UPDATED Nov. 3, 2020, at 12:15 AM

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Pick the winner of each state to see how FiveThirtyEight’s presidential forecast would change.

2020 election forecastHow our forecast works

Our 2020 presidential forecast is final and no longer updating. You can keep making selections here to see how the results you pick would change our pre-election forecast. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in!

AZ

CO

FL

GA

MI

MN

NE 2nd

NH

NV

NC

OH

PA

TX

WI

AK

AL

AR

AZ

CA

CO

CT

DC

DE

FL

GA

HI

IA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

LA

MA

MD

ME

ME 1st

ME 2nd

MI

MN

MO

MS

MT

NC

ND

NE

NE 1st

NE 2nd

NE 3rd

NH

NJ

NM

NV

NY

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VA

VT

WA

WI

WV

WY

AK

AL

AR

AZ

CA

CO

CT

DC

DE

FL

GA

HI

IA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

LA

MA

MD

ME

ME 1st

ME 2nd

MI

MN

MO

MS

MT

NC

ND

NE

NE 1st

NE 2nd

NE 3rd

NH

NJ

NM

NV

NY

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VA

VT

WA

WI

WV

WY

Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1.5% chance of winning that state.

Winner picked

more likely trump

toss-up

more likely biden

When you choose the winner in one place, our model updates its projections everywhere else.
10 in 100
chance of winning
189.5
average electoral votes
89 in 100
chance of winning
348.5
average electoral votes

Each dot is one possible election outcome.

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