ||||||
 Tampa Bay16 pts | Eastern | 26.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | +23 | 58 | 93% | 63% | 36% | 20% | 10% | ||||||
 Pittsburgh22 pts | Eastern | 20.7 | 0.7 | 1.9 | +19 | 61 | 96% | 64% | 35% | 17% | 8% | ||||||
 C.S. Switchbacks24 pts | Western | 20.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | +15 | 61 | 92% | 55% | 28% | 13% | 6% | ||||||
 San Diego Loyal20 pts | Western | 22.9 | 1.0 | 2.1 | +13 | 58 | 87% | 50% | 24% | 11% | 5% | ||||||
 Phoenix Rising18 pts | Western | 23.3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | +9 | 55 | 80% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 5% | ||||||
 Memphis 90119 pts | Eastern | 17.1 | 0.7 | 2.1 | +9 | 57 | 88% | 49% | 22% | 10% | 4% | ||||||
 New Mexico13 pts | Western | 20.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | +10 | 52 | 68% | 36% | 16% | 7% | 4% | ||||||
 Sacramento15 pts | Western | 19.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | +7 | 52 | 69% | 37% | 16% | 8% | 4% | ||||||
 The Miami FC14 pts | Eastern | 16.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | +7 | 51 | 75% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | ||||||
 El Paso13 pts | Western | 22.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | +12 | 48 | 54% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 3% | ||||||
 Orange County12 pts | Western | 19.2 | 0.7 | 2.0 | +6 | 49 | 57% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 3% | ||||||
 Birmingham12 pts | Eastern | 16.7 | 0.6 | 2.0 | +1 | 47 | 60% | 29% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||||||
 RGV Toros12 pts | Western | 16.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | -2 | 45 | 38% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||||||
 Detroit City20 pts | Eastern | 12.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 | +4 | 50 | 69% | 28% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||||||
 Indy Eleven14 pts | Eastern | 11.7 | 0.4 | 2.1 | -2 | 46 | 52% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ||||||
 Oakland Roots9 pts | Western | 15.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | -4 | 40 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||||||
 Hartford Athletic7 pts | Eastern | 12.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | -9 | 39 | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||||||
 FC Tulsa12 pts | Eastern | 12.2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | -12 | 41 | 29% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||||||
 LA Galaxy II14 pts | Western | 10.8 | 0.5 | 2.4 | -10 | 41 | 23% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Charleston4 pts | Eastern | 8.7 | 0.4 | 2.4 | -23 | 31 | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Las Vegas Lights15 pts | Western | 7.6 | 0.3 | 2.4 | -18 | 36 | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Loudoun United7 pts | Eastern | 7.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | -24 | 31 | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Monterey Bay6 pts | Western | 7.9 | 0.3 | 2.4 | -29 | 32 | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 NY Red Bulls II4 pts | Eastern | 5.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -30 | 25 | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Atlanta United 26 pts | Eastern | 6.6 | 0.3 | 2.7 | -32 | 29 | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
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